I'd say at this point they're trolling, although tbf the selection is already better than yesterday.

I saw this chart in the wild a few days ago and it's been on my mind because the longer I look at it, the more confused I become by it. 📊 I'm fairly sure it's AI generated for a few reasons... A #DataViz thread 🧵

My husband discovered my post about drone motors in hair dryes and created this meme.

How likely is ‘likely’? Does ‘likely’ have a higher probability than ‘probable’? I put together a quick quiz so you can see how you interpret probability phrases, then see how you compare with others: probability.kucharski.io

Here's a question for the causal inference people: What is your take on causality without counterfactuals and/or causal inference without counterfactuals?

Mensa Leipzig 2026 off to a good start, successfully identifying all variations of tomato sauce that I wouldn't want to eat, despite actually liking tomato sauce.

Okay but are you allowed to lift them up. Just to check…!

There are actually many more things you can point to as examples of recent scientific breakthroughs www.scientificdiscovery.dev/p/medical-br... than 'curing Alzheimer's in mice', which people have been claiming to have done for decades and has a tenuous connection to what happens in humans.

Nothing comes out of these water jets but lies and insinuations. Why did I buy a j'accuzzi?

TIL the Nazis tried to establish their own version of Silent Night (see alt text for translation). de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stille_...

Screw this I’m caving in I’m making the Parmesan shortbread

For under 10s, every piece is a statement piece

In related news, I just received an e-mail that said “Julia, you’re going to love these looks” and then it was all pants with elastic waists.

My daughter’s friend wore an excellent sweater to the zoo and I thought “that one would look great on me.” Then I found out they’re selling it for adults as well!!! Can’t wait to turn daycare pick up into “Who wore it better?”

What a time to be alive! "22 women became the first to receive mitochondrial donation to replace the mitochondrial DNA in their eggs, and have had 8 live births so far. They carried mutations that could have otherwise caused potentially fatal inherited metabolic diseases in their children"

Mogelpackung: Die meisten dieser „Natur-Experimente“ sind reine Beobachtungsstudien 😤

The soft serve is perfect, 10/10, without any questions.

‪It has a name now 😜 Many thanks to Ken for agreeing to put his good name to my...artwork. The image is in the public domain (CC 0), but citations to the linked documents are warmly welcomed. ✅ zenodo.org/records/1808... ✅ pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/24452418/

My ob-gyn has a display case with various types of medication and I just realized that one fairly generic looking box just says PLACEBO 🤨

My dad gifted me a new hair dryer for Christmas and all I can say is that those drone engineers mean business 🌬️

Falls noch jemand Substantive braucht 😂

Yes…ha ha ha…YES

I’ve been thinking about making a public lab notebook. Idea is a sort of working (but publicly saved) preregistration for active projects Is anyone doing something like this? And recommendations for where to host it?

I used to live very close to a Costco. One time I was buying two handles of tequila and nothing else (there was a buy two, get $10 off promo). The woman behind me in line looked at my cart and said “well there’s a romantic dinner for two.”

Giving what we can has implemented a fun game where you spin a globe to see how your starting point in life would compare if you were reborn today, randomly somewhere on earth. www.givingwhatwecan.org/birth-lottery

Merry frivolous kitchen appliances season to those who celebrate. I am now proud owner of a soft serve/froyo/slushie machine.

I finally got some time to flesh out my rant about these headlines... TL;DR: age differences ≠ aging jenndowd.substack.com/p/does-adole... #demography #episky #medsky #neurosky

The children provided further offerings to mollify the pagan spirits.

I started listening to this and already have learned more about livers than I ever knew before.

Life goals: getting banned by NPR by having too many opinions

So, randomization is not a *sufficient* condition for good research. Far from it. The best experimental social science being done is that work where either the theory or the operationalization (or both) are the emphasis. Randomization is "easy" - the challenge is what you randomize and why.

never stop believing in your dreams

never stop believing in your dreams

I can’t remember where I heard this (maybe somewhere obvious) but I tell students the product of the masters is not their thesis, it’s them and their abilities.

only tangentially related - I wanted to do a systematic scoping review for my msc thesis because the field seemed too much of a mess to just do an experiment and was told that everyone is doing literature review, you need to have an empirical chapter too..

Some days ago a student struggling with her master’s thesis e-mailed me, asking me about partial least squares structural equation modeling. I told her I can only tell her not to do that, and then she sent more details.>

Collider bias: the gift that keeps giving.

My kids just tried dragonfruit for the first time and I’d say this fruit has overall two things going for it: (1) looks pretty cool (2) even cooler name.

After years of my complaining about shitty tape dispensers, my husband got me the most precious pre-Christmas gift. I’m gonna wrap so many gifts now.

Join our Replicability Project: Health Behavior! We have 55 replication studies underway, our target is 65-70. We are only recruiting for secondary data replications--i.e., using existing data to test the original question. Here's a list of studies we think could be feasible. If interested...

Wake up babe, Applied Causal Graphs workshop just got announced. I attended the previous versions of this event which were absolutely *fantastic.* It's the place to be for all causal graph connoisseurs!

Finally, @bjoernhommel.bsky.social's and my paper introducing the SurveyBot3000 is officially out in AMPPS. It's a fine-tuned language model that guesstimates correlations between survey items from text alone. Not perfectly, but useful for search, for example. journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

Yesterday a student who is writing her thesis with me e-mailed a sociology prof (Ohjae Gowen) to ask for the code underlying one of his publications and today we already have his answer including the code and even a link to the raw data 🥰 Sharing is caring!

Just gave my last talk of the year! 2025 was quite packed, I gave talks about: - the age-period-cohort problem - making rigorous causal inference more mainstream - mediation analysis - marginaleffects - causal graphs (x10) If you're curious, check out my slides here: juliarohrer.com/resources/

I've used Lavaan almost every (work)day for 15 years, but this open source labour of love has never received proper institutional support. I'm delighted to be a small part of an 1.5M OpenScienceNL award, led by Jorgensen, to completely revamp and futureproof Lavaan www.openscience.nl/en/news/45-p...