Raw milk, MAHA, and the deep environmental roots of the Great Replacement Theory. In my Substack post today I explore why there's no right-wing climate movement, and if and when that might change. zeitzoff.substack.com/p/why-there-...

Trump just called environmentalists asking for fuel standards "environmental terrorists." The terrorism label keeps expanding: from activists during the Green Scare in the early 2000s, to anti-ICE protesters at Prairieland, and now to those pushing for environmental regulations.

There's nothing inherently left-wing about environmentalism. New on my Substack: why a right-wing climate nationalism hasn't emerged yet and why it might in the future. zeitzoff.substack.com/p/why-there-...

On April 8, we will host a discussion of “Spring of the Vanishing,” a new documentary about the disappearances perpetrated during militarized Navy operations in Nuevo Laredo, Mexico, and the families who have never stopped searching for the truth.

Super cool paper—I’d love to see what it looks like post-2024….

Had a great conversation with Sasha Lilley about repression and activism under Trump II, as well as discussing my book.

Trump is the charismatic leader of the MAGA movement and the stable focal point of the Republican Party. When he’s gone, I think it’s going to be very hard for the GOP to replace him.

Insane misallocation of resources.

Just saw Project Hail Mary. Great for kids, and Gosling is so good doing movie star things—highly recommend!

Elite alienation is the problem. Always has been. More on my Substack: zeitzoff.substack.com/p/why-politi...

"...elite alienation doesn’t stay among the elites, it flows downward via their networks and resources...The power and wealth of alienated elites helps set the political agenda."

New on my Substack: Political alienation matters. But we're looking for it in the wrong places. zeitzoff.substack.com/p/why-politi...

"Face validity" isn't great, but going down to ~1965 levels does feel plausible.

Paul Ehrlich has died. His 1968 book,The Population Bomb, is mostly remembered for predictions that didn't pan out. But its influence on the radical environmental movement is underappreciated. A thread on Ehrlich's complicated legacy from my interviews with current and former eco-activists.

Useful new paper from @dbroockman.bsky.social and @jkalla.bsky.social unpacking the effects of moderation by using conjoints to examine effects of both Ds and Rs of adopting "elite moderate" position on range of issues. Small fx on average, but large heterogeneity by issue osf.io/preprints/so...

Democracy dies in access journalism

Wore a sport coat to dinner last night and my 7-year-old said: “Dad, you look even worse than Gordon Bombay.” #DucksFlyTogether

Yesterday a federal jury convicted 9 anti-ICE protesters on terrorism charges — the first domestic terror prosecution targeting alleged ‘antifa’ under Trump. This is exactly what I wrote about this week: how the terrorism label is used as a tool for repression zeitzoff.substack.com/p/what-happe...

I'm no longer quite sure how to do this without just saying "Duh!" Yes, getting people to pay the "green premium" is sometimes tough. Guess what, the "security premium" is a lot higher. The answer for both climate and security — and for economic competitiveness, too — is to get off fossil fuels.

In smaller font, sitting below the headlines and major news @nytimes.com. It's emblematic of the fact that the Trump war on climate science and gutting of environmental policy isn't getting as much coverage.

There has been progress during Sheinbaum’s administration, but we need to examine more closely the magnitude of the decline in homicides and consider how to incorporate other indicators of violence that may be masking the true extent of lethal violence (e.g., disappearances & misclassified deaths).

The Trump crackdown on leftist activists has echoes of earlier repression against radical eco-activists. More here zeitzoff.substack.com/p/what-happe...

A lot of IR & political psychology theories of why leaders start foreign policy adventures and wars are being confirmed by Trump II: -old age -low approval ratings -authoritarian worldview -narcissism -unexpected prior military success 🇻🇪 -small coterie of sychophantic advisors -zero-sum thinking

New on my Substack: What happens when the government labels activists 'terrorists'? I've been interviewing environmental activists about this for years for my book. And it's happening again. zeitzoff.substack.com/p/what-happe...

Listened to @valinasr.bsky.social's interview on @npr.org. Lots of insights on the Iran war. 1. Iranians rallied around the flag, even those who oppose the regime. 2. U.S didn't anticipate this. It's surprising that the U.S. didn't understand how potent nationalism can be.

My first post on my new Peace & Violence Substack: “What Makes Them Tick: Why I Study Psychology & Political Violence” zeitzoff.substack.com/p/what-makes...

