Humanity did that. Science did that. Publicly-funded research did that. Excellent universities did that. Diversity did that. International cooperation did that. Artemis II is a perfect example of what we can do at our best. Welcome home, Integrity crew!

So good to catch a glimpse of the absolutely massive but lately eclipsed America that’s not boat strikes, detention warehouses, civilizational threats, AI grifts, and legislative cowardice. More, please.

Ok on a serious note, it cannot be exaggerated how bad formalized Iranian control of the Strait is for the world. The entire global economy rests on an American guarantee of free commercial shipping. That guarantee is gone. We don’t know exactly what will happen but none of it will be good.

A lot of weak analysis on AI and the economy. The same basic macroeconomic dynamics still apply: 1) Beware the "lump of labor" fallacy. Increases in technological productivity can cause disruption, but do not mechanically or even usually reduce overall employment. They increase overall wealth.

I love Buffy, but Firefly is mediocre.

The answer is that students now correctly anticipate that the federal government will punish the entire campus --- cancelling federal grants, opening investigations, and deporting international students --- if even a handful of students dare to speak out on any political issue.

A lot of weak analysis on AI and the economy. The same basic macroeconomic dynamics still apply: 1) Beware the "lump of labor" fallacy. Increases in technological productivity can cause disruption, but do not mechanically or even usually reduce overall employment. They increase overall wealth.

Happy Surrender and Freedom Day! On April 9, 1865, Robert E. Lee and the Army of Northern Virginia surrendered to Ulysses S. Grant and the Army of the Potomac. home.nps.gov/apco/planyou...

*talking to teenage militant atheist self* current me: okay so there’s a big fight between the government and the catholic church teenage me: got it, so we’re obviously on the side of the government current me: I, uh, you might want to sit down for this one

UPDATE: Letters from Leo can now independently confirm that the meeting took place — and that the Vatican was so alarmed by the Pentagon’s tactics that Leo shelved plans to visit America. Some officials saw their reference to an Avignon papacy as a threat to use military force against the Holy See.

A+

"By week one, I was already tired of his anti-rich, pro-Samaritan bullshit. I wanted to take a course in Christianity, not liberalism."

The two week theory remains undefeated

We do now know the NSF is proceeding with dissolving the Social and Behavioral Sciences Division. Congress might reverse it, but it is now already underway. YOU CAN NO LONGER SUBMIT FUNDING PROPOSALS TO SBE. Program officers are being moved to different parts of the agency. Call your Congress member

Congress? An elegant weapon for a more civilized age

Clinton was much more widely popular than national Democrats when she was a Senator and Secretary of State. But it was a huge mistake to assume that her popularity would stay the same in a major national campaign. When rhetoric about her changed, she was once again perceived as a coastal liberal.

Here's another example (h/t Austin Horn): "There's a horse out there. it's an Arkansas Traveler. And that horse is bringing a lady jockey... (to) help us rebuild this party." youtu.be/6bvbNUpLntc?...

For a long time pundits/strategists thought Hillary Clinton was the key to winning rural and Southern voters after the Bush & Obama years. And the fallacy was the same one many still commit: using current polls as a measure of future popularity. t.co/BRWwHKjEfL (h/t Drew Savicki)

The president makes a public statement saying he plans to order the U.S. military to commit genocide tonight, as part of a war that has not been declared as required by our Constitution.

Q: You message has moved from 'the war is coming to an end' to 'we're gonna be bombing Iran to the stone ages.' So which is it? TRUMP: Can't tell you. I don't know

This Celtics team is so fun to root for. Easy to take for granted how likable this generation of the team is, especially in the last 3 years.

The actual headlines and preliminary article published on nytimes.com on Trump's unhinged tweet seem fine.

Youth Pastor doing his best Eminem voice: "Guess who's back. Back again. It's Jesus!"

Even external validity doesn’t get you all the way from effects of causes to causes of effects, which is the inferential move he wants to make. www.annualreviews.org/content/jour...

