Just received an e-mail concerning the European Summer School on Eye Movements

You know what I'm gonna give this one to her. 10/10

But personally what has really bought it all back for me is having a new arch nemesis: @dingdingpeng.the100.ci 🤣🤣🤣

Taking a look at Castro-Schilo & Grimm about "residualized change vs diff scores" -- interesting case of how spelling out estimands affects reasoning. Estimand of interest: "effect of prior cohabitation on change in relationship satisfaction pre/post marriage"> journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

When people ask me what my article's word count is

A few things I've learnt from writing >4,000 word pieces: - They tend to be more popular than my short pieces! - They're more definitive - like reference material, not a hot take. - Not everyone will reach the end, and that's okay. - Write so that the people who do find it incredibly satisfying.

Can you recommend papers in epidemiology/biomedicine that do causal inference on observational data and thoroughly and explicitly discuss their underlying causal model and assumptions ? @dingdingpeng.the100.ci #episky

Just spoke to a colleague who couldn't get their methodologically superior study published in top journals because it got basically the same effect estimates as vastly inferior methods

MFW I see authors resubmit their paper at a different journal without any edits after they have received extensive constructive feedback during peer review.

These captchas just keep getting harder #rstats

Coincidentally, my second paper ever (where I’m first author) was just published yesterday (!) and relates to the difficulties with pre-post differences. bsky.app/profile/vilg...

A very nice to initiative where you can post your DAG: opencausal.org And because they're machine readable, they're much easier to search.

Find someone who believes in you like researchers believe in pre-post differences as valid treatment effect estimates.

This undersells the fact that you would sometimes do zoom meetings during the kayak!

Two fossils diverged in a moonlike cave, And sorry I could not take both And be one traveler, long I gave And looked down one as far as I could To where it revived in its growth;

7

Great post on the emergence of clinical trials! This section makes me wonder about "professionalization" in science in general. I do feel like many parts of the research process in my field are...surprisingly dilettantish.>

Does anyone (*taps microphone* @dingdingpeng.the100.ci) have a blog post that clearly explains the dangers of over interpreting cross-sectional cohort research. Need a reader friendly response to 'people who drank green tea had lower rates of Alzheimer's, so drinking green tea can reduce your risk."

happy I found @dingdingpeng.the100.ci's blog recently! this post resonates with me particularly well: www.the100.ci/2018/08/02/w... "if people stop exaggerating their skills, there’s suddenly much more authentic information out there for others to re-calibrate their own relative impostor syndrome."

Them: "Latent class analysis is needed" Me:

Bsky friends: if you get only one reading for a grad seminar on ethics in data analysis and reporting, what do you choose? @drandreahoward.bsky.social @kevinmking.bsky.social @foswald.bsky.social @marcuscrede.bsky.social @dingdingpeng.the100.ci @bwroberts.bsky.social @tedmond.bsky.social

Just finished my talk on causal graphs as a simple yet effective reasoning tool -- unfortunately I had to join remotely because I caught a nasty cold 😷 Still had fun talking about DAGs, caffeine during pregnancy and hunter-gatherer longevity! You can find my slides here:

I mean, it's completely fine to say there's a 95% chance that a tibble will not behave as a data frame. (you can't deny that this was an epic example, incorporating baseR-tidyverse flamewar with frequentist-CI-interpretation-controversial)

Has Charité a problem with bot PhD supervisors? Or is finding all the cars the minimal requirement for supervision?

Relevant meme from our blog post on the topic: www.the100.ci/2024/12/05/w...

Ha! The original Lancet article on the dangers of reading in bed is here: doi.org/10.1016/S014...

TIL about Flamigo. But ranks 13 to 16 also seem kinda off?

Not sure what "entirely generated" means, exactly, but I feel we need new norms around this. Here's a blog I like about "etiquette", "consent", and what should be considered "rude" when sharing AI-generated content. Disclosures after the fact do not cut it, IMO. distantprovince.by/posts/its-ru...

I really like this chart: terminology for cause vs describe vs predict.

Hannah Ritchie has built a fun little tool where you can compare energy usage of various products and activities. This is super helpful imho, because it's so hard to develop intuitions even just about the scales involved here. hannahritchie.substack.com/p/does-that-...

Just received a mysterious e-mail inquiring whether the silkie bantam rooster is still available and to my disappointment, this apparently is not some sort of code word. Looks like there's another Julia Rohrer in a different part of Germany who is selling chicken.

Schaffe Schaffe Plotsle bauen

Housing theory of everything strikes again!

Clarity in communications

Just got a request to share data underlying two articles of mine. I presume this is some meta-scientific study and I’d love to share my data, except there literally aren’t any 🤨

TIL trees are the crabs of the plant kingdom 🌲🌴🌳

Can’t wait for somebody to work out the implications of this idea in a 5,000 word post on toothfairyeconomics in the appropriate subreddit.

Finished listening to this excellent episode. Great exercise in triangulation of different lines of evidence! So should you be taking statins? Maybe! Might make sense to get your cholersterol levels checked!

Have examples of social science papers that use DAGs to justify their controls? I find these very hard to come by & would like to use for teaching.

Just came across this in the wild and I am irrationally angry. Also, be wary if the magnitude of the coefficient in your logistic regression > |4|

'Mutterkuchen' now filed next to Brustwarzen, Geschlechtsverkehr & Zahnfleisch* as words where German could really German a _little_ less vigorously, and we'd all be fine with it. *for those following along at home, breast warts (nipples) and sex traffic (intercourse) & tooth meat/flesh (gums) 😳

Worst episode of “Is it cake?” ever

Whoever named the placenta must have been exceedingly hungry at the time 🫣

I still use the rhyme: If your Naomi be Klein, she's fine If your Naomi be Wolf, big oof

There's possible reverse causality, there's potential reverse causality, and then there's the fear that young people living with their parents will hurt their job prospects.

Meet your greens. Fascinating read worksinprogress.co/issue/sculpt...

Delighted to learn that Saloni is also in the “never smoked a cigarette” club 🚬

I think they prefer to be called midget metalworkers.