Gernot Wagner
@gwagner.com
📤 23502
📥 2268
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Climate economist, Columbia
https://gwagner.com
It's pronounced "juggernaut" without the "jug"
reposted by
Gernot Wagner
Katie Martin
about 11 hours ago
this is fine
giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/...
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Eurostar orders trains that can cope with 55C ‘Saudi’ summers
Amended contract follows heatwaves across UK and western Europe
https://giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/actions/redeem/b5ed4091-d199-4ffc-8486-8495b49bf5b2
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Underappreciated fact in all of this: stocks vs flows. The 'ceasefire' barely avoid a number of cliffs. Diesel futures just saw their largest single-day increase since 2022 for good reason. Product markets — aka what people actually buy/burn — are uniquely vulnerable right about now.
about 9 hours ago
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"We Cannot Choose to Become Idiots"...except apparently we have. The real litmus test is whether we consider students 22 and 31 'AI illiterate' or patsies on the one hand, or admirably honest. Yes, this is a crisis in (higher) education
www.insidehighered.com/news/faculty...
about 13 hours ago
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$3.47, of course, is still higher than before the Iran War. e.g. the difference is ~3x the federal gasoline tax of ¢18.4 per gallon.
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about 13 hours ago
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Global warming accelerating. Extreme temperatures accelerating. Sea-level rise accelerating. Heat wave worst ever. Not good, when scientists are surprised.
@eroston.bsky.social
with a roundup that, yes, ends in renewables prices falling faster than expected:
www.bloomberg.com/graphics/202...
3 days ago
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And once again it's up to Brussels to play by the rules, win, and show to the world that corruption doesn't pay.
3 days ago
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reposted by
Gernot Wagner
Katharine Hayhoe
4 days ago
In this World Cup ad, football star Luka Modrić is being coached to bet on whether 2026 will be the hottest year ever. Meanwhile, games are being played in extreme heat, putting players and fans at risk. Is there any more perfect symbol of where we are right now? 🤯😵💫😱 and a 🧵 on why this matters
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From extreme heat to extreme rain and back. One fundamental indicator that united them all: extreme ocean temperatures. Via
@financialtimes.com
, no less:
4 days ago
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reposted by
Gernot Wagner
Jason Rabinowitz
5 days ago
A $3
@mta.info
subway fare and some good Q train timing can buy you one hell of a view of the July 4th fireworks and the Brooklyn Bridge light show! Huge shoutout to the train operator for slow rolling over the Manhattan Bridge and the conductor for announcing it.
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H₂O breaks by now just feel like an excuse for more TV ads. Doesn't seem to be about protecting players.
add a skeleton here at some point
5 days ago
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reposted by
Gernot Wagner
Zack Labe
5 days ago
This is a clear example of a compound hazard event (i.e., amplified societal impacts). Severe thunderstorms knocked out power for nearly 250,000 people last night, and many are now seeing near-record heat today while still without electricity. Orange: heat advisories Pink: excessive heat warnings
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Geothermal FTW
business.columbia.edu/insights/climate/geothermal
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5 days ago
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reposted by
Gernot Wagner
Wolfgang Blau
5 days ago
Energy disinformation does as much and more damage in the US and Europe by now as climate disinformation does.
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Global Heating 1 American Energy Dominance 0
6 days ago
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Welcome to the Summer 2026 Climate Knowledge Initiative (CKI) Fellows! 🎉 We receive >400 applications a year from across
@columbiauniversity.bsky.social
for 20-25 posts each term. The mission: conduct rigorous techno-economic analyses and turn them into actionable, business-relevant insights.
6 days ago
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Oh, oh, I know that one: None.
6 days ago
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Train-commuting home in New York today under the heat dome, let me just say for the record: our infrastructure isn't ready for what's to come. Not even close.
7 days ago
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Genuinely shocking how quickly we ran out of numbers on the Climate Shift Index scale. Northwestern Europe is slowly emerging from its massive heat event, while the Northeastern US is entering one. CSI Level 5 = 5x more likely with climate change compared without.