If I were in Trump's Cabinet, I would spend Easter calling constitutional lawyers about the 25th Amendment. This is completely, utterly unhinged. He's already killed thousands. He's going to kill thousands more.

Youth Pastor doing his best Eminem voice: "Guess who's back. Back again. It's Jesus!"

I said it back in early 2025 but Elon Musk seizing the Treasury's payment systems and the federal payroll systems from career bureaucrats was one of the most important steps in achieving Trump's coup against our Constitution and no one was paying attention

In Old and Middle English, the word “good” could mean holy or sacred. That’s where the phrases “Good Friday” and “The Good Book” come from.

In Old and Middle English, the word “good” could mean holy or sacred. That’s where the phrases “Good Friday” and “The Good Book” come from.

“Three Hundred Habeas Cases in Which the Government Has Defied Court Orders” An extraordinary database of non-compliance, from @katherinepomps.bsky.social and @benjaminwittes.lawfaremedia.org for @lawfaremedia.org. www.lawfaremedia.org/article/thre...

Hegseth firing Generals who wouldn't go along with his purge of Black and female officers www.nytimes.com/2026/04/02/u...

Officials in authoritarian regimes signal their loyalty to the leader by making obviously false claims in public (per @mcopelov.bsky.social)

Don't get me wrong: I'm relieved that this case is shaping up as either 8-1 or 7-2 against the Trump executive order. But the case is a gift to the Supreme Court. By rejecting an outlandish position, it will earn credibility as apolitical, even as the Overton window moves far to the right.

Apart from those who were naturalized, almost no American citizen has proof that they are legally a citizen beyond a birth certificate. All your other identification is built on the foundation of your birth certificate. First, if the 14th Amendment stopped being enforced, it would create chaos.

Four-byline alert: 🚨 “.. A broker for Pete Hegseth, the US defence secretary, attempted to make a big investment in major defence companies in the weeks leading up to the US-Israeli attack on Iran, according to three people familiar with the matter.” www.ft.com/content/744e...

The fate of the world might well have hung on the decision of one Soviet sub officer not to agree to launch a nuclear torpedo. www.theguardian.com/science/2017...

For anyone else who needs some hand-holding to experiment with AI coding for the kind of data work that I do, this series of posts is *incredibly* helpful.

really can't be said enough that this case was decided by the same court that decided plessy v. ferguson. if they could have found a plausible rationale to limit birthright citizenship they would have done it. but there is none! the text is as clear as constitutional language can be.

Breaking: The lump of labor fallacy is still false.

Raising retirement ages for Social Security and Medicare is bad policy and disastrous politics. Basically political poison for any party that endorses it. If Democrats were to run on it, say goodbye to any chance of expanding the map and winning Senate seats in purple and red states.

The #1 priority of anti-Trumpists should be putting the American Constitution back in effect.

For a long time pundits/strategists thought Hillary Clinton was the key to winning rural and Southern voters after the Bush & Obama years. And the fallacy was the same one many still commit: using current polls as a measure of future popularity. t.co/BRWwHKjEfL (h/t Drew Savicki)

Breaking: The lump of labor fallacy is still false.

In a great catch from @joshtpm.bsky.social, Axios reports the Trump admin is considering paying reparations: “They call it reparations. Maybe we call it return of frozen money. There’s many different ways that we can wordsmith so that it solves politically what they need to solve...”

#4, #5 and #7 are very bad ideas. #4 will throw many with physically demanding jobs into poverty in their 60s. #5 and #7 would likely lead the political system to treat Social Security and Medicare more like "welfare" programs, eroding their political support.

It's hard to imagine looking sadder on your campaign poster than John Fremont looked on his 1856 campaign poster.

On Tuesday, Reuters reported that Iran's demand in any peace talks would include "guarantees against future military action, compensation for wartime losses and formal control of the Strait of ​Hormuz." In other words, war reparations and full control of the Straight of Hormuz.