#SmallBiz owners: We are seeking responses to the #SmallBusinessCreditSurvey, which generates reports throughout the year to provide insights to #policymakers, service providers, and #lenders. Set aside a few minutes to respond: https://t.co/IfkY49xqHV https://t.co/MfVcpJgChX

How important is the information effect of #MonetaryPolicy? Researchers show the information effect reduces the output gaps caused by demand shocks & noise shocks, but may lead to a temporary rise in inflation after a contractionary monetary policy shock https://clefed.org/42SokKq

Like many states across the country, Ohio is hoping to grow the number of advanced manufacturing jobs. So how can we identify people that have the right skills for this line of work? The Occupational Mobility Explorer could be a key tool: http://bit.ly/4pxXMrL

Survey of Regional Conditions and Expectations (SORCE) total business conditions diffusion index decreased by 11 points to 2, while the total employment diffusion index increased by 11 points to 10. These results were calculated from the 9.18–9.25 survey clefed.org/SORCE

Results from our Survey of Regional Conditions and Expectations provide insight into how tariffs are affecting firms and the larger economy. See our latest District Data Brief for details: https://clefed.org/4gMusts

Our researchers present a new model of mortgage default that better matches the data. They find that more realistically capturing the tradeoffs between staying in a home versus exiting into the rental market are key to understanding the decision to default https://clefed.org/4mDX7lU

📈 Understanding #inflation expectations is key to understanding how inflation and the economy may change. Join our next Fed Talk on 10/8 to learn how these expectations shape consumer and business decisions and why they matter to central banks. Register: https://clefed.org/4pzvqNG

The Cleveland Fed’s median PCE #inflation rate was 0.2% in August and 3.3% on a year-over-year basis. Latest update: http://clefed.org/PCE

Our researchers present a new model of mortgage default that better matches the data. They find that more realistically capturing the tradeoffs between staying in a home versus exiting into the rental market are key to understanding the decision to default https://clefed.org/4mDX7lU

Monthly #PCE inflation data will be released tomorrow. Our #inflation nowcasting model (updated daily!) predicts year-over-year PCE #inflation of 2.79% for August. Check it out: clefed.org/3yCkTHV

Our latest report includes information regarding inflation series’ cyclical properties, historical revisions, and predictive power in explaining future PCE inflation. See the report https://clefed.org/48fnwD9 for more details on our researchers’ findings. #Economics #MonetaryPolicy

This month our Fed Talk with #ClevelandFed President and CEO Beth Hammack focused on how the Cleveland Fed touches your daily life—whether through electronic payments or cash at your local bank. Watch the full discussion: https://clefed.org/4mpdfIx

The Occupationally Mobility Explorer can help employers and workforce development professionals cast the widest net possible when looking for workers to fill crucial jobs. Learn how: https://clefed.org/46AOXoe

Experts from our Center for Inflation Research are hosting our next Fed Talk discussion, which will highlight the relationship between expected and actual #inflation. Register today to attend virtually on 10/8: https://clefed.org/4pzvqNG

Candice Sams, banking supervisor risk specialist in our Supervision, Credit Risk, and Statistics Department, shows a glimpse into a day in her life. Learn more about her work, whom she admires where she’s traveled, & more: https://bit.ly/4o5bvov

How do we better connect people with #economic opportunity? 💻 #PolicySummit2025 panelists talk artificial intelligence, the need for childcare and other supports, and the importance of word of mouth. See the details in our latest article: https://clefed.org/4gElUF1

TODAY: Our Fed Talk with #ClevelandFed President and CEO Beth Hammack starts at 12 pm ET. Learn all about how the Cleveland Fed touches your daily life—whether through electronic payments or cash at your local bank. Register now to attend virtually: https://clefed.org/4mpdfIx

Median #CPI rose 0.3% in July and 3.6% on a year-over-year basis. See our latest median #CPI and trimmed mean #CPI updates: clefed.org/CPI

