Brian Schaffner
@bfschaffner.bsky.social
đ¤ 3352
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Political scientist ~ Newhouse Professor of Civic Studies at Tufts ~ CES Whisperer ~
#COYS
#GoDawgs
pinned post!
đ¨đ¨đ¨ The Cooperative Election Study's 2024 vote validation data is now available! Microdata:
doi.org/10.7910/DVN/...
Or easy interactive analysis of the data on... vote choice:
cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/VoteTrends/
demographics of voters:
cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/votercomp/
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https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/X11EP6
9 months ago
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Brian Schaffner
Joel Wertheimer
7 days ago
I don't know what the phrase is when your nephew is a lot like you, but my nephew was in
@bfschaffner.bsky.social
's methods class this semester and did an interesting study on ideological extremity and politicians raising money and being mean on the internet.
tufts-pol.medium.com/who-is-drivi...
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Who is driving polarization? The role of ideological extremity in communication and funding
by Fatima Eisa (â26), Shayna Levy (â28), Chloe Walker (â28), and Eliot Wertheimer (â29)
https://tufts-pol.medium.com/who-is-driving-polarization-the-role-of-ideological-extremity-in-communication-and-funding-52926c4fd2c8
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Brian Schaffner
we recently upgraded the CES shiny apps...most of the improvements are aesthetic, but one notable addition is the ability to see breakdowns of the vote for governor and senate in states with large enough samples! full set of apps are here:
tischcollege.tufts.edu/research-fac...
11 days ago
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we recently upgraded the CES shiny apps...most of the improvements are aesthetic, but one notable addition is the ability to see breakdowns of the vote for governor and senate in states with large enough samples! full set of apps are here:
tischcollege.tufts.edu/research-fac...
11 days ago
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sometimes i see a
@today.yougov.com
poll question and think that the only possible reason for its existence is to settle a bet between two of their employees
19 days ago
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Brian Schaffner
Good Authority
28 days ago
Democrats and Republicans disagree on what political violence even is... The crux of the disagreement? Whether the governmentâs actions can constitute violence. Read why this matters here:
goodauthority.org/news/democra...
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Democrats and Republicans disagree on what political violence even is
The crux of the disagreement? Whether the governmentâs actions can constitute violence.
https://goodauthority.org/news/democrats-and-republicans-disagree-on-what-political-violence-even-is/
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Brian Schaffner
earlier this month
@tufts.edu
senior Miles Kendrick and I fielded a survey with
@today.yougov.com
to better understand what acts people think are political violence. there are some points of agreement & some clear differences of opinion.
goodauthority.org/news/democra...
29 days ago
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earlier this month
@tufts.edu
senior Miles Kendrick and I fielded a survey with
@today.yougov.com
to better understand what acts people think are political violence. there are some points of agreement & some clear differences of opinion.
goodauthority.org/news/democra...
29 days ago
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Brian Schaffner
Lee Drutman
2 months ago
This feels like a pretty significant development that's not likely to reverse.
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in conjunction with this report, we are also today releasing the data for the 2025 CES common content. includes interviews with 17,000 American adults conducted in late 2025. dig in!
doi.org/10.7910/DVN/...
add a skeleton here at some point
2 months ago
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there's a new report out from YouGov using CES data to plot trends in partisanship over the past two decades. i've got a piece up today in
@goodauth.bsky.social
summarizing some key findings. check out both! GA piece:
goodauthority.org/news/long-st...
YouGov report:
yougov.com/en-us/articl...
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The long-standing Democratic advantage in party identification is gone
A new report shows how much the partisan landscape has shifted.
https://goodauthority.org/news/long-standing-democratic-advantage-in-party-identification-is-gone/
2 months ago
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Brian Schaffner
we've put out the call for teams for the 2026 cooperative election study! be the unsung hero who organizes your colleagues for a module
tischcollege.tufts.edu/research-fac...
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About & Methodology
Learn about how teams can participate in the CES by purchasing survey modules, the sampling and weighting methods used to ensure representative data, and how the questionnaire is structured.
https://tischcollege.tufts.edu/research-faculty/research-centers/cooperative-election-study/about-methodology
3 months ago
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we've put out the call for teams for the 2026 cooperative election study! be the unsung hero who organizes your colleagues for a module
tischcollege.tufts.edu/research-fac...
loading . . .
About & Methodology
Learn about how teams can participate in the CES by purchasing survey modules, the sampling and weighting methods used to ensure representative data, and how the questionnaire is structured.
https://tischcollege.tufts.edu/research-faculty/research-centers/cooperative-election-study/about-methodology
3 months ago
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Brian Schaffner
Good Authority
3 months ago
Most Americans donât see compromise as central to good citizenship. Our election survey data reveal some surprising findings. The latest from
@bfschaffner.bsky.social
, see the data here:
goodauthority.org/news/most-am...
