Short story about statistical modeling without causal inference gone badly wrong. Just head on the news that preschoolers play 15 minutes less on rainy days. The reporting stressed that the research was "associational" and therefore couldn't tell us why. Huh? 1/

What doesn’t kill you becomes a limitation section

Over the last month I saw that human editors are now stripped of control. I could no longer stop the system from auto-inviting "reviewers" with zero relevant expertise. Even worse - the AI began actively revoking the invitations I manually sent out to actual, qualified experts.

we received a large number of strong applications

I highly recommend this very clear, helpful and practical paper on statistical inference with marginaleffects package. I added it to my lab’s “required reading” list.

Just listened to this excellent & entertaining episode about the history of tooth brushing. Now here's something that agriculture most definitely ruined & we subsequently fixed, from urine mouthwash to chicken bone & rat hair toothbrushes to today's comforts. abundance.institute/our-work/eve...

Maybe she’s born with it 💅🏽 @kph3k.bsky.social

If anyone is interested in this but missed the talk, I'm afraid it wasn't recorded on this occasion, but the slides are now available on our webpage: ciig-seminar.github.io And Vanessa is more than happy to answer questions by email!

Okay I think I’d get the “loss of interest and pleasure” item right because it’s kinda part of the definition, but then I thought the Tinnitus item would also be easy, until I did a quick literature search on the topic.

I once looked up Thailand and was surprised by the total fertility rate there, but then I realized that this number is probably massively affected by recent delays in fertility. But I couldn’t find any cohort fertility rates! ourworldindata.org/total-fertil...

🤔

Was Margaret Mead right about sexual freedom in 1920's Samoa? Will describes a situation in which permissiveness & a premium on the virginity of high-rank girls coexist; "[t]he disagreement then is primarily about which aspect to emphasize" traditionsofconflict.substack.com/p/sexual-per...

Every time I manage to pour milk out of a newly-opened carton without spilling, I whisper to myself, "masterful"

Fun mediation analysis thread here. It reminds me of my favourite mediation analysis misapplication, in which you wonder if something mediates a relationship, fit a mediation model, then use it as evidence that there is a mediation relationship.

The ultimate get-out-of-jail-free card

Musste gerade meinen Mann korrigieren, der für unseren Sohn „Jurassic World” als „Dinowelt“ übersetzt hat. Es muss natürlich „Jurawelt“ heißen.

There are pointlessly gendered products, and then there’s this 1737 book on Newtonianism for Ladies by Francesco Algarotti about which I learned today 👌🏼 old.maa.org/press/period...

the last ~10 years or so in sociology.

Now that's what I call a spicy opeing: Understanding mechanisms is not a research question.

You still got 10 minutes to join Vanessa’s talk (which won’t be recorded!) — very much looking forward to it 🤩

this week marks 10 years since "milkshake duck" was coined

I love this so much, it’s almost enough to make me want to watch soccer.

kudos to the bisexuals for geoengineering the sky

Man receives sick burn from greatest mathematician of his time. That man’s name? Albert Einstein.

Ooooh! May I?

This hospital room decoration is a case for @elisabethbik.bsky.social

To save you one Google search, wtf in wtf meiotic drivers apparently stands for “with Tf.” Disappointing

Superprickelnd

They’re running short on rooms on the maternity ward so I upgraded to a private room to make space. It brings me great pleasure to report that the included minibar has three different degrees of sparkling water (naturell, medium, spritzig) 💦🫧

This is what we get for starting that whole metascience thing.

Peak San Francisco www.sfchronicle.com/crime/articl...

your feedback was kind gentle and correct and still i resent you

*screaming at Eigenvector 1* I thought you were a real dimension! my life is a lie!

It do be like that.

Tributes at Bryn Mawr College to brilliant mathematician Emmy Noether, who spent her final years there. Amongst her many accomplishments, she revolutionized modern physics methods by identifying continuous symmetry groups with conservation laws. The third image is her grave marker #Math #Noether

Wake up babe, new Rohrer just dropped! Happy to welcome little Emmy ✨

academics trying to save the humanities

From the same slide deck:

My approach to methods lecturing lately

After having spent 6 months with German public healthcare data, I've never been more patriotic about the NHS and the data it produces

Throwing up my anti-nausea medication

Psychologists doing clustering be like: #statsmeme

German fairy tales be like

🚨I have this preprint, on causal inf in SEM, for psych science. I did submit to AMPPS, and they wanted applied examples (that’s their thing). while these methods work, the HARD step is ensuring the application meets the assumptions, so didn’t want to force examples. Anyone have ideas for a journal?

If I learned anything from Groundhog Day it’s that counterfactuals are deterministic, not stochastic.