Americans say they want less inequality. Why don’t they support policies to reduce it? New paper: across 31 nationally representative survey waves (N=384,248) and a preregistered experiment (N=1,009), Americans favor PREdistributive over REdistributive policies 🧵 osf.io/preprints/so...

At Political Psychology (@ispp-pops.bsky.social), we typically publish empirical articles, but we do have other options! One exciting option are Dialogues, that put 2+ books in conversation with one another.

Now Out on FirstView: The Policy Feedback Effects of State Assistance: Did Small Business Bailouts Increase Support for Public Aid Programs? www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

new WP (w/ @ntd.bsky.social): we use the case of Christian nationalism to make a broader point about "niche ideologies" in mass opinion research, and why you shouldn't scale them the same way you'd scale more general attitudes Link: osf.io/wbdut/files/...

Bluesky I made a public guide for preparing social science replication packages 📦 yhoriuchi.github.io/replication-... Please repost if this might help researchers preparing replication materials.

AJPS Editors Blog Post: Pre-Analysis Plans (PAP) Policy Change. We recently clarified our policy regarding the execution of pre-analysis plans and the reporting of supplemental materials. These changes are in line with increasing transparency in reporting ajps.org/2026/05/13/p...

Happy to share that my Cambridge Element with @patrickpliu.bsky.social, Tailored Experiments: Personalized Interventions Using Generative AI, has been accepted as part of Jamie Druckman’s Experimental Political Science series.

🚨 Now out in @bjpols.bsky.social w @busbyj2.bsky.social @jordantama.bsky.social @ckafura.bsky.social: Do American foreign policy elites know what the public wants? Partnering with @global-affairs.bsky.social, we show that elites systematically misread the room 🧵 www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

🚨 Western democracies are often described as polarized. @katharinalawall.bsky.social, @mtsakiris.bsky.social + I study how polarization actually feels. Now published in @ejprjournal.bsky.social, we asked citizens in 5 European countries to report their emotions ⬇️ www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

Thrilled to announce my paper with @dianamejordan.bsky.social & sky-less Trent Ollerenshaw is now published open-access at @apsrjournal.bsky.social. In a (very) large replication & extension, we show that design effects of repeated measure experiments are nonzero but typically small. Thread:

Journal editors - the status quo on preregistration is not working! You need to check submissions vs. preregistrations before sending articles out for review. *56%* of experiments I reviewed in last year have severe problems with non-disclosure, undocumented deviations, & more - see Claude summary ↓

🚨Job opportunity🚨 UNC Poli Sci is hiring a postdoc (one year renewable) to advance research on political behavior, with a special focus on free expression in higher education. Competitive salary and benefits. No teaching. Please encourage people to apply. Ad: timryan.web.unc.edu/wp-content/u...

🚨New working paper w/ the legendary @cbwlezien.bsky.social! Lots of talk about inflation & voters' political views. But how well do voters actually understand info about inflation? We find that most citizens conflate changes in rates w/ changes in prices. This has important consequences...

CALL FOR EDITOR - Journal of Experimental Political Science (@jepsjournal.bsky.social) seeks an editor or editorial team from January 2027. Find out how to apply - https://cup.org/4ae3Tul cc @experimentsapsa.bsky.social Deadline for proposals - April 15, 2026.

Now more than ever we encounter each other's emotions about politics, on social media and in the news. When do we take strangers' emotional expression seriously, and when do we dismiss it as inappropriate or even insincere? You can find out now in our Cambridge Element!

a glimmer of glad tidings. my short book with @matthewhitt.bsky.social — Supremely Polarizing — is available FOR FREE. it nicely summarizes and extends our work on how partisanship shapes support for the Supreme Court. thank you for your attention to this matter.

New evidence on American support for political violence — from @scottclifford.bsky.social, @llopez.bsky.social and Lucas Lothamer. (@johnsides.bsky.social @goodauth.bsky.social) More, via Opinion Today: opiniontoday.substack.com/p/260329

New working paper: Rethinking Misinformation Interventions. The field has spent years searching for the one intervention that will solve misinformation. This search is the wrong approach — and our disappointment says more about our expectations than our tools. (1/5) osf.io/preprints/so...

New paper w/ @yamilrvelez.bsky.social! A lot of great research on political microtargeting discounts personalization: tailored ads (using AI or not) rarely beat a single-best message. We define two types of microtargeting, clarify when tailoring matters, & showcase a novel audio-based design.

New paper with Don Green and @ethanvporter.bsky.social in the QJPS. After much deliberation, we went with a title that just states the result. 📝 journal: www.emerald.com/qjps/article...

Francisco was a great scholar and a great guy who will be always missed. I am really happy that one of the fellowships is named after him

A One-Page Primer on: Statistical Power from @carlislerainey.bsky.social www.carlislerainey.com/blog/2025-08...

New short paper w @jkalla.bsky.social ! Candidates gain from moderation, but less than many theories expect. Many conclude voters must not care about issues. This is wrong. Small *average* effects mask large effects on specific issues & are consistent with widespread issue-based voting 🧵

Strength In Numbers is looking for a smart part-time survey research assistant (or a few) www.gelliottmorris.com/p/strength-i...

Ever wondered about whether to use transition statements in your surveys? Trent Ollerenshaw and I have written a blog post for the #YouGov Methodology Matters series! Read it here: yougov.com/en-us/articl...

