Gernot Wagner
@gwagner.com
📤 22946
📥 2077
📝 2835
Climate economist, Columbia
https://gwagner.com
It’s pronounced juggernaut without the jug.
reposted by
Gernot Wagner
Chris Rowan
about 9 hours ago
Key quote for me: “an entire profession might gradually lose its capacity to question and redefine its goals, because AI systems embed assumptions about what those goals are.”
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Smart take on the (hidden) costs of AI, and what to do about them. The intro alone: 🧐
www.nature.com/articles/d41...
@nature.com
about 14 hours ago
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2 cyclones = $800m Rio Tinto revenue hit
giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/...
1 day ago
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So much winning
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1 day ago
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An analysis that meets the moment
2 days ago
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There are genuinely few things better to cap a day at the office than a bike ride home through Central Park. It helps that office = classroom with 90 engaged
@columbiabusiness.bsky.social
&
@climate.columbia.edu
students talking Climate Risk. Today's topic: insurance.
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2 days ago
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A Mayor who likes to improve the basic functions of government, and has fun doing it 😎
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3 days ago
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OK, so my 15-year-old has now been 'Queen Bee' for a few weeks standing:
github.com/anippita/Spe...
, works every time 🐝
3 days ago
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reposted by
Gernot Wagner
Carl Quintanilla
5 days ago
Yoshino cherry blossoms in Central Park April 3, 2026 (via Noel Calingasan)
#NYC
💕
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Something to be said to put the full quote on the cover. US v UK edition.
5 days ago
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*fossil energy crisis And yes, that means pushing EVs (and cycling, for that matter) to get off oil (even) faster, and pushing renewables and batteries and heat pumps and home retrofits and industrial electrification and … to get off gas.
5 days ago
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On top of the hour, we'll have Chuck from Tallahassee join us to sort through the evidence and help us make sense of this vital debate. Stick around.
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5 days ago
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reposted by
Gernot Wagner
Adam Schwarz
6 days ago
French President Macron: “Europe is an extremely attractive continent. For months I’ve been saying this. And thanks to our American friends, I now have an unprecedented selling point: We are predictable.”
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That's tens of thousands of authors whose submissions can be desk-rejected from here on out, leaving some more room for the rest of us.
www.nature.com/articles/d41...
6 days ago
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Yes. Yes, it will.
www.ft.com/content/bc95...
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Will $100 oil speed up the EV shift?
As fuel prices rise and the outlook becomes more uncertain, the economics of car choices and manufacturing become harder to ignore
https://www.ft.com/content/bc95584a-f5d9-4a59-9ca7-d0ea8c3ae103?accessToken=zwAAAZ1OTjVxkdO8lVhK9dlKWdOcp9DqjDrhAw.MEQCIGhFDe9LQ_viTW6DCbAqY1duq7Selmi2-wIEIz2pnlqMAiAUsMrE12Snl4KtTIgDbQAAowQ_iCFlxCkiskX-sY9dGg&sharetype=gift&token=73a6b5b4-fbf4-403b-8233-ba5564e58b15&syn-25a6b1a6=1
7 days ago
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Perennial reminder: IKEA sells induction plates for $50. Cap the gas line, put the induction plate on top of the gas stove, and avoid spewing carcinogens into your home. Yes, you can also spend $5k on that beautiful high-end stove, while vying for that Michelin star.
www.ft.com/content/14f6...
10 days ago
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Claude Cowork is bliss
12 days ago
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🎓 6 lessons I learned on spring break. Actually, it's 20 pictures of one of the more amazing, educational weeks:
www.linkedin.com/posts/gwagne...
Let's just say spring break doesn't typically involve tours through steel plants, nor meeting
@thyssenkruppsteel.bsky.social
& Etex CEO before the tours
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It's been amazing leading a group of 24 Columbia Business School MBAs through Green Industrial Policy in Europe for a week, quite literally: Sunday dinner: a VC view on "backing the future o...
It's been amazing leading a group of 24 Columbia Business School MBAs through Green Industrial Policy in Europe for a week, quite literally: Sunday dinner: a VC view on "backing the future of Europea...
https://www.linkedin.com/posts/gwagner_its-been-amazing-leading-a-group-of-24columbia-activity-7442679783739547650-Af-C?utm_source=share&utm_medium=member_desktop&rcm=ACoAAAAz28YBQ_BaStDO9r0G8xTkGIvTF-e5hkg
12 days ago
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Green Pledge: "By 2030, Global Tetrahedron will hire a vegetarian cleaning lady." Ouch.
12 days ago
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Trump subtracts $50 billion from Big 3 in Detroit, adds $70 billion to Big 3 in China.
16 days ago
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"Experts prefer heat pumps, but homeowners have doubts" I wonder who sows those doubts, contrary to any evidence.
16 days ago
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reposted by
Gernot Wagner
Daniel Drezner
16 days ago
"We had a good run — some eight decades or so — but it is clear by now that the United States has ceased to be the leader of the free world."
www.nytimes.com/2026/03/24/o...
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Opinion | The U.S. Is No Longer the Leader of the Free World
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/24/opinion/trump-iran-world-america-first.html
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Fun with AI
gwagner.com/AI
17 days ago
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Wealth = a society that invests in public(!) infrastructure for the benefit of all. Yes, that building in the back is the former Shell HQ. Yes, the Netherlands chose to leave >€400 billion of gas underground in Groningen, and yes, that meant handing €150b to Putin. Yes, that was a mistake.
