Moment choices can move structural estimates quite far when the model is wrong, sometimes with little increase in model-implied standard errors, from Isaiah Andrews and Bas Sanders www.nber.org/papers/w35378

Studying how trade shocks affect labor markets, focusing on the adjustment process shaped by frictions and institutions, and discussing policies that can ease adjustment costs, from Rafael Dix-Carneiro and Brian K. Kovak www.nber.org/papers/w35377

Should policymakers learn about prices or quantities? When taxes create deadweight losses or there are distributional concerns, quantities may be more important, from Denise Dipasquale, Edward L. Glaeser, Adam M. Guren, and Paul S. Willen www.nber.org/papers/w35376

Studying how parents may invest differently across children by compensating the disadvantaged child or by reinforcing the child with higher expected returns, from Barrera-Osorio, Bonilla-Mejía, Busso, Galiani, Kang, Muñoz-Morales, and Pantano www.nber.org/papers/w35375

A new practitioner's guide to using LLMs in economic history covers the workflow, pitfalls, and validation, with four worked examples from paintings to Franklin D. Roosevelt’s wartime speeches, from @andyferrara.bsky.social www.nber.org/papers/w35374

AI answers can divert web publisher revenue and quality signals. The market design takeaway: without compensation and audits, costly open-web information may fall below replacement, from @alex8chan.bsky.social www.nber.org/papers/w35344

Examining the relative performance of deaf or hard of hearing workers on one of China’s largest food-delivery platforms, from Yanyou Chen, Mitchell Hoffman, Huilan Xu, and Zhe Yuan www.nber.org/papers/w35372

Using ancient DNA data to measure migration over the past 10,000 years shows that human mobility followed climate corridors and migration acted as adaptation to climate change, from Peter Huybers, Marco Tabellini, Charles A. Taylor, and Francesco Toti www.nber.org/papers/w35371

A parent-directed empathy program for Chinese middle schoolers raised elite high school admission by 3.2pp years later, by reshaping classroom friendship networks, from Flavio Cunha, Qinyou Hu, Yiming Xia, and Naibao Zhao www.nber.org/papers/w35370

Studying the effect of unanticipated inflation in the labor market, from @pilossopher.bsky.social, Jane M. Ryngaert, and Jesse J. Wedewer www.nber.org/papers/w35369

Higher wage floors due to minimum wage increases or repeal of subminimum wages do not appear to have disproportionate impacts on workers with disabilities, from Roisin O'Neill, Shailee Manandhar, and Douglas L. Kruse www.nber.org/papers/w35368

Estimating the effect of particulate matter air pollution on preschool attendance using restricted administrative data from the state of Georgia, from Mahta Ghafarianghadim and Garth Heutel www.nber.org/papers/w35367

Average partial effects in nonlinear binary-outcome models can be misleading when calculated over the wrong sample, and recomputing them on the relevant subsample yields unbiased and often materially different estimates, from Brian Curran, Bruce D. Meyer, and Derek Wu www.nber.org/papers/w35366

A Texas field experiment finds counselor workshops increased high-achieving students’ interest in economics, especially women, but not major enrollment, from Kennedy Johnston, Jonathan Meer, and Danila Serra www.nber.org/papers/w35365

Concealment of social-group membership between pairs of workers weakened intergroup relations by making them unsure of each other's identity and less able to interact authentically, from Anujit Chakraborty, Arkadev Ghosh, Matt Lowe, and Gareth Nellis www.nber.org/papers/w35364

Trying to purify a metric to reducing gaming in markets can backfire when a metric feeds into prices but not when it feeds into rank/position, from @joshgans.bsky.social and Scott Duke Kominers www.nber.org/papers/w35363

Banning affirmative action in state contracting caused minority- and women-owned contractors to downsize and enter into state contracting in smaller numbers, but not to shut down, from Benjamin Rosa www.nber.org/papers/w35362

Firms led by expert managers are more likely to become multinationals. Managers' expertise contributes to explaining multinationals' risk premia, from José L. Fillat and Stefania Garetto www.nber.org/papers/w35361

Can climate disasters spark rebellion? How the 1970 Bhola Cyclone helped transform grievance into mobilization, fueling Bangladesh’s war of independence, from Sultan Mehmood and Ahmed Mushfiq Mobarak www.nber.org/papers/w35360

A literature review of the effects of transportation infrastructure on the way people and economic activity distribute themselves across regions and cities, from Gilles Duranton and Matthew Turner www.nber.org/papers/w35359

Railway access in the early 1900s affected the size and destination of emigration from Mexico to the US starting in 1910 and up to 2010, from David Escamilla-Guerrero and Giovanni Peri www.nber.org/papers/w35358

Studying whether brief narrative testimonials shift willingness to attend virtual shared medical appointments, a format in which 5–15 patients with a shared non-urgent health condition meet simultaneously with a clinician, from Giardili, Heller, Jain, Miller, and Ramdas www.nber.org/papers/w35357

Open call for papers, Macroeconomic Effects of Population Aging. Conference to be held virtually on September 18, 2026. Submit papers by 11:59pm EDT on August 5, 2026. More information: www.nber.org/calls-papers...

