🚨 Just shipped a major update to GERDA, the German Election Database. - State elections update: new years + mail-in - 3 new election types: Mayoral, County, European - Municipal elections: 1984-2025 - Meinungsbild public opinion - New website & features german-elections.com

RIP IV, Long live DiD

Deep irony about AI teaching/learning in universities: the most useful AI skills right now are essentially *people management* skills (for now!) which most academics (myself included) are pretty bad at.

1/ Sorry for double-posting from X. Sharing a new working paper for the Year of the Horce 🐎: "An AI-assisted workflow that scales reproducibility in empirical research" (bit.ly/repro-ai) w/ Leo Yang Yang

A couple of thoughts about AI and academia (in economics at least): you can’t look at Claude Code without concluding that it’s a complete game changer in the production of research. 1/

I keep coming back to @cdsamii.bsky.social essay on the “problem-centered” over “puzzle-centered” research paradigm and I can’t help but feel like so many problems with social science methods boil down to this cyrussamii.com?p=3682

If someone paid you $4.75 every night you slept 7+ hours, would you sleep more? And--more importantly--would that increase in sleep change your behavior in other meaningful ways? This new paper ran an experiment to find out.

🚨Job alert! 🚨 I'm advertising a PhD position (66%) in Comparative Politics at HU Berlin. Ideal candidates combine a research interest in autocratic politics, conflict, and/or political violence with strong quantitative methods skills. ⏳ 4 (+2) years | 🗓 DL 16.01; Start March/April 26 More info:

AI explaining the credibility revolution 😍

You guys all say the NYT doesn't do any worthwhile journalism, but well here you go, haters

1000 times this. Thanks Cyrus I’d put it almost more sharply: not always, but too often, researchers using survey experiments seem to think they’re making causal inferences when they are measuring quantities. confusion over the inquiry is v far from the spirit of the cred revolution

New paper out @psrm.bsky.social: using precinct-level data from Berlin, we show that proximity to refugee housing increased AfD support in the 2017 federal election - but this electoral backlash was hyper-local

New paper! @william-dinneen.bsky.social @guygrossman.bsky.social Yiqing Xu and I use GPT to code 91k articles from 174 polisci journals (2003–2023)and track research designs, transparency practices, and citations. How has the credibility revolution reshaped the discipline? doi.org/10.31235/osf... 🧵

"[Political science] studies without an explicit identification strategy...constitute nearly 40% of empirical quantitative work."

🎤 The ninth session of the PBC will host @riazsascha.bsky.social from @eui-sps.bsky.social, who will present: "Regime Loyalty in Wartime Nazi Germany" 📍 Join us on Zoom! Please register here: www.eui.eu/events?id=58...

On Wednesday, @riazsascha.bsky.social will join us in Münster to present phenomenal work on regime loyalty during the Nazi regime! joint work w De Juan, @felixhaass.bsky.social + @juvoss.bsky.social As always, you can join us via zoom! organized w @danbischof.bsky.social + @mwegemann.bsky.social

Looking forward to visiting Mannheim next week (24–25 Nov). Be in touch if you’re around and want to grab a coffee.

new paper by Sean Westwood: With current technology, it is impossible to tell whether survey respondents are real or bots. Among other things, makes it easy for bad actors to manipulate outcomes. No good news here for the future of online-based survey research

📢 CALL FOR PAPERS! We’re looking for presenters for the upcoming term (early January to mid-June 2026). If you’d like to present, please fill out the form here: forms.gle/wdq27WcDLC7i... 🗓 Deadline for proposals: December 15

Your daily reminder that semantic disclaimers will not ensure better research practices.

New paper with @mhamjediers.bsky.social German judges have discretion to apply rehabilitative juvenile criminal law (Jugendstrafrecht) or punitive adult criminal law to 18–20-year-old offenders. We show that immigrant youths are ~10 percentage points less likely to be sentenced under juvenile law

NEW - The Gendered Persistence of Authoritarian Indoctrination - https://cup.org/3WCwC5v "decades after the fall of the GDR, the attitudinal effects of authoritarian socialization persist" - Nourhan A. Elsayed, @hannohilbig.bsky.social, @riazsascha.bsky.social & @dziblatt.bsky.social #OpenAccess

Come join us @iepolisci.bsky.social! This dept has one of the healthiest environments I've found in academia. Plus, everyone does brilliant work and you get to live in a great city with a salary that allows you to enjoy it. We only work in English, so language is not an issue. Apply!

UC Davis Political Science is hiring an assistant professor in comparative politics. For more information, please see the description here: recruit.ucdavis.edu/JPF07299 The deadline is September 15.

Fascinating paper by @haasvioleta.bsky.social and colleagues. Using a field experiment around climate protests, they find that protests don't durable change bystander norms or attitudes, but they do change their immediate behavior. osf.io/preprints/os...

Join as for double(!) EuroWEPS 🇮🇹-edition, generously hosted by Bocconi (@aalrababah.bsky.social & @catherinedevries.bsky.social) & @eui-eu.bsky.social (@eliasdinas.bsky.social). Very much looking forward to this! 👇

Excited to host the 4th iteration of the Transformations of Democracy Junior Scholars Workshop at WZB Berlin together with Hanno Hilbig! Amazing talks & exchanges with colleagues from Princeton, Harvard, UC Davis, Toulouse School of Economics, Copenhagen, Humboldt, Chemnitz, EUI, and beyond..

📢 CALL FOR PAPERS! We’re looking for presenters for the upcoming term (early October to mid-December 2025). If you’d like to present, please fill out the form here: docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F... 🗓 Deadline for proposals: August 31

Anti-immigrant bias in the German criminal justice system: who would have thought? osf.io/preprints/so...

