Poor Matt Goodwin. All he ever wanted was to be a hard working MP/academic/tv presenter/commentator/writer/pollster/wealth adviser/women’s health guru and you all ripped that away from him. A shame

Check out the post below by @philipjcowley.bsky.social, who’s written a great summary of ongoing work by me, @hannahbunting.bsky.social, @cerifowler.bsky.social, @jess-smith.bsky.social, and @annasanders.bsky.social on gender gaps in “don’t know” responses👇

New Swingometer! The Gorton and Denton By-election: A tale of Two Manchesters open.substack.com/pub/swingome...

Or the parking on the pavement crisis

This week, an X user created an AI video of me being chloroformed and prepared for rape. Victims are told it's not real and they're getting offended for no reason. But nudification tools are weapons of sexual assault, and the harm they cause is real 👇 jessasato.substack.com/p/ai-nudific...

Share a photograph of a mountain that you’ve taken (Pico do Arieiro, Madeira - a place I think about almost daily)

Lab to DK is a group twice as large as Lab to Ref (and losses to DK are often easiest to win back) Lab to Grn/LD is a group three times as large as Lab to Ref (and on multiple metrics this group looks more open to returning to Labour)

🚨New article in @electoralstudies.bsky.social🚨 New method using open-text survey, parliament speech analysis & conjoint experiment to detect policies/issues where all of: 1) bottom-up public demand 2) elites are neglecting it 3) would motivate vote choice if party adopt it tinyurl.com/44ryyybc 🧵

There is one week left to apply for @uclspp.bsky.social's new Lecturer in British and Comparative Politics role! Importantly, the successful candidate will also join our senior team and contribute to our research and impact activities. Applicants must have, or be near to finishing, a PhD. Apply 👇

What do ex-Labour Reform supporters believe in? Data shows estimated difference in support between “Labour Loyalists” and “Labour to Reform Switchers” By @lottehargrave.bsky.social.

🧵 Thread on new research on gender gaps in “don’t know” responses Some of you will know that my stellar coauthors @hannahbunting.bsky.social @cerifowler.bsky.social @jess-smith.bsky.social @annasanders.bsky.social & I have been working on a large-scale project on “don’t know” responses in surveys.

🚨 NEW BLOG Labour have won every election in Wales for 100 years, but they are on track to (badly) lose the 2026 Senedd election - why? @jaclarner.bsky.social and I have looked at new data, which shows how support is shifting within (not between) Wales's blocs! blogs.cardiff.ac.uk/thinking-wal...

Are there policies that everyone in Britain can agree on? This visualisation shows which kinds of policies make a platform more appealing when voters weigh competing priorities. By @lottehargrave.bsky.social.

This is a thread of quotes and curiosities from Appendix 1 of The British General Election of 2024 book by John Curtice, @lottehargrave.bsky.social @patrick-pme.bsky.social and myself, available as a free pdf under "Back Matter" at link.springer.com/book/10.1007...

The Appendices for The British General Election of 2024 book are available (for free) under "Back Matter" at link.springer.com/book/10.1007... The first 71 pages are constituency results analysis by John Curtice, @lottehargrave.bsky.social, @patrick-pme.bsky.social, and myself.

✨A week of new articles for me!✨ "Unity and Division in the Public’s Policy Preferences After the 2024 General Election" is now out at The Political Quarterly. Blog summary here: politicalquarterly.org.uk/blog/unity-a... Full article here: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...

🚨New article🚨 What do people want from political leaders in times of crisis, and are those preferences gendered? Interested? Then check out our new Electoral Studies paper @jess-smith.bsky.social @viktorv.bsky.social @danjdevine.bsky.social @hannahbunting.bsky.social @carolineleicht.bsky.social

Many studies attribute the success of right-wing parties to sexism. What is sexism? How is it measured? How does it influence elections? My systematic review of studies on sexism as a predictor of political behavior and attitudes is about to appear in @poqjournal.bsky.social! 1/7

This is why I wouldn’t put too much stock in current MRP results showing reform majority - voters can and do tactically co-ordinate as we saw last July with anti-Con tactical voting. Indeed, strong MRP results for Reform may help inform and encourage anti-Farage tactical voting.

1. Ecological Fallacy: just because a constituency goes from one party to another doesn't mean many individual voters made same journey 2. Availability Bias: just because you can easily picture the stereotype of a particular voter doesn't mean that they are numerous in electorate

🚨 Job Opportunity! 🚨 Applications are now open for a new 2.5-year postdoc at @edinburghpir.bsky.social to examine how parliaments gather, analyse and use different types of knowledge - see the full job listing here: elxw.fa.em3.oraclecloud.com/hcmUI/Candid...

🚨 New article out today in @cpsjournal.bsky.social ! 📄 “Strategic Inclusion Without Transformation: How Populist Radical Right Parties Engage With Women’s Interests” With Bonnie Meguid, @hildecoffe.bsky.social & Miki Kittilson 🔗 doi.org/10.1177/0010...

Sadly, I couldn’t be at APSA to accept in person - but so delighted that my article "Earning Their Stripes? How Political Experience Shapes Gendered Policy Prioritization" has won the Jewell-Loewenberg Award for the best comparative politics article in @lsqjournal.bsky.social! 🏆✨

Radical right accommodation really does not work. New paper out with this exceptionally talented team @katharinalawall.bsky.social @robjohns75.bsky.social @drjennings.bsky.social @sarahobolt.bsky.social @zachdickson.bsky.social @danjdevine.bsky.social & @jack-bailey.co.uk doi.org/10.31235/osf...

Do men see gender parity in representation as detrimental to their interests? What about when women’s representation exceeds parity? And how do such shifts affect men’s fairness perceptions? I address these questions in my article, now published in PRQ. 1/9 
doi.org/10.1177/1065...

