mac jones understood the assignment 🫡

A short 🧵 so everyone can learn that political violence is nothing new in America. Of the 1,331 Black officials who served during Reconstruction, 158 (10.4%) were subjected to political violence. 1/7

Just landed in MN (I’m speaking at the DFL dinner tonight) and immediately walked out into a crowd of people in Vikings jerseys. No one recognized me :p

Democrats should become the anti-corruption party. 72% of voters think a member of Congress would likely accept a bribe if offered one. 80% say donors run DC. The solution isn’t left vs right, it’s clean vs corrupt. But first, Democrats must reform themselves and reject big money.

had a ton of fun working on this poll with @today.yougov.com about the songs that everybody knows the lyrics to, the generational anthems are super neat www.numlock.com/p/numlock-su...

youth bass youtube is the best youtube (JuliaPlaysGroove)

Free dissertation idea

Don't tell me your problematic boomer fave. Tell me your problematic millennial fave.

controversy incoming: I actually like Ezra Klein

The 2025 academic econ job market is trending better than the first COVID market year but worse than the rest of 2019-present www.davidvandijcke.com/joe_tracker/

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Restricting visas doesn’t lead to hiring non-immigrants—it leads to hiring foreigners. For every H-1B visa rejection, multinationals add ~0.4–0.9 foreign employees, especially in R&D hubs like India, China, and Canada. via @florianederer.bsky.social

“52% of all autocratization episodes become U-Turns, which increases to 73% when focusing on the last 30 years. The vast majority of U-Turns (90%) lead to restored or even improved levels of democracy” V-Dem data

Ezra’s claim here runs into the challenging fact that abortion rights are more popular than Democrats in red states

Those on an H1B cannot return to the US from tomorrow (Sunday) unless paying $100K. This is an out-of-the blue presidential action. We’ll see software engineers stranded abroad. One easy to predict outcome: those on US visas will travel less… for work, for conferences etc.

With everything going on you need this Czech cover of Joni Mitchell's Big Yellow Taxi www.youtube.com/watch?v=cSNo...

My recent working paper with @robmickey.bsky.social & @dziblatt.bsky.social is about the high rates of shirking in US policing. David Rose exemplified the opposite--running toward the danger. RIP.

Stumbled upon a really nice live performance of Dennis Brown's "Save a Little Love for Me" www.youtube.com/watch?v=SnvX...

you need cold, salt and a meal at the same time

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Trump-aligned billionaires owning all the social media platforms is a really big deal

Chotiner interview with @lilymasonphd.bsky.social www.newyorker.com/news/q-and-a...

To sum up: the President is not enforcing the law about TikTok access in order to structure the timing and sale of another giant social media platform to his political allies.

In the offline world, college semesters have just started and the students are all excitedly walking around their walkable campus, recruiting for Robotics Club, figuring out their course schedules, trying to flirt with each other at Movie Night on the quad. It's the best.

“Louisiana’s Chief Election Official Confirms Lack of Widespread Noncitizen Voting” electionlawblog.org?p=152013

So many layers of messed up in this story. Don’t have much to say except this has all been insane.

Homework: Suppose Pr(meme|groyper)=1. What values can Pr(groyper|meme) take?

Just so wrong.

APSA folks: Free on Saturday, 9/13 at 10 am? Come to an Author Meets Critics panel for my new book, The Money Signal! Thanks to an amazing group of scholars: Larry Bartels, Brandice Canes-Wrone, @carnes.bsky.social, @jakemgrumbach.bsky.social, and Frances Lee. @uchicagopress.bsky.social

I know now isn't the time but hardcore econs and game theorists, most of whom are moderates, think candidate moderation has no effect because candidates are strategic actors that have already optimized their own ideological position to the districts they run in

When we use the concepts of "political violence" or "support for political violence," I've noticed that some are referring only to nonstate actors. Others also include state-directed political violence (e.g., using ICE on political enemies). Huge differences in the implications

A lot going on in the news but don't miss the latest Ron Brownstein column on how state governments are vertically and horizontally integrated into a national battle over the direction of the country www.bloomberg.com/opinion/arti...

Sure does seem to capture the vibe

wrote about the “national conservative” vision for america

I guess this has probably already gone viral somewhere but I am simply dying at this picture of a bear that looks like it hired a photographer to do a glamour shoot

You won’t catch me with fancy luggage. You also won’t catch me with outdoorsy luggage. My aesthetic has more of a jansport chic to it

bari is a very familiar figure for anyone with experience in authoritarian states; the most sophisticated and careerist variety of informer.

A+++

I found the argument that (if they remain unified) Dems would fully own the consequences of a shutdown to be weak. But I think this is the strongest argument against a shutdown: that individual Senate Democrats will defect once they see some modest fluctuation in polling

Flawless performance from every person on this

Sure seems like Big Pharma spent way way more energy, money and lobbying capital on fighting Dems on prescription drugs than doing anything about the Secretary of HHS casually, and without any real evidence, telling everyone their products kill kids and give them autism.

I’m no big city lawyer but I once went to traffic court and the judge said ignorance of the law isn’t a valid defense

almost hard to remember when the center and right were having a years-long meltdown about free speech on campus because students protested Milo Yiannopoulos speeches

Incredible parallels in this Berinsky & @gabelenz.bsky.social paper. Politicians didn't stand up to Joe McCarthy in large part because they incorrectly inferred McCarthy/ism was extremely popular. Not standing up to McCarthy was a kind of 1950s Popularism gated academic.oup.com/poq/article/...

I found the right person to run the DNC

Highest level of support since Gallup started asking this question a quarter century ago

It's incredibly weird that folks have convinced themselves that the Covid vaccines - which had an ~82^% take up rate - were unpopular.