... and this framework roughly requires/includes: - what is your estimand? - fit an appropriate statistical model - answer the question(s) with a "post-estimation toolbox" (using models as "prediction machines", to use the metaphor of the authors)

"How I, a non-developer, read the tutorial you, a developer, wrote for me, a beginner" by Annie Mueller 😅 😂 😭 anniemueller.com/posts/how-i-...

dudes rock

But also we spend most of our time teaching people how to answer questions and spend very little time on how to ask questions so in another way, it's not very surprising that people operate this way. journals.lww.com/epidem/fullt...

i think ibuprofen gives you Procrastination

Monitor Lizard

Whoa—my book is up for pre-order! 𝐌𝐨𝐝𝐞𝐥 𝐭𝐨 𝐌𝐞𝐚𝐧𝐢𝐧𝐠: 𝐇𝐨𝐰 𝐭𝐨 𝐈𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐫𝐩𝐫𝐞𝐭 𝐒𝐭𝐚𝐭 & 𝐌𝐋 𝐌𝐨𝐝𝐞𝐥𝐬 𝐢𝐧 #Rstats 𝐚𝐧𝐝 #PyData The book presents an ultra-simple and powerful workflow to make sense of ± any model you fit The web version will stay free forever and my proceeds go to charity. tinyurl.com/4fk56fc8

Also, there’s lots of ways to track this info but if you use #rstats, {tidylog} is one nice way to see this info. typethepipe.com/vizs-and-tip...

once again Crystal just giving away the tricks and habits that many of us have had to learn the hard way

just saw a (published!) paper that cited "Organization, W. H., 2023" and look I'm pretty sure that's not what the APA style guide would recommend

It is pitch black. You are likely to be eaten by a grue.

One of my students is keen to learn #rstats, and to facilitate this they've blocked out some "shut up and analyse" sessions with me I am very much enjoying this version of "shut up and write"

The way love works for Tolkien is very simple; you see a beautiful woman from across a field, you recite poetry at her, she is now in love with you forever. Then you leave for fifty years, after which you return and get married. FIN.

My kid: Have you ever heard of Smashing Pumpkins? You should listen to them. They’re good. Me:

spreadsheets* vs vibes is becoming a culture war facet that I'm increasingly polarized by *my short form for evidence-based, includes humanities and social sciences as well as long as they're not just making stuff up

Dark Souls is Catholic but Elden Ring is Anglican (Queen Marika got divorced and took a second husband as Elden Lord)

"is this really the hill you want to die on?" i chuckle and gesture at our feet. the "hill" is actually a pile of hundreds of corpses at various stages of decay. before you have a chance to respond my enormous health meter appears.

realising that I had mentally merged Silverchair and Powderfinger (in terms of which band did which song), I guess I need to hand back my "grew up in '90s Australia" card now

“dear Save Edgewater: If I ever see you again claiming that increasing supply increases prices I will spank your bottom and enroll you in an Econ class at Loyola”

I would argue this is actually about Bayesian inference

A single disk CD player, and a visor-folder of 12 CDs, afforded the perfect amount of musical decisions while driving.

It's a shame no one has made an epic rap battle video between Pasteur and Koch yet

Rap battles should be historically accurate.

I love this, I feel like I'm constantly explaining variations on these ideas to my clients in a half-arsed way

“it’s all in your head” ok great do you have another one for me

OMG FINALLY

kids these days just don’t understand their computer’s filesystem. gotta organise your files into folders, not just rely on cloud and search!

It is fucked up what they did to the headphone jack

luckily I've played Hollow Knight so I know all about The Stag

melbourne: alright on a spring evening

Rubin’s missing data taxonomy forgot “Missing Because Bats Are Weird And Idiosyncratic”

eight years as a statistical consultant and ecologists still manage to collect weird data that I'm not immediately sure what to do with (it's fun though!)

this is why we need more R users in public policy

"We should not, in fact, create the Electric Monk from Douglas Adams' cautionary tale Dirk Gently's Holistic Detective Agency"

I think a lot about Saruman lately. He claims to join Sauron becuase it’s impossible to resist the might of Mordor, he’s simply powerless against him etc, but then it’s Saruman, not Sauron, who causes almost all the problems for the fellowship in the first two books.

husband said he remembers a different version of that rule: relentlessly eat all pills you can find and evade your enemies until you are ready to consume them as well

For data-citation principles, does anyone know how to use bibtex to indicate that things are a dataset? I am seeing a lot of `[dataset]` in text in the title, which doesn't do a great job in translating to machine-readable data. 🤔

'Liberalism is always doomed to failure' is just a very odd thing to say after roughly 250 years of liberalism being on the march. In 1750 there were between 0 and 1 liberal countries on Earth, depending on the line you want to cut the line on the Dutch Republic. Today there are ~80 of them.

You're very welcome @vincentab.bsky.social P.S. Check out our preprint on an alternative to staring at coefficients: j-rohrer.github.io/marginal-psy...

Related:

Admittedly not an expert here but I feel like the answer here might be "yes"

Bertrand Russell, at 89 years old, to Sir Oswald Mosley, a man most famous for founding, in 1932, the British Union of Fascists. I'm all for civil discourse. But everyone can and should draw a line at who they will talk to. Notice that Russell did not demean himself with incivility, either.

[the Temptation of Samwise] Ring: If you keep me for your own, I'll give you the power to raise a mighty army! Sam: :/ Ring: And I'll, um, make you really good at gardening Sam: I'm already good at that Ring: You could turn the whole world into a garden :) Sam: I don't want a garden that big

Join us at the 3rd biennial Australian Trials Methodology Conference as we explore "Better trials through better methods" Crown Promenade, Melbourne (+ online access options) 20/11/25 Early-bird registration ends 26/9 www.atmc25.com #ClinicalTrials #Biostatistics

I miss when software was theme/skin-able and more generally, when software primarily respected the wishes and interests of its users, not of advertisers

Hayao Miyazaki’s ELDEN RING

To be fair, not even a Time Lord can resist a nurse who is allowed to practice.

At the rate we're going, planes are going to start getting measles again. Planes haven't suffered measles since World War II.

As someone who came to R from computer science a lot of this post resonates Also, I had not previously connected the inconsistencies of the base R API to the same philosophy that makes CRAN work