*record scratch* yup that’s me, you’re probably wondering how i ended up in this situation

[menacing looking Saloni not included, because I don't think I'd ever look menacing anyway]

A delightful detail about this is that some time ago we gifted Saloni an engraved cleaver with a chart depicting the number of stabbings in the UK over time.

These patent diagrams of early dishwashers (1850 and 1863) would make for excellent kitchen decoration. www.worksinprogress.news/p/inventing-...

Warum heißt es die allerbeste Idee und nicht Vorschlaghammer

I think this is an overly pessimistic take from the @bmj.com. Sharing data does not inherently increase trust, rather it enables verification which allows for trust calibration. This example is a win. Serious issues were rapidly detected that would not have been without mandatory data sharing.

This calls for

Adding citations of people who might review the paper

Am translating a survey. In other news, have completely and irretrievably lost faith in the possibility of any meaningful comparative research.

And now you too can shame other people that don't know this! 😜

Confusing stats language: The "linear" is linear regression means "linear in the parameters". It does not mean "can only fit straight lines", and things like polynomials and splines can be included in linear models. online.stat.psu.edu/stat501/less... 1/2

I'm calling for a total and complete shutdown of potential outcomes until we can figure out what's going on

Yes, like a Netflix documentary included IN EVERY SOCIAL PSYCHOLOGY TEXTBOOK

We did a thing. 😬

A quick (1000 words) read to enjoy with your morning coffee or afternoon tea: "Psychology wants to stay WEIRD, not go WILD" Why hasn't psychology diversified it samples, methods, theories, etc.? Because it doesn't want to. osf.io/preprints/ps...

Update: Ada asked me to write her brother’s name so finally she also has a sign to stop *him* from entering *her* bed.

New paper! We propose a framework to empirically study animal social relationships by modelling social network (SN) data as time-series—that is, without the need to aggregate them over time. www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1...

opencausal.org is online! Open Causal is an open platform to share, discuss and reuse causal graphs. Join now as a beta user, help shaping the future of causal graphs!

BERLIN + CAUSAL GRAPHS = HAPPINESS. Agree? Follow: bsky.app/profile/appl... Spoiler: Edition #3 in the making for Q2 2026! Stay tuned!

Another medical comment that makes me weirdly proud, just delivered by my dentist: "Your mouth isn't very pain-sensitive -- that's wonderful."

Today we have a mediated moderated suspension bridge, designed in the 90s and finally open. That mediator outcome arrow reinforcement probably increases future tensile strength but it's still a 2/10 because we can't encourage arrow-on-arrow crime.

I think the general lessons are: 1. Be clear about your goal (_estimand_) 2. Be clear about your analytical method (_estimator_) 3. Be clear about the assumptions that connect method to goal (_design_)

I think likening that to a superposition of quantum states doesn't work. In the quantum case, make a measurement and you will end up either with one or the other. What you are describing is worse: it starts out and will remain inconsistent. Let's call it the Whitman approach to causal inference!

"For instance, randomized controlled trials could explicitly manipulate multilingualism"

Finally got some letters for the kids room and let's just say they went deep down into the animal alphabet mines for the V and the I.

The sense of disappointment in their url ("Miami? Oh") is also giving my prior favourite a run for it's money www.fu-berlin.de

This one surely has something on offer for every one: In this cross-sectional mediation analysis, the "effects" of soft drink consumption on depression were "mediated" by abundance of Eggerthela in the gut microbiome. This was sent to me via dm and now you all got to suffer as well.

Miami University, Oxford, Ohio remains one of the most confusing addresses I've ever read

That is why this guy is always on my shelf. Strong recommend.

I feel like psychometrics is uniquely bad at naming things. Parallel, congeneric, tau-equivalent, essentially tau-equivalent measures? Configural, metric, scalar, residual invariance? Item difficulty defined so that the higher the difficulty, the easier the item???

this is what they took from us

If I had a nickel for every time someone said, “Wow, your setup looks like you’re about to record a podcast,” I wouldn’t be rich, but I’d probably have made more than if I actually were recording a podcast.

In the spirit of "there's an R package for that" github.com/ryantimpe/rs...

Kinda amazing how kids go from requiring constant attention to spending an hour quietly sticking together random trash with washi tape without any parental involvement.

Congratulations to us, and thank you, @kohli-sociology.bsky.social!

For the last 50 years, we've designed cars to be safe... For the 50th-percentile male. Well, that's actually not 100% correct. According to Stanford's report**, we introduced "female" crash test dummies in the 1960s, but... 1/ #CausalSky #ScienceSky #MLSky #EpiSky #StatSky #AISky

Die Gleichstellung der Geschlechter nur eine Frage der Zeit? Daten des World Value Survey zeigen: Die Modernisierung der Rollenbilder könnte ins Stocken geraten – gerade jüngere Menschen neigen in manchen Ländern wieder zu traditionelleren Einstellungen. 🧵(1/5) www.diw.de/de/diw_01.c....

Alternative suggestion

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No-one has covered themselves in glory here. The authors made errors that shouldn't even be possible. The peer reviewers didn't spot the red flags. The journal wrote a clickbait press release. The journalists lapped it up. The editors failed to swiftly retract the paper.

Waiting for a meeting and giving this a read: osf.io/preprints/ps... by @dingdingpeng.the100.ci and @vincentab.bsky.social. What a clear and well-written piece of work!

MOST IMPORTANTLY, HOW CAN WE CHANGE OUR RELATIONSHIP WITH GRAVITY FOR THE BETTER

Does anyone know an open, large, German dataset based on adults between ~, age 20-40, including the CES-D scale for Depression?

Lifehack! Annoyed by reviewers who ask you to change details of your model specification? Use marginaleffects so that when revising your code, you just need to switch out the model. Target quantities can be calculated the same way as before 🥰

happy 11th anniversary to this email sent to all staff at the School of Mathematics and Statistics

Having some questions about the academic credentials of this bear who breaks into the home of a family on Christmas Eve, eats their Christmas dinner and steals their Christmas tree.

Outstanding. This entry is a journey.