The labs are like the one place in the whole industry where you’d want fact-finding/information generation, not personalities — and they bought personalities! It’s bizarre.

OpenAI buying TBPN screams Yahoo buying Broadcast dot com to me and then as I thought about it, it feels like maybe Open AI is in the midst of getting Yahoo-ed by Anthropic's Google.

So Trump is almost certainly pissed at Bondi for not doing enough crimes for him right?

Okay so I looked into this question, these are all z-scores of the three surveys since 1966, and yeah, I think the answer is that the vibecession might be a survey issue as much as anything?

On consumer sentiment, the UMich survey is readily available and goes back for a long time, but I really think a lot of the vibecession talk should be broken UMich survey talk.

I thought this @mtkonczal.bsky.social was pretty good on the issue. newsletter.mikekonczal.com/p/why-afford... In particular I find the housing tilt thing really interesting and persuasive.

It’s expanded from attacking AIPAC specifically to Zionist Dems in general. AIPAC spent millions against Dave Min but he’s red bc he has J Street donors

Just using past candidate performance and state fundamentals in a D+8 world, and Alaska, Ohio, Texas, and Iowa are all well within range at that point. Florida is legitimately in play and it would be good to find out!

Peltola Split Ticket 2024 WAR+Split Ticket Sullivan 2020 WAR+5 point Dem generic ballot nationwide=Peltola by 4. Poll lines up pretty well.

@alaskasurvey.bsky.social confirmed Real

Trying to find original source, because it's not on the Alaska Survey Research site yet, but New York political consultant Eric Koch on Twitter shared an ASR poll with Peltola up 5 and winning in round 2.

The sort of thing that screams not a bubble more than bubble. They can’t service demand.

what's wrong with Platner's politics is something that's wrong with *progressive* politics, a kind of dumb guy conspiracism version of neo-Brandeisianism people saying he's another Fetterman or Sinema are not only mistaken I think but not addressing that the call is coming from inside the house

What did people think left populism was? white papers? cute blog posts?

The big story of the Florida elections tonight was the lack of turnout differential. Swing was ~ all persuasion. That's in contrast to the specials of e.g. 2023 where turnout explained basically all the swings.

Democrats now heavily favored to flip Trump’s home district HD 87 in Florida. Was Trump +11 in 2024.

I (genuinely) ask this as somebody who 1) drinks and gambles in moderation, 2) thinks both should be legal and heavily regulated, and 3) thinks problem drinking and problem gambling are both real social problems: why is gambling prohibition so much more prominent a view on here/in leftlib spaces?

Yes

This account has 40,000 followers here and is taken seriously by a lot of people on the left. They are now directly arguing that Israel planned the antisemitic attack on Hatzolah ambulances in London this morning. This really fucking sucks!

Incredible they let one of the biggest NBA gamblers ever play college basketball.

If you don’t try to win a pen, well you got the shot off and didn’t go down and apparently if you do try to win a pen it’s a problem too.

On that last play for VCU why didn’t they send runners from the back court? Seems like the much better way to create a decent look

@moderation.bsky.app @safety.bsky.app you guys gotta go on a purge of antisemites here. This shit is spreading like wildfire among the seedier corners of this app. If they want to post shit like this, they should go back to X/Twitter.

if you can’t see that shouting “free Palestine” at a random Jewish person is antisemitic, your brain is cooked. clock out, you’re done. the world has passed you by.

Ratings agencies are so funny. Democrats are favored to win OH Gov on betting markets and it's been a coin toss forever and they're just now moving it to leans R.

Everyone who is like "criticizing Israel is not antisemitic" is correct but also the man said that Jews are inbred, which is psychotic racism.

2.5 months of data in the books and per @jeffasher.bsky.social shooting rates just keep falling across the country (New York had a particularly precipitous decline last year so flat this year isn't terrible but hope it continues decline soon) www.ahdatalytics.com/shooting-tra...

Absolutely heartbreaking to see a classroom that looks almost identical to my daughters' covered in shrapnel, breakfast plates abandoned.

broke: bluesky needs more political diversity woke: bluesky needs more topical diversity, more fun and more sports bespoke: bluesky literally just needs more diversity

if you've been even remotely trying to follow news and analysis about the war in Iran this is tremendously obvious, there's simply nothing like the global breadth of users here, and that also filters up to area specialists using the other site more

About half of the vote reporting in the Pennsylvania #HD79 (Trump+32) special election: Andrea Verobish- 52.8% Caleb McCoy- 47.2% Looking like a BIG Democratic overperformance out of Altoona!

Biggest news right now is that a Democrat is incredibly close to flipping a State House seat in Altoona, shoutout to the Altoona Curve www.blairco.org/getmedia/00f...

Market moved decisively Stratton

PACER requiring 2FA *on every log in* is patently absurd

well that went way deeper than I was expecting

Let’s not celebrate Joe Kent thanks.

This is a compliment in politics. In fact it was the argument Cuomo used for why he should be in power.

Imagine if this was on top of what we were getting from Indian Point.

oof, rare Hell Gate whiff

hey this fucking sucks and adds insult to injury for former USAID workers katforillinois.com/issues/human...

lol this bit at the end with Conan as Lockjaw is so dark and funny

Wait lmao zendaya was trading at 41% to be at the oscars at all 10 minutes ago and she just presented. who says markets are efficient?

Love a speech with an aunt/uncle shout out.

This is the best in memoriam the Oscars has ever done right? Including the slightly deranged Streissand

Don't let anybody tell you your vote doesn't matter!

Amy Madigan gave us “at least he’s not a book burner you Nazi cow.” Honestly that character would definitely be a Bluesky poster now.

Let Conan do it for as long as he can and wants to

Getting ready @nathanaclark.bsky.social

The SAVE Act is a horrible antidemocratic piece of legislation that if it passed this year would almost certainly be a massive boon to Democrats. Passport holders, unmarried women and/or women who did not change their names when they got married are all Dem groups.