Now an even easier resource to point to than the papers. Names are compound treatments, so choose wisely.

Running an experiment to study racial discrimination? Going to use names to signal race? Here's a new tool! This helps you to choose the names you want to use based on: 1.) the strength of the racial signal you want to send 2.) whether you want to hold other factors (e.g., class) constant

Another one from the same literature! What a mess.

The event study results from a widely cited PS article... (They only report static diff-in-diffs)

Each ICE operation generates roughly $196,000 in monthly losses for nearby businesses and communities. (That's 11x the government's administrative cost of a deportation.) Why? ICE activity decreases foot traffic in those public areas.

More and more, I'm convinced that many self-described free speech advocates are really advocates of free speech for themselves.

I was thinking this morning about how AI is pretty good at starting research projects, but not very good (at least for now) at finishing them. As a result, it’s become much easier for scholars to accumulate an unmanageable backlog of half-baked, AI-assisted projects... 1/n

You may think I’m being pedantic. You may believe there aren’t enough conservatives in academia. Your personal experience may be consistent with that conclusion. But we can’t build knowledge on beliefs and n=1 anecdotes.

Irony is dead. Widely circulated report that slams the humanities for a lack of rigor is ... not itself rigorous. Humanities certainly have lots of issues, but we can do better than this.

Only 9.9% of top Sociology articles from 2019-2024 provided replication packages. And ≈ half of those with replication packages could not be verified due to missing or incomplete materials. www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10...

📝Why do Americans avoid cross-partisan dating? New paper w/ Shannon Taflinger in ESR We test 3 mechanisms: •perceived similarity in values & lifestyle •character judgments •fear of social disapproval ➡️All matter, similarity leads And: Dem women penalize out-partisans most doi.org/10.1093/esr/...

New website; who dis? johnholbein.org?v=1

Wemby is a verb.

Which methods savvy person wants to work on this short note with me?

73% of faculty are not in this sample.

Running my first MRP models. Please pray.

I don't know about you, but I am deeply skeptical of any AI detection company that non-transparently claims a 1 in 10,000 false positive rate.

legend has it no tex user really knows what htbp means and no one ever will

Progress. Kudos to the APSR.

"Growth mindset" may just be the most widely adopted scam finding from psychology. www.nber.org/papers/w35230

After childbirth, mothers take off 7 weeks on average, while fathers take off 3 days.

Grant: funded!

If you’re worried about how academics behave when they cite each other, just wait until you see how they behave when they engage in anonymous peer reviews ...

Google Scholar has reached new levels of untrustworthiness

There's an idea in some areas of the academy that a scholar can't publish a lot and still have big ideas. It's weird.

running a model with a triple interaction and I don't feel the least bit guilty

when reviewers demand endless robustness checks you get papers like this

Academics providing career advice to grad students/prospective grad students has always felt weird to me. Select on the DV much?

This is fine. "When effortless understanding becomes the default, human relationships may start feeling like insufficient versions of what AI readily provides."

Conservatives experienced worsening health & higher mortality than liberals in the 2010s Why? "Declining trust in [doctors] among right-leaning individuals, including lower willingness to seek care, follow clinical advice or believe in medication effectiveness, even for issues unrelated to COVID"

Did APSA's mentoring program for women PhDs... Improve their sense of belonging? ✅ Increase number of presentations? ❌ Lead to more internal/external grants? ❌ Increase submissions to top journals? ❌ Increase pubs? ❌ If anything, it may have decreased submissions/citations (barely not stat sig)

I suspect some of the most innovative uses of AI in academic research are being done by people who are not especially loud about AI online.

lol

My latest WP, a restructured version of the piece in the quoted thread. Helpful for thinking clearly about social media RCTs and their limits, useful for teaching about spillover in causal inference SocArxiv: osf.io/preprints/so... Dropbox: www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/zj43w... (1/5)

What if the US News ranked political science schools only on # of recent Top 3's? Top 10: 1. UC-Berkeley 2. Rochester 3. Stanford 4. Yale 5. Columbia 6. WashU 7. Penn 8. Harvard 9. UChicago 10. Princeton Big risers: Rochester, Penn, Temple, FSU, GWU, UVA Big fallers: Princeton, Michigan, MIT

Data centers increase employment rates in surrounding communities. They also place upward pressure on home and electricity prices.

Who has the most APSR's in the modern era? (i.e. 1980-2026)

Grad student: "I want to have the most APSR's of all time!" Ahem; Frederic Austin Ogg and his 169 APSRs would like a word.

You asked; I delivered. "What about the correlation between top 3 political science pubs and department rank?" At the scholar level, r=0.19 At the school level, r=0.55 "Why the discrepancy?" There's a lot of variation at the scholar level within schools.

If you had to guess: what’s the correlation between the number of publications a political scientist has in the APSR--the flagship journal--& the ranking of their home institution? You’d probably assume it was pretty strong, right? If so, you'd be wrong. It’s r = 0.07.

I am very fortunate to be part of this cool project with John Holbein and Hans Hassell.

APSR acceptance! Woot!

White liberals' response to George Floyd's murder was largely to increase symbolic support. White liberals' exhibited little change in substantive/material policy commitments.

"Do ICE Arrests Spark Political Action?" Feedback welcome! osf.io/preprints/so...

ICE is everywhere. In 2022, ICE made arrests in 30% of counties. In 2025, ICE made arrests in 62% of counties. We ask: Do ICE arrests spark political action? Theory and prior evidence suggest it should. We find that ICE activity mostly does not mobilize citizens.

drops tomorrow!

AI-powered mental health apps are all the rage. But do they work? This new experiment on women in Mexico says they do!

"The legalization of mobile sports gambling in America was a policy mistake and that the evidence is now clear enough to say so."

"We show that, depending on how the impact of omitted variables is measured, it can be substantially easier for omitted variables to flip coefficient signs than to drive them to zero."