I wrote a post with some reflections on Park Chan-wook's No Other Choice (2025), Claude Code, and automation in quantitative social science. joenoonan.se/post/claude_...

📣 Come join a top-5 strategy department in Europe and work with me on an exciting topic at the intersection of causal AI and strategy 🤖📈 I'm recruiting a PhD student as part of my Sapere Aude Research Leader Grant from the Independent Research Fund Denmark. (1/3)

This is paper is a good reminder that political scientists all too often think people care as much about politics as they do.

Claude code will inevitably reduce dramatically the hiring of undergraduate RAs which will further increase the gap between what students are taught and how we conduct research.

Any time I look to see what the Labour government is up to in the UK it turns out to be things like making posters that Alfonso Cuarón put in the background of the long tracking shot that opens “Children of Men”.

This is paper is a good reminder that political scientists all too often think people care as much about politics as they do.

📢 Call for Hidden Papers & Data on Ingroup Favoritism in Dictator Games We look for unpublished and hard-to-access experimental studies for our meta-analysis! Inclusion criteria: no deception, adults, manipulation of group membership of dictator game recipients. All tips and data very welcome!

In the first two months of 2025, ICE raids in the Central Valley increased absentee rates by 22%. www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...

Only two more days to apply!

Hive minds: I'm looking for working papers recommendations on the politics of deforestation. THANKS.

Prosocial acts attract social rewards—unless they also benefit you, when you get moral derogation instead. Research by @shafenbraedl.bsky.social suggests this is because social rewards are treated as reserved for *genuine* costly prosocial actions: buff.ly/LThi1MW

Did you know there is an open-source framework for building Voting Advice Applications? OpenVAA (openvaa.org) offers a way to develop a VAA for any election. It is fully localisable, accessible, modular and free to use. 1/3

I wrote a post with some reflections on Park Chan-wook's No Other Choice (2025), Claude Code, and automation in quantitative social science. joenoonan.se/post/claude_...

Does anyone have good resources or papers that explain when to use matching versus weighting for causal identification, and how they differ conceptually?

CALL FOR EDITOR - @jepsjournal.bsky.social seeks an editor or editorial team with a commitment to publishing articles that represent the substantive and methodological diversity of experimental work in the discipline. https://cup.org/4ae3Tul cc @apsa.bsky.social @experimentsapsa.bsky.social

In the first two months of 2025, ICE raids in the Central Valley increased absentee rates by 22%. www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...

🚨 Join us for the next edition Summer School for Women* in Political Methodology in Mannheim 🚨 7 days of hands-on advanced methods + networking for PhDs, postdocs & early-career researchers. Free of charge (limited travel support). Deadline 1 March 2026: summerschoolwpm.org #methodsky #polisky

Do ordinary Republicans and Democrats really avoid each other in everyday life? In a new working paper with Delia Baldassarri, we present descriptive and experimental evidence to challenge the view that partisanship drives the formation of social relationships. osf.io/preprints/so... 1/15

We're recruiting 2 PhD candidates in human geography here in Uppsala, one position focused on urban/housing issues and one in political ecology. Please spread the word/repost etc. Being a PhD student in Sweden is a good gig.

i renamed a document and added two paragraphs

We are advertising two fully funded doctoral (PhD) positions: 🔹 One general PhD position in peace and conflict research 🔹 One PhD position at the Alva Myrdal Centre for Nuclear Disarmament 🗓️ Apply by 25 March 2026 👉 Full details and application instructions: www.uu.se/en/about-uu/...

Read my latest post for reflections on reproducibility, research quality and a summary of a great new study which shows how NOT to do it https://open.substack.com/pub/tomstafford/p/gambling-with-research-quality

The "shooting the messenger about AI" block list.

You can totally point out that some aspects of AI are overhyped, you can believe that AGI is not possible, you can criticize how the companies and governments developing AI are using or being coopted by these tools. There is a lot to criticize. But "it doesn't work and is fake" is just wrong now.

📢New Working Paper Alert📢 Very excited to share the latest version of our paper with @hlarreguy.bsky.social, David Martinez, and Mariano Sánchez-T on how authoritarian regimes vary their strategies across territory to maintain political control. 🔗https://juanfeliperiano.com/papers/militias.pdf

Steve Levitsky, the co-author of How Democracies Die, on the dangerous place we have reached as Trump escalates: “Orbán doesn’t arrest journalists,” he said. “And in Hungary if you walk the streets of Budapest or other Hungarian cities, you will not find heavily armed masked men abducting people."

