This was my first TV appearance as hurricane specialist this year, my 5th already on @nbcmiami.com after retiring as chief meteorologist in early 2022. I’ll be here again to guide South Florida audiences through any and all tropical threats in 2026. Thank you always for your trust in me.

I’ll be on TV today launching my 5th year as @nbcmiami.com hurricane specialist. But also look for me on the @wclivestream.bsky.social this evening at 8 ET with a talk about the Great Miami Hurricane’s 100th anniversary. Use this link to subscribe to the YouTube channel: wclivestream.com/watch

“My message is that you can’t get too comfortable with the notion that a strong or even ‘super’ El Niño will keep hurricanes away this year.” My 1st 2026 article for WTVJ NBC 6 as I prep for another year as hurricane specialist on and off TV in South Florida. www.nbcmiami.com/news/local/j...

My favorite part of being a trustee is greeting and congratulating graduating students, especially those in the small but mighty atmospheric sciences cohort. Not even a soggy and cold Saturday in Ithaca NY can dampen spirits. Go Big Red! #cornell

75% increase in 4 years. This article is paywalled, but the headline is enough to convey the urgency of the insurance crisis fueled in part by the climate crisis. @climatepower.bsky.social @whitehouse.senate.gov www.miamiherald.com/news/local/e...

“Everyone is still at risk,” [Morales] said. “The old adage of ‘it only takes one’ has never been more important. The ‘one’ could be devastating for whoever is in its way.” www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026...

NOAA's seasonal hurricane outlook for the Atlantic aggressively points to below normal activity given the growing confidence for a very powerful El Niño. It is crucially important to remember that climate change is supercharging tropical cyclones that DO form, with higher propensity for Cat 4 & 5.

In case you want to catch up on the climate scenario modeling conversation, @climateofgavin.bsky.social has you covered

"They're stretched too thin." — concern from me and others on the long shadow of 2025's DOGE cuts to the National Weather Service, still impacting Americans in 2026. See my sound bites in this report by Stetson Miller for WITN and other Gray television stations. www.witn.com/2026/05/11/e...

“I'll tell you, forecasting in general - it has been degraded.”

🚨 The Weather and Climate Livestream is back, June 1st - 3rd 2026!! We're streaming 50 hours for our future in the face of a new round of proposed budget cuts and attacks on science. Want to speak at the event? wclivestream.com/volunteer/

“…Disasters Are Rewriting Home-Insurance Costs.” Link to gifted article in the Paul Walsh Substack. “Homeowners in some high-risk areas are seeing rates spiral, if they can get coverage at all.” substack.com/@paulewalsh/...

Nerdy fun celestial event tonight (Sat). The Moon will slide in front of bright star Regulus creating a "lunar occultation" visible from *eastern* PA, MD, VA, NJ, NC, FL. Because the Moon has no atmosphere it won't dim but instead "wink out". No telescope or binoculars are needed.

Today at Cornell University’s Earth & Atmospheric Sciences department we launched the John Morales Award, which will support undergraduate students experiential learning and engagement. Travel support to @ametsoc.org meetings will be a big component, funded by an endowment gift from my wife and me.

One good way to spend Earth Day 🌎 is continuing to serve on the Cornell Atkinson Center for Sustainability advisory council. We work towards reducing climate risk, accelerating the energy transition, increasing food security, and advancing health. What are you thinking of on Earth Day? 🌱 🌳

Surprise tornadoes in Kansas yesterday. Constant forecast flip flopping in fall and winter. Subpar hurricane intensity forecasts in 2025. The Trump regime’s DOGE cuts have had a long lasting effect.

Tragicomic. Conservative @miamiherald.com editorial board member @maryannamancuso.bsky.social waits until *now* to have her Come to Jesus Moment. So many more like her. How many 💯s of thousands would still be alive today? How much damage could have been avoided? www.miamiherald.com/opinion/arti...

Obviously, the cost of climate inaction is increasing. So much so that it will soon exceed that of the cost of actions we should have taken such as carbon pricing. Also obviously, there's no stopping this in the short term. The pain in the pocketbook will worsen. uk.finance.yahoo.com/news/why-cli...

I don't doubt the Colorado State U forecast for total number of Atlantic storms in 2026, but I worry that more than just 2 will be major hurricanes. A greater proportion of tropical cyclones are reaching Category 4 & 5 intensity in this new era in which ocean heat content is deeper and warmer. 🌀

Trump regime again tries to shutter all NOAA labs in its 2027 White House budget. open.substack.com/pub/balanced...

Takeaways: NHC track forecasts were good again in 2025, now led by AI modeling’s best guidance followed by consensus models. American (GFS) global modeling now about the worst on the planet. Intensity forecasts were not good amidst overall improvements in recent decades. nhc.noaa.gov/verification...

“[Doubling] down on fossil fuels [is] a geopolitical issue because some countries are trying to transition and others are trying NOT to. That’s a major cleavage […] one that can be very destabilizing. And […] your bedfellows are Saudi Arabia and Russia…” yaleclimateconnections.org/2026/03/the-...

Government interference in higher education's curriculum. USSR Stalinism? No. Florida (and Texas and others) USA. (article may be paywalled sorry) www.miamiherald.com/news/politic...

This is 9 months old, but all of it is still true. More than ever.

A first for me today. Ground ops got us stuck in the mud at Syracuse Airport when the tow pushed too far back and the main gear dropped off the tarmac. Thanks to the @americanair.bsky.social gate agents for courteous service in getting me rerouted, even if I’ll get home over 9 hours late.

