(2016) (Portal opens) Me: mark carney, governer of the Bank of England, what are you doing Carney: America’s haunted Me: what Mark carney: (grabbing a gun and jumping back through the portal) America’s haunted

Sometimes the most radical thing you can do is educate normal people on complex subjects in ways that are engaging and digestible.

Teaching macro be like "here's this idea about how people behave, pretty crazy rite. You've never heard of it because you don't personally do it. The empirical evidence that anybody else does it is very bad. Every paper must have it or at least address it or the paper can't be published."

I refused to watch until "Whiskey Fridays with Tony Dokoupil" is reinstated.

This idea is floating around a lot, but it's not really true. It's people who half remember that substitution bias exists misunderstanding how the BLS deal with it.

Good thread, and given that today is MLK Day, I think it's appropriate to reflect on how and why disciplined nonviolence can be such a powerful weapon against heavily armed goons.

A metric shit ton of small business owners in SW Washington (myself included) have wasted precious time and bile figuring out if a scary letter is from a legit government agency or a weasel dick scammer with letterhead.

This is why they need to be on EVERY CORNER.

Donald Trump's net approval rating right now is currently worse than bush's was after Katrina www.gelliottmorris.com/p/data

It’s ironic that they’re like “if we do ethnic cleansing we’ll have a high trust neighborly society” and then Minneapolis is literally doing high trust neighborly society and they’re like nooooo

This is all crazy but I just want to once again reiterate what a tragedy expanded character limits have been to enjoying Trump posts on a purely technical level. You used to get gold like “I’ll still keep drinking that garbage” and now it’s like damn this old man won’t shut up

Very unfortunate. I wish there was some sort of Trans Pacific Partnership instead.

“High home prices are caused by immigrants” versus “high home prices are caused by greedy developers” kill me

this entire thing was designed in a lab to cause me as much psychic damage as possible

the right’s attacks on “people who know more than you” has bled into larger culture, such that you must continually question things that have concrete answers and the refuse to believe the truth that is being painfully explained right in front of your eyes.

half the userbase of this website is addicted to the dopamine hit that comes with "all is loss" bad news. they want to spiral out and resent you when you tell them something tethered to reality.

neolithic guys get pissed if you tell them their cultures are organized by the type of pots and jewelry they made. "we called ourselves the blood hunters" "we conquered villages far beyond this horizon" sorry bud you're the western linear pottery culture now

Neon Liberalism #60: Samantha and guest Will Stancil talk the murder of Renée Good and the Trump administration's larger assault on Minneapolis. Will is working with his neighborhood rapid reaction group in Minneapolis, and he recounts witnessing ICE abductions and confronting ICE agents.

US citizens’ documents are not enough. If they—you know—don’t “look” like some people think a citizen is supposed to look.

You may have heard that "social security is going to go bankrupt." Many younger people assume social security will not be there for them when they retire. In my latest paper I correct the record. SS is not going bankrupt but we'll need to revisit it soon 🧵 rooseveltinstitute.org/publications...

Claims: Claims: 1/ Initial claims really low in the week ended January 10th - 197K. Well below last year (LA fires?); a little above 2024. Should rise later this month. No sign of rising layoffs in this data.

It is hard to explain institutional collapse to voters; videos where state actors are clearly acting in abusive ways explain themselves.

Choosing ingredients randomly most of the results were like turnip+toiletpaper+soap this was the least weird one.

1,000 simulations is a weird number.

Danes are on the right course here

After 21 years, I'm going to stop the daily posting to my blog Calculated Risk. Thanks to everyone! I'm still going to write the real estate newsletter and I've started a weekly economic newsletter to replace the blog (but just once a week). economicweekly.substack.com

leftists: western prosperity depends on extraction abroad and that's BAD reactionaries: western prosperity depends on extraction abroad and that's GOOD okay but is it *true* --that is, i don't think we should concede (4) in the first place. illiberals certainly think so... but they're morons, so,

easily the most obnoxious economist on this site

One basic pattern here is that DHS officials are engaging in violence simply because they are irritated at citizens protesting them. There is no plausible threat of violence here. He just wants to inflict pain, and believes there will be no penalty for doing so.

this isn't true? there is still a Department of Education? it still has a secretary and everything?

Tangential, but "Keystone Kop" has to be one of the few memes from like 1912 that still has purchase.

what is the point of having threads on this website when no one reads past the first post?

BERNANKE/YELLEN/GREENSPAN JOINT STATEMENT: “.. this is how monetary policy is made in emerging markets ..” (via @apnews.com)

I have one of these and they rule

"I must study Posting so that my sons may have liberty to study painting, poetry, music"

NEW from me: Job growth has been functionally zero over the last five months, as the US sinks from a “low hire, low fire” labor market to a “no hire” one. That slowdown is hitting young & low income workers the hardest 🧵 www.apricitas.io/p/the-no-hir...

This got lost in a comment, so going to put it back up here, because I think its super interesting. There was this Axios article that got some discourse play last year based on a survey where people were asked how much you have to earn to be financially successful. Gen Z says they need 587k

in 1939 the fascists of the world threw down a single massive bet: that the free people of the world were as weak as they imagined us to be. that we were nations of shopkeepers, who would fold at one touch of the armored gauntlet from truly hard, deadly, motivated, manly men. pic unrelated.

america: fuck yeah.

<Blade Runner is the Alien Universe> "Wow, I've spent so much time hunting robots that I've never considered whether I am a robot myself." <cuts finger, red blood comes out instead of milk> "I guess not."

🇺🇸 MINNEAPOLIS VETERAN: "They are terrorizing the population, in Afghanistan we never wore masks.” (From @statuscoupnews.bsky.social )

genuinely insane to create a trade policy so bad it pushes inflation to become a bigger issue than in 2023 lol

Not encouraged that California's Employment Development Department customer service phone bot does not recognize my social security number and won't let me talk to a person.

Folks, 2025 was not the 2nd worst year for layoffs since the Great Recession. You should intensely distrust any source that makes that assertion

Relatable.

TPL is hiring! We’re looking for a Research Associate with 2–5 years of full-time experience to design and run applied research with government partners. Excited about field experiments, surveys, and data-driven policy? Apply -> peoplelab.hks.harvard.edu/wp-content/u...