Guillotine leagues are the best form of fantasy football out there right now.

Death, taxes, and the Giants winning when a loss gets them the #1 pick

Feel like Long Story Short isn’t getting enough buzz. Fortunately there’s already a season 2 so I don’t need to yell at everybody to watch it but it’s fantastic and you should watch it.

The instagram teen accounts advertising promoting safety really feel like promoting light cigarettes as healthy. It’s obvious they’re just trying to get teens hooked under the guise of safety and to make parents feel okay about it.

I've been thinking about this sign for 6 months. a phrase I'll treasure forever. a metaphor with boundless potential

Every Christmas Eve there are about 10 moments of A Very Murray Christmas that I sort of forget how much I enjoy them. Miley Cyrus hitting the note on “Heavenly” is >>>>>

The top 16 links @avizenilman.bsky.social sent his wife Noreen Malone this year that she did not open, from @maxread.info maxread.substack.com/p/the-read-m...

Really need a maps app to add a feature that allows minimizing 5th percentile outcomes. Getting to the airport on time is really not about the mean!

@peark.es do you have a sense of what's responsible for the persistent gap in GDI and GDP?

This is why on some level I prefer renting and financially it’s a no brainer right now. www.nytimes.com/interactive/... But obviously when you have kids being certain about your living situation is really important.

And yes the actual level of crime matters not just media perceptions and probably good for liberalism across the country.

good thread the policy claims in that Casten thread don't stand up to scrutiny

People are mad at Schumer for this but I would like to understand what he should do that would satisfy people?

Fantastic map from @jeffasher.bsky.social showing just how broad the homicide decline in the US was this year. jasher.substack.com/p/2025-year-...

That's the most "it's not a penalty because he got a shot off" NFL call I've ever seen.

A smart propagandist would slowly change CBS News from the NYT to about the WSJ, putting the thumb on the scale slowly. This is so ham-fisted I struggle to see it working rather than just ruining the brand value of CBS News.

the vice president is a klansman

Per a Fox News poll support for bans on cell phones in school very high as is support for vaccines. Sure do wish use of national guard and bombing boats in Venezuela were more negative but I’ll take negative at all.

Remains absolutely wild to me we have a functional cure for HIV/AIDS.

legitimately love this guy.

Well that was very cool

Spurs fans who want Frank fired mid season really aren’t thinking things through imo. It’s not good or helpful. If he’s ball all year then just go hire one of the big managers doing world cup right now.

Honestly that should be a penalty for defensive simulation from Bradley

This is a new making up a guy to be mad at I haven’t seen

Had this take ready to go before today's CPI, might as well get it out there. Democrats should be ready for politics to be about jobs and not prices again. wertwhile.substack.com/p/dont-over-...

UMich doesn’t weight by past presidential vote and I find it hard to trust polling that doesn’t have aggressive partisan controls given expressive responses to pollsters. There’s a big survey methodology issue here beyond their switch to phones permanently downshifting the results.

Relatedly, subway ridership nearly hit an average of 4 million riders over a 7 day period last week, highest since March 2020.

Premiums going up are a huge deal. CPI's measurement of health insurance premiums really struggles for a variety of reasons including that they can't measure quality reliably. It's also the case that a number of people just won't buy the more expensive insurance, itself a problem but not a CPI one.

Actual dayjob posting: Our incredible clients and my partner Mara were featured in this piece by Dan Slepian on how CPS compounded the tragedy of losing their baby daughter by removing their children from their care, falsely accusing them of killing their daughter. www.nbcnews.com/video/how-sh...

Had this take ready to go before today's CPI, might as well get it out there. Democrats should be ready for politics to be about jobs and not prices again. wertwhile.substack.com/p/dont-over-...

Emerson poll on presidential matchup 2x2. Progressive Democrat 43% MAGA Republican 42% Moderate Republican 48% Progressive Democrat 36% Moderate Democrat 47% MAGA Republican 38% Moderate Republican 44% Moderate Democrat 39%

I know the public says this but I don’t really believe it. If inflation was 2% for a few years in the context of low unemployment I think they’d go back to being pretty happy

Another day, another poll showing voters hate Donald Trump on everything including on immigration and still trust Republicans more on immigration, this time from Quinnipiac. But they trust Dems more on healthcare and really hate Trump on healthcare. poll.qu.edu/poll-release...

The NBA Cup is good

Literally this was Coca Cola’s doing. Pretty incredible when you think about it.

San Francisco is on track to have the fewest murders since Gualdalcanal.

At a time when the news makes the country feel more violent than ever, and I’m not immune certainly, worth noting: NYC will have about 300 murders this year, the back to de Blasio era. Baltimore will have the fewest homicides in 60 years maybe (higher rate but still).

Historically multiple jobholders as a percentage of unemployed is pro-cyclical not countercyclical, i.e. more people typically have more than one job in good times not bad times.

A bit of algebra and you can back out the ratio of managerial wages to non-managerial wages which also tracks the relative unemployment level of bachelor's degree holders.

Some of Hochul and Mamdani's best numbers from Siena here, particularly Hochul sri.siena.edu/wp-content/u...

Going to absolutely lose my mind if people take the lesson of 2024 to be that Democrats need to nominate a straight white man and not Democrats need to do good macroeconomic policy and reduce the salience of immigration when in power and broadly espouse views the majority of people agree.

Prediction markets are a useful way to aggregate information into a current consensus. They are not absolutely correct, but they absolutely contain useful information and for subjects like this they're entirely appropriate to include as context.

The NBA needs at the very least to learn to play advantage. You shouldn’t be able to foul and gain an advantage. But also just go to the damn Elam ending.

One thing I’ve found is that when a friend sends something interesting or funny aided by AI my first reaction is to ask what the prompt was to make it because that’s the actual interesting locus of creation.

The period of despair is over.

I’M LOSING MY SHIT THIS IS SO FUNNY

Okay this is going to be long so mute it if you don't want a granular explanation but first: SHAME on @ronfilipkowski.bsky.social for misrepresenting what Chair Powell said in order to pat himself on the back. Shame on you. Let's talk about measuring the 171mm people of the US labor force.

Democrats should continue trying to kick republicans’ ass in gerrymandering before offering a draw nationally. Virginia, New York, keep it going.

Oracle down the value of the WBD bid.