The Sharpie in his brain at work 🤨 “Cuba […] they’re not in a hurricane zone, which is nice for a change, you know? They won’t be asking us for money for hurricanes every week.” www.miamiherald.com/news/nation-...

#Florida Legislature bans local govts from doing one single thing to combat climate change, because that's how desperate the oil companies are these days floridaphoenix.com/2026/03/11/f... via @mitchperry.bsky.social

During March, Saturn sinks from view low in the west after sunset. But it’s joined by Venus, nearly 100 times brighter, which night by night is climbing higher in the evening sky. (Credit: @skyandtelescope.bsky.social)

“She […] put us in a place where we are no longer well prepared to help people before, during or after disasters.” Good riddance. www.cnn.com/2026/03/06/p...

A reminder that a pre-dawn full lunar eclipse is visible overnight over North America. It lays about one hour between 6 and 7 am ET.

“While the East was cold, for locations with long term records like NYC, DC, Philly & Boston, winter 2025-26 only ranked in the range of a top 25-50 coldest — it just seemed particularly brutal because of global warming and the trend toward milder winters in recent decades.” — @wxmanms1.bsky.social

"The repeal of the Endangerment Finding does not alter the central unambiguous scientific conclusion: The climate change that people are causing threatens human lives and well-being."—@ametsoc.org. Though I would've preferred "AMS condemns" than chosen "AMS concerned" www.ametsoc.org/ams/about-am...

"The first month of 2026 was the world’s fifth-warmest January in analyses of global weather data." — another data point contributing to the notion that whether or not it's cold where you are, global warming continues unabated. yaleclimateconnections.org/2026/02/desp...

"All five of the wind farms planned in federal waters have gotten the go-ahead. [...] It’s another loss for Trump in his war against wind energy, which continues to scale in the U.S. despite the president’s attacks." www.yahoo.com/news/article...

"The center of gravity in global #climate outcomes has already shifted [...] to how China powers its economy. If the structural changes underway in #China take root, they will influence global #emissions trajectories more than any other single national decision." www.forbes.com/sites/kensil...

With a minimum temperature of 35 °F, today marks just the 2nd time this century that the temperature in Miami dipped so low. It was also 35° on 10 Jan 2010. This morning's lowest wind chill reading in #Miami was 26°

Number of days with low temperatures below 40 °F in #Miami during the last 50 years (1977-2026) is 4️⃣3️⃣ versus 9️⃣0️⃣ days in the previous 50 years (1927-1976). There's a good chance we'll add 2️⃣ such cold days this Sunday and Monday per @nws.noaa.gov.

Record-breaking climate trends, AI, various biosecurity concerns, and renewed nuclear proliferation, among other factors why the so-called Doomsday Clock is the closest to midnight it's ever been according to @thebulletin.org. thebulletin.org/2026/01/pres...

Signed into law today: appropriations for most federal science organizations including NOAA, NASA, the National Science Foundation (NSF), the US Geological Survey, and the EPA. The bill passed without explicit language protecting NCAR. So, also today NSF wrote a "Dear Colleague" letter signaling...

This was fun—a short interview about my journey from Cornell to a career in meteorology & communications. I reflect on key experiences that shaped my path and how time on campus prepared me for life after graduation. You’ll also hear my advice for current students. www.youtube.com/watch?v=RqiR...

Killing Freedom of the Press the American way. Source: (🎁🔗) www.nytimes.com/2026/01/17/b...

FY2026 NOAA/NASA/NSF budgets approved in Congress—a sharp rebuke to the White House (Project 2025) plans, with funding mostly maintained, safeguarding national labs, plus a 10% boost to NWS to "support full staffing" (anti-DOGE). No NCAR guarantee though balancedweather.substack.com?utm_source=n...

This morning the Senate by an overwhelming margin of 85-14 passed the cloture motion on bill H.R. 6938, the “minibus” appropriations bill that will fund most federal science agencies, including NOAA, NASA and the National Science Foundation (NSF). No guarantees for NCAR so far.

Important update about Congressional efforts to prevent the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) from being dismantled. Last week the White House threatened to veto any appropriations bill that protects NCAR. Despite this attempt at intimidation ... (1/ )

2025 was Earth’s third-warmest year since records began in 1850. It's an unprecedented global heat streak now in its 3rd year. We are rapidly approaching the threshold above which the risks to lives & livelihoods from pollution-fueled warming and extreme weather will intensify further.

Not that you didn’t know what the root of what’s happening is. But here it is, plain as day. Watch 👀 www.thirteen.org/programs/pbs...

“The data shows a planet warming faster than policy response, storms intensifying alongside rising seas, and economic losses concentrating where resilience is weakest. Climate risk is now a planning variable, rather than a forecast uncertainty.” www.forbes.com/sites/dianne...

“Trump’s heat waves, Trump’s droughts, Trump’s floods, and Trump’s wildfires” — Prof. Justin Mankin I can add Trump’s catastrophic hurricanes to this list. 🎁🔗 www.nytimes.com/2026/01/12/c...

Jupiter is very bright and easy to spot in the evening sky all week. It reaches its closest point to the Earth on Friday. The evening skies of January feature an incredible array of bright stars— more so than at any other time of the year. Image Credit: @skyandtelescope.bsky.social

Who remembers how "cold" last January was in South Florida? Temperatures ran 2-3 degrees below normal. But the rest of 2025 was so scalding hot 🥵 that #Miami again managed to tally a top-10 hottest year. Records date back to 1895. West Palm Beach too.