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Most Americans donât see compromise as central to good citizenship
Most Americans donât see compromise as central to good citizenship. Our election survey data reveal some surprising findings.
https://goodauthority.org/news/most-americans-dont-see-compromise-as-central-to-good-citizenship/
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in 2024, Trump improved most on his vote share in counties that saw the smallest numbers of people moving there. the newest @TuftsUniversity Public Opinion Lab blog post from Toby Winick.
tufts-pol.medium.com/trumps-suppo...
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Trumpâs support increased the most in counties with the fewest transplants
by Toby Winick (class of 2026)
https://tufts-pol.medium.com/trumps-support-increased-the-most-in-counties-with-the-fewest-transplants-2cd319da0199
3 months ago
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there are a lot of things that Americans think are important for being a good citizen, engaging in compromise is not one of them ... my latest post with
@goodauth.bsky.social
goodauthority.org/news/most-am...
3 months ago
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Brian Schaffner
Ryan Briggs
3 months ago
I have a new paper. We look at ~all stats articles in political science post-2010 & show that 94% have abstracts that claim to reject a null. Only 2% present only null results. This is hard to explain unless the research process has a filter that only lets rejections through.
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in a new Tufts Public Opinion Lab post, Seona Maskara (class of '26) shows that LGBTQ liberals are more supportive of Gaza than other liberals
tufts-pol.medium.com/queers-for-p...
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âQueers for Palestineâ: Ironic, or a representation of Queer Theory in action?
by Seona Maskara (class of 2026)
https://tufts-pol.medium.com/queers-for-palestine-ironic-or-a-representation-of-queer-theory-in-action-152b8a1f0c7c?postPublishedType=initial
4 months ago
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Brian Schaffner
Political Science Research and Methods
4 months ago
đInattentive respondents are a growing concern in online surveys. âĄS Blatte &
@bfschaffner.bsky.social
that 4 to 6% of respondents pass attention checks yet remain inattentive, biasing public opinion estimates for small subgroups
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
#FirstView
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Brian Schaffner
Kevin Collins
5 months ago
Very interesting new study using CES data from Scott Platte and
@bfschaffner.bsky.social
new in
@psrm.bsky.social
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
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Brian Schaffner
i have a new article out in
@psrm.bsky.social
with Scott Blatte exploring respondent attentiveness in the Cooperative Election Study. we find fairly low rates of inattentiveness but our intervention failed to nudge respondents to pay more attention (thread)
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
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Surviving the screens: the problem of hidden inattentive respondents in online surveys | Political Science Research and Methods | Cambridge Core
Surviving the screens: the problem of hidden inattentive respondents in online surveys
https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/political-science-research-and-methods/article/surviving-the-screens-the-problem-of-hidden-inattentive-respondents-in-online-surveys/03E8124003602275BDE82A76C104F9D2?utm_date=20260108&utm_id=1767866357&utm_campaign=Open%20Access,RAM&utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_content
5 months ago
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i have a new article out in
@psrm.bsky.social
with Scott Blatte exploring respondent attentiveness in the Cooperative Election Study. we find fairly low rates of inattentiveness but our intervention failed to nudge respondents to pay more attention (thread)
www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
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Surviving the screens: the problem of hidden inattentive respondents in online surveys | Political Science Research and Methods | Cambridge Core
Surviving the screens: the problem of hidden inattentive respondents in online surveys
https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/political-science-research-and-methods/article/surviving-the-screens-the-problem-of-hidden-inattentive-respondents-in-online-surveys/03E8124003602275BDE82A76C104F9D2?utm_date=20260108&utm_id=1767866357&utm_campaign=Open%20Access,RAM&utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_content
5 months ago
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Brian Schaffner
Mia Costa
5 months ago
If you need a cite backing up that issues commonly associated with African Americans (like criminal justice and poverty) *are actually perceived to be* associated with African Americans and we aren't just all talking out of our @$$ assuming that criminal justice=Black, Tatishe and I did the work:
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in the newest Tufts Public Opinion Lab post, Miles Kendrick and Rachel Kuhn show that while Black Americans with college experience strongly support affirmative action, those without such experiences oppose it
tufts-pol.medium.com/the-x-perien...
