Avg swing in specials to Congress is 17 pts left since 2024. But bc they've been so low-turnout, the data b4 last night suggested a 100% turnout (relative to the past midterm) special would have swung closer to 6-7 points. So TN-7 (13 pts) is updating priors about the share of swing that's turnout

I genuinely do not understand why ‘RFK Jr wants to kill thousands of American kids and make millions sick’ isn’t in the news basically every day. Also, why are Republicans OK with killing kids? Is it because they’re so busy covering for pedophiles that they’ve given up on kids entirely?

Rich assholes would rather post at the Nazi bar because being hated by Nazis doesn't threaten their self-image of being a good person, and it probably helps it. Getting yelled at by people motivated by justice and equality makes them feel like they're bad people (they are)

I feel like we all need to hit the reset button and make clear that the second the news came out about this, it was extremely obvious that the strike was blatantly illegal.

abolish ice and cbp, primary anyone who disagrees

Maybe all those people you fired did things

I'm sure this is rage bait but cannot express how badly I think this guy should actually build this house, because I desperately want to take a tour of it and see how fucked it is. let it stand as a monument to the actual quality of chatgpt

“Thousands of very competitive projects in areas like cancer, diabetes, aging, neurological disorders and public health improvements most like went unfunded in 2025. Similarly, at the National Science Foundation, the roughly 3,000 fewer new grants encompassed reductions to every area of science”

Just imagining how much better it would be if ALL news stories about vaccine-preventable illnesses were illustrated with pictures of people with the disease, not pictures of needle injections. If you must show something that people will find scary & unpleasant, make it the disease, not the cure.

we should keep stressing out the alcoholic in charge of murdering people on the ocean

thinking more about this: it is highly ironic that at the same time that it serves as a test case for the "unitary executive," this administration is all but being led by two subordinate officials with no immediate political accountability.

trump is the president in the sense that he holds the office but he very clearly isn't the president in the sense that he has basically relieved himself of its duties

I’ve played a lot of simcity but I didn’t know you could go pro

“Democratic leader’s proposed alternative to MAGA comes from a venture capitalist’s book title” is so on the nose it sounds made up. These people have anti-juice. It’s been years since they’ve had a normal conversation with a normal person. They can’t remember what it’s like. They’re so cooked.

being ruled by tiny men bereft of both curiosity and the ability to feel wonder is a terrible fate

It is *lunacy* for the ostensibly liberal opposition party to say we shouldn't limit any individual's wealth and power after watching a cadre of fascist billionaires systematically destroy this country. That's probably the single most important thing we *must* do!

this is gonna be the overarching theme of the next decade. we gotta make people feel shame again

Just hear me out: maybe the Democratic Party’s problem is that the party leadership is full of people incapable of realizing that Matt Yglesias has terrible political instincts.

I listened to a biography of FDR recently and the throughline of his first 2 terms is that he was boldly against monied interests in word and deed and the American people fucking loved him to death for it* *kept reelecting him until he literally died in office

yep. no mention in the article of right wing billionaires ruining the WaPo and CBS. no mention of Murdoch outlets spreading right wing bullshit for decades. no mention of the clear biases of nuzzi and tapper and so many other famous journalists. no mention of destruction of teen vogue.

I love the gap between the official online groyper run info organs posting genAI pics of him as “warhammer fascist battle pope” while the actual guy looks like “ET sick in a creek”

my school's professor specializing in 20th-century african history wrote as much back in like 2009, real "if you kick the can now we're all just going to regret it" moment, and we have seen some absolutely STUPENDOUS can-kicking plays since then, and literally nothing else

This guy rules he's like what if a smart charismatic socialist gameshow host became mayor

To put a finer point on this whole thing: "Two people with direct knowledge of the operation" — presumably uniformed military leaders — are accusing the U.S. Secretary of Defense of personally ordering specific war crimes. That's a historic accusation.

There might be no better example of the war coming home than a CIA trained teen death squad recruit getting asylum in the US and then shooting a bunch of soldiers who were deployed to DC for no reason other than Kabuki Security Theater

"F.D.A. Memo Pushes Unsupported Claim That Covid Vaccines Killed Children" Fixed it for you.

forgive the typos. I’m so mad and sad and forced back into grieving right now. but do not ignore the message. I am begging you to love your children enough to vaccinate them

The next Democratic president cannot fail like Biden did by appointing Garland. It is hard but necessary to bring up murder charges on Hegseth and other top level officials who did this.

Happy Thanksgiving, to those who celebrate

I'm an "A.i." abolitionist. No consumer-facing LLMs or generative "A.i." in anything. Sure, machine learning in science and a few other limited applications is fine. But consumer-facing LLMs and generative "A.i." that are based on theft, push disinfo, and can be manipulated by billionaires? No.

To be clear Lizza’s story is that Nuzzi sat on important matters of national significance for personal benefit and he’s sat on these details until he could personally benefit. All of DC media needs to be thrown into the sea. Anyone who defends these people is a goddamn clown.

don't ever want to get too precious with this story and stop goofing on its absurdities, but she really should not be working in journalism anymore

This article heavily implies that ICE is being used in a custody dispute to help Karoline Leavitt's brother get his son and have the mother locked up in ICE detention

Bluesky not addictive to teens but definitely a crutch for elder millennials who know too much about the Bajoran war.

i think tech and ai positive people are going to be in for a big shock when anti tech and anti ai sentiment becomes a major part of leftwing politics going forward especially as datacenters continue to destroy communities and raise electricity bills

I think a lot of people in the center genuinely mistake baseline leftists and progressives for like 60s era hippies instead of just boring professionals and blue collar workers who took Mr. Rogers shit seriously lol.

We need to do everything we can to encourage posts like this on bluesky. Terrible food opinions from big name sportswriters are genuinely the lifeblood of any social media app

Lmaooo dude deal with the fact that the only truly right-coded things are pedophilia, racism, misogyny, and stupidity and not necessarily in that order

Seen a lot of people wondering why X, The Everything App would have a feature that gives away how much of the popular right wing accounts are foreign actors and this is why. They thought every left wing account would be that way because every accusation is also a confession.

They didn’t even get to the one year mark before republicans started considering mass resignations to avoid what’s next lmao. I guess the Trumpism that led to the hilarious miscarriage of a coup attempt that was January 6th hasn’t evolved all that much. They’re so bad at fascism

imagine being this big of a fuckin loser

If I’m understanding this correctly, X is owned by a white nationalist who pays poor people of color in developing countries to pretend to be working class white Americans to scare other white Americans into being afraid poor people of color from developing countries are going to ruin America?

Everybody involved will need to go to prison and if democrats in congress don’t have the stomach for punishing these people they should just resign now.

these people basically just take luxury government jets and go to fancy events like make a wish kids while their minions flashbang your elderly neighbors

there has to be some kind of truth and reconcilation effort and we need to build popular support for it

After you help your boss convert a doc to PDF

1) good, they should be prosecuted, they are responsible for countless deaths 2) always very funny when these people realize the extent to which their billionaire patrons could not possibly give less of a shit about them

something i'll note is that if nuzzi ran catch-and-kill ops for rfk jr and lizza knew this prior to him being appointed as HHS, and instead of telling anyone, he decided to save it for his substack long after rfk jr had made communicable disease into federal policy, that's completely fucked