simple: (1) eliminate all the sparrows; (2) pig iron in every backyard; (3) bulldoze bananas, put up pawpaw farms; (4) sombrita factory

You can make a career by always predicting an economic crisis. Peter Schiff and Steve Keen spew fear for profit. The formula works. Criticize "mainstream econ" and say a crisis will come. Watch the views roll in. What can we do about it?

I'm happy to announce I'm writing a book on decision making! It's about the explore-exploit dilemma, a framework used in machine learning, psychology and ecology — but hasn't been adapted to an entire practical book before. Next step, writing it!

Senate Democrats bringing together Labor & Abundance to Make More in America. This bill revamps the US government's Export-Import Bank to make it easier to fund manufacturing projects that lower prices, boost domestic resilience, & support unions. www.democrats.senate.gov/newsroom/pre...

Applying Hayek to the folly of state-building. www.theargumentmag.com/p/the-anti-s...

BLS revisions aren't a scandal. They're a sign the system is working.⁣ ⁣ The first jobs report is published before all the data is in. As more information arrives, the estimates get updated.⁣ ⁣ https://newsletter.platypuseconomics.com/p/the-jobs-numbers-will-get-revised

tfw you totally have a theory of mind for your YIMBY posting enemies

AI doomsdayers want us to believe mass job loss would be unprecedented. @kedseconomist.com has a sharp reminder: We already saw the U.S. economy lose 22.5 million jobs in five weeks at the start of the pandemic. What mattered wasn’t inevitability. It was the policy response. New episode tomorrow!

None of this would've happened had they drawn the DAG

This is Fantastic and I Did Not Know this…

Yes! To give an example - state UI systems do not have a common understanding of "what is the first day of the week?".

New at Can We Still Govern: Automation of safety net benefits -- changing the default from opt-in to opt-out - offers a means of reducing administrative burdens. What can we learn from people who have been implementing automation in state governments? donmoynihan.substack.com/p/can-we-aut...

This whole article is a banger:

New mean/ mode illustration just dropped. Between Rogan and Trump the mean necktie length is correct, but the modal necktie length is tied at “stupidly incorrect.”

I'm sorry you can't know this without an large N RCT. Going to make that happen.

“All politics used to be local. Now all politics is national.” drafts.interfluidity.com/2026/06/13/m...

Got some cpi stans in my neighborhood

Zucman's silence on trillionaires is DEAFENING.

Posting to policy.

It is Very Important to base policy on What Actually Happens and not Your Imagination.

this to me, is the promise of america

this rocks lmao, a great way to avoid falling out of a plane is to not wear a parachute, simple as,

Wonderful display of ideological corruption of two major economics professors (Mulligan and Bai): If we magically assume that people start working because otherwise we take away their Medicaid, even if our own literature review doesn't support this, then poverty would magically fall

I actually thought Worf was the unambiguous best thing about Picard series 3. It felt so perfect for his character that he'd entirely changed his philosophy *but* was as utterly certain that this is the best way to be as he once was about his attempts to be a Good Klingon Boy.

90% of my stats advice in a nutshell: - don’t do it - use a simpler model - stratify - it’s about 10%

As of 2022 4.3% of households owned crypto, with the median assets And crypto conditional on having crypto was $2000. www.stlouisfed.org/on-the-econo...

"a huge fraction of them threw the money into crypto magic beans and various meme stocks" Is this true? Or is it a small fraction that got written up a lot because it's fun to write about?

something I think about a lot is that pandemic relief and Bidenomics left the most of the working class better off in terms of money and savings than at any point in several decades, and a huge fraction of them threw the money into crypto magic beans and various meme stocks

"We have a term for enterprises that look successful because they keep drawing in new investors and keep drawing in new investors because they look successful. They’re called Ponzi schemes." paulkrugman.substack.com/p/elon-musk-...

Before agriculture—or, at a minimum, during the Middle Ages—medians didn’t exist and everyone was happy and there was no labor

I just released a new working paper! “Don’t Give Up on Lab Experiments: Why the Field Still Needs the Lab” Available here: ideas.repec.org/p/feb/natura...

What makes a workforce credential valuable? A @brookings.edu article by AIR’s Amy Feygin and Harry Holzer highlight how community colleges can better align programs with jobs, engage employers, expand work-based learning and strengthen student supports. https://bit.ly/3SjuCjM

also I've been trying to construct this take and I stand by it: that game was a victory for big city liberalism

It’s gonna be wild times on Saturday here on Bluesky, the app for sports and charts tracking Brent oil

Look, maybe the Knicks DID win, but the way this progressed just confuses people and reduces confidence in the whole 'sports' process. -NYT Editorial Staff

Had to steal a banger

I'm gonna earnest post and say it was always Daenerys. The show did her dirty. For all the "white savior" critiques (fair!), at the end of the day she liberated slaves and destroyed the masters. The writers' bleak vision is that radical goodness must turn evil because it is radical. I reject that.

Neuroscientist here, who has talked about the US losing science ground to other countries: The biggest problem for generating future cures for brain diseases is the ongoing utter destruction of US basic neuroscience. It’s not about regulation.

this is me re-writing my paper

Folks who want to come here, spend money, watch their countrymen kick a ball and stand in awe of Buc-ee's are exactly the sort of people we should be welcoming with open arms.

We love to see it! And read about it in the NYTimes: Gift link: www.nytimes.com/2026/06/11/u...

Jane Yolen was an absolutely lovely human and also an almost absurdly talented writer. It's wonderful when both things are wrapped up in the same person. I considered her a friend and a colleague, and I will miss her. Condolences to the each of the many of us who knew her. Her memory is a blessing.

NEW PIECE: After a very extended recovery from illness I'm back with a new piece, focusing in on the role of the OMB in our ongoing constitutional crisis. www.crisesnotes.com/the-ombifica...

I've been reading Emily Wilson's Odyssey out loud to my kids and it absolutely rocks for that purpose. So much fun to read aloud and flows so smoothly. The kids would never have sat still for her wordier laborious predecessors.

Last call for our survey! Link is here: survey.alchemer.com/s3/8870674/M... Looking at you @peark.es @conorsen.bsky.social @atwilliams.bsky.social @claudia-sahm.bsky.social @gbenga-ajilore.bsky.social @skandaamarnath.bsky.social @carlquintanilla.bsky.social @davidmwessel.bsky.social

"All this is sold as cutting “burdensome conditions,” a goal I would support, but sadly that is bullshit."

That’s why my papers often include asides such as “(Don’t try to deny it, you know what you did.)”

Claims: 1/ Initial claims continue to climb but it looks like residual seasonality to me - happened in each of the prior 3 years, and 2026 remains below each of them.