Ready to make plans for the academic year 2026/27? Why not visit us: www.nuffield.ox.ac.uk/our-research...

We’re live! 🚀 Just launched the Humboldt GovLab with a great workshop on #CitizensAssemblies @humboldtuni.bsky.social Because strengthening democracy takes more than ideas. It takes evidence. And collaboration. Follow us @humboldt-govlab.bsky.social 🌐 hu-govlab.de

📢APPLY NOW!: DPIR seeks a Departmental Lecturer in Comparative European Politics to provide teaching and supervision at the undergraduate and graduate level and contribute to the Departmental examining and graduate admissions processes.🗓️ CLOSES: 12pm, 5 Aug: ow.ly/brXi50WpZav

📣 Postdoc (75 %, 3 yrs) at @unigreifswald.bsky.social — start autumn 2025 on perhaps Germany’s most beautiful campus. Know someone with a PhD (or nearly done) in Political Science? ⬇️ #PolSci #Postdoc

New working paper! - zikai.li and I look at the problem of assessing pre-trends using one of the "new" DiD methods - fixed effects regression imputation. tl;dr - don't use the same regression you used to impute post-treatment to also impute pre-treatment. osf.io/preprints/so... (1/14)

Excited to announce the #OxfordLLMs tuition-free AI workshop for social scientists! Join us for 5 days of lectures, coding tutorials, and collaborative research, to learn hot to use LLMs for social science🙂 Dates: 22-26 September Venue: @nuffieldcollege.bsky.social llmsforsocialscience.net

📢 University of Warwick is hiring two Assistant Professors (apply by 17 July 2025): •International Relations (Conflict & Security): www.jobs.ac.uk/job/DNR672/a... •International Organisations: www.jobs.ac.uk/job/DNR770/a... #PoliSciJobs #PolScijobs

I taught R to political science students this semester. For their exam, they’ll work on a data story using any dataset they choose. What are your favorite (and most interesting) open-source datasets they could dive into? Reply below and I'll share this post with my students for inspiration 👇

Replicating two of my own papers applying this. In one paper (published) it does not change interpretation of effect as distinguishable from zero. In another (in the reviewer universe) it does.

⚠️ New paper with @fresejoris.bsky.social ⚠️ We present evidence that the "Unexpected Event during Survey Design" is prone to false-positive findings. We also provide software to fix this. More details in 🧵 below 👇

I took a closer look at the program #EPSA2024 and found some interesting trends – there seem to be more US based scholars than last year 🇺🇸 @epsanet.bsky.social‬ A thread on this year's authors and affiliations 🧵

@wzb.bsky.social is searching for new director for the study of democracy These are extraordinary senior positions; tenured wth funding to establish a new dept & pursue big agendas www.wzb.eu/en/jobs/dire... 🚨Please share widely! #Polisky @epssnet.bsky.social @ecpr.bsky.social @apsa.bsky.social

🚨 Big News for European Political Science 🚨 We’re thrilled to announce the launch of the European Political Science Society (EPSS): a new, member-led, not-for-profit association built to support our scholarly community. 🔗 epssnet.org Here’s a thread with everything you need to know. 🧵

We have a new political science association that is not-for-profit. We can create the best kind of European political science in an association with transparency and accountability. Where we work on being more inclusive instead of creating profits for a few. Sign up below to learn more and join.

+++ Breaking +++: the #epsa panel I’m chairing (P-S63-2) got officially moved here ⬇️⬇️ See you in the pool, scholars! 🦈

❗ The 𝘞𝘡𝘉 𝘉𝘦𝘳𝘭𝘪𝘯 (@wzb.bsky.social‬) establishes a 𝘥𝘦𝘱𝘢𝘳𝘵𝘮𝘦𝘯𝘵 for the 𝐬𝐭𝐮𝐝𝐲 𝐨𝐟 𝐝𝐞𝐦𝐨𝐜𝐫𝐚𝐜𝐲 and is looking for its future 𝐝𝐢𝐫𝐞𝐜𝐭𝐨𝐫 ❗ 📣 Let all the excellent democracy researchers out there know! ⁣ ⁣ wzb.eu/en/jobs/dire... ⁣ #Polisky @epsanet.bsky.social @ecpr.bsky.social @apsa.bsky.social

📣 Jobs, jobs, jobs! Aarhus University’s Department of Political Science is hiring: 🔹 Assistant Professor 🗓 Deadline: 25 August 🔗 international.au.dk/about/profil... 🔹 Associate Professor 🗓 Deadline: 8 September 🔗 international.au.dk/about/profil...

We have a great lineup of papers for the Junior Workshop in HPE. A limited number of spots are available for scholars interested in attending the workshop. Fill this form if you want to join us next June 25 at UC3M forms.gle/DckGoQDfniTU... @tinepaulsen.bsky.social @franvillamil.bsky.social

Interesting paper by @riazsascha.bsky.social and @mhamjediers.bsky.social. Judges are less likely to apply rehabilitative juvenile law to immigrants than to natives. The immigrant-native gap is even larger in judicial districts with a higher AfD vote shares.

Very excited to give at talk at the @eui-eu.bsky.social tomorrow presenting field experimental evidence on the effect of political protests on bystanders

Happy to share a new paper now out in EJPR w/ @jeyalizade.bsky.social , @fabioellger.bsky.social and @mgruenewald.bsky.social exploring gendered effects of political violence on political supply. https://ejpr.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1111/1475-6765.70017 A 🧵 with findings