If you work at the intersection of CS and economics (or think your work is of interest to those who do!) consider submitting to the ESIF Economics and AI+ML meeting this summer at Cornell: www.econometricsociety.org/regional-act...

ICE showed up to kidnap lawn workers and nannies today in my sleepy Chicago North Shore neighborhood. So disgusted

I’m recruiting students this upcoming cycle at UIUC! I’m excited about Qs on societal impact of AI, especially human-AI collaboration, multi-agent interactions, incentives in data sharing, and AI policy/regulation (all from both a theoretical and applied lens). Apply through CS & select my name!

Slides from my @mit.edu IDSS Distinguished Speaker seminar "Networks untangle gender differences in productivity and prominence among scientists" this week I argue that collaboration networks act like unequally distributed (and gendered) social capital aaronclauset.github.io/slides/Claus...

🧠⚙️ Interested in decision theory+cogsci meets AI? Want to create methods for rigorously designing & evaluating human-AI workflows? I'm recruiting PhDs to work on: 🎯 Stat foundations of multi-agent collaboration 🌫️ Model uncertainty & meta-cognition 🔎 Interpretability 💬 LLMs in behavioral science

A very reasonable take on AI in education

Tonight’s mood… No offense to John Denver but this version captures something the original missed

Two answers: - Anthropomorphization makes sense when dealing with written human-like characters, which is what LLMs generate - We aren’t very deep into interpretability yet x.com/pfau/status/...

When referring to an unspecified, imaginary person, why do some writers need to refer to them specifically as “she” or “he”? 🧠: are you proudly showing that your imagination is this specific or are you just really against using “they”? Either way, it’s a distraction.

Great post on various ways in which multiverse analysis can be misdirected as a solution

✨ SOTA in Probability Elicitation, 2025 ✨ Econ/stats/JDM: "We invoke Schervish (1989) to derive a task-aligned strictly proper scoring rule, and expose subjects to 50 calibration trials to verify comprehension. We provide proofs of LIC in ..." HCI: “We used a slider to promote carefulness.”

Why are there so many houses with bathrooms in basements? Especially bathrooms with showers in unfinished basements. Why on earth? Why does my own house have a bathroom in the basement? Who is going to use it?

I’m giving an IDE seminar at @mitsloan.bsky.social tomorrow at 11am, on optimizing AI as decision support. Joint work w/ @ziyang.bsky.social @yifanwu.bsky.social @jasonhartline.bsky.social @berkustun.bsky.social Come by if you’re around! www.eventbrite.com/e/fall-2025-...

And now might be a good time to mention, I’m on the faculty job market this year! I do work in human-AI collusion, collaboration and competition, with an eye towards building foundations for trustworthy AI. Check out more info on my website here! Nataliecollina.com

@abhsarma.bsky.social created a visualization tool for principled reasoning about whether analysis paths should be included in a multiverse Try it: abhsarma.github.io/milliways/ Paper: mucollective.northwestern.edu/project/2024... Code: github.com/abhsarma/mil...

So excited No one tells you that full professor really means full return to your high school self, but that’s basically what it is

"Wank is a speech act directed first and foremost at helping the speaker feel better about themselves, stated as an objective claim about the state of the world, that we are expected in discussion to treat with the epistemic authority of a claim about identity, but the content of the actual claim".

Since I'm about to head out to DC's No Kings protest, here's a quick look at America's ORIGINAL No Kings movement, and a review of how many of George III's crimes outlined in the Declaration have been repeated by Trump. juliansanchez.substack.com/p/trump-vs-g...

It’s become fashionable in some circles to reject decision theory (and other basic statistical ideas) for vaguely political reasons. There are valid critiques—but also some worth being wary of. Some thoughts: statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/10/17/s...

It’s become fashionable in some circles to reject decision theory (and other basic statistical ideas) for vaguely political reasons. There are valid critiques—but also some worth being wary of. Some thoughts: statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/10/17/s...

A Brief History of Let’s Bring Back The Good Old Days 🧵

Think of how much better off we'd be if every established researcher got in the habit of writing papers entitled "Second thoughts on [thing I'm famous for]"

A reoccurring frustration for philosophers of science: Many scientists know how to do science like people know how to ride a bike. When they reflect on the practice of science, they repeat platitudes about how science works. Those platitudes are often wrong, sometimes even about their own field

Anyway I wrote an article back in 2013 analyzing permutations on Benedict Cumberbatch which you may read and sub in Timothée Chalamet should you so desire web.archive.org/web/20250322...

