If you work at the New York Post you are an enemy of the people.

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Oh my god that dunk

NBC could you just use the normal angle my god

15 feet of combined human on that play

Seeing lots of theories about why the crime decline is continuing (phones, lead, both of which I think matter) and nobody saying the most obvious one: the opioid epidemic has peaked and was driving a lot of violence.

Trump does a thousand impeachable things a week and the GOP has made clear they won't impeach for so many things, but the Proud Boy Slush Fund seems like a good one because it's so 1) egregious and 2) straightforward.

Two questions I’m curious about: how does the GOP react to getting shellacked in the midterms with Trump being a lame duck and a nominating contest begging in earnest for first time in 11 years? What is the GOP ability to turn out inconsistent voters in POTUS years without Trump’s celebrity?

The magic number is one.

This is a misreading of the article. The point is that *if* there was nonpartisan redistricting *then* the VRA would be unnecessary to create majority-minority districts because geographic distribution by party and urban population concentration does the work. Of course VRA is needed now, in hell.

The FDR court packing plan is actually how I think this works in practice. Namely, you don't even have to do the packing necessarily, you need to remind them that there is popular will that can override them.

In Georgia, among white voters 18-44, Democrats 2k vote advantage so far.

I keep going back to the fact that Kamala Harris won verified 2022 midterm voters in 2024 by 2 per Nate Cohn. That electorate was a conservative electorate and had gone R +2.7 in the house nationally. Their coalition is utterly dependent on every 4 years voters.

Tavern has NY-12 in a near dead heat at the top. Pretty funny race tbh. www.tavernresearch.com/research-and...

Apparently Midwest republicans are very stupid.

It does indeed continue. Just need North Carolina to continue to be back in the train.

This seems like a great idea for something everyone in the Democratic Party could embrace and run on. Maybe paired with a universal medicare 4 kids program. www.nbcnews.com/politics/pol...

I really feel like Dem members of Congress should move to intervene to prevent the settlement before it gets approved? At the very least delay things until they're in the majority. There's absolutely no exigency to the resolution.

Nate Silver has the generic ballot margin up to 6.3 points in favor of Dems.

Judge should toss this before settlement is finalized. No case or controversy.

The Austin Ahlman campaign is a vanity project. For Dan Osborn there was a coordinated effort to get the Dem out of the race so he could run as an independent and succeed. Great! Here Alman waits until after the primary is finished to announce an independent run?

you've got to respect this. jim crow's on its way back and black democrats have decided to trust their colleagues enough that they're going to fucking take one for the team once again. we gotta make it worth it.

It’s time to stop lumping Hakeem and Schumer together. This fight on redistricting is the singular fight of the next 4 years in a lot of ways and Hakeem is seemingly up for the knife fight.

Let’s goooo

Weird that Matt Stoller, the same guy who called Barack Obama "demographically useful" in 2004, has a real hangup about Jamelle Bouie for some reason.

V good @michaelcaley.bsky.social / @themlg.bsky.social on the meatwall and the discourse after last Sunday's VAR situation.

New Michigan general election poll has Rogers ahead of every Dem candidate but it's a pretty classic competitive primary effect (not to mentions it weights to 2024 electorate). There are just a lot more Dem undecideds bc of competitive primary. www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2026/MI...

Need some baselines for comparison but definitely an :eyes: moment

Using data from @ryana.bsky.social the Democratic two-way share of Georgia votes this year compared to 2022 so far is higher among all groups (and this is two party share not margin so the swings are doubled for margin) but the youth numbers are blowout stuff.

This is not me complaining, to be clear. If all we get out of the next eight years is faster buses (bus lane expansion and enforcement), some meaningful expansion of childcare, and an Anne Hidalgo level commitment to progressive street use, Zohran will have been a smashingly successful mayor.

This is why Geoff Duncan was always a nonstarter for the vast majority of Democrats in Georgia. He was fine with this kind of Republican apparently.

Takeaway from this LA Mayor poll is that Nithya Raman is in this and it would be very good if she could make top two emersoncollegepolling.com/california-2...

Don’t even think El-Sayed should be the nominee tbh (polls worse against Rogers, QED for me more or less) but the doctor hit is comical.

One thought I had this morning: is Batson dead dead for the same reason that the VRA is functionally dead? "I got rid of him because I thought he was a Democrat and Democrats are soft on crime" is a mutable characteristic.

My friends at Tavern Research have Osborn up 5 in Nebraska www.tavernresearch.com/research-and...

Murder rate in NYC, Philly, Baltimore, and DC January to April 2026 has never been lower on record (using data from the essential @jeffasher.bsky.social).

one extremely funny thing is that 2/3 of these people are right-wing ethnonationalists who are broadly imagined to be left-wing because of the country they are right-wing nationalists for (Palestine, Palestine, Palestine, Iran.)

The point, which I think is correct, is that voters see Democratic focus on climate change as to the exclusion of caring about affordability, i.e. that Dems would rather raise the cost of carbon-based energy for climate purposes than bring them down.

Oh this is very good.

The comparison of the Ohio and Virginia cases are stupid? The Ohio Supreme Court sent the case back to the legislature where they ignored the ruling. If the Court had just said the map is illegal and you have to use this this one, then I think it would have gone differently.

I have inhaled all of this show in the last three days and it is OUTSTANDING. Just deeply, earnestly silly at every turn.

There are apparently sitting house members mad at Hakeem Jeffries for working to redistrict Virginia now. Dem electeds really need to understand how existential redistricting fights are over next two years. Perm Long term minority status otherwise.

This fuck is going to lose by so much. At the very least once he’s replaced democrats should just bring a new case seeking to reinstate the maps with an election and see if they can get the opposite ruling en.wikipedia.org/wiki/D._Arth...

Yes this is good too.

Yes. I’d go all in on this. Honestly I think if we win the house or senate I’d shut down the government in 2027 until there’s a ban on partisan gerrymandering attached to a funding bill.

Okay Maine Dems, where you at?

Elon built as these data centers for Grok but nobody uses it so this makes a lot of sense unfortunately.

Thought this was a good Nate Silver piece about redistricting and Black representation. Basically if you create more D+10 districts that are ~30% there's no tradeoff between more Dems and more Black reps. www.natesilver.net/p/want-more-...

TX Senate hard to argue with, gives us a lot of knowledge about Hispanic voter trends. I'll say OH Gov: how much can a Democrat overperform in a pretty red state in a wave year? And I'll say NY-17: how much do suburban/exurban whites trend towards Dems and how much can "mod" GOPers escape the brand?

In 2022, 16% of white voters voted in the Democratic primary as of this point. In 2026, it's 26%.