7 days ago
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reposted by
Gernot Wagner
Dana R. Fisher (aka the Apocalyptic Optimist)
8 days ago
SCIENCE UPDATE in the US, here's where we are (via
@nejm.org
) TL;DR:A political appointee decides funding, not peer review; Your grant can be canceled at any time without warning; International collaborations are prohibited; & All conferences require political pre-approval
@naomioreskes.bsky.social
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Pay peer reviewers $290 per submission, see review times go down from 38 days (with a long upper tail) to 5.5 days (with v. few 'late' reviews), and watch quality go up to boot. Who knew?
#IncentivesIncentivize
www.nature.com/articles/d41...
8 days ago
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When the heat index in New York in Chicago is higher than Phoenix's.. "More than 160 million people are under extreme heat warnings or heat advisories ahead of the Fourth of July weekend."
www.nytimes.com/2026/07/01/w...
8 days ago
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Amidst all the ::gestures around::, some good climate news: Virginia re-joining RGGI today!
add a skeleton here at some point
8 days ago
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'Cheap solar = missing profits' is all you need to know about the continued fossil fuel obsession. Meanwhile, "For many Spanish consumers, the glut is a blessing … This year their rates have been among the lowest in Europe — about half of what Germans pay."
www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
9 days ago
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I'm old enough to remember when climate change was *going to* make us poorer in the future. Well, that future is now. New study shows how extreme heat and drought have already cut average household incomes across Europe, exacerbating inequalities in the process.
bloom.bg/3QsSsJB
@bloomberg.com
10 days ago
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reposted by
Gernot Wagner
Columbia Climate School
10 days ago
Extreme heat and drought have cut average household incomes across Europe, putting millions at risk of poverty, finds a new study. “We are already poorer because of climate change,” says
@columbiabusiness.bsky.social
climate economist
@gwagner.com
. Via
@bloomberg.com
.
https://bloom.bg/3QsSsJB
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As Europe Bakes, Heatwaves Are Already Biting Into Paychecks
Extreme heat and drought have cut average household incomes across the continent, putting millions at risk of poverty, according to a new study.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-06-26/how-europe-s-extreme-heat-and-drought-are-already-biting-into-paychecks
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Alternative headline: "After decade-long grace period, market-based climate policy shows effect" Sub-hed: "Domestic vacations and night trains as big winners"
10 days ago
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Ok, that last-second 3:3 last night was exciting ⚽ but the best Austrian news this weekend by far: proper bread coming to NYC! 🇦🇹😎 Pandemic sourdough loaf baking may finally come to an end
martinauer.com
11 days ago
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Fact check: true¹ ¹ Yes, CCS nerds, there's CCS. But no, to a first approximation, it doesn't change the main point.
add a skeleton here at some point
12 days ago
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Geothermal has a lot in common with oil & gas: drilling, supply chains, fracking (for heat!). That's also where the similarities end. Crucially, it isn’t about finding more fuel & shipping it around the world to burn. And yes, it has liftoff. Great BCC deep dive:
bbc.com/news/articles/cj3gj1n8yz8o
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Geothermal energy: Investment needed to develop new tech
Start-ups are taking fresh approaches to geothermal energy, but will the economics work?
https://bbc.com/news/articles/cj3gj1n8yz8o
13 days ago
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The pernicious role of fossil fuel funding of climate research doesn't get any clearer than this: "'Wedges' would likely never have been written without BP’s funding" What $15 million upfront, $56m total, buys you...
add a skeleton here at some point
14 days ago
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Hard to overstate how dramatic this European heatwave is. And then you zoom into other areas around the globe, and you realize there may, just may be something going on that links all these weather extremes around the world.
@climatecentral.org
's CSI:
csi.climatecentral.org/climate-shif...
14 days ago
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That's the story, yes. Bad for the economy, for people, for coal workers, for everyone other than the coal plant owner, and there, too, only in the very short run.
add a skeleton here at some point
15 days ago
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I know there's a "sailboats, we invented sailboats" quip in here, but this is till rather cool.
wsjprosustainablebusiness.createsend1.com/t/d-e-wlhdkt...
