axios "write an accurate headline" challenge. rating: impossible

not interested

_strength in numbers_ is growing because people value empirical, data-driven journalism that provides context about the state of democracy and is true to its values. join 35,000 other readers at gelliottmorris.com/subscribe

Trump’s attempt to use the FCC to silence his critics in the media is one of the most unpopular things he has done in office, including among Republicans

why is nobody talking about the cup holders on the new Acela trains? easily the biggest QoL upgrade

from about halfway through iirc www.gelliottmorris.com/p/paul-krugm...

The backlash to Trump's immigration agenda has impacted broader attitudes about the value of immigration in America apnorc.org/projects/abo...

yes, there is a large ideological bias among most higher education faculty. but this is not the solution to that problem. it is not the function of universities to stroke the egos of conservative pundits. and why would we want to spend tuition (and taxpayer!) dollars on that?

full piece: www.gelliottmorris.com/p/are-democr...

no -- at least in our own polling data data, i have not been able to find any additional variable that predicts nonresponse in trump approval (we have tried local zip code level data like income, individual news source, and a bunch of demographic combinations).

Awesome seeing @verasight.bsky.social mentioned in Paul Krugman and @gelliottmorris.com's conversation!

Great interview by Paul Krugman with G. Elliot Morris paulkrugman.substack.com/p/talking-ag... Donald Trump is a demented tiger

the gap is shrinking

trump's numbers on economic policy are worse than bush/obama's during the financial crisis

if trump sees this chart, i'm cooked

in which paul krugman and i talk about politics and things: paulkrugman.substack.com/p/talking-ag...

we are fighting the illegal weaponization of the government by weaponizing the government

Some big implications for journalism, too, where reporters often mistake trending posts as a reasonable reflection of public opinion.

jimmy kimmel... did you read my post www.gelliottmorris.com/p/a-lot-of-p...

_Strength In Numbers_ represented!

In our polling, voters say they’ll blame Republicans more than Democrats for a government shutdown. And 52% of adults support Democrats withholding votes for a funding bill until Republicans restore federal health care spending www.gelliottmorris.com/p/who-will-v...

someone pls poll this

I would like to see this chart from the latest @ipsosus.bsky.social / @reuters.com poll but only among independents. Earlier this year, we found that the party's overall fav/unfav rating was being dragged down by unhappy Dems who said they'd vote D anyway: www.gelliottmorris.com/p/democratic...

u dropped this: www.gelliottmorris.com/p/are-democr...

a good mathematical tidbit to keep in mind. the average voting-age adult is barely a voter

I appreciate the Graphs (subscriber only, you should subscribe) from @dcinbox.bsky.social's data showing some evidence on whether Dems are *actually* talking about the issues that voters think they are focused on

trump's attack on H-1B visas seems like a pretty terrible own-goal for America's research output

I’ve seen a lot of coverage over a poll saying Dems are “too focused” on climate change and LGBTQ issue. But voters say the Republican Party is not focused enough on jobs and affordability — issues much more predictive of voting — and far too much on immigration. open.substack.com/pub/gelliott...

Are Democrats actually "talking too much" about left-wing issues? Let's take an independent, expert look at this very hyped-up polling data: www.gelliottmorris.com/p/are-democr...

Two thirds of Americans are not Trump voters www.gelliottmorris.com/p/a-lot-of-p...

we're not authoritarians, we love free speech. but if you say things we don't like we're going to sue you and threaten to (illegally) revoke your broadcast license for it (unless you personally pay me, the president, tens of millions of dollars)

Going to write a short post for Strength In Numbers subs tomorrow about party image and policy prioritization — specifically that lots of people have misidentified the causality here and are giving bad advice because of it. Trying to increase the ROI members get from SIN. Idea is always welcome!

extremely good idea, there's a lot of great content basically already out there that could just repackage and bind together with a slick presentation.

if we are going to have online magazines for Abundance, i think a wealthy patron should fund an online magazine for electoral reform — specifically for furthering the twin causes of proportional representation and democratic revival. seems like a comparatively neglected space

wonder if people have additional thoughts on this subject

currently at a D+43 margin in the AZ-07 special election, which if it holds will be a swing of 21 points toward Democrats since Nov 2024. at 80% reporting. however the precise margin lands, it's gonna be another big Dem overperformance election-night.decisiondeskhq.com/date/2025-09...

he's right, if he's talking about his disapproval rating

How do Americans feel about recent economic news? In our new Sept. Strength In Numbers/ @verasight.bsky.social poll, Trump hits a new low for his handling of inflation, and 53% of Americans say his policies make the economy worse off: www.gelliottmorris.com/p/new-poll-v...

NEW Sept. Strength In Numbers/Verasight poll: - 52% of adults say the Dems should fight for health care funding in shutdown showdown - 34% say they'd blame Reps for a shutdown — 23% Dems, 34% "both" - Trump hits new low on inflation, "Wrong Track" new high www.gelliottmorris.com/p/new-poll-v...

some people are saying www.gelliottmorris.com/p/trumps-big...

amon ra st brown is a god

interesting that voters say democrats are prioritizing immigration the correct amount, but republicans are focusing on it to much. the perceived gap here is much higher for republicans on immigration than dems on LGBTQ/climate/abortion. I wonder what these data looked like in march pre abrego garcia

IMO it helps to compare the chart for Democrats vs Republicans. Voters say that Republicans are not prioritizing health care, affordable prices, or jobs and wages enough — these are the top 3 issues by MIP. But voters do say Dsm are prioritizing this correctly. That's why they're up big on the GB

always kind of mystified by people who say stuff like “I don’t want to vote when it feels like a choice between stubbing your toe and getting shot” as though that’s a challenging dilemma

The flattening of political conflict into "people I like" vs "everybody else" elides that the far-right option ("authoritarian nihilism") is actually materially worse for a lot of people than neoliberalism

trump is underwater on tariffs by 20 points (www.gelliottmorris.com/p/data?open=...) that means he's negative in 40 states (www.gelliottmorris.com/p/trump-is-u...) this is a good opportunity for democrats to show how they fight for working-class voters (www.gelliottmorris.com/p/democrats-...)

anti-corruption is a good play because it taps into the third quadrant of the engagement vs left-right coordinate plane www.gelliottmorris.com/p/what-do-di...

this was one of the more thought-provoking pieces i've read recently data4democracy.substack.com/p/the-democr...

Today at Good Politics/Bad Politics - riffed on my piece last week at the Conversation about how presidential pettiness feeds into authoritarianism. Hope you'll read both! goodpoliticsbadpolitics.substack.com/p/presidenti...

@gelliottmorris.com: "many people fundamentally underestimate how unpopular Trump is." Trump is currently underwater on all key issues, something our corporate elites should consider before capitulating to him.