Its true and they know it. Please consider supporting the Democratic Attorneys General Association, which works to ensure laws are enforced by people who actually believe in the law. 100% of $$ go straight to the Dem AGs Association. Lets send MAGA to jail. secure.actblue.com/donate/jrsli...

The latest from YouGov: still within the MoE and strongly determined by partisanship, but only one party's rating on "handling of the shutdown" is moving the wrong direction open.substack.com/pub/yougovam...

Schumer forcing Republicans to choose between "continue being loudly and proudly responsible for a deteriorating economy going into an election year" and "a year from now, aka the week of the midterms, remind everyone you want to get rid of their healthcare" does not strike me as "caving"

AJJ opening for the Murder by Death farewell tour here in Austin. Perfect combo

The latest from YouGov: still within the MoE and strongly determined by partisanship, but only one party's rating on "handling of the shutdown" is moving the wrong direction open.substack.com/pub/yougovam...

it's so cool this guy is the S&P

We haven't polled "imprisoning America's ranchers for embarrassing a politician, while bailing out competing ranchers in Argentina" but I'm going to hazard a guess it wouldn't go well

This is probably the best read. By putting out a scaled back ask in the midst of the pain of the shutdown, he’s giving the people with potential to waver in his caucus a place to land that’s not just at the republicans’ demands, and demonstrating that republicans won’t accept even a smaller ask.

Recent polling ( x.com/birenbomb/st... ) shows James Talarico rising in the Texas Senate primary. @ymriofficial.bsky.social did a deep dive on his messaging strategy - give it a read to understand the state of play here in Texas. youngmenresearchinitiative.substack.com/p/what-james...

Recent polling ( x.com/birenbomb/st... ) shows James Talarico rising in the Texas Senate primary. @ymriofficial.bsky.social did a deep dive on his messaging strategy - give it a read to understand the state of play here in Texas. youngmenresearchinitiative.substack.com/p/what-james...

Good analysis from @gelliottmorris.com -- it is widely assumed that groups who drifted right in 2024 are irredeemable, must be scorned and abandoned, will never come back from the grips of their MAGA infatuation. Most of them voted Dem on Tuesday. www.gelliottmorris.com/p/trumps-win...

I told you! We're an anarcho-syndicalist commune!

Its true and they know it. Please consider supporting the Democratic Attorneys General Association, which works to ensure laws are enforced by people who actually believe in the law. 100% of $$ go straight to the Dem AGs Association. Lets send MAGA to jail. secure.actblue.com/donate/jrsli...

The latest from @ymriofficial.bsky.social - take exit polls with a grain of salt, but in elections across the board yesterday, Democrats may have won outright majorities of young men. What was a Trump +5 electorate just a cycle ago swung Dem. youngmenresearchinitiative.substack.com/p/young-men-...

On the legacy of House Speakers I'm still exceedingly fond of "the man in the green hat," the guy Sam Rayburn semi-openly allowed to sell liquor to Congressmen during Prohibition. Rayburn's "office hours" (ie, drinking sessions) were vital to building the New Deal. history.house.gov/Historical-H...

whats with these people and Dumb Little Trinkets

Carve it on your heart: when they say they hate "liberal feminists", they mean they hate women

Good ad given where she's running.

feels like we aren't hearing much about how bitcoin fell like 25 percent last month and now we're seeing there were "recession-level layoffs" in that time period too www.washingtonpost.com/business/202...

CNN exit polls show young men backing Democrats in New Jersey, Virginia, and New York. Read more here: youngmenresearchinitiative.substack.com/p/young-men-...

This day we say prayers of thanks to the wine moms. We live. We laugh. We love. We observe the sacred Wine O'Clock. We are caught up on Only Murders In The Building. We save our World Market coupon emails. We delight in the 23rd meme of the day that characterizes the President as a Cheeto.

congrats to matt mackiowak for his impending one billionth run for a position of minor authority

One problem with the "Spanberger and Sherrill talked about the cost of living, not appealing to swing voters" take is they both benefited from a big swing among a persuadable group (young men), who are very concerned about the cost of living youngmenresearchinitiative.substack.com/p/young-men-...

The latest from @ymriofficial.bsky.social - take exit polls with a grain of salt, but in elections across the board yesterday, Democrats may have won outright majorities of young men. What was a Trump +5 electorate just a cycle ago swung Dem. youngmenresearchinitiative.substack.com/p/young-men-...

Good morning. Every reporter should be asking Kathy Hochul if she’s asked for Jay Jacobs resignation yet. He didn’t support the Dem nominee for mayor, he didn’t invest in Long Island, and because of that we were a lone red wave in an otherwise blue sea. We need change now. He has to go before 2026.

