Though warmth in the Caribbean Sea is not at 2023 or 2024 levels as of yesterday (5 October 2025), it's noticeably beyond what's been observed via area-wide sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in other years since 1982.

Collection of damage photos and survey information on the EF-5 Enderlin, ND, tornado from NWS Grand Forks: www.weather.gov/media/fgf/En...

Great story on disaster capitalism. The home buyers were one of the first things I noticed when I went out to western NC after Hurricane Helene in October 2024. Signs proudly saying "we are not for sale" still there over the summer in June 2025.

12 years is a long time. A good stretch. But the EF-5 “drought” has ended. Also, this is a lesson to the Monday morning quarterbacks that this took *3 months* to confirm. Good analysis takes time. So save your hot takes immediately after an event.

Enderlin, ND tor #1 from 20 June 2025 upgraded to EF-5. A good reminder that 1) post-event analyses take time & 2) external expert opinion is invaluable. Having been on EF-5 surveys, seemingly small details can make big difference (i.e. tree damage) mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/p.ph...

This is the PNS for the #EnderlinTornado upgrade to EF-5, the first since the #MooreTornado on May 20, 2013. #Tornado #EnhancedFujitaScale #EFScale

“The cover had a woman, young woman with green background of the forest, following chimpanzees. And I thought, wow. She kind of looks like me. That's when I decided I wanted to do that kind of work.” - Dr. Lynne Isbell Representation matters. www.npr.org/2025/10/02/n...

Now that Imelda is an extratropical cyclone and there's a break in the activity, here's a look back at the tracks of all 9 named storms so far this season. Their peak intensity, minimum pressure, and total Accumulated Cyclone Energy are listed on the right.

Heading out to the beach today? ⛱️ Use extra caution given the Moderate to High rip current risk from Florida to Maine today (October 2). Try to find a beach with lifeguards - and when in doubt, don't go out! weather.gov/safety

The legacy of a leader is measured in lives uplifted, not titles held.

"oh it's just a fish storm" Hurricanes that never make landfall can induce rough surf and rip currents along distant shores. Humberto is the latest "fish storm" expected to produce these hazardous conditions over the next few days. www.weather.gov/safety/ripcu... www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/grap...

Of the 44 Category 5 hurricanes in the past century, 12 of them occurred in just the past decade. But perhaps more impressive is that of the three hurricanes in this season so far, two of them were Category 5s! #Humberto #TD9 #Imelda

In terms of impacts - regardless of 94L's development or proximity to the US, a cutoff low lingering over the Southeast US will bring a multi-day heavy rainfall threat to parts of the region, predominantly over the Carolinas:

Newly-designated invest 94L has 3 general scenarios in today's ensembles: 1) 94L fails to develop beyond a disturbance or weak tropical cyclone 2) 94L develops but recurves offshore near/east of the Bahamas 3) 94L continues NW and indirectly or directly affects the Bahamas & the southeast US

Bermuda rn

Remarkable to see what hurricanes can do when they traverse exceptionally warm water. Gabrielle rapidly strengthening to a Category 4 hurricane today right as it passed over record warm sea surface temperatures for the time of year.

What's better than a new feature in a day? *TWO* new features in a day! In the tropics home page you'll find "areas of interest" for areas NHC tagged for monitoring that are not yet invests, with estimated ensemble tracks available where possible: polarwx.com/tropical/

Pretty neat radar evolution w/ #Gabrielle which rapidly intensified into a Cat 4 #hurricane today. An eyewall replacement cycle occurred, but instead of the typical cycle of the inner replacing the outer eyewall, it appears the two eyewalls merged & did not interrupt continued intensification.

Super Typhoon #Ragasa 's inner core is coming into radar range of Taiwan... long updating loop available at bmcnoldy.earth.miami.edu/tropics/radar/ #NandoPH

Progress continues with the new PolarWx tropical page — the “models” tab for each storm has been redesigned for easier browsing of past runs, with a new section for viewing forecast track & intensity trends for each model: polarwx.com/tropical

I finally crafted daily potential intensity charts like my daily SST charts, but because they rely on ERA5 data, they feel perpetually 5 days out of date. 😅 Anyway, here's PI for the Caribbean Sea since June 1 next to SSTs for context.

Though temperatures will feel very beach-like, increasing northeast winds this weekend will bring a high rip current risk to local beaches in parts of Florida and Georgia. Locals and visitors, should follow beach patrol guidance & flags. Visit weather.gov/beach for the latest forecast info.

If you aren't already following Janine, you should be!