3. it makes me incredibly, disproportionally sad to see the swimwear offering for women and realise that it's assumed that the vast majority of women don't actually want to swim when they go to the beach, they're missing out, swimming in the sea is one of the best things about being alive

📣 NEW PAPER ALERT! 🚨 "School subject choices in adolescence affect political party support" Just published in @wepsocial.bsky.social with @nspmartin.bsky.social and @rolandkappe.bsky.social. doi.org/10.1080/0140... 🧵👇

Most literature reviews miss the point.
 Not because they’re sloppy. 
But because they treat the literature like a box to tick. In my latest Respect the Marble Post, I carve out a 6-step process to writing a meaningful lit review: catherineeunicedevries.substack.com/p/most-liter... 🧵

I was up early this morning to talk to BBC 5 Live about the assisted dying bill, while I decide whether to go back to sleep in this heat here's what to expect from today's session The bill will have its third reading today, after MPs vote on some outstanding amendments from last Friday (1/10)

And @timbale.bsky.social @psurridge.bsky.social @drjennings.bsky.social and I are just putting the finishing touches on “The British General Election of 2024”, the definitive account of the contest that got off to a soggy start exactly 1 year ago…coming this autumn!

UK has a comparatively difficult registration process. Our comparative analysis of registration difficulty in 62 countries is timely as Labour consider introducing automatic voter registration. www.theguardian.com/politics/202...

Predictably fascinating from Sir John (helped, of course, by @robfordmancs.bsky.social, @stevefisher.bsky.social, @patrick-pme.bsky.social and @lottehargrave.bsky.social). Left me wondering how much Reform's success correlates with low turnout and vice versa? Guessing that might matter in 2028/9?

Labour’s “Farage is right, don’t vote for him” strategy, which was so successful on Thursday, looks set to continue.

An illustration of how FPP goes from sandbag to springboard - Reform votes and seats in different councils: Oxfordshire: 18% vote, 2% seats Cambridgeshire: 23% vote, 16% seats Devon: 27% vote, 30% seats Leicestershire: 33% vote, 46% seats Derbyshire: 37% vote, 66% seats

With apologies and/or thanks to Meghan Trainor for the earworm www.theguardian.com/politics/202...

NEW - Winning Votes and Changing Minds: Do Populist Arguments Affect Candidate Evaluations and Issue Preferences? - cup.org/4jGIsVP - @markuskollberg.bsky.social, @benlauderdale.bsky.social & @chriswratil.bsky.social #OpenAccess

Does Mainstream Populism Work❓ I answer this question in a new paper officially out at @psrm.bsky.social❗ Check out the paper here: doi.org/10.1017/psrm... Key take-aways in the thread below 🧵⬇️:

Are you a PhD or ECR interested in British or European politics? Would you like an all expenses covered trip to Manchester to present your work, meet ECR colleagues, and take part in career development events? Then this is the event for you! Be quick: one week left to apply!

Really pleased that my @annualreviews.bsky.social on "Gender and Leadership in Executive Branch Politics" w/ @tiffanydbarnes.bsky.social is now out! www.annualreviews.org/content/jour...

🚨 EPOP 2025 Call for papers now open! 🚨 Please fill out this form before the end of April to submit your paper proposal forms.office.com/e/4wBNMq4qwi Accepting presentations on all aspects of elections, public opinion and parties using all methods.

Last few days to apply for this PhD opportunity - deadline is this Friday!

Why does 25% AfD among young men spark a thousand "what is going on with young men?" posts yet Die Linke 34% among young women generates...nothing at all? Yes, young men voting for the radical right is an important phenomenon. But so is young women going rad left *at even higher rates*.

How does the “mental load” of taking care of family and household influence decisions about participating in public life? In a new @bjpols.bsky.social paper w @annanhelgoy.bsky.social we use a survey experiment priming domestic mental load to find out. doi.org/10.1017/S000... 🧵 1/9

As a frequent Manchester <-> London commuter, it does not surprise me in the slightest that Avanti comes out as the UK's least punctual train company...

There are just TWO WEEKS left to apply for this PhD opportunity with me @robfordmancs.bsky.social @martinboon.bsky.social If you've ever wondered why polls get it wrong & want to spend three years fully funded (!) figuring out the answer, then apply now: www.findaphd.com/phds/project...

I have a new article in @electoralstudies.bsky.social 🎉 It uses conjoint experiment in the UK to test how important the culture war (statues, LGBT+ representation in pop culture, DEI, transwomen athletes, curriculum diversity, and university free speech) is to voters Link👇 & results 🧵

New paper on the most disproportionate UK election: how Labour doubled its seat share with a 1.6 point increase in vote share in 2024! With @profjanegreen.bsky.social Out now in @politicalquarterly.bsky.social Link: doi.org/10.1111/1467... Short thread below🧵

Full details on the project and how to apply are available here: www.findaphd.com/phds/project... Deadline: February 28th. Please share widely with anyone who might be interested. Any questions, feel free to reach out. @uompol.bsky.social @uomsoss.bsky.social @official-uom.bsky.social

Are you (or your Masters students) puzzled by why polling misses happen in elections worldwide? Curious to uncover when, why, and how to fix it? Interested? Then apply for a fully-funded PhD w/ me, @robfordmancs.bsky.social @martinboon.bsky.social @deltapoll.bsky.social to help solve this puzzle👇

Ever wondered why polls often missed the mark? Interested in spending three years figuring out the answer? How about a fully funded PhD working with me @lottehargrave.bsky.social and @martinboon.bsky.social ? All details in the attached link - apply by Feb 28th! www.findaphd.com/phds/project...