Some people say we lost our way when we legalized gambling but the real fall from grace was losing the hegemonic monoculture of Homestar Runner online

POV: FRED every first Friday of the month. #JobsDay #JobsReport #EconSky

to be honest half the reason i wrote this post is that about a year ago i wrote this sick series of disses on drake and i got tired of having them buried on my hard drive but i needed a vehicle worthy of them

It's genuinely good seeing this come from relatively normal and sane elites, because we're going to need them to help us reconstitute a normal, functional elite and enforce new norms that banish the insane shit swallowing everything for a generation or more.

This essay captures nicely why I can’t imagine ever leaving the classroom/why I feel so intensely defensive of doing right by the kids who come into our school “Life, then, is the creation of childhoods. You have yours, and then you get to create childhoods for others.”

Over on Twitter/X, Bill Ackman (of Harvard/Claudine Gay/plagiarism/tennis debacle fame) has written another 3,000+ word post. He believes that Francesca Gino's RAs faked her data. And, plot twist, he's been funding Gino's legal battle against Harvard since 2024. x.com/i/status/200...

New from @pamherd.bsky.social & I: Key takeaways from Mamdani's inauguration speech. "Mamdani will force a conversation among the left about how it should govern." 🧵 donmoynihan.substack.com/p/understand...

Immigration is good and we need more. Multiculturalism is good and we need more.

But if you've been around it's just EMBARRASSING. You just feel ashamed on behalf of the INTERNET that this utterly brain-poisoned creepy nerd is somehow Normie Famous now. It makes us ALL look lame.

Yeah. You see normies who learned of Moldbug's existence like a year ago and they're (rightly!) horrified but they're like "oh my god who is this sinister genius respected by the Vice President, is he a supervillain, blah blah." Like, it's weird and scary.

I knew Raphael was MAGA, but I expected better from Michelangelo.

And I think liberals should stop taking the bait and ceding ground on immigration. Immigration is good. Multiculturalism is good. Free trade is good. Stop being embarrassed to say so.

Check out this clown, where has he been all these years

In a May '25 post, I cited Gallup data to show that American attitudes made it unrealistic to count on immigration to smooth population trends -- most people wanted to cut immigration or keep it the same. The latest data (next slide) show a sharp change www.milkenreview.org/articles/the... ...

BLS clarifies that they will NOT do a one-off change of their rent/OER methodology in April, as their updated FAQ yesterday seemed to imply. h/t Omair Sharif, who I think was the first to pin them down on this. #EconSky #NumbersDay

Upjohn Institute President Michael Horrigan will be part of a panel on the state of the U.S. labor market. Alongside other big names in economics, he'll discuss the labor market and how policies and structural factors have and will continue to impact labor markets in the coming year. #econsky #ASSA

we verifiably do not do a good job of mitigating the societal impacts of technology on labor. this leaves us with things like the entire state of west virginia yearning for the return of the coal economy, whatever's going on with detroit, etc

Again, we learn that most people can make sensible decisions regardless of their level of income or wealth. Trouble is, many politicians base their careers on the myth of the irresponsible poor

this is why I think publications that focus almost solely on culture war issues are so empty. The genuine economic, health, welfare etc impacts of policy are much more important than Ivy League coursework discourse but become sideshows to these people.

why don't they just build the entire government out of federal reserve

Guys, you can just watch a recent Hallmark Christmas movie. It has all the things you claim to want.

Similarly, I'm always a bit confused when people talk about the comparative social life across cities. Just seems like the wrong unit of agglomeration.

Surprised that so few people in a poll of "The Argument" subscribers could remember reading "Abundance". /s

Bro do you know what the fuck America is?

This guy is going to STEAL OUR TEETH. 👇

Quick reminder that when Elon Musk was in government, he lied about massive fraud, and did so to eliminate safety net programs as well as government capacity to oversee real fraud. donmoynihan.substack.com/p/musks-frau...

Zero Marginal Product Workers, But Leftishly

Just having a normal economy, probably.

Reading the MVPF literature, it's clear that a lot of interventions with no direct crime implications still get a lot of bang for the buck out of the indirect effects on crime.

at the christmas revels in Boston which this poem is written for, this is the dance they perform in the shortest night solstice portion and I think about it every single year youtu.be/jv0wku4LJrI?...

I remember when the US had effective humanitarian programs in-house.

@rianjohnson.bsky.social I need a confirmation on whether this was an intentional rickroll

in your 20s, you'll come across someone who's wrong online. it's very important than you spend the next 40 years of your life learning and arguing about this topic online long after they've moved on, built a career, and raised a family.

I chaired a BLS advisory panel to describe key social & econ issues around employment that a new NLSY2026 panel could illuminate. We did a Work Arrangements (employee/contractor, platform, temp help, gig...) subreport, excerpt summarizes existing evidence on platforms. www.bls.gov/nls/pdf/defi...

New, from me: The NYT reporter who specializes in profiles of beleaguered right-wingers on campus went to New College...and found out that things were going ok! So let me explain some pretty massive errors of omission: 🧵 donmoynihan.substack.com/p/the-nyt-re...

Turns out, maybe fewer than before?

Inspired by @besttrousers.bsky.social, I tried to figure out how many gig workers there are kevinonthemargin.com/the-great-gi...

In conjoint analysis performed for the National Academy of Social Insurance, removing the FICA cap and raising FICA taxes is overwhelmingly popular and bipartisan. But mass politics is not the aggregation of calm cost-benefit analyses. www.nirsonline.org/wp-content/u...

A good exercise to do prior to your year-end giving. I support these three charities that work to alleviate global poverty (in reverse alphabetical order): 1. @unicefusa.org 2. @pih.org 3. www.givewell.org

guys GUYS do you want to feel _completely insane_ please enoy this 1989 public television program called ECON AND ME which features, in part, a diverse group of children walking in a circle chanting OPPORTUNITY COSTS OPPORTUNITY COSTS youtu.be/keit6rlKXCk

The guy who put a 19 year old named Big Balls in charge of gutting key government services: “experience matters when lives are at stake”

If you think of Stancil’s posts as fandom drama it all clicks into place

The one-shot and repeated extortion games have somewhat different equilibria

A randomized trial of the Becoming a Man program found nearly a 50% reduction in violent crime arrests by teaching young men to slow down reflexive decisions. Small interventions can save lives at scale.

Every movie/TV shows has a Bit where different characters have extremely specific coffee preferences, and I never encounter this in real life.

"If you add <constant> to <data series> the new data series is higher than the original <data series> by approximately <constant>." Good ol' reliable.

Great to see Jobs-Plus (which MDRC helped develop and evaluated in the US) making a difference in the UK! via @theguardian.com www.theguardian.com/society/2025...