I'm giving keynote at a workshop on predictive uncertainty for decisions tomorrow & realizing I may have more questions than answers What do ppl really do w/conformal prediction sets? What should they do? What to do when calibration isn't enough for trust? What's shape of uncertainty in high dim?

For XAI it’s often thought explanations help (boundedly rational) user “unlock” info in features for some decision. But no one says this, they say vaguer things like “supporting trust”. We lay out some implicit assumptions that become clearer when you take a formal view here arxiv.org/abs/2506.22740

🚨 Postdoctoral Research Economist positions at Microsoft Research New England or New York City 🚨 www.aeaweb.org/joe/listing.... Open to PhDs in econ-related fields (e.g. quant marketing, econ-CS). Seeking those with high collaboration potential with the team: www.microsoft.com/en-us/resear...

Looking forward to talking about our work on the value of explanation for decision-making at this workshop

Chicago Mayor Brandon Johnson: "Private establishments can partner with us to make it clear that private property is private property and ICE cannot enter establishments without a valid warrant ... If Congress will not check this administration, then Chicago will."

This is true even with slide reuse. Each audience is different, talk goals might be subtly different, and your own ability to explain the concepts may be different, even if you gave the talk recently. I have a special kind of disdain for the attitude that one doesn't have to do their best on a talk

This spoke to me today: bsky.app/profile/shaw...

No polls No fundamentals forecasting No RCTs No inference What’s up with anti-data extremism in the op-ed/blogosphere these days? It’s one thing to critique horse race polling or stat testing in place of thinking, but very different to conclude we’re better off not trying to model at all. 1/2

"Uncooperative statistician": the term used (typically by a senior clinician) to describe a well-trained and knowledgeable statistician who refuses to conduct flawed or fraudulent research.

My full rewrite of the (very long) first part of Howl is now live at the link below👇 I hope someone somewhere enjoys reading this as much as I enjoyed writing it!

This is true, but is the devil ever not in the details? Even in non-methods empirical work, it arises in interpreting results unless we treat it all as exploratory existence proof Only time its absent is when communities normalize ignoring it. Convention dictates so much of the knowledge we produce

This 🧵 has solidified for me a belief that there just are some scientific arguments that are harder to win than others, because the devil is in the belaboured boring-ass details, and those kinds of arguments are vulnerable to alternative positions that are easier (and more entertaining) to convey.

who fed it words, who watched it excrete words, who fed it excreted words again & again waiting, who ran the primitive nervous system with sloshing words & prayed & made words of excrement & finally brought it out to check the Time, & now mistake the words for heroes (more from my Howl rewrite) 1/2

The best time to work on something obscure is when all the men around you are caught up in posturing and arguing loudly.

I had forgotten about Alice Notley but this essay reminded me www.poetryfoundation.org/articles/171... Elsewhere, in an interview: "I have no activism in me. I can’t do things in a group. I can’t do things that imply that I know better than everybody else." 🔥

I wonder, how far are we from genAI creating stuff like this? Or Bruce Nauman's Tony Sinking into the Floor? Or PeeWee's PH episodes where they do stuff like film a dog chewing closeup for 10s, just because? www.youtube.com/watch?v=3GhN... Not "in the style of" but new, equally evocative things?

maybe, but for now at least we'll look cooler than zuck

people pretend that debate signals and defends a commitment to high minded politics. what it elevates instead is performative dishonesty as a basic mode of politics www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...

We need new rules for publishing AI-generated research. The teams developing automated AI scientists have customarily submitted their papers to standard refereed venues (journals and conferences) and to arXiv. Often, acceptance has been treated as the dependent variable. 1/

Skipped out on a show last night before Bill Callahan came on to catch up on sleep, so naturally my brain decides it’d be funny to jolt me awake at 4am with his repeated demands to see colts m.youtube.com/watch?v=e26m...

I wrote a thing. As someone who survived the 1970s and kept the receipts.

This new center strikes the right tone in approaching the AI alignment problem. alignmentalignment.ai

In a strange twist, Allen Ginsberg’s picture appeared on a poster in my morning train today. I’m taking this as his stamp of approval 😀 statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/09/10/h...

This is rather surprisingly good, I think.

I rewrote Allen Ginsberg's Howl, but for the AI-headed hipsters👇 "I saw the best minds of my generation distracted by machines, shining-eyed delusional demo gods, rubbering through polished cities at dusk Capitalizing The Next Big Push to the end of Introspection, 1/N