@wsj.com
15 days ago
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The picture to illustrated yet another red-alert heat wave isn't a young woman in a red summer dress. It's a young woman on a gurney, fighting for her life after a heat stroke.
add a skeleton here at some point
18 days ago
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Green Economy Hits $10 Trillion in Market Value Great
@insideclimatenews.org
take by on why that's a big deal, with some choice words by me. Biggest point: this is because of (fossil!) energy shocks, policy divergence & market volatility, not "despite" them
insideclimatenews.org/news/1906202...
20 days ago
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Took new
@columbiabusiness.bsky.social
faculty portraits yesterday. Photographer just sent me a first preview. 🤣 PS: 3:1! ⚽⚽⚽ PPS: Tonight in Vienna:
gwagner.com/glacier-circle
23 days ago
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Bleecker Street, New York 🏀
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26 days ago
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Just Look Up premiere @ Tribeca Film Festival
justlookupdoc.com
The most fun part: taking the kids and watching the gears spin in the 12- and 15-year-olds' minds 💪
26 days ago
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Mamdani's NYC: 1st Ave has traffic lights synched with cycling (= legal car) speeds. NYPD no longer just ignores 311 pings about illegally parked cars. No more parked cars within 20ft of Lafayette & Bleecker intersection. … Improving NYC, one tiny, logical step at a time. Thanks,
@mayor.nyc.gov
26 days ago
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The perfect obit headline for this particular climate denier, who knew better but preferred to live a lie
heatmap.news/daily/lee-raymond
27 days ago
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$8 million mansion in the sky at The Dakota Classic real estate porn...
27 days ago
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"Not the top killer" is one way of saying "rounding error"
add a skeleton here at some point
28 days ago
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The fossil industry shenanigans here aren't exactly surprising but no less disturbing. And yeah, it's the "Honest Brokers", "Skeptical Environmentalists" and other hyphenated attention seekers, who are the most pernicious actors in all of this.
www.politico.com/news/2026/06...
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Inside the campaign to discredit a key climate science report
An emerging field of research that can measure how much climate change has worsened individual disasters is under attack by friends of the fossil fuel industry. Billions of dollars are at stake.
https://www.politico.com/news/2026/06/11/fossil-fuels-national-academies-climate-science-00897237
28 days ago
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Morning run photo fail Also: dang it's hot out already, AQI > 100 and all. And yes, it's climate change¹ ¹
csi.climatecentral.org/climate-shif...
28 days ago
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3 million x ~$100/barrel = $300 million aka ¥2 billion SAVINGS PER DAY¹ Clean tech pays, many times over.² ¹
www.wsj.com/business/ene...
²
gwagner.com/nature-fossilflation
28 days ago
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For the rest of us, inflation is indeed a problem. And yes, it's dominated by fossilflation these days
gwagner.com/nature-fossilflation
add a skeleton here at some point
29 days ago
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Wait a decade of two, for when we will yearn for today's wild temperature swings as quaint oscillations of the recent past
29 days ago
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The AI revolution is a digital twin of the green transition. Plenty of strategic, economic, and political similarities, plenty of pitfalls, of course, too. My latest
@projectsyndicate.bsky.social
column, joint Adam Bauer:
prosyn.org/USE8D29?h=AE...
29 days ago
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Another day, another heat advisory. At what point are we going to 'adapt' out of this one and just skip the daily advisories, building the productivity hits into our economic forecasts¹, perhaps even legislating them out of existence by declaring heat advisories to be too 'political'?
30 days ago
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What a story
www.theguardian.com/lifeandstyle...
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It was Britain’s most expensive house. Why is its only resident a homeless man who lives on the porch?
2-8A Rutland Gate had jewel-encrusted bathroom suites and gold wastepaper bins in its 45 rooms, but has lain empty for years. With many people desperate for secure housing, what does the abandonment o...
https://www.theguardian.com/lifeandstyle/2026/jun/10/homeless-man-porch-rutland-gate
30 days ago
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