Developing a dynamic stochastic model of markets with an externality and multiple trading frictions, and cap-and-trade as the leading application, from Nicola Borri, Yukun Liu, Aleh Tsyvinski, and Xi Wu www.nber.org/papers/w35356

Examining the implications of panel attrition for the age profile of subjective ill-being in the Global Flourishing Study, from David G. Blanchflower, Alex Bryson, and Alan J. Cui www.nber.org/papers/w35355

Introducing “perceived inflation”, an attention-weighted inflation measure derived from a model in which households allocate attention across goods and observe noisy price signals, from Neville Francis www.nber.org/papers/w35354

AI has the potential to reduce wage inequality by allowing lower-skill workers to do the jobs that used to be exclusive territory of higher-skill workers, from Lukas Althoff and Hugo Reichardt www.nber.org/papers/w35353

Insurers can curb overuse with cost-sharing for consumers (e.g. copays, deductibles) or cost-sharing for firms (e.g. prospective payment). How much of each are best?, from Jason Abaluck, Oren Sarig, and Jintaek Song www.nber.org/papers/w35352

Viewpoint neutrality, requiring teachers to cover varied views, can weaken direct instruction but improve overall learning by making homophilous peer interactions more informative, from Georgy Egorov and Konstantin Sonin www.nber.org/papers/w35351

Experimental economists use best practices to reduce demand effects. Reviewing these methods shows that demand effects have very limited impact, from Jonathan de Quidt, Lise Vesterlund, and Alistair Wilson www.nber.org/papers/w35350

Sovereign scale valuations of AI and semiconductor companies price more than capacity: new research models this as planning capital, which embeds past and future learning, from Andrew Caplin www.nber.org/papers/w35349

Employees often know quality problems before the market does. Using 4.3 million Glassdoor reviews to build a new measure of firm quality that predicts recalls, brand value, and profitability, from Wei Cai, Dennis Campbell, Yaxuan Chen, Yufei Chen, and Andrea Prat www.nber.org/papers/w35348

Open call for papers, Economics of Religion. Conference to be held in Cambridge, MA on October 23, 2026. Submit papers by 11:59pm EDT on August 26, 2026. More information: www.nber.org/calls-papers...

A national survey of K-12 principals finds teachers’ AI use rose rapidly, while schools serving more disadvantaged students report less AI guidance and training, from Christopher Campos and John D. Singleton www.nber.org/papers/w35347

Open call for papers, Economics of Religion. Conference to be held in San Francisco, CA on November 14, 2026. Submit papers by 11:59pm EDT on September 1, 2026. More information: www.nber.org/calls-papers...

Declining mortality and morbidity of the elderly is estimated to have raised expected lifetime Social Security spending by 14 percent compared to 6 percent for Medicare spending, from Liran Einav and Amy Finkelstein www.nber.org/papers/w35346

Wearable electroencephalography technologies present new opportunities to quantify neural correlates of decision making in real-time, financially consequential settings, from Liang Chen, Tse-Chun Lin, Fei Wu, Xingjian Zheng, and Eric Zou www.nber.org/papers/w35345

Studying the role of foreign exchange and gold reserves in mitigating the US monetary policy spillovers to exchange rates at times of geopolitical fragmentation and de-dollarization, from Joshua Aizenman, Jamel Saadaoui, Gazi Salah Uddin, and Naoki Yago www.nber.org/papers/w35337

Featured in the latest Digest: What Happens When the Flow of Immigrant Workers Suddenly Stops? www.nber.org/digest/20260...

Examining when should a hegemon prefer to coerce private entities or their governments, from Christopher Clayton, @mmaggiori.bsky.social, and Jesse Schreger www.nber.org/papers/w35343

Examining why the Big Three financial literacy questions work so well and show that they provide a reliable, valid, and internationally consistent measure of financial literacy, from Tim Kaiser, Annamaria Lusardi, @mitchelos.bsky.social, and Luis Oberrauch www.nber.org/papers/w35342

Low trust in the European Central Bank is widespread among German firms, shaping expectations of fiscal dominance when debt rises in high-debt Euro Area countries, from Francesco Bianchi, Renato Faccini, Leonardo Melosi, and Nils Wehrhöfer www.nber.org/papers/w35341

The opioid epidemic reshaped local population dynamics in the US. More affected commuting zones grew more slowly, driven by higher out-migration—especially among college-educated, from Carolina Arteaga, Victoria Barone, and Stephen Claassen www.nber.org/papers/w35340

Race-blind policy doesn't guarantee racial equality. The WWII GI Bill doubled white college completion but steered Black veterans into dead-end training. The gap persists today, from Lukas Althoff and Christiane Szerman www.nber.org/papers/w35339

Using a simple rational-choice model to examine the strengths and weaknesses of various experimental designs, from John A. List www.nber.org/papers/w35338

Considering a model of automation embedded in a political environment where workers can undertake a revolt, and greater inequality between capital and labor increases the likelihood of a revolt, from Daron Acemoglu, A. Arda Gitmez, and Mehdi Shadmehr www.nber.org/papers/w35336

Firms with high monopsony power respond less to monetary policy shocks. Oligopsony dampens aggregate monetary policy effects; declining concentration flattened the Phillips curve, from Bence Bardóczy, Gideon Bornstein, and Sergio Salgado www.nber.org/papers/w35335

Studying the optimal design of trade and industrial policy when governments pursue environmental objectives along traditional welfare goals, from Panle Jia Barwick, Jack Collison, Pinelopi K. Goldberg, Shanjun Li, and Yucheng Wang www.nber.org/papers/w35334

Estimating the effect of total abortion bans enacted after Dobbs vs. Jackson Women's Health on sexual behavior, from James M. Flynn, @caitlinmyers.bsky.social, and David R. Munro www.nber.org/papers/w35333

In 1900–1910, immigrant families caught up to US-born families through having more women and children contribute, even as immigrant women barely closed the gap with US-born women, from Zachary Ward www.nber.org/papers/w35332