The “Bro” part is doing a lot of work here. This isn’t about debate: it’s using a display of knowledge as a performance of masculinity. And like all such performances, it comes from a place of deep insecurity.

MST3K often thanked the authors of the First Amendment in the closing credits and for decades, that made me smile. Seeing it now, it's like a longing for something that's been lost.

About to go on the air with PIX-11 to talk about the NJ Governor's race.

10% of men under 30 are now problem gamblers. Legalized app based betting is a scourge.

i looked at the methodology for this and it is a. sex addiction counseling group in texas did a surveymonkey and extrapolated the results to the entire us population which is the sort of research design that earns you an ff on an intro methods class (the extra f is for extra effort), and b. p-hacked

I think we’ve finalized the cover of Bitcoin Bros- out in February!

Even when I was four, I knew I was supposed to be writing.

If it seems like the polls of NJ are schizophrenic, it seems to be because of differences in the underlying LV models and sampling. Anything that includes online samples seems to be leaning much more Ciattarelli than pure probability polls are.

And you can see the whole segment here.

On the air with Connecting America - USA Today’s streaming news show- to talk about the NYC Mayoral race in just a few minutes.

Wake up, babe. New response scale just dropped.

I’m not convinced that Adams dropping out makes any real difference in the NYC mayoral race. Where will his votes go? Mostly nowhere.

The Ciattarelli campaign clearly saw the leak of Sherrill’s military records as a good attack: “she was involved in a cheating scandal!” on the theory that it would undercut her military service narrative. But the details of it, and the ugly nature of the leak, seem to be rebounding against them.

This sort of thing is very clearly Bad. But it’s helpful to think about why Presidents generally don’t try to use their control of the Executive Branch to short circuit appropriations.

@legopolis.bsky.social Listening to a recent Random Pursuit, and have just a correction, solely because it’s a hockey thing I know you’d want to get right. The Jersey Devils do not play near MetLife/The Meadowlands (where the Jets and Giants are). They’re in Newark, at the Prudential center.

I’m really proud of this paper. Partially because I got to run a survey question about the Fluke Man of Newark, but mostly because I was pretty sure what was happening with a phenomenon and I turned out to be completely wrong (Tony was right).

Reminder--"Femininity, LGBTQ Identity, and Paranormal Belief" is free to read through the end of September!

@alicirone.bsky.social Really interested in your presentation next week on gender and political discussions - any word on whether it'll be streaming on Zoom?

Ahem. After every Presidential election for the past 20 years, some folks on the side that lost have claimed that it was stolen, and lots of partisans believe it. This is nothing new.

Not unexpected, but no less tragic for it. NJ has already lost so much local coverage, and the hits keep coming. newjerseyglobe.com/media/new-je...

Moment of silence for the translators who have to try and have this make sense in a dozen languages.

once again, if tylenol caused autism, america would have a better rail system

AI is making non-prob online convenience samples real problematic, part 836. You'd think that a place like Prolific, which is charging a premium to ensure respondent quality and representativeness would have been on top of this.

It's Election season in NJ, so we're once again talking about whether school districts should be forced to merge in order to save money. It's been a policy proposal for decades, and it's always been assumed that it's as popular as VD, but our polling has found that voters are kind of OK with it?

On NJ Now, we sometimes go so far over that a whole segment gets cut: but our amazing director saves them for segments you can only see online. www.my9nj.com/video/1711706

Real unfair to do the rapture on a day when so many school kids already have the day off.

Going to Long Island for a wedding, and Expedia is way more excited than anyone should be about Ronkonkoma.

This survey claims that 16% of women have worn a weighted vest, and that 8% are wearing one right now. Just because a survey says that they have a representative sample doesn't mean that they do. In this case, this is an online only convenience sample. It's not represenative of any population.

There's a university in NJ (not mine) which tried this with thermal monitors installed in offices. The error rates were high enough that they had to scrap the entire program, and eat the six figure cost.

I haven’t seen the data, but coverage of Trump on network broadcasts might well be more than 90% negative. That’s normal. Coverage of Obama and W. Bush were more than 90% negative.

Please stop trying to generalize from focus groups. Focus groups are great at telling us why things are moving, and terrible at telling us how much they're moving.

Quinnipiac numbers for the NJ Gov race are almost exactly in line with the numbers we put out more than a month ago. No sign of any momentum shifts, consistent with a race where few voters are paying attention.

The gap between what the right thinks happens on college campuses and what actually happens is absurd. I had some great students and some awful ones; we talked about some difficult topics, from sexual violence to capitalism to exploitation; it was fine. Nobody lost their shit, because we're adults.

Pleasantly surprised to see the Community Advisory Committee vote down Caesar's proposed Time Square casino. Theater owners had been vehemently opposed, but this is part of a growing backlash against the rapid expansion of gambling in the US.

For the first time, I’ve made NJBiz’s Higher Education Power List. As my first act, I will attempt to use my power to get my students to complete the assigned reading. (Seriously, I’m humbled to be included with the other honorees)

Survey Practice 2026 Special Issue — Call for Papers — “Mixed Methods Research: Deepening Our Knowledge Through Integrated Designs” Guest editors: @margaretrroller.bsky.social and Doug Currivan — Submission deadline: November 14, 2025 www.surveypractice.org/post/3334-20...

You know how, in Civilization, at the start, turns are like 100 years, then they speed up radically by the end, as history just starts happening faster? It’s all going real fast these days.

When you’re the paper of record and have definitely understood the franchise up until this point

I wrote about this problem in The Death of Expertise. (My solution, despite years of good evals, was to have other faculty observe my class and give me feedback, even when I was senior and tenured.) by @rosehorowitch.bsky.social www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archiv...

My students yesterday made the argument that trolling and rage-baiting, no matter the content, is functionally equivalent to “fighting words,” and thus should not be afforded any protection under the first amendment. Not something I’d ever considered, but seems perfectly reasonable.

Curtis Sliwa’s stance on no-kill shelters is, by far, his most popular policy view in NYC. Cannot imagine why more candidates haven’t adopted it.

Just put in an order for The End Times: a novel told through a newspaper sent monthly for a year? Sounds amazing, and a steal at $35.

Love Terriers, but I miss Rubicon more. Terriers told a good story in its season (see also: Freaks and Geeks); Rubicon was just getting going!

It's becoming ever clearer that social media, in total, as a concept, was a mistake.

Given that he’s on the ballot anyway, I’m not sure that he’d do appreciably worse if he stopped campaigning.

Great start to the @apsa.bsky.social conference with a pre-conference on studying youth representation! @geo-quinn.bsky.social shared the latest dataset on young elected leaders in the US states from the Rutgers Center for Youth Political Participation. For the data, see cypp.rutgers.edu/data/ 🇺🇸

(This is the plot of basically every Uncle Scrooge story)

What's really interesting here to me is the interaction of masculinity claims and partisanship among candidates. Republican candidates are presumed to be masculine: they don't have to prove their gender identity, while Democratic men have to. (And, of course, women have to, as well)

My article with @ybesen.bsky.social on masculinity and responses to COVID was selected as part of Politics and Gender's "Best of" special issue. For us, that's an honor; for everyone else, it means open access until December. www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

“The story is this: masculinity is the default in American politics, and to this day, even when women have been at the top of two presidential tickets, masculinity to a large degree defines what kind of behavior, what kind of signifiers, are acceptable in top political candidates.”