🗳️ Do early wins in US presidential primaries create momentum? ➡️ @jonnekamphorst.bsky.social et al. show that winning early contests like Iowa or New Hampshire has no lasting effect on later outcomes, challenging the idea of momentum in primaries www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

💍 Do interethnic marriages measure social cohesion? ➡️ Using census data from Zambia, @danielposnermd.bsky.social introduces a new approach showing intermarriage estimates change once local exposure to outgroup members is considered www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

📰 Do the effects of partisan media fade quickly or accumulate over time? ➡️ Using multiwave experiments, M Baum et al. show a single exposure can have effects lasting up to a week, while cumulative effects are hard to detect www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

NEW ISSUE from @psrm.bsky.social - Political Science Research and Methods Volume 14 - Issue 2 - April 2026 - https://cup.org/4uMWbkh #OpenAccess

🌍 Why do not all immigrant groups support progressive parties? ➡️ @korinlind.bsky.social & @antvalentim.bsky.social show immigrants from established democracies are more likely to back green parties than those from (post-)authoritarian regimes www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

🏙️ Do district-based elections change who gets elected locally? ➡️ Studying California's recent shift, M Cushing-Daniels, D Jones & @brookenshannon.bsky.social show they increased representation from lower-income areas and reduced business influence www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

💬 How can we measure inter party communication? ➡️ Using a transformer based approach, @annather-nerd.bsky.social et al. classify how parties talk about rivals (positive-negative), studying coalition signals in Germany and campaigning in Austria www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

🏛️ Why would an authoritarian state not enforce its own policies? ➡️ Studying China’s social insurance system, H Zhang & @yezhang.bsky.social find that promotion incentives and competition lead local officials to tolerate firm payroll tax evasion www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

📞 What motivates participation in consultative events? ➡️ In a field trial with Australian voters, W Minozzi, M A Neblo & @aleighmp.bsky.social show that generic invites increased uptake, while some framed messages kept participants on the call longer www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

🤖 Can LLMs replicate expert text coding? ➡️ Using interest group documents, @dahyunchoi.bsky.social D. Peskoff & B. M. Stewart show that fine tuned LLMs outperform trained coders and zero shot models in identifying informative vs associative signals www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

🧐 Can we trust estimates of political trust when preferences are hidden? ➡D Li, @xiaobolu.bsky.social S Ma & W Yang show social desirability can bias regressions, question the link between welfare and trust, and offer ways to reduce bias www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

🗳️ How can we better study the impact of major events with surveys? ➡A bertoli, L Jakli & H Pascoe clarify the strengths and weaknesses of pre and post survey designs and introduce a dual randomised survey to reduce bias www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

🏛️ Do anti elitist parties behave differently in parliament? ➡️ @simonotjes.bsky.social & L Vorsteveld use a new voting model to show that anti elitist parties vote alike and differently from others, but only on legislative votes www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

🏘️ Why is restrictive zoning linked to racial segregation? ➡️ Using agent based models and parcel level zoning data, @trounstine.bsky.social shows that restrictive rules cluster housing costs and, with unequal wealth & homophily, foster racial segregation www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

🧠 Do politicians misread their constituents' preferences? ➡️Using a new method where politicians draw preference distributions, N Dias, @jacklucas.bsky.social & @liorsheffer.bsky.social show that conservative overestimation is smaller than assumed www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

🧑‍🤝‍🧑Do politicians consider the gender of leaders when selecting coalition partners? ➡️Using a conjoint on 979 Spanish mayors, @albahuidobro.bsky.social finds that mayors, especially those on the center and left, prefer coalitions with parties led by women www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

🚺 How does femonationalism affect public opinion? ➡️Using a US survey experiment, @sophiemainz.bsky.social shows that femonationalist rhetoric boosts opposition to pluralist policies by invoking progressive gender achievements www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

📈 How should scholars model conditional relationships in time series data? ➡️ @zachmwarner.bsky.social G N Vande Kamp & S Jordan provide guidance on interaction terms in dynamic models, showing how to flexibly model and interpret moderation over time www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

🗣️ Does official rhetoric predict military escalation in autocracies? ➡️ Using word embeddings on China’s rhetoric toward Taiwan, J S.H. Wong finds that harsher language predicts a higher risk of military escalation, suggesting rhetoric is not cheap talk www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

NEW ISSUE from @psrm.bsky.social - Political Science Research and Methods - Volume 14 - Issue 1 - January 2026 - https://cup.org/3NE1AsW #OpenAccess

🗳️ How can we better measure party loyalty? ➡️ Using US congressional party leader speeches, @adamramey.bsky.social introduce a new model that disentangles legislator ideology from party loyalty and allows party influence to vary across members & over time www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

📨 Whether subjects open a message is a crucial step in experiments. ➡️ T Leavitt & V Rivera-Burgos show how mismeasurement of opens biases estimates and offer practical guidance and sensitivity analyses for message-based experiments www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

📋 How can we improve estimates from list experiments? ➡️X. Lu & R Traunmüller introduce a Bayesian approach that uses informative priors to increase efficiency and reshape substantive conclusions www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

📊How did partisan divides in mass behavior vary during COVID-19? ➡ Using panel data, B Canes-Wrone, J T Rothwell & C Makridis show that partisan gaps persist across apolitical behaviors, but narrow as personal costs rise and symbolism falls www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

🗳️ How can we identify voting blocs when individual votes are not observed? ➡ Using a Bayesian mixture model, J O’Brien recovers geographically structured voting blocs from aggregated municipal referendum data in the US (Maine 2008–2019) www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

🏛️Do party leaders influence roll call voting in the US Congress? ➡A Fowler shows that when parties switch from moderate to more extreme leaders, rank and file members cast more extreme roll call votes and are less partisan when no leader is in place www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

