Washington Post Ipsos poll the other day that had Trump 17 points under water still shows GOP with huge trust advantage on crime and immigration and a small one on gun control and Dems with a big advantage on healthcare and women's rights.

This seems wrong to me because there was a ton of infrastructure buildout in the dotcom boom. The difference seems to me that personal wealth is even more tied up in financial assets and they may be supporting a lot more consumption than in the past.

@sethwalder.bsky.social have you ever thought about creating an ELO based metric like this for PBWR/PRWR? www.hudl.com/blog/introdu...

The way you would do this is actually where for every house you build in adjacent property, your opponents’ rents go down. Landlords competing with each other is the goal.

Abortion, was a very stupid issue to make the very banal and correct point that Democrats should widen the tent to include candidates that don’t agree with the party line on various issues. But the fact that these candidates lost is horrible evidence and people are being deliberately obtuse.

Dutch late night TV has its take

The biggest moment of censorship I remember was actually Dick Ebersol firing Norm Macdonald for being too mean to OJ and then Norm going on Letterman and Dave yelling at him to not be a quisling which is also how I learned what the word meant. www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ki6z...

Really can’t believe Bill said Americans need to protest like the students at Beverly Hills High School did for Donna Martin.

One of the strangest things about this whole (extremely fascist) moment is the Republican focus on legacy media at the same time as its relevance and power is waning.

Reminder: before you go full-on defeatist about the rule of law, keep in mind it remains often effective on a micro-level. It’s on the macro- that the FedSoc types have killed it. Hard work and good lawyering can make a difference for regular people — though not always, and not all of them.

Nice of Miran to show his hackishness immediately.

New York City subway average 3.83 million riders from September 8 to September 14, it's highest number since March 2020. People just keep coming back over time.

Pretty good Section 1983 lawsuit at least.

this is, hands down, the best video I've seen on men's influencer content and it's not close either

One of the first things democrats back in office need to do is pass Federal 1983 including maybe figuring out how to exempt certain acts from indemnification. Lisa Cook should be able to sue some of these fucks into oblivion.

Good piece here. When the base is mad at its party that leads to low faves for the party but doesn't mean necessarily bad outcomes.

One of the major problems of our age is that Ezra Klein ascribes to Charlie Kirk a shared commitment to a free exchange of ideas which Charlie Kirk manifestly and expressly did not hold.

one thing that's absolutely crazy is the time that MAGA guys tried to run Biden's campaign bus off the road and the cops just let them and nothing happened www.ap.org/news-highlig...

This man fomented an insurrection, then bestowed pardons and military honors on its perpetrators. Here, he praises "free speech," then attributes all political violence to his ideological foes and vows to crack down on their organizations. We're living in an Orwellian nightmare.

From @dataforprogress.org this remains Democrats most pressing issue I think. Voters, particularly persuadable voters, still don't trust Democrats on inflation and while I think Zohran has had good messaging on affordability, I think national Dems have to have other solutions.

Great piece from Nate Cohn on their experiment around issue polling. Respondents' views change a lot when asked about support/oppose vs should do/should not do. www.nytimes.com/2025/09/10/u...

It’s something more than this. Covid was a time when, among other things, the ability to communicate with a mass audience about complicated math became extremely high stakes, extremely quickly. Health experts were absolutely dismissive of the idea that there could be experts in that specific field.

This also means people should update their view of sentiment regarding Biden economy being all media effects.

In a head to head against Cuomo, Zohran would win by 4 despite losing White and Black voters. I cannot imagine a statement like that has ever been true about a New York City general election! (Zohran is row one, Cuomo row 2).

I can

Is Trump undergoing a reverse Fetterman?

Daniel Levy was great until he wasn't. But the game has moved beyond his style of management. It was time. www.thetransferflow.com/p/daniel-lev...

Daniel Levy was a great chairman of Tottenham Hotspur

One of the central tensions w Abundance is who is defined as being in the “extraction machine.” A bunch of ppl are trying to include their preexisting enemies (unions, the state itself, etc) and exclude their friends (landlords, other rent seeking biz, etc) and we shouldn’t let them do either imo

again remembering all the criticisms of "woke capitalism" and the hypocritical excesses of hollow corporate diversity and wondering if we were all on the same page about what would replace them when they were gone

One thing that's been pretty consistent in the polling is that COVID vaccines really are treated differently in the general public's mind from MMR/hep B/polio and we should probably keep that in mind, especially because COVID boosters are apparently showing pretty weak efficacy.

Janet Mills and Maine Dems really need to get working on a plan to split congressional districts better. Maine should have two Dem leaning seats instead of the current set up.

It's a great question. He does remain extremely young and I do wonder if Frank just doesn't think he's there tactically and they're working on it. That's my fan fic anyway.

Kevin Kline call your office.

The NBA has an explicit rule on this

Not one for commenting on individual ref calls, but I think that Muniz/Chalobah is indicative of a trend for blaming the "stamping" player on the basis of... gravity? In my opinion, Chalo impedes Muniz' turn without making contact on the ball, a trip. The foul is the other way.

None of the betting markets have explicit will Trump end his term markets but broadly they are pricing in some more "Trump is incapacitated" risk

Won’t believe Xavi Simons to Tottenham is real until he’s pulled his hamstring 30 minutes into the Chelsea match.

Tottenham’s window has been a disaster, but we got Thomas Frank and we’re not United or West Ham so there’s that.

“Pain at the ‘plug’.” That’s a new one. ⚡️ @bloomberg.com @bobburgess.bsky.social www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

Yeah see this is why apologism for the Iranian regime is bad

That this is happening in the context of tariffs is particularly striking. Normally tariffs would strengthen domestic currency (by reducing demand for foreign currency)

I just don’t get how housing is going to come back if Trump is fixated on ruining Fed independence.

This is right. I think for exactly the Bernie reasons it’ll be a pretty popular move but the rule of law issues are much bigger in the grand scheme.

Baby’s first collective action problem

Betting markets currently give it an 87% chance of passing

I like that Zohran likes fun. What a concept.

I am not opposed to the government doing deals like this when they hand a bunch of free money to a company like Moderna or AIG or Boeing or whatever, but you can’t just find random companies with federal contracts and shake them down for stock after the fact!

This is good. I’m excited for Waymo in NYC.