What do CEOs think inflation will be? The Survey of Firms’ #Inflation Expectations (SoFIE) shows they expect CPI inflation will be 3.5% over the next year. See the update: clefed.org/SoFIE

Our #CPI indicator updates tomorrow. Our #inflation nowcasting model (updated daily!) predicts year-over-year CPI #inflation of 2.72% in July. Check it out: clefed.org/3yCkTHV

Join us Aug 25 from 3–4 pm ET for our Fed Talk, featuring expert panelists discussing the innovative ways that communities are developing workforce pipelines for in-demand jobs, in the semiconductor and related industries. Register & submit your questions: clefed.org/3Uap4pA

The Cleveland Fed’s median PCE #inflation rate was 0.3% in June and 3.2% on a year-over-year basis. Latest update: clefed.org/PCE

Community Development teams across the Federal Reserve always develop new research. Catch up on their work in this @fedcommunities blog that captures new content published between 4/1-6/30, on the topics of housing, childcare, small business, labor, & more t.co/LTZz8yXu4U

The Survey of Regional Conditions and Expectations (SORCE) total business conditions diffusion index increased by 1 point to 8, while the total nonlabor input costs diffusion index increased by 12 points to 59. These results are from the June 19–26 survey. clefed.org/3TL5zDT

Median #CPI rose 0.3% in June and 3.6% on a year-over-year basis. See our latest median #CPI and trimmed mean #CPI updates: clefed.org/CPI

Our #CPI indicator updates tomorrow. Our #inflation nowcasting model (updated daily!) predicts year-over-year CPI #inflation of 2.64% in June. Check it out: clefed.org/3yCkTHV

Inside the latest #CenterForInflationResearch newsletter: #PresidentHammack’s recent public remarks, new CfIR advisory council members, indicators and data, event discussing impacts of #tariffs, and CEBRA’s inflation webinar. clefed.org/409WeZY

The Cleveland Fed’s Survey of Regional Conditions and Expectations (SORCE) included a set of questions about the potential impact of higher tariffs and changes in immigration policy on businesses. This District Data Brief analyzed their responses: clefed.org/4eq2TVG

CEOs and other senior executives surveyed in April think Consumer Price Index inflation will move up to 3.9 percent over the next 12 months, up from their expectation of 3.2 percent in January. See our latest newsletter: bit.ly/3THc8qS

The Cleveland Fed’s median PCE #inflation rate was 0.2% in May and 3% on a year-over-year basis. Latest update: clefed.org/PCE

Monthly #PCE inflation data will be released tomorrow. Our #inflation nowcasting model (updated daily!) predicts year-over-year PCE #inflation of 2.25% for May. Check it out: clefed.org/3yCkTHV #EconSky

#PresidentHammack appealed to #PolicySummit2025 attendees to get involved in the Fed’s work, one suggestion is to participate as a Beige Book contact. She also urged the audience to think of the Cleveland Fed and other Reserve Banks as a resource for the communities they serve. clefed.org/44liph5

#PresidentHammack highlights research from across the Federal Reserve System as well as work by the Cleveland Fed researchers into topics like housing affordability and workforce development at #PolicySummit2025. clefed.org/44liph5

#PresidentHammack explains why the Cle Fed is hosting #PolicySummit2025, explaining the Fed has five main responsibilities: promoting financial stability; supervision and regulation; payments; monetary policy; and key for the summit — consumer protection & community development. clefed.org/44liph5

#PresidentHammack says to #PolicySummit2025 attendees she hopes they will each share the information and solutions they learn at the summit with three people, and those people share with three more and so on, like the movie Pay It Forward. Full speech here: clefed.org/44liph5

Hello @bsky.app! We will now share Cleveland Fed news, updates, and #inflation indicators here along with our other social media channels. What other #FederalReserve content would you like to see from us? Let us know ⬇️ #EconSky #Research