20 days ago
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reposted by
Gernot Wagner
Erik Angner
21 days ago
Swedish gov't report had to be withdrawn due to non-existent references: "We don't know what happened." Meanwhile, literally everybody knows what happened.
#AIslop
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Regeringen drar tillbaka rapport – hänvisar till studier som inte finns
Regeringen drar tillbaka rapport av den nationella samordnaren för sociala barn- och ungdomsvården. Den refererade till studier som inte tycks finnas.
https://www.dn.se/sverige/regeringen-drar-tillbaka-rapport-hanvisar-till-studier-som-inte-finns/
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Hm, not particularly. I realize saying "it's complicated" is the erudite thing to say, but yeah, the more solar PV on your roof, the lower your exposure to geopolitical price volatility and
#fossilflation
. Of course, only going fully off grid will shield you from all oil & gas price volatility.
22 days ago
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reposted by
Gernot Wagner
Chris Nelder
23 days ago
Idly wondering if this time, the media will clearly identify "fossilflation" as the reason for higher prices for everything as we discussed with
@gwagner.com
back in Ep. 221 in 2024
xenetwork.org/ets/episodes...
or if the talking heads on CNBC will blithely carry on as if it's all about Fed policy.
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reposted by
Gernot Wagner
Duncan Weldon
24 days ago
What a paragraph.
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
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Off to Frankfurt (and Düsseldorf and Duisburg and Brussels and Amsterdam) for a week exploring Green Industrial Policy in Europe with 24
@columbiauniversity.bsky.social
MBAs:
gwagner.com/cbs-gip
12-year-old: "You're meeting your students. Fix your hair."
26 days ago
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The current U.S. policy pendulum notwithstanding, offshore wind is here to stay — and Ørsted on the winning side of history
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26 days ago
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Turns out both can be true at the same time
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26 days ago
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The Loneliness of Sonja and Soccer.
26 days ago
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I'm no longer quite sure how to do this without just saying "Duh!" Yes, getting people to pay the "green premium" is sometimes tough. Guess what, the "security premium" is a lot higher. The answer for both climate and security — and for economic competitiveness, too — is to get off fossil fuels.
27 days ago
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reposted by
Gernot Wagner
Jigar Shah
28 days ago
India has a once-in-a-century opportunity to become a global energy superpower. Not because of oil or gas. Because of solar, wind, storage, and hydrogen. A $1T India New Energy Transition Fund could turn energy imports into energy exports. 🧵
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Ok, BSky, help me beat my 15-year-old in this.
28 days ago
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Keeping this for next time someone says "but the green premium." Or "sure, climate, but 'value' creation." Or "intermittency!"
28 days ago
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"Decadal time scale" is literally what anyone proposes here: "Reaching net zero by 2050..."
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28 days ago
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The prescription to
#fossilflation
? Get off fossil fuels. "Reaching Net Zero by 2050 'cheaper for UK than one fossil fuel crisis'"
28 days ago
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Had to do a triple-take on this one. Some are reacting to volatile oil prices by getting an EV. Some others: "Monday, Wednesday, Friday: illegal to fill up gas tank" Outdated tech, meet outdated economics. Not from the Austrian
@theonion.com
28 days ago
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If you read one thing about Iran & geopolitics & economic fallout & climate, make it this
@martinsandbu.ft.com
column
29 days ago
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Afraid that nothing about this story is good. Policy certainty really is a thing. Can't build anything of value around one person's whims
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
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Green Cement Startup Slashes Staff After Trump Cuts Support
Massachusetts-based Sublime Systems has cut two-thirds of its current workforce, casting doubt on a deal to supply Microsoft with low-carbon material.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-03-12/massachusetts-green-cement-startup-slashes-staff-after-trump-cuts-support
29 days ago
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I much prefer the 'OMG rich person likes where they live, wants to invest in community' genre to the usual 'New York family can't get by on $500k/yr' clickbait
www.nytimes.com/2026/03/11/n...
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Raise Taxes on the Rich? These Rich New Yorkers Are All for It.
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/11/nyregion/nyc-tax-rich.html
29 days ago
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Alt title: "U.S. Solar Installations Top List Despite Trump Attacks on Clean Energy"
about 1 month ago
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💚NYC, dusk to dawn
about 1 month ago
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Oh, academia. "All Reviewers Assigned", 3½ months after first submission. And that's for one of the 'better', more professionally run journals.
about 1 month ago
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reposted by
Gernot Wagner
NY Times Pitchbot
about 1 month ago
Having mastered epidemiology, Russian history, toilet paper supply chain logistics, bridge design, balloon aeronautics, and large language models, I'd like to offer my thoughts on how the closing of the Strait of Hormuz will impact Brent crude....(1/67)
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Turns out the 15-year-old created a python program that solves the
@nytimes.com
Spelling Bee every day in a matter of minutes. 🥹 "Could do it in seconds, but I slowed it down so they don't think I'm a bot." 😎
about 1 month ago
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reposted by
Gernot Wagner
Bill McKibben
about 1 month ago
This is what ecocide looks like.
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Enshittification, recycling bin edition. Yep, it all goes into one trash bag. The worst part, of course, is the general cynicism this breeds.
about 1 month ago
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You know how free public transit is basically just an anti-market pipedream? Here's Luxembourg for Finance, leading with free public transport to attract the
@financialtimes.com
reader.
about 1 month ago
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