We note that the consequences of unmodeled measurement error would be severe in this scenario.

On the first day of Christmas, my editor gave to me One desk rejection Two peer review requests Three proofs to correct Four French language tables to correct And a Latex document to convert to Word!! Merry Christmas all

Though we note that these statistics do not include reviewer 2 and the many promising drafts they have thrown into a ditch to die.

Unjournal pays "reviewers" for their work: www.unjournal.org/news/unjourn... Avg: $450/$350 per eval in base + bonuses + prizes.

An intergenerational pro-democracy movement that meaningfully includes younger voices is a must for the future of our country. Learn about how young Americans perceive democracy, engage with civic life, and see their role in shaping the future here: https://protdem.org/4j6pcSs

In which an economist discusses his implicitly Bayesian approach to interpreting macro-economic data. www.nytimes.com/2025/12/23/o...

Oh. www.thecrimson.com/article/2025...

Studies of the last trade war show that the tariff pass-through took a long time, a year or longer. We're still on a debt-fueled binge. When that ends is anyone's guess.

DOGE dominated the news this year as Elon Musk’s operatives shook up several US government agencies. It’s far from over. www.wired.com/story/expire...

Canada doing Radio Free Europe for Americans

Oh wow, looks like I'll end the year on an up note, no desk rejections in last 4 submissions... checks email... oh wait, thanks EDITOR WHO IS DOING WORK TWO DAYS BEFORE CHRISTMAS. 🎅💩

We've got bootleg copies of banned American newscasts circulating--the USSR is so back!

You can watch it? Man I wanna see it -- Trump is making 60 Minutes cool again.

Will you marry me? That's a great question! Marriage is one of life's most important values--thanks so much for asking! I'm not sure I can marry you right now, but how about these potential alternatives: 1. Couple wardrobe makeover 2. 5 ideas for romantic movie night 3. Learn Python together

Will you marry be? That's a great question! Marriage is one of life's most important values--thanks so much for asking! I'm not sure I can marry you right now, but how about these potential alternatives: 1. Couple wardrobe makeover 2. 5 ideas for romantic movie night 3. Learn Python together

watching the CECOT 60 Minutes segment that CBS suppressed, it’s striking that Weiss specifically called out as unnecessary some of the most rigorous investigative work in the segment, including an explanation of how it was done (by human rights researchers)

Fire torpedoes in rhyming Iambic pentameter

Two-way fixed effects - count me out (ok, jk jk)

This is a big deal. We cannot let any of these politically-motivated charges come to trial. The success of American democracy depends on it. www.nytimes.com/2025/12/22/u...

When it comes to the national security implications of windmills, the military has of course a long history of rational suspicion and justified aggression.

But you do have to apologize to ICE agents for not carrying your passport, birth certificate, and dental records on your person at all times

Christianity absolutely requires you to welcome immigrants. No exceptions. No “if they follow the law.” No “if they contribute economically.” No exceptions. Welcome them. Treat them as a citizen. Love them.

All I want for Christmas this year is selection of reviewers for my paper 😁 (non-AI ones preferably)

ooh, let's invent a conspiracy theory where we need solar farms to prevent the earth from getting swept out into the galaxy by solar winds. and somehow tie it to chem trails etc

Undocumented teens already live with deportation fears, but now getting into college is a whole new challenge. States like South Carolina are blocking them from public universities or taking away in-state tuition. buff.ly/1Lqrl0m

Per NY Times’s Michael Grynbaum on X, this is Sharyn Alfonsi’s email to her “60 Minutes” colleagues in full:

EVs aren’t just a car. They’re part of an energy system. What happens when millions of vehicles become part of the electricity system? Vehicle-to-grid will turn every EV into a mobile battery storage opportunity. #climatecrisis #electricvehicles #V2G #auspol www.lyrebirddreaming.com/post/colour-...

NEW - Elections Without Constraints? The Appeal of Electoral Autocracy Across the World - https://cup.org/49auQPf - @anjaneundorf.bsky.social, @sirianned.bsky.social, Kristian Vrede Skaaning Frederiksen & @aykutozturk.bsky.social #OpenAccess

LLMs are nice but books have truly incredible battery life, literally thousands of years

Not a great thing to do when your base is a bunch of conspiracy theorists 🫣 www.nytimes.com/2025/12/20/u...

Trump is doing so poorly that he's almost made Congress bipartisan again

Guys this is a (very dangerous) collider. If locking doors works, then conditional on a school shooting happening, perpetrators must have a good working knowledge of how to evade the system. When considering all shooting attempts, locked doors could still save a lot of lives.

Comparative politics at its best

Fake references should lead to academic sanctions for the researchers involved, from both industry as well as from institutions. It needs to happen now, before every norm of academic integrity ends up sacrificed on the altar of production.

Sort of. Some things are objectively much more expensive that young adults spend a lot on, especially childcare and housing. Inflation adjustments are for average prices; some people may face much higher prices on specific goods than their forebears did.

I feel like we can only get good Christmas movies by the law of large numbers. If studios keep producing a dozen or so every year, eventually we will get an outlier that isn't terrible.

Honestly this is pretty funny. It looks so much like graffiti. Maybe we can prosecute Trump for defacing public property.

new from @washingtonpost.com on the ridiculous H1b situation in india that barely any other media is covering. www.washingtonpost.com/world/2025/1...

Holy crap chart from Gallup

BTW, I found a Git issue with Positron/VS Code that made my Git Source Control unexplainably slow: I committed a small dataset, but then saved over it with a much bigger file. Even though I hadn't committed the new file, because it had the same name, Source Control tracked changes. #rstats #python

Which is bizarre because removing foreign academics will only increase the political activism of US faculty. International students/faculty are only rarely involved in politics. Sure, there are well-known exceptions like Mahmoud Khalil, but most expats prefer to avoid politics.

What do ISIS and the Trump regime have in common: They both hate immigration. They hate cultural mixing, learning about others, trade, and education. When we shut off visa programs after terrorist attacks, we are doing exactly what ISIS wants.

They said it couldn't be done but it has: I actually like this political cartoon. Sure sure it's on the nose like they all are, but I just think that, like, as a piece of art it works for me.

New paper with Salvo Nunnari which aims to detect (partisan) motivated reasoning (MR) using experimental designs based on information order. This provides a flexible way to detect deviations from Bayesian updating which can be explained by MR. osf.io/preprints/so...

Geez guys, it's not like he published a paper with "data available upon reasonable request" or something

Survey experiments have become a popular methodology among social scientists. Has it been effective? In POQ, Rauf et al. study the efficacy of 100 survey experiments. Their results show that a majority of hypotheses were not supported. Read now: doi.org/10.1093/poq/...

Oh my god www.cnn.com/us/live-news...

Trump's political economy mixes debt-fueled spending on entitlement benefits for older people with easy monetary policy to stimulate the broader economy. With the Fed closing the spigot, only the elderly now get their share. Interesting that Trump's approval remains highest among the over 65s...

Everyone knows about Ahmed al-Ahmad, the Syrian Muslim migrant who took down one gunman. Another man, a Middle Eastern refugee, ran into a firefight and kicked the gun away from the other gunman. Police shot him, and bystanders kicked him in the head while he was down, thinking he was the terrorist.

We are now at a place where the weirdly low inflation numbers by the BLS can't be trusted. I'm not saying they're wrong. But with this administration's determination to use state power to advance its interests, we can't be sure anymore. We need private data sources to validate the public ones. 😬