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The X-perience Factor: What polls miss about Black experience with college and support forâŚ
by Miles Kendrick (class of 20026) and Rachel Kuhn (class of 20026)
https://tufts-pol.medium.com/the-x-perience-factor-what-polls-miss-about-black-experience-with-college-and-support-for-24bbee658091
5 months ago
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Brian Schaffner
really interesting analysis from Tufts Public Opinion Lab alum Zoe Kava!
add a skeleton here at some point
6 months ago
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really interesting analysis from Tufts Public Opinion Lab alum Zoe Kava!
add a skeleton here at some point
6 months ago
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this deep dive on immigration attitudes from Tufts (and CES) alum Caroline Soler and her co-authors is really good!
www.nytimes.com/2025/11/19/p...
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How Americans Feel About Immigrants and Immigration
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/11/19/polls/how-americans-feel-immigration.html?unlocked_article_code=1.2U8.P4fL.8Ru-fJuDEd4a&smid=bs-share
6 months ago
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Brian Schaffner
Dan Cassino
6 months ago
This is out today in open access, and while it's very much a methodology piece, I think it's really important to building the foundation for how we move forward with understanding the role of gender in politics.
add a skeleton here at some point
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worth noting that some of this tension was clear in the NYC mayoral, as exit polls show that Mamdani received 79% of the secular white vote, but just 56% among black voters.
add a skeleton here at some point
7 months ago
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Brian Schaffner
atheist/agnostic Americans are now the biggest single voting bloc in the Democratic Party, and their leftist views may be alienating another of the party's traditional sources of strength ... new piece from me and Steve Ansolabehere
@goodauth.bsky.social
goodauthority.org/news/secular...
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Secular Democrats are on the rise
Fewer Democrats identify as religious. Thatâs creating tension with Black voters.
https://goodauthority.org/news/secular-democrats-are-on-the-rise/
7 months ago
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atheist/agnostic Americans are now the biggest single voting bloc in the Democratic Party, and their leftist views may be alienating another of the party's traditional sources of strength ... new piece from me and Steve Ansolabehere
@goodauth.bsky.social
goodauthority.org/news/secular...
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Secular Democrats are on the rise
Fewer Democrats identify as religious. Thatâs creating tension with Black voters.
https://goodauthority.org/news/secular-democrats-are-on-the-rise/
7 months ago
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Brian Schaffner
the
@nytimes.com
recently profiled LGB Republicans, in the newest Tufts Public Opinion Lab blog post, Toby Winick explores what the data tells about this group and finds that they look quite different from other LGB Americans
tufts-pol.medium.com/lgb-republic...
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LGB Republicans look a lot like other Republicans and less like other LGB Americans
by Toby Winick (class of â2026)
https://tufts-pol.medium.com/lgb-republicans-look-a-lot-like-other-republicans-and-less-like-other-lgb-americans-d9f6b6939596
7 months ago
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the
@nytimes.com
recently profiled LGB Republicans, in the newest Tufts Public Opinion Lab blog post, Toby Winick explores what the data tells about this group and finds that they look quite different from other LGB Americans
tufts-pol.medium.com/lgb-republic...
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LGB Republicans look a lot like other Republicans and less like other LGB Americans
by Toby Winick (class of â2026)
https://tufts-pol.medium.com/lgb-republicans-look-a-lot-like-other-republicans-and-less-like-other-lgb-americans-d9f6b6939596
7 months ago
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newest Tufts public opinion lab blog features Rolando Ortega exploring how Latino attitudes differ across generations
tufts-pol.medium.com/qu%C3%A9-est...
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ÂżQuĂŠ EstĂĄ Pasando? Generational Assimilation & Latino Americaâs Rightward Shift
by Rolando Ortega (class of â26)
https://tufts-pol.medium.com/qu%C3%A9-est%C3%A1-pasando-generational-assimilation-latino-americas-rightward-shift-8b3b431ab6a6
7 months ago
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the outcome of the 2024 election increased confidence in U.S. elections among Trump voters, but they still lagged behind Harris voters...newest
@goodauth.bsky.social
post with Caroline Soler
goodauthority.org/news/many-tr...
9 months ago
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in a new
@goodauth.bsky.social
post with Caroline Soler, we use vote validated CES data to show that nonvoters preferred Trump over Harris for president but Dems over Reps in down ballot races
goodauthority.org/news/trump-a...
9 months ago
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after 15 months, today is Caroline Soler's last day as the CES research associate. she has been a tremendous asset to the study and is going to be missed in so many ways. but she's on to bigger and better things with the Election Analytics team for the
@nytimes.com
!
9 months ago
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Brian Schaffner
đ¨đ¨đ¨ The Cooperative Election Study's 2024 vote validation data is now available! Microdata:
doi.org/10.7910/DVN/...