For those interested in measuring political violence, check out Lily and Nathan's new review paper below. See also my forthcoming paper at POQ (w/ @llopez.bsky.social and Lucas Lothamer) introducing our own measure scottaclifford.com/wp-content/u...

After nearly a decade measuring American public support for political violence, @nathankalmoe.bsky.social and I have published a somewhat comprehensive guide to measuring these attitudes. This includes historical comparisons and responses to common critiques. doi.org/10.1093/poq/...

My take on the partisan expressive responding literature is now in print. Open access: doi.org/10.1017/S000...

My job market paper is now available as a preprint! 🚨 Using survey evidence with a conjoint experiment, I test how state-level immigrant integration policy features affect perceptions of fairness and support. 3 key points, the big takeaway, the link, and a bonus below⬇️🧵

The research and analytics team at @statesunited.org is searching for a researcher to support our survey research program. Come join our fully remote team! Great mission, great pay, and excellent benefits. recruiting.paylocity.com/recruiting/j...

New w/@scottclifford.bsky.social. Lots of work uses agree-disagree scales, and a lit review shows these are 1) frequently just measured in one direction (agree = higher trait) and 2) correlated with each other. This has potentially big issues for conclusions. link.springer.com/article/10.1...

🚨 New paper out at @ajpseditor.bsky.social 🚨 Do the public hold meaningful attitudes? Using the case of abortion policy preferences, we provide strong evidence that policy prefrences can be coherent, stable over time, and causally explain vote choice. doi.org/10.1111/ajps...

Very excited to see this out at @bjpols.bsky.social! In this article, I show that contemporary political news coverage makes it challenging for readers to learn information that is helpful for democratic accountability, even for very politically engaged audiences. A brief summary:

Nick Vivyan, Chris Hanretty (@chanret.bsky.social) and I have a new book out: “Idiosyncratic Issue Opinion and Political Choice”. The core of the book is making the argument that citizens’ views about political issues neither reduce to an ideological orientation nor to a lack of substance. (1/10)

🚨📄 New paper (conditional accepted at @thejop.bsky.social): We test whether social desirability bias actually distorts answers in online surveys. Short version: It mostly doesn’t. w. @timallinger.bsky.social @kristianvsf.bsky.social @morganlcj.bsky.social URL: osf.io/preprints/os...

When we look across journals, we see the same patterns repeated. The main exception is the Journal of Experimental Political Science, which has the highest rate of null-only reporting and lowest rate of rejection-only reporting. Kudos to them.

I have a new paper. We look at ~all stats articles in political science post-2010 & show that 94% have abstracts that claim to reject a null. Only 2% present only null results. This is hard to explain unless the research process has a filter that only lets rejections through.

Reframing policy arguments with opponents' moral foundations did not change policy opinions across 5 issue areas: www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

Do ordinary Republicans and Democrats really avoid each other in everyday life? In a new working paper with Delia Baldassarri, we present descriptive and experimental evidence to challenge the view that partisanship drives the formation of social relationships. osf.io/preprints/so... 1/15

CALL FOR EDITOR - @jepsjournal.bsky.social seeks an editor or editorial team with a commitment to publishing articles that represent the substantive and methodological diversity of experimental work in the discipline. https://cup.org/4ae3Tul cc @apsa.bsky.social @experimentsapsa.bsky.social

This is a belated post about our paper in @poqjournal.bsky.social. We analyzed 100 survey experiments fielded by TESS (tessexperiments.org), using only information from the proposals to identify intended hypotheses. Here are some of the things we learned:

I am re-upping this as a reminder that @polbehavior.bsky.social is looking for a new editor! Editing was the most rewarding part of my career and I encourage folks to think about applying.

Here's a suggestion for a New Year's resolution: If you see influential bad research, say something. One part of the whole replication crisis story is that a lot of psychological researchers privately knew that a lot of stuff was bad, but it wasn't discussed publicly.

This book examines how moral rhetoric is a crucial – and potentially unifying – part of how we experience democratic representation. Shared Morals: The Role of Moral Rhetoric in Party Politics by @jaeheejung.bsky.social, Coming Soon https://cup.org/4pCplQa #Politics #PoliSci 🗺️

Perhaps others have seen it already, but I found this pre-print (first posted in September) deeply troubling, raising concerns about how LLMs used for classification tasks in research open new researcher-degrees-of-freedom, which they call "LLM-hacking" (akin to p-hacking) arxiv.org/pdf/2509.08825

Clear evidence that at universities conservatives don't face higher obstacles than liberals to establish student groups + invite outside speakers. "These results fail to offer support for the view that conservative students encounter more difficulty in efforts to access campus resources."

As @seanjwestwood.bsky.social's terrifying new PNAS article demonstrates, LLMs can now pass almost every attention check, mirror personas, stay consistent across pages, and systematically bias responses in the aggregate. So here’s a different angle: verify physical presence, not text.

New paper with Salvo Nunnari which aims to detect (partisan) motivated reasoning (MR) using experimental designs based on information order. This provides a flexible way to detect deviations from Bayesian updating which can be explained by MR. osf.io/preprints/so...

We really need to stop asking items like this using agree-disagree scales or comparable formats. These estimates aren't informative. academic.oup.com/poq/article/... www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

Central attitudes in political belief systems are more resistant to change than peripheral attitudes, but not necessarily less amenable to persuasive attempts: https://osf.io/6a8ue