💰Do voters punish local politicians for raising taxes? ➡ Using close local ballot votes in California, J Courbe & @jpayson.bsky.social find little backlash after tax hikes, except for business taxes, where organized interests mobilize www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

📺Why is propaganda in autocracies often blatantly false? ➡️ @alexeizakharov.bsky.social's new model shows that even easily debunked lies can help: false reports hurt rival outlets’ credibility, especially among cynical audiences www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

📝Inattentive respondents are a growing concern in online surveys. ➡S Blatte & @bfschaffner.bsky.social that 4 to 6% of respondents pass attention checks yet remain inattentive, biasing public opinion estimates for small subgroups www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

📰How do scandals shape support for crypto rules? ➡️P D Culpepper, T Lee & R Shandler find that after the FTX scandal, news exposure boosted Democrats’ support for regulation, while Republicans shifted only when exposed to regulatory framing cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

🗳️How stable is issue ownership over time? ➡️ @donyhu.bsky.social J-F Baumert, @jeonghochoi.bsky.social @sebastianjblock.bsky.social & M Harmening propose a Bayesian model to estimate dynamic issue ownership, showing gradual change over time www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

🇪🇺How do coalition parties monitor EU policymaking without a seat at the table? ➡️Using committee & rapporteur data, @pitrieger.bsky.social finds that sidelined parties shadow coalition partners via EU Parliament committees, reducing information gaps www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

🪖What shapes attitudes toward wartime negotiation? 🇺🇦 ➡️ A. Getmansky et al find that in Ukraine, exposure to violence does not immediately reduce support for talks with Russia and can even increase it, though support declines over time www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

⚖️What motivates moderate candidates to run for office? ➡️ @aeggers.bsky.social A Fowler, W Howell & @mollyow.bsky.social show that higher salaries, better winning chances, and greater authority increase interest in running for office www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

🧑‍🎓Can democracy promotion strengthen support for democracy in terrorism-affected regions? ➡️ Using a randomized experiment in Burkina Faso, S Yameogo @anjaneundorf.bsky.social & @aykutozturk.bsky.social find that democracy promotion videos boost democratic support www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

✖️Who produces most online hate speech and how effective is counterspeech? ➡️ @gloriagennaro.bsky.social et al. find that hate speech is concentrated among a few users and that counterspeech on X mostly fails to curb prolific offenders www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

🫡Do multiple parties help dictators survive? ➡️ Using data from Latin America, @natanski.bsky.social & @aperezli.bsky.social find that allowing multiple parties can reduce the risk of popular revolt but increases the likelihood of gradual democratization www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

🤷Does tribal thinking toward ethnic out-groups shape policy support? ➡️Using visual conjoints in Germany and the Netherlands, @bertous.bsky.social & @turnbulldugarte.com show that nativists support policies selectively based on group cues www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

🫨How do voters respond to economic shocks from abroad? ➡️ @costinciobanu.bsky.social & @joostvanspanje.bsky.social show that after the 2008 Lehman collapse, economic satisfaction fell but voters rallied behind incumbents in several European countries www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

🏛️Are U.S. presidential executive orders really unilateral? ➡️ @anniebenn.bsky.social shows that greater delegation and discretion in executive orders increase congressional oversight, revealing a hidden form of interbranch conflict www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

🪙Do politicians signal partisan conflict through what they say? ➡️ Using Danish parliamentary debates, @mathiasoestergaard.bsky.social & @fghjorth.bsky.social show that vocal pitch signals partisan polarization, revealing the strategic use of nonverbal cues cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

🪙Do economic sanctions negatively affect democracy and human rights in targeted countries? ➡️ @antonpeez.bsky.social re-examines the effects of Western sanctions to improve democracy and human rights from 1990-2021 and finds that negative effects persist www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

🤖 Does GPT lean left or right across languages? ➡C. P. Walker & @joantimoneda.bsky.social find GPT output reflects local political attitudes: more conservative in Polish, more liberal in Swedish, and more pro-independence in Catalan www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

🏘️ Does local exposure to refugee housing increase far right voting? ➡️ Using granular Berlin data, J Ferwerda & @riazsascha.bsky.social show refugee housing increased support for the far-right, but the backlash was geographically narrow in scope www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

🗳️ How does having more than one citizenship shape political participation? ➡️ S Jung , Y Lee & C Wong find US born dual citizens are more active than naturalized dual citizens. Having dual citizenship plays a relevant role in civic engagement www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

🧠 Do IO leaders help their countries gain staff influence? ➡️ Using data from 25 UN agencies (1996–2022), J Chen, T Gui & L Wang find that leaders increase national representation by using contributions and stronger institutional ties www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

🧠 How inaccurate are public perceptions of immigration? ➡️ @lutzphilipp.bsky.social & M Bitschnau show that many supposed misperceptions are actually guesses, offering a sharper way to study how perceptions shape political attitudes www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

🚜 How does coercive social mobilisation shape political attitudes? ➡️ Using an RDD, A. Lee, W. Qi & D. Sun show that Chinese youth sent to labor in rural areas became more critical of local government but more supportive of the national regime www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

⚡ Can political signals push capital toward clean energy? ➡️ @patrickbayer.bsky.social @lorenzocrippa.bsky.social & @fgenovese.bsky.social show that EU Commission announcements during the early Ukraine war briefly moved markets toward greener energy firms www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView

🗳️ What drives democratic renewal in U.S. states? ➡️ Using Coincidence Analysis, @jesserhodesumass.bsky.social finds three routes to stronger democracy, centered on the Dem Party and unions, with roles for diverse populations and a liberal public mood www.cambridge.org/core/journal... #FirstView