Really interesting paper. One issue that complicates interpretation is that they their treatment is exposure to a human-centric AI assistant (ChatGPT) not an autonomous AI agent. Creates a false sense of security rather than a more accurate subjective risk perception? @mhaslberger.bsky.social ‬

Happy to see another great paper out at @jeppjournal.bsky.social .

What Happened to Labour's 2024 Voters? Using the recent wave of the @britishelectionstudy.com I look at people who voted Labour in 2024: - How many are still with the party? - How many have left? - Why might that be? TLDR: they've left because of economic issues/concerns, probably.

Today in the British elite

On the one hand, I think most people are rational, and do what they think is best for them. On the other, I have supported one of the worst teams in the football league for 20 years and currently watching them lose to Accrington Stanley.

Currently wondering whether my local vets can do this for my blind cat

There is little more important for UK democracy than a new electoral system. It's not that radical. Non-FPTP systems are used in Wales, Scotland, Northern Ireland, and parts of England (e.g., London).

There has been an arson attack on a hotel housing asylum seekers in Southampton. When, rather than if, someone dies, there HAS to be consequences for those who stoked these flames.

Another tick in the column of 'Starmer's bad decisions' (both for hiring in the first place, and then waiting to sack when everyone knew that'd be what happens anyway).

You join us live from Danny Dyer’s birthday drinks.

There has been an arson attack on a hotel housing asylum seekers in Southampton. When, rather than if, someone dies, there HAS to be consequences for those who stoked these flames.

Pre-registered causal inference study with observational data, showing multiverse analysis in the results section. Nice!

Absolute delight to attend this last week 👇

🚨 New blog post online!
 What do missing schools, closed hospitals, or long trips to the nearest train station reveal about trust in government? (1/3)

#EPOP2025 is all wrapped up! Fantastic conference rounded off with dinner at Reed Hall @hannahbunting.bsky.social @uniofexeterhass.bsky.social @psaepop.bsky.social A huge thanks to all of our presenters, panellists, delegates and colleagues who supported to make it such a success.

Crikey

Several of my great new colleagues at @sotonpolitics.bsky.social and their collaborators have to put together this blockbuster paper on what happened when the UK Labour Party adopted radical right rhetoric on immigration. A must read for centre left parties across Europe.

Great paper from an outstanding team — syllabi are gonna need to be updated around the world because of this one

It’s official - “Nigel Farage is right, don’t vote for him” is a demonstrably awful strategy for Labour. Boosts salience of immigration, costs votes on the left, doesn’t persuade any voters on right (why would they accept a crap knock-off when they can have the original?)

Personally, I am wishing Labour stop doing this because *they don't want to* rather than for electoral reasons. But that seems unlikely, so hopefully the consensus around the evidence will nudge them towards catering to the voters that put them in power.

This is such a great paper, big congrats to the team. Timely and hugely relevant 👇

We have a paper on how Labour's strategy is disastrous. There's an exclusive coverage in @newstatesman.com www.newstatesman.com/politics/202...

Genuinely sad not to be at this year's EPOP 👇

I forgot about this in the chaos of summer, but a month or so ago I was on this @instituteforgovernment.org.uk podcast on government ministers alongside @youngvulgarian.marieleconte.com @timdurrant.bsky.social and others: www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/podcast/insi...

I once went to watch Sutton United play a team local to me. They probably had 2-300 fans. Anyway, all of them were singing 'Brexit till I die' in 2019. www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...

Anyway, it's good to see that Labour's courting of the right is starting to yield dividends.

Anyway, it's good to see that Labour's courting of the right is starting to yield dividends.

Final view of Thessaloniki after an enjoyable #ecprgc25 @ecpr.bsky.social

If you're without a plan for #ecprgc25

I'm looking forward to my first @ecpr.bsky.social conference! I'm going because there's a trust bonanza organized by the indefatigable Ben Seyd and @tomwgvdmeer.bsky.social: ecpr.eu/Events/Event... Causes, consequences, trends, voting, policy, measurement and conceptualization; they've got it all 👇

After a fantastic few years, I'll soon be leaving @qmpoliticsir.bsky.social and the @mileendinstitute.bsky.social. I've been surrounded by inspiring and generous colleagues, had lots of time and freedom to pursue my own research agenda, and had the pleasure of running the Polling London project.

Wow -- a lesser spotted Job out in the wild. Not one, but three. Jobs are like buses, etc... www.jobs.ac.uk/job/DOK772/l...

I don't know if this is just a conversation I've missed, but: inflation has absolutely killed what you can do with grant budgets, which have barely increased. Projects just 10 years ago would cost 75-100% more if they were done now -- but limits haven't gone up.

This was one of the first ideas I worked on during my PhD at @politicsoxford.bsky.social. I am very grateful to @tabouchadi.bsky.social, @spyroskosmidis.bsky.social, & Jane Gingrich. Also, great peer-review experience at JEPP ( @danjdevine.bsky.social): insightful reviewers and quick turnaround!

Another great paper we're proud to see online

We are looking to recruit a part time senior research fellow to the democracy and politics team to take a leading role in IPPR’s work on the future of democracy in a time of populism. Find out more here 👇 www.ippr.org/jobs/senior-...

📢 Call for Papers – London Experimental Seminar Series (LESS) in Political Science @lsegovernment.bsky.social. We are launching a new forum for experimental political science research: First seminar: 19/11/2025. Deadline: 31/08/2025. Submit here: forms.gle/ZUJcBbZoDoaY...

🌅📙 64.3 #GovernmentTrust These authors (🧵⬇️) use experiments in 🇬🇧🇭🇷🇪🇸🇦🇷 & 🇫🇷 to determine what has the most influence on citizen's trust. They also looked at how different trust-related qualities interact and how people's own traits change the effects. 🔗 buff.ly/H5wjxBl

🌅📙 64.3 Are poor people poorly heard?👂 These authors (🧵⬇️) use citizen surveys in 🇧🇪🇨🇭🇨🇦 & 🇩🇪 to claim that politicians hold biased views of what citizens want & shows that politicians perceptions parallel the rich for the most pressing economic issues. buff.ly/5UlH75b

I know this is getting some heat but, to add to it, why is it always the 'Left' that gets lectured like this? Why not 'if you don't know anyone voting Green/Labour/Lib Dem...'?

Folks, you are publishing like mad: Exactly 14 years ago, the #farright bibliography ran to 400 titles. Since then, this number has (more than) quadrupled.

The framing of these two is something

Alongside @psaepop.bsky.social , EPSA is the best conference I've been to. And that's due to the people, and the people deserve that their fees go back to improving their work. Unlike the last 6 or so years, I'll not be at EPSA, but instead EPSS. Even though I love Prague.

This is a zombie myth that plagues social democracy and will lead Labour to oblivion.

I am looking for a PhD student in Comparative Politics @powimz.bsky.social. My research focuses on political (in-)equality, representation, and responsiveness. I would be grateful if you could help to spread the word. stellenboerse.uni-mainz.de#/jgu/job/49637

Ryan Carlin and I are scheduling Elections and Voting Behavior sec for APSA and need discussants for 2 panels: "Supporting the Extreme Right in Europe" Fri Sep 12 8:00-9:30 "Life Happens: How Personal Difficulties Shapes Voter Turnout" Sun Sep 14 10:00-11:30 Let us know if you can help! Thanks!

Going to re-up this now retro paper of mine on media coverage and support for UKIP www.cambridge.org/core/product...

Interested in working with us? Leverhulme early-career fellowships might be for you. Get in touch with us if you have an idea! www.leverhulme.ac.uk/early-career...