Or easy interactive analysis of the data on... vote choice:
cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/VoteTrends/
demographics of voters:
cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/votercomp/
loading . . .
https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/X11EP6
9 months ago
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reposted by
Brian Schaffner
G Elliott Morris
9 months ago
fuck yeah, it's christmas day
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đ¨đ¨đ¨ The Cooperative Election Study's 2024 vote validation data is now available! Microdata:
doi.org/10.7910/DVN/...
Or easy interactive analysis of the data on... vote choice:
cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/VoteTrends/
demographics of voters:
cooperativeelectionstudy.shinyapps.io/votercomp/
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https://doi.org/10.7910/DVN/X11EP6
9 months ago
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in the newest post on the CES blog, Caroline Soler digs in to the question of what is the best approach for identifying Evangelicals in surveys
sites.tufts.edu/cooperativee...
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When we talk about evangelicals, who are we actually talking about? â Cooperative Election Study Blog
https://sites.tufts.edu/cooperativeelectionstudy/2025/08/01/when-we-talk-about-evangelicals-who-are-we-actually-talking-about/
10 months ago
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still time to sign up for a 2025 CES module if you're interested!
add a skeleton here at some point
10 months ago
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Brian Schaffner
we have just released the call for those interested in purchasing a module for the 2025 CES see here:
sites.tufts.edu/cooperativee...
and if you haven't done so already, make sure to register ASAP for the 2025 CES conference (being held 6/1 - 6/3 at Solitude Mountain Resort):
cesconference.byu.edu
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Announcing the 2025 Cooperative Election Study â Cooperative Election Study Blog
https://sites.tufts.edu/cooperativeelectionstudy/2025/04/15/announcing-the-2025-cooperative-election-study/
about 1 year ago
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Lucy Morisse-Corsetti asked Americans what they think their government owes them...hint: it's quite a lot. Check out her new post on the @TuftsUniversity Public Opinion Lab blog!
tufts-pol.medium.com/what-your-go...
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What your government can do for you: Exploring Americansâ perceptions of governmentâŚ
by Lucy Morisse-Corsetti
https://tufts-pol.medium.com/what-your-government-can-do-for-you-exploring-americans-perceptions-of-government-533a66ce2540
10 months ago
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in 2008, Conservative Jews voted similarly to Reform/Reconstructionist Jews but by 2024 there was more than a 20-point gap between those two groups
10 months ago
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reposted by
Brian Schaffner
Peter Levine
11 months ago
The word 'civility' has sometimes meant politeness and sometimes meant equality and political freedom. With citations to Machiavelli, Wycliffe, Shakespeare, and others:
peterlevine.ws?p=34156
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in the newest Tufts Public Opinion Lab blog post, Jackson Wetherill explores the intersection of NIMBYism and partisanship when it comes to attitudes towards affordable housing
tufts-pol.medium.com/its-not-just...
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Itâs not just NIMBYism: How partisanship shapes support for affordable housing
by Jackson Wetherill
https://tufts-pol.medium.com/its-not-just-nimbyism-how-partisanship-shapes-support-for-affordable-housing-9e7468ec9cdc
11 months ago
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reposted by
Brian Schaffner
Drew Engelhardt
11 months ago
Panel!
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it's not just that Hispanic voters shifted Republican since 2020, it's also the case that some of them no longer even identify as Hispanic! new
@goodauth.bsky.social
post from me and Caroline Soler
goodauthority.org/news/democra...
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Democratsâ losses among Hispanic voters may be larger than they look.
Conservative Hispanic Americans are ditching their Hispanic identity, surveys show.
https://goodauthority.org/news/democrats-losses-among-hispanic-voters-may-be-larger-than-they-look/
11 months ago
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in a new Tufts Public Opinion Lab blog post, Caroline Soler analyzes data from April asking people how much eggs cost now and how much they will cost in the future. big partisan gaps in perceptions of current prices, even bigger for expectations of future prices
tufts-pol.medium.com/republicans-...
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Republicans think eggs will be cheaper under Trump, Democrats disagree
by Caroline Soler
https://tufts-pol.medium.com/republicans-think-eggs-will-be-cheaper-under-trump-democrats-disagree-670e252dedec
11 months ago
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it's been 10 years since the last
@pewresearch.org
Religious Landscape Study, but the release of a new study gave Caroline Soler a chance to see how the CES stacked up against this benchmark. overall, the surveys produce very similar portraits of religion in America!
sites.tufts.edu/cooperativee...
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Does the CES accurately reflect Americaâs religious landscape? â Cooperative Election Study Blog
https://sites.tufts.edu/cooperativeelectionstudy/2025/06/18/does-the-ces-accurately-reflect-americas-religious-landscape/
11 months ago
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