Doom

As mayor of San Francisco he was dating a teenager (and this is after he got divorced).

Additionally this is the governor’s fault*** ***Cuomo, for shutting down Indian Point

Approving the pipeline is good and the alternative to building it is we just bring in liquified natural gas and/or accept a strong possibility that people's power and heat go out in the winter. The husband works at Davis Polk not they have like 10,000 clients come on.

The damage done by treating Trump's victory as some sweeping mandate in the first eight months of his term really was massive, but ending that collective delusion - i think with the help of last week's elections - really is having profound impacts.

Poll has Roy Cooper winning North Carolina by 9+. www.carolinajournal.com/polls/novemb... Weirdly moved the market today but I really feel like they're still selling dollars for 71 cents on Kalshi.

I’m so grateful for this graphic. Cackling. Also the mere existence of it made me feel like 2017 is on its way back.

He might but I still think if the economy is bad in 2027 and democrats pick one of the 1000 impeachable offenses to impeach on, Vance looks a lot more appealing to the GOP and it’s not like he’s incapable of shapeshifting to a more moderate guy

Paul G-P with the public goods provision

Threatening people with personality disorders is usually not persuasive

Going to have to keep discoursing if he's going to still be the favorite in the primary! kalshi.com/markets/kxse...

The level of audience capture posting I’ve noticed recently is reaching epidemic levels. Fortunately couldn’t be me, my worst cognitive bias is overly negatively polarizing against perceived groupthink.

Weird how at some point the ACA subsidies went from meaningless technocrat babble that it was obviously incredibly stupid for Democrats to try protecting to being incredibly important for helping people avoid suffering. And Democrats managed to get it wrong both times!! What were the odds?

Just incredible stuff from a general partner at Andreessen Horowitz.

An engineer wanted to make a quiet high-speed train. “The question then occurred to me — is there some living thing that manages sudden changes in air resistance as a part of daily life?” The answer: the kingfisher. See my story today for more tales of bioinspiration. Gift link: nyti.ms/4otNQyl

My just so story for Spurs this season: Frank saw how bad it looked when they gave up the ball last year under Ange that he's spent 4 months beating movement out of the players so Spurs have structure when they lose the ball. But it's led to the opposite problem. Nobody moves!

Trump really seems to have caught conservative granny killer brainworms this term.

Wasn’t this basically consensus opinion here before the shutdown? That Democrats demanding ACA extension to keep government open were just handing Trump a win if he said yes?

The negativity bias of the media is the reason that Americans think the economy is awful and have a low approval of Trump on the economy even though inflation and unemployment are historically low and the stock market is booming, right?

This is exactly how I feel. And frankly when Trump started talking about the filibuster the Schatz types could have started working on it. Another option was the Lankford getting rid of shutdowns idea I think.

Yes if you want to doom this is the reason to me more than the cave. We should have been begging them to kill the filibuster and had a bunch of Dems willing to say if they want to kill your healthcare with 50 votes it’s their prerogative.

I do not assume this and don’t think that’s how this works

Two things I'll say (while reiterating what I said all the way up top that I don't like Schumer and don't think he should be majority leader): 1) we do not have the same Senate that LBJ operated in and should quit thinking that way 2) given this gang was going to defect, Schumer had no way to win.

This is horrible. This is also what prisons in New York State are like.

Yes it’s totally implausible that facing a primary influenced whether a guy would keep running and we should 100% take his word on it that he just wanted to spend more time with his family.

He’s been helped by just how awful republicans are, but turning a shutdown which really is typically unpopular to the senate party withhold votes for cloture, into a fight on our best issues has been very impressive work from Schumer.

Going to choose violence on Bluesky today I guess but Kathy Hochul continues her winning streak by approving the natural gas pipeline in New York, it's good on the merits *for bringing down emissions* and it's good for affordability and politics. gothamist.com/news/gov-hoc...

1) Yes Young and/or non-white voters were and are the swingiest voters right now and largely based on the economy no disagreement there. 2) I really don't think the relevant comparison is 2024 in terms of persistence but say 2017 or 2021 both because of margin and electorate type. (1/x)

Via Will Jordan on Twitter, Navigator polling showing Trump negatives being driven by East Wing

Fun question, in 5 years which country will have higher emissions per capita?

(in case you want to play around with any NYC elections data: docs.google.com/spreadsheets...)

I think Democrats should vote for a bill that did this.

Nobody wants to cut spending, nobody wants to raise taxes beyond the wealthiest, and nobody wants high interest rates. So uhhh we're left with the other thing.

This is a really excellent piece from Jeff who is essential reading on crime.

guys I’m sorry but have you looked through Getty images for yesterday 💀

Congratulations to Paul LePage!

Mostly just think it was this. People loved the 2019 economy and even in 2020 Trump had a huge advantage over Biden on the economy in exit polling. Hard to convince people he wasn't going to do what he's doing economically. wertwhile.substack.com/p/trump-45-w...

Have we not learned that day after the election posts like this are usually wrong. Exit polls are bad, rapidly calculating vote by demographic is hard to impossible, please chill out

One thing I cannot get over in particular is that there's no sense of proportion. NYC literally had a program where the NYPD was spying on Muslims!

Gonna need to start handing out some turkeys in a few weeks

Base strategies are good at turning out your base. Just one small problem.

Mamdani's model only works in a few places now, the most effective way for him to spread his ideas is to be a good mayor.

great @robinsonmeyer.bsky.social piece on zohran: how the "proud ecosocialist" who said we needed to fight trump with renewables clammed up about climate change on the campaign trail heatmap.news/politics/zoh...

Anyone got a Mikie Sherrill apology form on hand?

It’s so funny that every New York politician now goes to Puerto Rico for a retreat tomorrow.

Looking at all available precincts in Hudson County, Sherrill support is higher in the most-densely Hispanic turf & tracks closely with '21. Turnout is *higher* than '21 across the county-- and even more so in the most Hispanic precincts.

Story of the night is VA leg dominance no?

Live shot of Andrew, Melissa, and Rich fleeing to the Hamptons.

Bye Melissa

Jones 93% on Kalshi