Great early-career opportunities to work in my group at the Cleveland Fed are now open! Traditional RA job: rb.wd5.myworkdayjobs.com/en-US/FRS/jo... Another requiring more experience/offering more autonomy: rb.wd5.myworkdayjobs.com/en-US/FRS/jo... Send us good people! Happy to answer questions

Extremely Gabriel Arias home run, in just under the wire for June

David Fry bunting in front of Steven Kwan give me something to light on fire

Wait, the company that cleaned the reflecting pool is called Greenwater Services? Sounds like they delivered, what’s everyone complaining about?

Went to an Obama Presidential Center preview a couple weeks ago and immediately found CEA’s contribution, so congrats to whoever made this 2017 ERP chart

Wtf is this nonsense

New working paper out today for the real UI heads, from me and David Wasser: ⬆️ UI generosity - ⬆️ wages - for UE, J2J, and EE workers - especially at the bottom - ⬇️ hiring from U - ⬇️ LF exit - maybe ⬇️ job postings - ⬆️ posted wages - ⬆️ new entrant hiring - and more!

One thing I learned from this 529 tool I made is that plan fees are a big part of why saving this way can be so expensive. There are plenty of low-fee assets, but then you pay the state for the tax-exempt status…

When the labor market looks wobbly, people often look to subgroup unemployment rates (eg for non-white or young workers) for signs of what’s to come, but do they actually predict changes in the overall UR? I have a new short piece on this out today for @clevelandfed.bsky.social.

What is the opposite of an immaculate inning? Asking for Graham Ashcroft

“Draft Kings second half props are still open. Caris LeVert leads all scorers with 17, can he get to 23 in the question.” I’m sorry, you simply cannot allow that to be the question.

If I ever see Petey Halpin bunt again, it’ll be too soon

I made (with Claude Code, as a solution to my own frustration) this catalog of nearly 1,400 specific investments you can make in 529 plans. Check it out, maybe it can make comparing plans easier for you, too! kevinrinz.github.io/529tool.html

Negative productivity shock

Honored to have this work with Josh, Victoria, Maria, and Hugh recognized, especially alongside the outstanding research and journalism of the other winners and finalists. Announcement: bit.ly/NIHCM2026Awa... Paper: academic.oup.com/qje/article-...

That is… not the way Brito and Fry should be involved in late-game defensive substitutions

Parker Messick is a dude?

Keep thinking about “The Kid Who Only Hit Homers” for some reason

Even if availability limits Chase DeLauter to like 250 home runs, it seems like he should have a good shot at rookie of the year

I have a new working paper out today with Sean, David, and Abbie. It's something of an empirical user guide for people working with commonly used local labor demand shocks. A few key points... doi.org/10.26509/frb...

Ngl would be v funny if this is the thing that keeps Hassett from becoming chair

Anybody want to hang out in Philadelphia tonight?

Returned to @briefingbook.bsky.social today with @gsgoda.bsky.social to update on disability status and employment since the pandemic. Disability is still up, especially cognitive issues among young people. And, building on Gopi’s work with Evan Soltas… www.briefingbook.info/p/rising-pre...

Anybody know any econ of education journals that take short papers?

New job, new website kevinrinz.github.io

Some professional news: today is my last day with @equitablegrowth.bsky.social I’m excited to be joining @clevelandfed.bsky.social as a senior research economist on Monday. Also excited to be back in Cleveland in time to see the @cleguardians.com try to chase down the Tigers.

Anybody around DC have any use for some old econ textbooks? Or know of an institution that might?

Just sitting here listening to the Guardians game, thinking about this scene from Moneyball for no particular reason youtu.be/YwmsSAvkzGE?...

The Proliferation of Private Digital Money www.briefingbook.info/p/the-prolif...

Super interesting column @equitablegrowth.bsky.social by Alex Bell on how identification by anti-instruments reveals attribute tradeoffs, applied to job quality. Got to see him present it @upjohninstitute.bsky.social recently. New & interesting. #EconSky equitablegrowth.org/the-hidden-t...

The Heart of the Deal www.briefingbook.info/p/the-heart-...

For the next three years, an optimistic tariff-advocate scenario looks a lot like that 2001-style recession. That’s an important point: the transition advocates mostly want to gloss over may in fact be a recession, which research suggests would have long-term consequences.

I’ve been doing quarterly labor market updates at @equitablegrowth.bsky.social once all the data come in, and now is a weird time for one. Tariffs are coming and going faster than data can be collected. What we have shows a labor market that still looks solid, comparable to 2019. But…

Why do some jobs pay better than others? Think about what workers do! We tried to start doing this in an @equitablegrowth.bsky.social piece this week. We look at how skills, abilities, and work activities from O*NET relate to wages.

Why do some jobs pay better than others? Think about what workers do! We tried to start doing this in an @equitablegrowth.bsky.social piece this week. We look at how skills, abilities, and work activities from O*NET relate to wages.

Why do some jobs pay better than others? Think about what workers do! We tried to start doing this in an @equitablegrowth.bsky.social piece this week. We look at how skills, abilities, and work activities from O*NET relate to wages.

We’ve finally found Cade Smith’s kryptonite, and it’s… the Washington Nationals?

I know hitting the ball hard hasn’t worked out as well as Nolan Jones might have hoped so far this season, but I really don’t think bunting is the answer

Guys come hang out there will be lunch and Sherrod Brown and lots of other smart speakers web.cvent.com/event/a88d72...

The economic and geopolitical failings of Trump’s tariffs www.briefingbook.info/p/the-econom...

Glad never to have cared about the Browns

Cutting Medicaid is a Risky Move for Republicans www.briefingbook.info/p/cutting-me...

Asked ChatGPT to give me a bibtex citation for a NYT article at a link I provided, and instead it gave me one for a made-up @bencasselman.bsky.social article (that I would’ve been very happy to read, if it existed)

Is there a way to get the MLB app to stop serving me ads about oppo tacos between innings on radio broadcasts?

Good day to (re)read this post from @fkamal.bsky.social

Neither stable nor genius: the misguided legislative attempt to regulate stablecoins www.briefingbook.info/p/neither-st...

Days, ranked: 1. Opening 2. Election 3. Other

Okay, I like the muppet thing

Understanding job content, its link to compensation, and changes over time helps answer policymakers' questions on job quality. In this new series, @kevinrinz.bsky.social + Chiara Chanoi analyze labor market shifts, job quality, + job content using O'NET data.

Healthcare jobs have grown 2x faster than the overall labor market since 1980 Healthcare overtook retail to become largest industry by employment in 2009 New working paper w/ @gottliebecon.bsky.social, @kevinrinz.bsky.social and @victoriaudalova.bsky.social on the rise of healthcare jobs