Thanks Paul. It’s nice to have a paper that’s both elegant (if I may say so) and practically useful. The conclusion is that using a particular covariate balancing PS estimator — inverse probability tilting — renders IPW, AIPW, and IPWRA all numerically identical with a linear conditional mean.

Neighborhood having nice colors today. #Copenhagen #Autumn

"Has been linked..."

!! Excellent! “Counting U.S.-led buys on the list … the total comes to about €6.8 billion, around 8 percent of Berlin’s plan, with the rest overwhelmingly going to European industry.” www.politico.eu/article/germ...

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This new CESifo working paper on covariate balancing looks very interesting. @jmwooldridge.bsky.social Link: www.ifo.de/DocDL/cesifo...

“We hope you have enjoyed the summer, relaxed, maybe read that book that has been waiting for you on the shelf, perhaps while enjoying an ice cream in the sun. Perhaps you have experienced something new or simply relaxed and enjoyed the summer’s tranquillity.” This reads like mockery... 😣

Germany's automotive and consumer goods industries are stalling, but the defense sector is booming. Live feed from the Porsche and Hugo Boss strategy meetings.

That's essentially what happened to @dingdingpeng.the100.ci, no? 😄

How was staying quiet not an evolutionary more successful strategy for infants?

Always the same tropes: "The West has fallen," "owning lots of books makes you immediately smarter," spurious correlations treated as evidence, and discomfort with the world of one's youth changing. If this is your magnum opus, James, it's not exactly original.

This is EXACTLY how RFK Jr built his career: turning civil litigation against “chemicals” into a pseudoscience cash grab. What’s shocking is seeing people who claim to do scicomm sanitize this well-known tactic, ESPECIALLY as our federal health agencies have been hijacked by science deniers. 5/

Excited to join the Impact 25 workshop at #EurIPS2025 in Copenhagen, Dec 6–7! 🌍✨ We'll explore how to boost the real-world impact of causal ML, representation learning, discovery & inference across health, social & earth sciences. 👉 impact-25.causal.dev #CausalInference #CausalML #Impact25

I cooked a super tasty Jambalaya. And I drank an ice cold Stella Artois with it. Life can be so simple. 😇

Positive connotation notwithstanding (they wave the flag on children's' birthdays), it's sad that this kind of messaging seems to appeal to Danish consumers. The white, nativist undertones are just too easily twisted and corrupted.

Stefan Zweig’s description of this process in the “World of Tomorrow” echoing loudly today - a mix of intellectual and political snobbery, failure to address systemic inequalities, media manipulation, gangs of bullies going around, the status quo challenged by massive technological advances etc

Humanity: "We might be close to inventing the universal translator." Random Bluesky user: "Please shoot me!" 🤯🔫

Big story in the battle between Brussels and Big Tech: The EU is poised to exclude Meta, Apple, Google and Amazon from a new system to share citizens’ financial data, in the face of Trump’s retaliation threats @bmoens.bsky.social & @paolatamma.bsky.social with the news on.ft.com/46tA9Yv

On the other hand, without some common ground, society can't hold together. It's always a balancing act—reaching out to the other side without crossing the line into debating Nazis. And it's particularly difficult in a highly polarized two-party system.

"They shrank their audiences" Keep in mind that with rare exceptions I cross-post the exact same info/links across all 5 platforms at the same time.

Per Reuters, Pentagon has informed European diplomats that the United States will partially halt military assistance to the Baltic nations and NATO member states bordering Russia. The department stated that the decision is linked to the United States’ new priority — “homeland defense.”

I guess this is my job now

What will Europe do to absorb the talent that's pushed out of the U.S.?

Critical part of the President's new $100,000 charge for H1-B visas: The Administration can also offer a $100,000 discount to any person, company, or industry that it wants. Replacing rules with arbitrary discretion. Want visas? You know who to call and who to flatter.

A lot of people are talking about tech, but this is also another big tax on universities who hire many faculty from overseas--and they absolutely do not have $100k to spend on a fee. Universities will drop H1-B employees and end hiring them *starting immediately.*

Honestly, seeing this type of "empirical" bullshit kind of makes me understand econ's superiority complex as a discipline*. *exceptions apply for quant pol sci and sociology and empirical tax, accounting and finance researchers, applied micro is more of a method than a field anyways.