In the mail: My friend @zeitzoff.bsky.social's new book No Option But Sabotage on the radical environmental movement in the US academic.oup.com/book/61841

Just subscribed to Thomas' Substack. Follow him for insightful posts on the political psychology of violence!

Dow is down, gas is way up (up 50 cents here from yesterday). Gulf allies are under attack. This was clearly foreseeable by any student in any Introduction to International Relations class but somehow a huge surprise to the people running this country.

My first post on my new Peace & Violence Substack: “What Makes Them Tick: Why I Study Psychology & Political Violence” zeitzoff.substack.com/p/what-makes...

The sky is not falling; high-quality platforms (Prolific, Verasight, CR Connect) have low rates of apparent bots. osf.io/preprints/ps... But also not zero; vigilance is very much needed!

To show prospective students our discipline's research priorities, I scraped the last 6 @apsa-preprints.bsky.social annual meeting programs to count papers by section, then assigned sections to subfields. Polisci remains fascinated with the American case!

A new study by Daniele, Soliman, & Vargas shows how Colombia’s cocaine boom after 2015 traveled through the same trade networks that move legal goods around the world—leading to higher homicide rates in Colombia & Ecuador, & increased cocaine consumption in Europe. open.substack.com/pub/garciapo...

~NEW EPISODE~ No Option But Sabotage! In our latest, we talk w/ Prof. Thomas @zeitzoff.bsky.social about his new book that looks at the radical environmental movement and the #climatecrisis. 🎙️: bit.ly/4rO8Hyg

I saw we were fighting about what AI will do to (social) science. I have some thoughts (originally written for a book on scientific inquiry) and decided to turn them into my first substack article. Co-written with Nat Rabb! tomstello.substack.com/p/standing-o...

So we’re 15+ years out from The Social Network, and it’s pretty clear that the critique at the time—that it overdramatized Zuckerberg’s pettiness and Silicon Valley more broadly—was wrong. If anything, the film was too understated.

If you want to support a cool independent bookstore with deep roots in activism, you can buy No Option But Sabotage at Burning Books in Buffalo, NY burningbooks.com/products/no-...

This new paper by @zeitzoff.bsky.social looks at the evolution of tactics in the environmental movement in the US, finding that repression has a substantial affect. Read all about it here: www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1...

Conceptualizing and Measuring Geopolitical Alignments - www.annualreviews.org/content/jour...

Really enjoyed talking activism, democracy, climate change, and my book No Option But Sabotage today at @ucddublin.bsky.social

~NEW EPISODE~ No Option But Sabotage! In our latest, we talk w/ Prof. Thomas @zeitzoff.bsky.social about his new book that looks at the radical environmental movement and the #climatecrisis. 🎙️: bit.ly/4rO8Hyg

~NEW EPISODE~ No Option But Sabotage! In our latest, we talk w/ Prof. Thomas @zeitzoff.bsky.social about his new book that looks at the radical environmental movement and the #climatecrisis. 🎙️: bit.ly/4rO8Hyg

I wrote about the recent killing of El Mencho, what the evidence says about decapitating the leadership of major criminal organizations, and whether things could actually be different this time. www.lawfaremedia.org/article/el-m...

Had a great time talking climate, social movements, repression, and my new book No Option But Sabotage with Scott and Bob on @podcastgreenred.bsky.social m.youtube.com/watch?v=lTPf...

Read in companion with Thomas’ book on the radical environmental movement! www.zeitzoff.com/no-option-bu...

New in Terrorism & Political Violence: Why did radical environmental groups stop using arson & sabotage? And, given the threat from climate change why haven't those tactics returned? My article "Where's the Sabotage" seeks to answer these questions. Free link: www.tandfonline.com/eprint/QYFAW...

When they update the cases of diversionary foreign policy, a disproportionate number of them will come from Trump II—and it’s going to read like a farce. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Diversi...

1) Trump is unpopular. 2) The airstrikes are also unpopular (www.reuters.com/world/us/jus...). This could mean that Trump has an incentive to end the war quickly. But it also means that he might want to escalate if he feels that his political future and "legacy" depends on its success.

Highly recommend @kylesaunders.bsky.social on why AI is so unsettling to higher ed - one of the best pieces I have read on this issue: "[U]niversities don’t merely teach. Universities certify, sort, and signal. And AI interferes with all three at once." kylesaunders.substack.com/p/why-higher...

"Midterms" by Adam Przeworski open.substack.com/pub/adamprze...