Superb!

Came into the office at 8am, and mostly no one was here. Did something happen last night? I was sleepy and went to bed right at 10:30pm last night with little stress and a calm mind.

Happy SuperbOwl Day to those who celebrate youtu.be/sS0qhHiyrfI?...

FOLKS!

Among top 10 coldest "Jan. 15 - Feb. 4" three-week periods on record for much of the East, per SERCC. Third coldest in 153 years in Detroit, coldest since 1963. Also third coldest in 149 years in Pittsburgh, their coldest since 1977.

CORRECT

My day is ruined

An abundance of snow is neat in the eastern US (+23 feet above 15-year mean), but the real story is the lack of snow out west (-20 feet). Not good for water resources later this year. Here's an animation of the snow accumulation difference from the mean (Oct 1 to Feb 4) #snOMG

Thanks to @jjrennie.bsky.social for speaking with me and @wesinjapan.bsky.social students last night at UNC Asheville about Helene from a meteorological perspective.

This is happening TONIGHT on the UNC-Asheville Campus, 5:30pm ET. If you would like to listen virtually, DM me and I'll send you a link. #NCwx #Disasterology #Helene @samlmontano.bsky.social

I have not laughed out loud this hard in a long while

Seasonal snowfall for the Carolinas, from October 1 to February 2nd. #NCwx #SCwx #snOMG @wxbrad.bsky.social @timbuckleywx.bsky.social

To be clear, I’m not suggesting everyone be welcomed I myself had to debunk some Western NC folks posting 20” maps and scaring folks last weekend (including some CBMs) We still need that trusted, certified source, and my argument is simply to see if RHY and MV can be champions of that.

Examples of science/information-specific ones for relevancy. Some text for context, actual visual of what you'll see in the video, some show a person on most thumbnails (which is great for videos where the main personality is on screen a lot, like RHY/MV). Also RHY/MV titles suck and are too vague.

It does feel like the starting point is off. But better now than never I feel like this gif is appropriate somehow

Sunday morning thoughts: don't judge a book by its cover, or in this case, thumbnail. Whether we like it or not, the cat is out of the bag, and engagement / likes are part of the algorithm. But have y'all actually watched the content?

Official measurement in candler #NCwx

FOLKS! 2.5” so far in candler #NCwx @nws.noaa.gov

Today is the last day of climatological KEVIN! 😢

Come join Dr. @samlmontano.bsky.social and I on the UNC-Asheville campus Tuesday night (Feb 3rd 5:30pm ET) to talk about our favorite subjects: Disasterology and Helene #NCwx #Helene #Disasterology

15 minute mark: “I’ll bring up that topic in a couple of slides” #AMS2026

If you missed my flooding talk this morning I also recorded it, because talking about these types of events is too important to keep behind a paywall. youtu.be/-iKtEQYRyys #AMS2026 #StateOfFlood

Continuing this conversation now as part of the Applied Climate (boooooo!) conference ams.confex.com/ams/106ANNUA... #AMS2026

My "more science-y less funny" talk is this morning at 9:15 CT, Room 342D in the @amshydrology.bsky.social conference. But given the 2025 flooding events, it is very relevant, and NOAA NCEI will continue to monitor and classify them post-mortem ams.confex.com/ams/106ANNUA... #AMS2026 #StateOfFlood

Something something #Helene something something

Ok time to play devils advocate at #AMS2026 The session with @spann.bsky.social, Harold Brooks, Kim Klockow, and others talked about how AMS needs a code of ethics But it exists, and there are ones for CBMs CCMs etc. There's even an ethics committee. Is the issue more about enforcement?

AAAAAAH IM DOING TWO AGAIN #AMS2026

James @spann.bsky.social said something important that needs to be echoed Go to schools. He goes every day and teaches science to them. They are our next generation My advice: get out of your comfort zone and ivory tower and communicate your work to everyone. Even if bosses say no #AMS2026

AAAAAH IM SO TORN RIGHT NOW Do I watch @spann.bsky.social talk about the future of meteorology or do I watch a @nws.noaa.gov SPC talk about severe weather climatologies? Trying to do both! #AMS2026

Same. Multitasking like crazy here #AMS2026

My #AMS2026 FOMO is making me grumpy, so here are some rants - Hybrid conferences suck, but are here to stay. Good confs. accommodate both - Belichick is a Hall of Famer. End of story - If you ignore digital mets like Ryan and Max you will become irrelevant - Same goes for AI

Go to the @noaa.gov booth in 20 minutes (3:20pm CT) to see the man in the yellow hat talk about flooding events in 2025. #AMS2026

I cannot emphasize this enough folks. DO 👋 NOT 👋 IGNORE 👋 THE 👋 VIRTUAL👋 ATTENDEES! Let us ask questions, and we HAVE to get better tech in the room than seeing people's necks Do better @ametsoc #AMS2026

New Kens 10 #AMS2026

No context post for #AMS2026 @nws.noaa.gov @ametsoc.org

“If you care about too many things at the same time, that leads to burnout. There are only some things that you can control… ask yourself, ‘what can I control?’ That is why, professionally, I use social media as a tool.” - @jjrennie.bsky.social #AMS2026

Ready to get serious at #AMS2026? Let's get f---ing serious at #AMS2026 10:45am CT Grand Ballroom B

Go upstairs

In my newsletter this morning, I shared the experimental real-time freezing rain ice accumulation analysis developed by the winter weather research group at NSSL. This is the kind of R2O NOAA does that has clear societal benefit - and that the admin wants to curtail. tinyurl.com/43kcrhmb

Happening in about an hour. Can't be there, but @zombietrev5k.bsky.social is running the show, and has offered to give some terrible takes in my honor #AMS2026 #DrinkingWithScientists

Heck Yes @climatecentral.org #AMS2026

Sigh, I leave the AMS WRN session and return to sessions that have: - Mumbling, droning presenter - Slides with too much text - Speed scrolling through the slides - Jargon, with Acronyms that aren't explained - No eye contact with audience - "I ran out of time" #AMS2026

Here's the What If Questions 1) Wrong ?. What if we prioritized NOAA? Have to bring OAR and NESDIS if NWS goes 2) GOOD look elsewhere! There is so much more to our society than just fcsts 3) I, for one, welcome our AI overlords. What can you do to leverage it to be a desirable employee? #AMS2026

If you missed my talk this morning during the Weather Ready Nation Symposium I recorded it over the weekend for you to check out. How do we communicate Climate Impacts in 2026...it's still DOABLE! youtu.be/JT6OKNXNuDE #AMS2026 @ametsoc.org

Very exciting to share that @climatecentral.org is hiring a Climate Data Scientist to join a new climate services effort focused on advancing predictions of risks and hazards on seasonal-to-decadal timescales. The application closes on February 9, 2026 at 5pm ET, & the description can be found here:

That number is TOO DAMN HIGH #AMS2026

Quoting @wxdam.com here but "Sorry to hear you'll have heat when it's 5°F? Sorry you can cook your family a hot meal? Sorry you've got running water? Sorry a tree didn't fall through your bedroom?" #NCwx

My talk: no context #AMS2026