There are several candidates running for Mayor of Newark, but it’s not going to be a race. Incumbent Ras Baraka has a substantial personal constituency, big enough to guarantee him victory in what’s expected to be a *very* low turnout election.

🏅In one of our most read articles this week, "Perceptions of Feminism as a Threat", @evaanduiza.bsky.social & @gefjonoff.bsky.social focus on the case of 🇪🇸 to understand resistance to feminism and measure perceptions of feminism as a threat. 🌟 Available #OpenAccess 🌟 buff.ly/9fHnTSI

We mock Grover, for why should a monster be afraid of monsters? But are we all not afraid of the inevitable ending when we must confront our own true selves? Do we not construct barriers to postpone that dreadful day, knowing that are flimsy, knowing that they must fail?

There are two higher ed Bluskies right now:

I am not in the business of just preparing “future workers” no matter how hard they try to make me.

I had a professor in grad school who refused to take grading home with him. As such, he would grade on the train home, then ride the subway back and forth until he finished scoring everything: his reward for finishing was that he got to go home.

Man, did Yeats have our number or what?

I have never successfully pitched a show for the EHG Canon, and an episode of Iron Chef informed by my academic research seems like a long shot. Only one way to find out if I was successful!

To the many people who loved TWoP but don’t know all three co-founders now do a weekly podcast often featuring ex-recappers as guests: get into @extrahotgreat.com / extrahotgreat.com

In the past, Congress dealt with thorny issues like this by hiring a bunch of experts, giving them staff and resources, and having them work out the details through the regulatory process. Trump's purge of Executive agencies means that approach simply can't work any more.

Prime with ads. Just how Kubrick intended.

Votehub is projecting a Dem flip in Tom Kean, Jr’s district. Not a surprise- it would have been tight even with a healthy candidate- but in a wave election with an absentee candidate, this seat is going to be very hard for Republicans to hold.

Virile vibes are all very well. But young men often want to find a job, buy a home, attract a partner and raise a family. This is no different for young men who voted for Donald Trump

if you let my data go now, that'll be the end of it. but if you don't, i will email you, it will find you, and it will find you well.

Nice reference to my research in the new Economist. Masculinity appeals helped Trump dramatically among young men in 2024, but we’re seeing signs that this appeal is waning.

Writing about Greg Tate in the new @bookforum.bsky.social, @carlzoilus.bsky.social is just effortlessly adding to the lexicon.

This did not happen. Sherrill has not announced a plan, nor a concept of a plan. It would be really difficult to get the legislature to pass a redistricting amendment with a super majority in time to put it in the ballot. That’s not a “no way,” but I and a lot of others would be very surprised.

Name your top 15 TV shows ever, gut instincts only. The Americans Batman: The Animated Series ER Grey’s Anatomy Jeopardy! Kids in the Hall Law and Order (famous original) Lost Monty Python’s Flying Circus MST3K Nova The Simpsons The West Wing Vera The X-Files

My progeny, many years in the future: This phone plan has been in our family for generations, ever since your great-great grandfather refused to grow up and get his own. And now it passes to you.

The generic ballot measure is a little misleading this cycle: recruitment, on both sides, means that the median Dem candidate is expected to outperform the generic Dem by about 3 points (all a function of lagged economics, approval, and depth of field).

"Democracy relies on objective measurements of public opinion." So honored to receive the Frontiers of Knowledge Award in Social Science and to help document social realities in service of the public interest. @umisr.bsky.social #GoBlue #LookToMichigan @electionstudies.bsky.social

Hi! Great question. If you know what I do, I get this a lot, so I wrote up a blog post last year to give some tips: www.survey160.com/methodologic...

I was watching a livestream of Governor Sherrill’s press conference and it occurred to me from reading the comments that a very big reason people feel so much rage toward government and politicians is due to their lack of knowledge about how any of it works.

The assumption here is that there’s a necessary relationship between masculinity and conservatism, such that threatened gender hierarchies push men to the right. But that relationship isn’t necessary. It’s conditional. It can, and must, be fixed.

Holsten’s in Bloomfield, NJ, best known as the site of the Sopranos finale, was renovating their awning, and found the beautiful original black and white signage underneath. Rather than put up a new awning, they just left it.

yep, that just about covers all possible options

I spoke with HuffPost about the current right-wing obsession with physical appearance. www.huffpost.com/entry/right-...

Gov. Mikie Sherrill will sign a housing-related executive order in Trenton tomorrow. Among the guests? Housing official Jamie Ding, who is experiencing national fame during his Jeopardy! winning streak

In this place, at this time, a poem that starts, “Maybe it happens/ without any hint / or preparation” Seems to be talking about something very different than what the poet intended.

(fox, like other media poll sponsors, is surveying a representative sample of the public, not just their audience, and they have long done a thoroughly credible job of it)

it's fun that people posting some version of "lmfao even a FOX NEWS poll is bad for Trump" is an absolutely dead-on heuristic for "this person has absolutely no background in reading or analyzing political polling"

My presentation on gender identity and dementia risk from earlier this year at CIPHER is now available online. www.youtube.com/watch?v=n2b0...

The Atlantic cover story on where to find the best free bread is definitely a sign of a healthy economy.

Me: "There's no minimum or maximum length to your responses, but please don't write 20 pages, because I do have to read them." Students: Write 20 pages. Gotcha.

The NYT waits until the 20th paragraph to credit the @njglobe.bsky.social, which first broke this story last month and re-upped it last week. Politico didn't credit them at all. (We credited them in our first sentence.)

To be fair, it’s not at all unusual that Kean, Jr. hasn’t spoken to the press or constituents in a month.

Here in New Jersey, more than 2/3rds of voters support balcony solar panels. A bill to allow them is stalled by concerns* from power companies.

Great night for Virginia polls, with 94% of votes counted and the the "Yes" margin expected to grow a bit more www.washingtonpost.com/elections/re...

The meta story of the (imminent) Yes win in VA is the total inability of Trump to ever look down the game tree. He was apparently unable to comprehend that Democrats would respond to his push to redistrict in GOP-run states This same pehenenon is also why we are losing a war to Iran.

High quality polling averaged “Yes” +5.

Currently under embargo on Andy Serkis's ANIMAL FARM, so I am presenting without comment some of the merch available at the official Angel Studios website.

Trump's approval is similar to GWB's in 2006 but the generic ballot in June 2006 (when GWB was at about 38%) was +11 for dems. Now it's +5. Partisanship and -ve partisanship are much stronger now. Many R disapprovers will remember who their team is when there's a D on a ballot.

I think it’s entirely plausible that the Secret Service killed Kennedy (completely by accident: hung over, no safeties on their weapons, etc).

We had a similar split in NJ last year: polls showed one thing, vibes another. The polls were right. The high quality ones generally are.

My friend and colleague, Harry Keyishian died recently: his refusal to sign a McCarthy-esque loyalty oath led to a major legal victory for academic freedom.

I spoke to the NYT about masculinity and why men in the Trump administration are so vain.

There came a time when the old gods died! The brave died with cunning! The noble perished, locked in battle with unleashed evil! It was the last day for them! An ancient era was passing in fiery holocaust!

Folks are getting upset about data showing Mejia underperforming in areas with large Jewish populations (esp Livingston and Millburn). Given the composition of the electorate, a generic Dem who somehow won all Dems would have done ~5 points better. This is true, and also kind of silly.

This is another data point in the Democratic advantage in special elections this year. On average, Democrats in special elections have been doing about 12 points better than in 2024, and Mejia looks like she’s going to be pretty much exactly there.