I love this lede from NYT's Victor Mather on the death of the penny

🧵 Deep dive on voters Mamdani added to Democratic coalition — specifically those who didn't vote for Kamala Harris in '24 They are younger, more ethnically diverse, and less affluent than consistent voters, and they voted for somewhat distinct reasons Analysis: www.cbsnews.com/news/cbs-new... 1/

Never thought I would live to see the day the Metropolitan Branch Trail stretch from Fort Totten to Takoma along Blair Road NW opened, but here we are!

New job alert! Today I started as the new managing editor of @votebeat.org, a nonprofit news site that covers election administration and voting rights issues.

Going to be writing some things for MSNBC/NOW. Here’s a look at how Trump says great things are going to happen when they aren’t because he wants you not to be mad about the bad things that actually *are* happening. www.msnbc.com/opinion/msnb...

TOPEKA, Kan. (AP) — A rural Kansas county has agreed to pay a little more than $3 million and apologize over a law enforcement raid on a small-town weekly newspaperin August 2023 that sparked an outcry over press freedom, the paper’s editor said Tuesday. apnews.com/article/kans...

“Climate change has fallen into the ‘friend zone’ of voting.” @shannonosaka.bsky.social @kcrowebasspro.bsky.social report that Democrats are hardly talking about climate change anymore, focused on energy affordability instead:

Two-thirds of Democrats say their own party makes them feel frustrated. By far the most commonly cited reason is that the party is not pushing back hard enough against Trump. www.pewresearch.org/politics/202...

Prediction markets: Not very predictive! www.howtoreadthisch.art/red-versus-b...

Very proud of this one from @gedge1.bsky.social: The complete story, and the legacy, of "Take on Me" -- and the unfinished tale of A-ha. www.washingtonpost.com/entertainmen...

U Michigan consumer sentiment fell to 50.3 in preliminary November data. That is just 0.3 higher than the low point of the Biden administration, 50.0, in June 2022 at the peak of the inflation surge. Down 29.9% year-over-year. www.sca.isr.umich.edu

This is the woman who made a joking video about SNAP, then was featured in a Fox News story that didn't mention it was a joke, then went viral, then was labeled AI. I found her original post and she shared this in response

I wrote about 2025 poll accuracy for The Post's Early Brief newsletter, with context from 2016-2024 from the @aapor.bsky.social report released last week www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...

quite a chart from WashPost www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...

After GOP losses, Trump urges Republicans to end shutdown by terminating the filibuster, via Cleve Wootson www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...

One of the high points of my early years at The Post, as a kid who grew up in New York in the 1980s, was having a byline on Mario Cuomo's obituary. The extent to which that surname was tarnished prior to the past few months and absolutely dragged into the gutter in the past few weeks is staggering.

There's a popular song about war, what it's good for. That is how Americans view tariffs (I'll leave now) www.washingtonpost.com/business/202...

As costs rise again, most Americans fault Trump, Post-ABC-Ipsos poll finds. Story by @abha-b.bsky.social @abtran.bsky.social www.washingtonpost.com/business/202...

Details here on how exit polling/poll of election voters! For the in-the-weeds details on methodology, see: ssrs.com/wp-content/u...

By 63%-21%, Americans oppose the Justice Dept. paying Trump $230 million as compensation for federal investigations into his conduct, as he requested in 2023/204. Among Republicans, 48% support/31% oppose/21% are not sure www.washingtonpost.com/national-sec...

A majority of Americans believe President Donald Trump is not committed to protecting freedom of speech, ensuring a fair criminal justice system or preserving free and fair elections, according to a Washington Post-ABC News-Ipsos poll. New with Mark Berman www.washingtonpost.com/national-sec...

Most Americans think Trump has gone too far in asserting executive power. Numbers for Guard deployment are some of the worst for Trump. Via @sfcpoll.bsky.social and the Post www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...

How are voters' split on midterms despite broad Trump disapproval? Those disapprovers are not united behind Democrats, particularly soft Trump disapprovers www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...

"While 63 percent of Americans see Trump as out of touch and 61 percent see Republicans that way, 68 percent say the Democrats are out of touch. There has been no improvement for Democrats since a similar poll last April." From our new Post-ABC-Ipsos poll www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...

Voters are divided on the midterms despite broad Trump disapproval, Post-ABC-Ipsos poll finds. Most Americans disapprove of Trump's handling of top issues, and a majority say he has gone too far in exercising his powers, new with Dan Balz & @abtran.bsky.social www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...

Midnight poll release! www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...

You can read about the latest election polling anywhere but if you want to read about it in a caveat sandwich of the importance of non-horserace questions and the findings of the latest polling postmortem report, you can do that here: www.cnn.com/2025/10/31/p...