If I were Starmer/Merz, I’d be on the phone with Silicon Valley all day trying to convince them to move R&D with a global workforce to their country, ideally to areas that need the employment. It be unpopular with the right but both leader got 3/4 years to make it work….

kids these days just don’t understand their computer’s filesystem. gotta organise your files into folders, not just rely on cloud and search!

On the other hand, I don't think it's a good idea for a philosophers to build a philosophical position on top of heterodox science. For example, some political philosophers used Modern Monetary Theory (a heterodox collection of theories in macroeconomics). I think that is a bad idea, in general.

Why are we still debating principles in American politics when it’s obvious the game is just about raw will to power?

Looking forward to teaching a workshop at VU FEBA in Vilnius on “Sensitivity Analysis for Causal Regression & Mediation Designs” 🧑‍💻 📅 Oct 9–10 📍 TechHub 35-30 We’ll dive into robustness checks for causal inference + do some hands-on work in R & Stata. Excited for two days of learning + discussion!

“The Russian state functions as an organized crime syndicate.” - Anders Aslund, Former Senior Fellow at the Atlantic Council

Ok. Einmal noch. Charlie Kirk hatte das Recht, extreme Ansichten zu vertreten. Gewalt gegen Leute wie ihn ist inakzeptabel. Aber wer sagt, er habe "die Debatte mit Andersdenkenden" gesucht, hat sich nie seine Auftritte angesehen, und weiß nicht, wie diese Art von Debatten funktioniert. (Thread)

Interesting thread, and not about what you'd initially expect.

Interesting from Kallas: "India's participation in Russia's military exercises and its purchase of Russian oil stand in the way of closer ties. Because, ultimately, our partnership is not only about trade, but also about defending rules-based international order" www.eeas.europa.eu/eeas/college...

If you think about it, the whole "you can still be racist even if you have lots of minority friends" thing neatly sums up everything that went off the rails in 2010s discourse.

Wow, this is perfectly illustrating the troubles with modern tailoring, even for someone who's as fit as Daniel Craig.

if you want to understand tailoring, you only need to watch mid-century movies, when actors were dressed by tailors, not brands. in the 1944 film cover girl, gene kelly's suit drapes beautifully, moving with him, not against him. collar stays on his neck, even as he dances.

Head of the Presidential Office Andriy Yermak: Next week, the EU will begin talks on building a “drone wall” along its eastern border to defend against Russian threats. Ukraine is expected to join. “We are the only country in Europe fighting a modern war. Warfare has changed, armies must adapt.”

19 September 1934 | A Dutch Jewish boy, Ise Wilk, was born in Leiden. In December 1942, he was deported to #Auschwitz and murdered in a gas chamber.

absolutely perfect piece of @financialtimes.com investigative journalism www.ft.com/content/3c1a...

Interesting findings on working from home and isolation. WFH clearly offers big flexibility advantages, but the downsides shouldn't be overlooked, especially since network effects matter. Going to the office and meeting people isn't just an individual choice.

This article isn't really about science. Eloquence, however, is no indicator of scientific quality. And the research it cites sits squarely in the positivist tradition. Time for a moratorium on pleas for more mixed-methods and interpretivist approaches from the UK!

Republican style is part of a performative rebellion. Not against the ruling class, but the elites that police tone and taste. Which is to say legacy media, academics, and coastal cosmopolitans who talk about "political correctness." There is a lot of culture war; little policy to help working ppl.

What makes Bluesky different: it’s open source, so anyone can contribute to building the experience they want. And even if you build a whole new app, the protocol means you can migrate with your data, identity, and relationships intact.

A complete collapse of political norms around virtue and ethics since 2016. This celebration of cruelty and violence, and the encouragement of the public to take joy in violence against others, is very unhealthy for society.

📈Did you know that Economists for Ukraine has created a repository of research papers on #Ukraine and the Russian invasion? It includes categories such as finance, sanctions, trade, agriculture, energy, labor markets, and governance. #EconSky See our database: econ4ua.org/research-rep...

CL season starts now. Let’s go, Bayern! 🔴⚪️🔥 #MiaSanMia #FCBCHE

"No one has a complete picture of what a department is like from the outside. That’s why it’s important to ask questions—to a lot of people." 👍

You're very welcome @vincentab.bsky.social P.S. Check out our preprint on an alternative to staring at coefficients: j-rohrer.github.io/marginal-psy...