Let’s say I have 8 variables and I’m curious about how random combinations of four variables from this menu relate to an outcome. Anybody familiar with a paper (that might have R code) that does this?

There’s an old saw that the publics perceptions of SCOTUS authority (legitimacy) rest on their (public’s) commitments to the rule of law and boy howdy if that ain’t just a little silly in hindsight.

we live in hell.

one of the fascinating things about this episode is the concern for the student - whose identity has not been disclosed for “safety” reasons - against concern for the professor. *not* arguing the student deserved to be harassed. but destroying someone’s career and then skating off is pretty wild.

Damn this is good.

Things like this underline just how much of civilisation rests on people who know how things work holding their nerve and telling people who don't know how things work to fuck off.

Man yall remember Betsy Devos? Seems like 100 years ago.

Political scientists! Scholars of international relations! We are updating the Garand and Giles journal ranking survey. If you would like to participate, please self-enroll at eppr.study .

the uncanny valley: partisanship among robot respondents coming to a POQ near u

There truly is a (miserable, wretched) quote for all seasons, and it’s all largely recorded in plain sight.

Schumer really is soft as baby shit.

nice little ratio going here.

Incredible to imagine how this regime will pull off the Olympics

Imho, EP and Co. are consistently doing some of the best work around on this beat.

irony is dead.

The company that owns the rights to several trilogies about an evil galactic empire doing…uhhh…look, like, it’s just too on the nose.

At least the Democratic Party has a plan!

I stand corrected.

thanks for signal boosting. if you haven't, then please consider!

super cool work.

In Intro Am Gov i asked students whether they've seen a party. they were confused. "parties are groups," they say "okay, put another way, have you seen a party out at work in your community?" *crickets* "where is your exposure to party?" "soundbites, gotcha social media" k thats the problem.

Is there a person On Here who does more atomistic fallacies than Will? Slapdash ass punditry crossed with paint by labels. Cool stuff, man.

This is an empirical hypothesis that surely someone has tested.

has anyone put together a list of all the topics that we CAN talk about in the classroom just asking for a friend

No better test group for assessing the limits of symbolic and material threat. Farmers looking for a bailout going to be mighty disappointed. Sowing, reaping.

thanks for signal boosting. if you haven't, then please consider!

if you know a farmer then you know its biblical. inputs keep going up, and commodities prices stay screwed.

Meanwhile we’re building a gaudy ballroom for the President. I cannot. Fund everything but especially peds research. What a nightmare. May Aryeh‘s memory be a blessing.

colleagues in political science. the formal update to the Garand and Giles journal ranking survey is now live. many of you will receive an email momentarily inviting you to participate. in the event you do NOT receive an invitation, please see this website to self-enroll. thanks! sharing = caring!

In general pundits are stupid and you should ignore them. The profession feeds off of dunking and quoting and rehashing -- every little performative act of righteous indignation just raises the salience of their stupidity.

A more true statement has ne’er been typed.

tomorrow is supposed to be “rights“ in intro to american government, and there’s usually a block on 2A so that should be the least enjoyable thing ever.

This place is wild right now.

I've made ideological perception data I've been working on for a while available at the Harvard Dataverse and put together a website here voterperceptions.org with a bunch of visualizations about it and with too much explanation. I've spent too much time on this, so I hope people find it useful

is freeeeedom and rights week in intro am gov which means showing a short vice documentary on the church of satan. if you want to leave a class deadass silent and speechless 10/10 recommend.

executive orders aren't law but many many people treat them as such. huge hurdle for reformers in the sense that tHe MeDiA rarely makes this distinction. people dont know shit about politics. it would help to benchmark more often what these things actually are.

i was trying not to sleep thru my classes at 19 and i just cannot fathom the depths of utter lameness to go full karen in order to speak to the manager. what righteous warrior 10/10 cool college experience seems super normal. just walk out like a normal person if you dont like the class.

Tough week to be teaching rights and liberties in intro to American government.

id like to introduce a corollary for reviewing work that touches on the SCOTUS: editors working in law/political science should suspend all reviews that give authors shit about calling the SCOTUS a "minoritarian backstop" and a "partisan body"

modeling diffuse support for SCOTUS data from april 2025. applied ROL asks people to convey approval for transparently (literally) illegal acts committed by trump administration; abstract ROL is just warm fuzzies about authority. speaking of: is, uh, authoritarianism support to predict support? ;)

Farmers about to get absolutely demolished on commodity prices this fall — usually, at the start of harvest, you’ve got like a third of soybeans spoken for by our Chinese friends but Trumps tariffs have *fucked* the grain export markets. Gonna be a bloodbath with no Democrats in sight to blame.

*nervously chuckles*

the Enshitification presidency.

After the groundswell of organic community investment in 2008, the mainstream Democratic Party spent the next 15 years completely ignoring the fact that people yearn for connection. May this example become a rallying point for the idea that we are better together.

All attitudes are conditional on awareness. Anyways David Shor has gotten very wealthy blathering bullshit and as far as I can tell Americans are no better for it.

Pretty wild that the rise of Christian Nationalism is partly driven by a lack of good live music in culture deserts, pushing people into pews to nod along to G-C-D chord progressions

don't think it can be overstated how much of Zohran's appeal stems from the fact that he clearly knows how to have fun and can hang

these are dark times but I am seeing Pitbull next week so