There were a lot of bad results in Texas for Dems tonight, but it's notable that the Houston-area Cypress-Fairbanks school board kicked out a host of Moms Against Liberty incumbents

A downside of tonight we ignore at our peril: Texas has shown that if the feds or state deliberately starve city budgets, voters won't necessarily vote for their city to become more financially independent This playbook coming to a city budget near you next cycle

This feels like a nitpick but why is Mamdani being described as the "democratic socialist candidate" and not the Democrat/WFP, which was his actual party affiliation? He's a Democrat. The Democrat won in NYC. The Democrat won in NJ. Just say what happened.

One of the many reasons local wins are so important is they cut short careers that could've been the next class of MAGA leaders. As of the previous Congress, 44 percent had come up from the state leg. Democrats just Terminator'd a dozen could've-been Hawleys and Cruzs. www.ncsl.org/state-legisl...

A lot of self-proclaimed speakers for the left on here did us no favors by preemptively deciding Dems were going to lose in New Jersey for Online Debate Points when the fact is left groups worked their asses off in NJ as part of a winning coalition. Folks from YIMBYs to anti-ICE activists won today.

Also the Republican who leaked Jay Jones's texts to the National Review is on track to lose projects.statenavigate.com/25-26/states...

Big wins come from longterm organizing as well as from well-funded campaigns and talented candidates. Help the @texasyds.bsky.social organize or the lonterm here in Texas, and help our general election nominee for Senate start strong. 100% of $$ go directly there. secure.actblue.com/donate/jrsli...

Bitcoin just dipped below $100k for the first time since May. Here's some insights into the kinds of young guys who keep making shaky investments, and what drives them to keep participating in these volatile speculative markets

Bitcoin just dipped below $100k for the first time since May. Here's some insights into the kinds of young guys who keep making shaky investments, and what drives them to keep participating in these volatile speculative markets

The latest from @ymriofficial.bsky.social -- look, we all enjoy the occasional LinkedIn Lunatic in the wild. But many young workers are inundated in the grift, and its fucking up their perceptions of how the employment search should work. youngmenresearchinitiative.substack.com/p/linkedin-c...

Kalshi getting a giant billboard to display betting odds in the heart of a major mayoral race's geography on election day just doesn't feel great to me

It's a K-shaped market over the past month. Mag 7 +5.4% Equal-weighted S&P 500 -2.1%

Happy Election Day, Austin!

for Halloween he went as the world's most irritable pirate and i went as a guy whose arms are covered in cat scratches

In our polling with YouGov, since the start of his second term Donald Trump's net approval has fallen 17pts among white Americans (+17 to -1), 28pts among Hispanic Americans (-9 to -37) and 38pts among black Americans (-36 to -74)

“.. Markets think China won big. .. China has shown it can dump exports on the rest of the world, and use its leverage (from soybeans to rare earths) to deter the US. So it’s still safe to deal with China, and companies that do so look their most attractive in 14 years.” @johnauthers.bsky.social

Great illustration of 1) A lot of professional media is based in New York (see also: the most important thing about Gaza is protests at Columbia) and 2) Republican voters are the only ones who matter (see also: Midwest diner safaris) The concern overwhelmingly goes in one direction, not both.

The analysis you've been waiting for: "Do you remember who was actually president when that happened?" Turns out the answer is often...no. 1 in 3 forgot Trump was in office on Jan. 6. HALF didn't say Biden was President during the Afghanistan withdrawal! yougovamerica.substack.com/p/how-many-a...

Put together a quick voter guide for Austinites on our local and statewide measures based on the consensus endorsements of local papers and Democratic groups. Lets protect Austin's budget from state and federal attacks. No free land for ICE. bluevoterguide.org/view-ballot?...

The analysis you've been waiting for: "Do you remember who was actually president when that happened?" Turns out the answer is often...no. 1 in 3 forgot Trump was in office on Jan. 6. HALF didn't say Biden was President during the Afghanistan withdrawal! yougovamerica.substack.com/p/how-many-a...

Really fascinating stuff in this YG analysis of online gamblers. Working full time but low-income, significantly more likely to report poor mental health, anxiety, and depression, "deeply cynical about marriage" but "hopeless romantics." "Over-indexes on ADHD." platform.yougov.com/resources

Going to war while we’re not paying our military is quite the choice.

Interesting data from a YouGov report on character choices in videogames. Those who say women characters in a game make them less interested in that game are pretty clearly a vocal minority. Most gamers are fine-to-positive on having the option. yougov.com/en-us/articl...

Interesting data from a YouGov report on character choices in videogames. Those who say women characters in a game make them less interested in that game are pretty clearly a vocal minority. Most gamers are fine-to-positive on having the option. yougov.com/en-us/articl...

just an unfathomably bleak, empty life on display here