I really enjoyed this Sandy Darity and Warren Young piece on the history of ISLM: read.dukeupress.edu/hope/article...

This is the vibe I wish to bring to the function.

I wrote something up for AI people who want to get into bluesky and either couldn't assemble an exciting feed or gave up doomscrolling when their Following feed switched to talking politics 24/7.

“What we’re seeing is an unprecedented attempt to silence disfavored speech by the government,” said Brendan Nyhan, a political scientist at Dartmouth College. “Donald Trump is trying to dictate what Americans can say.” https://to.pbs.org/46AYg7U

As ACIP discusses doing away with the HepB birth dose, reminded of some papers I found in ACIP’s archives at NARA in the lead-up to the recommendation in 1990-91. US vaccination quite literally turning back the clock these days.

Trying to get onto the right blocklists: - Most of the time I like Ezra Klein - AI can be quite good sometimes - Very often, markets are effective solutions to problems - Building more housing, not necessarily affordable, is necessary for lowering housing prices

I came of political age hating the Bush guys and now I have to get in the trenches with them against the guy from the apprentice I would like to file several complaints

The consolidation of the ownership of local TV among 3 ownership groups is probably bad for consumers papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....

Da fuq

If you are looking for one book full of economic research about the lives of women, go get #thedoubletax by @itsafronomics.bsky.social

Fed cuts rates 25 bps as expected to a 4.00%-4.25% range. Median 2026 dot shows 2 more cuts this year.

1/n Latest on history of credit feuds in Econ: Herrade Igersheim ties many existing account of well-known longstanding priority dispute between Duncan Black & Ken Arrow over the median voter theorem with a layer of new archives [open access] link.springer.com/article/10.1...

I hadn't quite realized how much China's exports to the US have fallen recently. Prior to the pandemic, the US deficit with China was on the order of 2 percent of GDP. Now it's down to half a percent.

You're very welcome @vincentab.bsky.social P.S. Check out our preprint on an alternative to staring at coefficients: j-rohrer.github.io/marginal-psy...

🚗 Can AI make EV charging cheaper and greener? CNZ ran the world’s largest AI-managed EV charging trial with 13,000 UK households. Check out the results 👇 Summary & working paper 🔗 www.centrefornetzero.org/papers/ai-in...

I could have sworn I created this before on our Previous Parish, but couldn't find it so made it fresh. I present: OUR BLESSED mixed models // THEIR BARBAROUS fixed effects

Useful for understanding what people actually use LLMs for. (Also, 10% of the world population has an account!)

Going to include this on my slides about partial identification

Robert Redford playing a gentle incarnation of death, coming for a frightened old woman in The Twilight Zone episode "Nothing in the Dark" (1962). An extraordinary performance then, terribly bittersweet today

What's an estimator that you wish had a good package implemented?

Watched a video of a girl explaining groyper terminology and realized I’m not nearly as online as I thought I was, and everyone who thinks they’re posting brainrot are actually amateurs

For those of you who follow me for financial economics, I have been getting some great finance into the JEP and I encourage you to read and recommend these great overviews of important parts of finance, such as our bond markets symposium: www.aeaweb.org/issues/803

“I wanted to do a late night show about love…”- Colbert #Emmys

😶‍🌫️

the only AI i need is an earpiece i can wear at my kid's birthday party that tells me the name of the parent i've met like four times before

Though it’s traumatic for me to bring this up, I was targeted by a group allied with Turning Point USA in 2018, with the help of Tucker Carlson on Fox. My home address circulated online and I got death threats. 1/

was not expecting early-years Jon Arbuckle, if I'm being honest

If you'd like an economist's introduction to Agentic AI: www.genaiforecon.org/JEL-2025-Aug...

🚨NEW RESULTS (w/ Slattery & Nober) - When gov't engineers retire, highway projects cost more: the engineers pay for themselves 6 times over - Improving gov’t engineer quality from the 25th to 75th percentile reduces costs by 14%, equal to 3x avg. engineer pay Paper: papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....

📣 Yale workshop, Oct 16-17! 📣 How could/should content ranking work? What's new in content moderation? How can platforms promote civility? Hosted by Yale's Institute for Foundations of Data Science (FDS). Great speakers! Submit posters by 9/22! Spread the word! yalefds.swoogo.com/socialalgori...

Do I feel like I’m going through a midlife crisis at 40? No why do you ask

Worlds worst soldering job but just fixed my electric guitar myself 💪🏼💪🏼

Everything's going great in the Article III branch

Meanwhile, on HBCU campuses, lockdowns after bomb threats and though I'm sure this won't interest most media types, it is worth noting: abcnews.go.com/amp/US/multi...

Hey, #EconSky! Got a policy-relevant paper that you want folks in DC to see? Present & publish it with NBER's Environmental and Energy Policy and the Economy. Submission deadline is Oct 20. Conference is in DC on May 21, 2026. More details below. conference.nber.org/confsubmit/b...

Must be nice

Because I keep calling attention to neo-Nazi accounts on Twitter and their efforts to start a digital pogrom, they are currently trying to get me killed, sharing false or misleading screenshots that make it look like I threatened to kill Trump.

it's worth noting that the actual best example of Far Side readers not getting a Far Side cartoon is this.

The latest CPI and PPI data is out. What steps will the Federal Reserve take to stabilize the labor market? CBPP Chief Economist @gbenga-ajilore.bsky.social breaks down the latest CPI & PPI data from the BLS, and what they mean for possible further interest rate cuts: www.youtube.com/shorts/dANKi...

This Ezra Klein piece is totally reasonable. www.nytimes.com/2025/09/11/o...

The pretty draft is now online. Link to paper (free): www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/epdf/10.... Our replication package starts from the raw data and we put real work into making it readable & setting it up so people could poke at it, so please do explore it: dataverse.harvard.edu/dataset.xhtm...

Remember that you don’t have to post your first reaction and Bluesky is forever even if you delete

Ok, this is actually dope. First real solution I’ve seen to ensuring human writing in the age of LLMs. Maybe the college essay isn’t dead after all? youtube.com/shorts/AhA1l...

I will wake up *really* early and do just a bit more work.

a good breakdown of the Claude Code agent loop the key: a simple 2-layer architecture “a … single-threaded master loop (codenamed nO) real-time steering (the h2A queue)” (yes, they totally read a de-compiled/obfuscated version, but yeah dedication!) blog.promptlayer.com/claude-code-...

Just made this little diagram and it's so pretty! {ggdiagram} is really neat for these types of graphics #rstats (code here: gist.github.com/andrewheiss/... )