The tragic stories that continue to come out of the July 4th TX Hill Country flood demonstrate why we need strong meteorology and emergency management agencies in this country. As NWA and IAEM said in the joint statement yesterday, we need to support them. More: https://tinyurl.com/3ynp8mvh

Thunderstorms sweep eastward over Goodland, KS — 7:30-8:30 pm MDT on Tuesday September 16, 2025. View looking toward the west. #kswx #cowx #newx

The @nwas.org and @iaem-org.bsky.social are united in safeguarding communities from weather-driven disasters. Today, we are making a joint statement to reaffirm our commitment—to our mission and to those who depend on us. The full statement is available here: nwas.org/nwa-iaem-joi...

I’m proud to say that @noaa.gov and NCEI has released a 1 year retrospective on #Helene using ESRI Story Maps. arcg.is/aqCD4 Here is a brief thread of how this came to be and how NOAA can still do good things (even while wearing pajamas).

Useful terminology tidbit for Atlantic hurricane enthusiasts: The "Main Development Region" (MDR) is a slice of the deep tropical Atlantic where "most major hurricanes begin developing". Importantly, the Caribbean Sea is included in it, and makes up nearly 40% of it! [1/3]

If you missed out on the Integrated Warning Team and Digital Meteorologists Forum from #NWAS25, definitely give it a watch! The way that people are receiving weather information is changing, and it’s vital to work together with a unified message to protect lives and property

🥧 Am I going to regret eating a pint of peach cobbler? Maybe, but...yolo? It's never a bad decision to stop at Durbin Farms in Clanton when driving up/down I-65 in Alabama.

Decided to go to the Gin Blossoms, Spin Doctors, and Blues Traveler Concert on a whim. This is gonna be awesome 🙌

Want to come work for the National Hurricane Center, #NHC? There are two new job postings that were just announced yesterday. The 1st opportunity is a position within the #Hurricane Specialist Unit, #HSU: GS-13 Hurricane Specialist Position -- www.usajobs.gov/job/845559000

We are delighted to announce the winners of our 2025 National Weather Association Awards! #NWAS25 Congratulations to all of our award recipients, and thank you for your significant contributions to the National Weather Association and the weather enterprise!

SPC is hiring a Warning Coordination Meteorologist (WCM) for the severe side. So if you've wanted to work for SPC as a WCM, here's your chance! Applications for this position close on Tuesday, Sep 23. Severe WCM: www.usajobs.gov/job/845565600

Fingers are numb, brain is mush, but my cup is full 😌 Another amazing @nwas.org Annual Meeting in the books! Our Social Media team pushed out more than 1000 posts covering presentations, special sessions, workshops, Showcases, and so much more! Let’s do it again real soon ✌️ #NWAS25

This is a lot of my favorite people at one table. ❤️ #nwas25

Spoden: Our training trains us for everything, except how to live with a mistake. How do you handle that?

Phenomenal presentation. Well done! 👏

Schwent: The ROI for the NWS is 73:1, supporting 1/3 of the US economy, all for roughly $3 per person per year

Schwent: Making the case for the NWS - protecting life, property, and the economy #NWAS25

Wade: With a fast ignition pattern, we're seeing impacts where the fire is feeding back into the micrometeorology #NWAS25

1. What is the #1 concern about the impacts to EM weather support? 2. What exp or op change do you currently have? 3. What topic do disasters & emergency managers need to grow knowledge in regarding weather? If you prefer to DM, please do. Link: www.menti.com/al3ftwpyoyp1 Code: 3850 7874 #NWAS25

Jasko: A quote from Jim Rohn "Communication is 20% what you know, and 80% how you feel about what you know." We cannot forget about the emotional end of the spectrum in our communication #NWAS25

Jasko: A quote from James Gleick "When information is cheap, attention becomes expensive" #NWAS25

Ashley always has THE BEST looking slides. 💯

Thiel: OCTANE provides cloud-top winds derived from visible/IR MESO imagery at 1-minute intervals and 0.5km resolution, so it has tremendous spatial and temporal resolution - useful for mesoanalysis and convective initiation #NWAS25

Our publication involving the Lightning Mapping Array (LMA) and mobile radar observations in Hurricane Ian, led by Jackie Ringhausen is now available in BAMS! journals.ametsoc.org/view/journal...

Wood: It was a very unique survey - very different from surveying storm surge flooding #NWAS25

Wood: There were 154 high water marks with elevation and flood extent - was a very challenging survey to catalog #NWAS25

Our penultimate talk during the Severe Storms Session is "Building Resilience: A Cross-Sector Workshop to Better Prepare Communities for Extreme Weather" with Lance Wood #NWAS25