👀

1. A comms guy threatening reporters by siccing the White House on them. 2. The wife of a WH official threatening a pundit's citizenship. 3. A drunk ICE agent saying he'll check an arresting officer's status. These are all the same thing.

for Takes about the Democratic Party, a new source of data: www.pewresearch.org/politics/202...

NEW: Americans (still) blame Trump and GOP more than Democrats for shutdown, Post-ABC-Ipsos poll finds. But concern about the shutdown is growing, as is disapproval of Trump's management of the federal government. w/@jacobbogage.bsky.social @rbeggin.bsky.social www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...

Trump’s demolition of the East Wing + construction of his ballroom is broadly unpopular. 56% of Americans oppose the project, compared to 28% who support it, per new Post-ABC-Ipsos poll. with @abtran.bsky.social @jonathanreports.bsky.social @sfcpoll.bsky.social

Who cares about the East Wing demolition? From our new Post-ABC-Ipsos poll www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...

New Post-ABC-Ipsos poll: Americans oppose President Donald Trump’s demolition of the White House’s East Wing to make way for a 90,000-square-foot ballroom building by a 2-to-1 margin. By @ddiamond.bsky.social @abtran.bsky.social @jonathanreports.bsky.social www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...

Good thread on highlights from AAPOR's report on 2024 polling accuracy released today (a committee I was part of; sorry it took so long!). The finding polls improved from 2020 has been known for awhile, but these deeper analyses are some of the main offerings to understand 2024 performance

Pleased to share that the @aapor.bsky.social report looking at 2024 election polling is out now: aapor.org/wp-content/u...

Correction - 2025 Voter poll will include New Jersey, not New Hampshire. Sorry for the typo @dancassino.bsky.social

Big news in election-night polling: The Voter Poll by SSRS will replace the network exit poll (conducted by ABC/CBS/CNN/NBC) & the AP VoteCast/Fox News Voter Analysis poll. SSRS recently acquired Edison Research, which ran the exit poll. 2025 will include NYC, VA, NH & CA ssrs.com/news/the-vot...

Rand Paul: So far, they have alleged that these people are drug dealers. No one’s said their name, no one’s said what evidence, no one’s said whether they’re armed... At this point, I would call them extrajudicial killings @sgreports.bsky.social @danlamothe.bsky.social Amy B. Wang wapo.st/4nm2syk

On extending a $40b bailout package to Argentina, President Trump conditioned further support on voters supporting Milei’s party in the midterms. On Sunday, they delivered Sammy Westfall and Frances Vinal report www.washingtonpost.com/world/2025/1...

If you'd like a break from the never-ending downward slide, allow me to recommend my newsletter, out in 12 hours. Tomorrow's edition looks at religion, dance and football — truly something for everyone. Sign up for free! howtoreadthisch.art

This is a good example of why I yell at people for sharing poll results as screenshots/text without linking back to the actual poll toplines. It breaks the chain of information and makes it way easier for bad actors to thrive.

Understatement is a wonderful literary tool www.washingtonpost.com/food/2025/10...

New in @surveypractice.bsky.social from the team at Morning Consult: "How to Detect AI-assisted Interviews in Online Surveys" (open access) www.surveypractice.org/article/1460...

JUST IN via @washingtonpost.com's @rbeggin.bsky.social & @theodoricmeyer.bsky.social: "Senate blocks bills to pay federal workers during #shutdown As the #GovernmentShutdown stretches into a fourth week, lawmakers are no closer to ending it." www.washingtonpost.com/business/202...

Our new poll with GMU's Schar School asked Virginia voters about Jay Jones's texts musing about shooting Republican speaker of the Virginia House of Delegates. After hearing one text 51% say Jones should drop out, including 26% of Democrats www.washingtonpost.com/dc-md-va/202...

NEW Washington Post-Schar School poll reveals how text message scandal has affected Virginia races. Story with Post greats @schneidergs.bsky.social & Erin Cox www.washingtonpost.com/dc-md-va/202... Full poll results + methods --> www.washingtonpost.com/tablet/2025/...

I do of course have a slightly deranged spreadsheet of favorite-season polling by time of year conducted

My story on the front page of @chicagotribune.com today looks at the darkening rhetoric from Trump and the administration, as well as why experts on democracy say that’s a troubling sign (gift link) www.chicagotribune.com/2025/10/19/t...

Diego Pavia threw for 160 yards and a score, and ran for 86 yards and two more touchdowns as No. 17 Vanderbilt beat 10th-ranked LSU 31-24 on Saturday to snap a 10-game skid against the Tigers. Tap the link for more. bit.ly/3WMv8FW