🚨 Just shipped a major update to GERDA, the German Election Database. - State elections update: new years + mail-in - 3 new election types: Mayoral, County, European - Municipal elections: 1984-2025 - Meinungsbild public opinion - New website & features german-elections.com

Glad to see this out at @epsrjournal.bsky.social! Using ESS data, Raquel Rego and I find that an anti-immigration stance is the strongest predictor of far-right sympathies among police and military personnel—similar to the general population. www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

Thrilled that my paper (w/@sarahobolt.bsky.social,@catherinedevries.bsky.social,@simonecremaschi.bsky.social) was accepted at the American Political Science Review! We find that declining public services fuel support for the populist right — and show why the right benefits more than other parties 🧵

Really excited to see my final dissertation paper out 🎉 Do parties shift their issue priorities when polls decline? Looking at press releases from 68 parties in 9 countries, we find little evidence that they do.

Thanks so much for the invitation. I really enjoyed the workshop. Big thanks to @zachdickson.bsky.social and @antvalentim.bsky.social for putting it together!

🗳️ Neue Prognose: Landtagswahlen in Baden-Württemberg (8. März) und Rheinland-Pfalz (22. März) BW: Kopf-an-Kopf CDU vs. Grüne. RP: CDU und SPD fast gleichauf. Unsere Modellvorhersage mit 5/6-Kredibilitätsintervallen und Szenario-Wahrscheinlichkeiten 👇 zweitstimme.org/posts/blog/f...

Day 1 wrapped up, excited for tomorrow 🤗

More and more young people are turning to the far right. Why and what can we do about it? Join our #COVIDEU Workshop on Nov 21 (2–5 PM) to discuss causes and counter-strategies. 🚀 Hosted by @humboldt-govlab.bsky.social 💡 Funded by @volkswagenstiftung.de 👉 Register: tinyurl.com/bdenyfnw

🚨 EPSS Belfast 2026 Call for Papers - One week to go! 🚨 Don't forget to submit your paper or panel proposal to the European Political Science Society @epssnet.bsky.social 2026 conference - just one week to go before the deadline: epssnet.org/belfast-2026...

Very much looking forward to presenting recent experimental findings on voters’ perceptions of election polls @mzes-ssdl.bsky.social (@mzesunimannheim.bsky.social) next week!

Glad to see this out at @ajpseditor.bsky.social! I show that the immigration-crime issue, when salient, can shift leftist cosmopolitans to the Right. This is due to leftist voters being more conservative on crime than leftist parties. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...

💥 Update! 💥 This paper is now officially published in Volume 30, Issue 4 of The International Journal of Press/Politics! 🗳️ Experimental evidence that voters prefer moderately tailored messages - highly tailored ones can backfire & targeting can be too much: doi.org/10.1177/1940... #IJPP

Looking forward to presenting recent findings on the attitudinal effects of election polls later this term in Mannheim, in part based on joint work w/ @simonsaysnothin.bsky.social, @linushagemann.de, @hannahrajski.bsky.social, Thomas Gschwend, @lstoetze.bsky.social & @cornelius-erfort.bsky.social.

EPSA have announced that they will hold a conference in July 2026. 😵‍💫 We understand that there might be some confusion about EPSS and EPSA. 👉🏽 So we thought we would clarify some things. A short 🧵

New paper out @wepsocial.bsky.social! 🥡 Key Take-Away: Opposition parties seek more conflict with the government when performing poorly in the polls – especially when falling below their previous election result. Read full 🧵 below:

1/ New paper out in Electoral Studies with @heikekluever.bsky.social and @cornelius-erfort.bsky.social We show that nuclear power plants reduce electoral support for Green parties in Germany. 🔗 www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti... A thread on the paper:

📣 Call for Applications 📣 3-year Postdoc position in Berlin 🚀 Join our Comparative Political Behavior Group at @humboldtuni.bsky.social & the @humboldt-govlab.bsky.social Great people, great projects, great city – come work with us! 🗓️ Deadline: 31 July 2025

The Department of Homeland Security has spend over $800k worth of ads on Facebook and Instagram clearly targeted at people with Latin American / Mexican background telling them that "if you are here illegaly we will find you and we will deport you".

Very excited to present my paper with @heikekluever.bsky.social on the consequences of far-right parties in government at #EPSA2025 on Friday! 🗓️ Friday 4:50-6:30 📍 Room 0A.06 | Panel P10-S253

Are tailored ads in political campaigns as persuasive as conventional wisdom holds? 📢 In joint work w/ @heikekluever.bsky.social we present evidence from a field experiment with the German Greens ahead of the 2024 European Elections calling this into question 🤔 #epsa2025 ⏰: Friday, 16:50 📍: 0A.10

I took a closer look at the program #EPSA2024 and found some interesting trends – there seem to be more US based scholars than last year 🇺🇸 @epsanet.bsky.social‬ A thread on this year's authors and affiliations 🧵

I'm on my way to Mannheim, looking forward to talk about our forecasting project (zweitstimme.org) with @hannahrajski.bsky.social. Join us at the MZES or online 🤗

How do parties tailor their campaign ads to women? 🗳️👩 Excited to share that my paper on how parties adapt their ads is out now at @thejop.bsky.social! 📖 Read it here: www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/... A quick breakdown of the findings ⬇️🧵

I’m excited to be visiting @LSEGovernment this term. Thanks @sarahobolt.bsky.social for hosting me 🙏 Come say hi for a coffee (or bubble tea) if you’re in London 🤗