Latest consumer sentiment data are abysmal. Well abysmal for everyone except those who own a lot of stocks (so, wealthier people) www.sca.isr.umich.edu

Corruption Watch

@jamellebouie.net @lioneltrolling.bsky.social just FYI y’all forgot about the one prior female governor of NJ, Christine Todd Whitman (as are many this week)

Be the ancestor you wish you had if you lived in 2100.

LLMs are now widely used in social science as stand-ins for humans—assuming they can produce realistic, human-like text But... can they? We don’t actually know. In our new study, we develop a Computational Turing Test. And our findings are striking: LLMs may be far less human-like than we think.🧵

Weird how Bowser and Adams are getting very different treatment ...

In May, Trump accepted a 747 jetliner from Qatar valued at $200 million. Federal prosecutors have now opened a corruption investigation into Mayor Muriel Bowser of Washington, examining a foreign trip she took with members of her staff that was paid for by Qatar. 🎁 www.nytimes.com/2025/11/06/u...

OH MY GOD www.wsmv.com/2025/11/06/p...

This is a mafia state

I had a run in with ICE snatching a man out of his car while walking my children to school this morning in NW DC I asked a neighbor to continue walking my kids to school and I turned back to document and confront the ICE agents. I am in contact with @dcmigrantmutualaid.org with the full video.

More digital phrenology

so far, grand and petit juries are the institutions with the best track record in standing up to authoritarianism

Dem senators should offer to give GOP votes to nuke the filibuster on approps and only approps

This indictment didn't cut the mustard

🚨🚨🚨 The jury has reached a verdict. Sean Dunn, aka the DC Sandwich Guy, has been found NOT GUILTY of assault.

If it's true that RealClearPolitics removed their polling average of the VA Attorney General race because it was wrong, that should really be the nail in the coffin for them. It's GOP polling propaganda that hasn't been rigorous or transparent in a long time (www.gelliottmorris.com/p/the-pollin...)

Does someone have a readout of what the actual policy announcements coming out from HHS are in this white house presser?

You don't create a policy agenda by starting with what polls well. You create a policy agenda by creating a narrative and using policies (ideally, popular ones, or at least not-unpopular ones) to evidence and underline key points of that narrative

Passaic County, NJ, precinct-level results. A huge shift toward the Democratic gubernatorial candidate, relative to 2024, in Latino-dominant precincts

Some good evidence that election night was about persuasion, not just turnout. www.nytimes.com/2025/11/06/u...

No idea how/when shutdown ends but newest @kff.org shows that Democrats still have advantage on health care issue for voters. www.kff.org/public-opini...

Notably he the word he used is "exemplary", meaning he wants it to be the example to be followed, not that it was humane or moral

It’s hard to believe but there was a cartoon about an immigrant mouse and it was seen as totally fine and not controversial and not woke because it was an aspirational and nice thing about America that people could come here and find a better life

Politics isn’t a marathon, it’s a relay race. Don’t mess up the handoff of the baton

Masked agents of the state who disappear civilians from street corners and classrooms are *never* on the right side of history. Which side of history do you want to be on? Act accordingly.

This is utterly terrifying to every parent with kids who are in or have been in daycare. Which might be the point.

1) Change vs more of the same 2) The Corruption, stupid 3) Don’t forget abortion rights

Does “constitutionally required” mean “exculpatory”? What else could it mean?

How can these two seemingly contradictory things about US politics both be true? 1. Partisanship is calcified. 2. Election outcomes are thermostatic. TURNOUT. It’s not the same people who vote every time. Mobilizing, organizing, educating, party infrastructure—it all matters.

Ouch

By this time next week, the estimated deaths due to the illegal destruction of USAID and the shuttering of its aid efforts will breach 400,000. More than 260,000 will be children. Source: www.bu.edu/sph/news/art...

People are saying

I’ll keep pushing this line of analysis because I’m increasingly convinced the clearest path out of this mess is for Dems to adopt a relentless anti-corruption, anti-inequality, anti-oligarchy, pro-democracy platform. The Dem leadership hasn’t realized it yet, but they’re now a reform party.

News: Ward 4 Councilmember Janeese Lewis George has started telling people she’s running for mayor, per several sources, confirming months of speculation about her political future. She’d be the first major candidate to declare for 2026. Now the question: what will Bowser do?

Life in DC in 2025: figuring out which parent is going to do bedtime and which parent is gonna hold up signs two blocks up from a checkpoint so more of your neighbors don’t get kidnapped

That word that both of these men have been released. Just had their lives, turned upside down, one for days, because of pure ugly racism.

Land doesn't vote, people do. So stop saying how a county voted.

I love you all, but please stop comparing vote percentage numbers for counties in NJ between 24 and 25. The difference wasn’t how people voted, it was who voted (or stayed home in 24), and you’re misleading yourself with these analyses.

Any word about Senate?

Oh, you thought Hispanic voters have turned on Trump in precipitous fashion? Let me introduce you to Black people.

A new "Taco Trucks on Every Corner" just dropped.

Finally seeing the Mamdani victory speech, and him quoting Mario Cuomo, not by name but as “a great New Yorker”, is really *chef’s kiss*

But we'll get a Gorsuch concurrence

Old people get lost easily.

Californians: does Prop 50 adopt the new map, or is there another step before the new map needs to be adopted?

Imagine having a kid in this daycare who watches as their teacher is bodily dragged away by masked goons.

I had an idea this morning on the treadmill that it would because the Deciding to Win folks didn't ask an issue importance question, it would be interesting to at least plot the share favoring an policy against the share saying they don't know, which from @mattgraham.bsky.social's work ...

if I were a Republican drawing new congressional districts last night's results would make me think twice about spreading my voters out across as many Trump +5ish districts as possible

The Shutdown Showdown Endgame

Good post