Protest scholars: I'm looking for event data on protests that covers the 2000s to early 2010s. I'm trying to track democracy protests globally but ACLED doesn't seem to have pre-2016 for most countries and most of the existing ones I know of aren't at the event level. All help much appreciated!

now in print in the new issue of APSR: Campos and Federico (2026), "A New Measure of Affective Polarization" -->

Very interesting research paper that shows that using AI with programming can significantly reduce mastery over topics. Perhaps unsurprising, but the lack of significant speed gains in this exercise are remarkable www.anthropic.com/research/AI-...

New right "intellectuals" in 2026 🤝 fearing Scandinavian radicalism 🤝 factory owners from 1910

When being democratic becomes part of a country/citizen's identity it leads to weird reasoning where it is impossible to be undemocratic. "We are democratic, we elected Trump, therefore he isn't an autocrat"

New right "intellectuals" in 2026 🤝 fearing Scandinavian radicalism 🤝 factory owners from 1910

When being democratic becomes part of a country/citizen's identity it leads to weird reasoning where it is impossible to be undemocratic. "We are democratic, we elected Trump, therefore he isn't an autocrat"

Senior professors with good funding and armies of research assistants should share what they delegate to their RAs without giving them authorial credit. This will help us without such resources understand the ethical boundaries of using Claude Code and other LLMs for our own work.

Looking for a postdoc opportunity outside the UK/US? I'm happy to support up to two JSPS postdoc applicants for the coming round for two-year posts starting from Sep./Oct. 2026 onwards at UTokyo. The application to be submitted before the end of March. 1/n

Senior professors with good funding and armies of research assistants should share what they delegate to their RAs without giving them authorial credit. This will help us without such resources understand the ethical boundaries of using Claude Code and other LLMs for our own work.

Happy that my article just published in PSRM! In "Inclusion to Exclude“, I show that when politicians invoke women's rights to justify anti-immigration positions, it shifts citizens' policy preferences - but differently so depending on their prior views. doi.org/10.1017/psrm... [Thread below]

A life in peer review. stuartjames1990.github.io/peer-review/

🎺 Call for proposals 🎺 1️⃣ replicate an existing experiment 2️⃣ run a novel experiment on repdata.com 3️⃣ coauthor with Mary McGrath and me to meta-analyze the replications and existing studies 4️⃣ publish your study details: alexandercoppock.com/replication_... applications open Feb 1 please repost!

The section is searching for new editors for @jepsjournal.bsky.social ! Please check out the call here, and circulate widely: connect.apsanet.org/s42/editor-s...

Back in June, the AEW had a wrestling match in Mexico. Brody King wore an abolish ICE t shirt and "hangman" Adam Page gave a speech in Spanish about the importance of pluralism. Warms my heart to see statements of moral clarity in one of the goofiest forms of entertainment.

Post-liberal and national conservative political theorists like waxing poetic about using state power to enforce a "common good" ignoring the implicit terror and violence required to achieve their aims.

The murders of Alex Pretti and Renee Good send a terrifying signal to protesters: if you are against us, we can kill you with impunity. This is a classical authoritarian strategy. Increase the costs of opposing the regime to stop people from protesting. 1/2

Minneapolitans are gathering on every block tonight at 7pm to hold a vigil for someone killed by our own government, for doing nothing but helping someone up off the ground. What would you say if you saw this in other country? What would you expect to happen to those responsible and accountable?

I do not understand why the Democrat establishment is not calling for national mobilization. Everything the government is doing is unpopular (poll-tested), Americans want to fight for their rights, and for their neighbors, and for NATO, all of it. Democrat leaders are failing and I don't understand

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Claude Code is wild. All I did was to connect Claude to GitHub, upload the WhoGov dataset & give it the prompt: "Can you come up with your own research question based on the data, do an analysis and write a paper (10 pages). Remember to add citations." It came up with an entire paper + code. 1/4

Nothing complicated or subtle or hard to understand about what is happening: -"forcibly entered homes without a judge’s warrant" -"interrogated people because of their ethnicity or accents" -"broke windows and dragged occupants from their cars" -"used force on people who were already restrained"

Very interesting: when X made "likes" privates, the number of likes to high-reputational-risk content (e.g., extremists, onlyFans, but also politicians...) *didn't* increase. arxiv.org/abs/2601.11140