When the expanded child tax credit expired, poverty went up. This was not about the economy, but about the safety net.... These are the facts.

At some point people need to learn that the poverty rate is mostly about the safety net or lack thereof and not the economy. The economy was doing historically well, real wages rising for the first time in decades, etc. And poverty rose because pandemic safety policies expired.

Fighting a culture war with kids school funding... shameful.

jamanetwork.com/journals/jam... A 2024 study published in JAMA involving 2.4 million children in Sweden, used sibling-control analysis. When comparing siblings—one exposed to #acetaminophen in utero & one not—the researchers found NO increased risk of #autism, ADHD, or intellectual disability.

Had a wonderful time at the meeting of Associazione Italiana di Economia del Lavoro in Milano-Bicocca 🤗 Great feedback on my project #Leave4NextGen about intergenerational effects of paternity leave 🚼 Huge thanks to @kirabojackson.bsky.social for an inspiring keynote and his constructive feedback!

Larry is one of the greats. A top-echelon researcher who was just as effective in both raising up the next generation and in public service. Standing ovation

Looks interesting!

Is this for real?

It's really important to base one's conclusions on facts. Yes, data are imperfect, but they provide information that cannot simply be ignored.

From @economist.com

Additional reporting on Federal Reserve Board Governor Lisa Cook and evidence “undercutting” the claims advanced by the Trump Administration. At a minimum, this shows why due process is so important. apnews.com/article/fede...

Happy to share my new NBER working paper! www.nber.org/papers/w34216

Great news Keep fighting, Professor Cook You're my hero!

Happy to share my new NBER working paper! www.nber.org/papers/w34216

a major concern coming out of the jobs report today is prime-age Black employment, which fell in 2025 these data are noisy and while it would be great if they turned around, I'm not optimistic: there will be downward pressure from federal job losses over the next few months

I'm aware that the President likes to go on television and beg me to call him to ask for troops. I find it strange, as Chicago doesn't want troops. I also have experience asking him for assistance – just to have the rug pulled up from underneath me when execution meets reality.

Cost of Trump's D.C. Occupation: $1.1M per day. Cost to operate public housing for D.C.'s entire homeless population: $169,226 per day. It's not about what this country can or can’t afford. It’s about priorities.

To borrow another example, taken from the `dbreg` README: github.com/grantmcdermo... Here I am running a fixed-effects regression on 180 million(!) row parquet dataset... and it completes **< 2 seconds**... on my laptop 🤯 This is powered by @duckdb.org under the hood. #rstats #econsky

Yes, the stakes here are large. Very large.

It all depends on whether the deported consume or produce more housing. Going to Home Depot to toss people out is very likely to remove those that do more producing than consuming.

“I have no intention of being bullied to step down from my position because of some questions raised in a tweet,” Cook said. www.bloomberg.com/news/article... Amen.

Isn't one key finding that peer review roots the bad stuff out? That's really important!

Synthetic Control Method be like

One category where you can really see the tariff impact is audio equipment like speakers, microphones, and headphones—it's one of few electronics categories not exempted from tariffs (most smartphones/computers are still tariff-free) and so consumer prices are up more than 12% year-on-year

Look at how Trump's tariffs are affecting retail prices.

The great graphic by @kirabojackson.bsky.social explaining this is here:

I'm not sure the current presidential administration has anyone who understands that, mathematically, aggregate admissions data can't be used to determine whether race is being used as a factor in college admissions. www.nytimes.com/live/2025/08...

So excited for the things to come with SustainableED! @edsustainable.bsky.social www.brown.edu/news/2025-08...

Hassett went on TV and claimed you can’t trust the economic data anymore because all the recent revisions are partisan. A bald-faced lie. Every serious economist still in this administration should resign. They are actively underminding the US economy by lending their credibility to this horse****

This is craziness!

Markets....

8/ 📅 July 25 ⏰ 9:45 am: "Universal Pre-K as Economic Stimulus: Evidence from Nine States & Large Cities in the U.S." feat. @jacobbastian.bsky.social @kirabojackson.bsky.social That's a wrap! For more info on this week's sessions, see the schedule: www.nber.org/conferences/... See you next year!👋

Welcome to #NBER Summer Institute Week 3! We have a full week ahead of us, with sessions on environmental economics, minimum wages, children and families, and more! See a 🧵 of highlighted sessions, along with where you can find #EGgrantee(s) and other network members in this final conference week.

A new working paper by @sesp-nu.bsky.social's @kirabojackson.bsky.social and his colleagues finds that Universal Pre-K can deliver substantial economic benefits. In nine states and cities, UPK programs increased employment—primarily among women—and raised earnings. spr.ly/60134fNU7

EXTREMELY BAD NEWS for economic research, per former BLS Commissioner @ericagroshen.bsky.social on LinkedIn. BLS is suspending access to its restricted data "for the forseeable future." Applies to projects through the Federal Statistical Research Data Centers & onsite projects with BLS. #EconSky

👇👇👇👇👇👇👇

I have an update to my prior paper on the benefits of Michigan's pre-K program. This new paper estimates the fiscal benefits of Michigan moving from its current program to a universal program. Key finding: fiscal benefits for state cover about 2/3rds of costs. research.upjohn.org/up_policypap...

These estimates rely on great paper by @kirabojackson.bsky.social , @julia-turner.bsky.social , & @jacobbastian.bsky.social www.nber.org/papers/w33767 However, my inferences from their paper are based on my own regional econometric model of how shocks to labor supply affect a state's economy.

When studies report results on indices that combine many vars, they should also show results for each var in the appendix. This is prompted by writing a review article; some studies have an index where only a subset of the vars are on topic for me. Plus the original vars have interpretable units.

I was thinking exactly that. Disparate impact is no longer sufficient to show discrimination against nonwhites, but somehow it IS sufficient to show discrimination the other way?

😲

Congratulations!! 🥳

This put it well for those not lucky enough to have known Ghazala www.eeassoc.org/news/memoria... She made us all better. Truly devastating.

I am heartbroken by the passing of our colleague Ghazala Azmat. A wonderful economist and AEJ: Economic Policy Board member, she was generous with her time and a vital contributor to many areas within applied economics and economic policy. She will be sorely missed. My heart goes out to her family.

New research w/ @kirabojackson.bsky.social & @julia-turner.bsky.social on NBER homepage “Universal Pre-K across 9 states & cities increased LFP by 0.8 pp, employment by 0.9 pp, & weekly hours worked by 0.42, with strongest effects for moms. Each $1 spent on UPK generated >$3 in additional earnings”

Cat's out of the bag: Amber is going on leave from Fordham for 6 months to help reinvent IES. + interesting discussion about school quality checks and & a new @kirabojackson.bsky.social + colleagues study on the employment effects of universal preschool. fordhaminstitute.org/national/res...

This looks interesting and makes economic sence. Merit based finanacial aid leads to sizable tuition increases, while need-based aid leads to little of this. www.nber.org/papers/w3383...

This framing is all wrong Our international students are not a “crucial funding source” They are our STUDENTS They are the reason we EXIST We teach STUDENTS

Wild!