Warum bekennen sich viele Menschen zur #Demokratie, wählen aber Politikerinnen & Politiker, die diese untergraben? Damit beschäftigt sich LMU-Politikwissenschaftler Alexander Wuttke, der nun eine #Förderung von 1,17 Millionen aus dem Emmy Noether-Programm der @dfg.de erhalten hat! #LMUMuenchen

There are solutions to the problem of null results and we know them. One of them is the widespread introduction of Registered Reports across journals. It is not that we lack solutions but that we lack the will to change things (and accept a potential decline in the IF that we all love so much)

It's ironic to see a discipline care **so much** about unbiasedness (causal inference!) at the level of a single test but then have a research production system and culture that is basically a ferocious bias generation machine. This is not good.

When we look across journals, we see the same patterns repeated. The main exception is the Journal of Experimental Political Science, which has the highest rate of null-only reporting and lowest rate of rejection-only reporting. Kudos to them.

I have a new paper. We look at ~all stats articles in political science post-2010 & show that 94% have abstracts that claim to reject a null. Only 2% present only null results. This is hard to explain unless the research process has a filter that only lets rejections through.

Perhaps you received a mysterious noreply email asking you to evaluate some publications 'for novelty'. Looked kinda dubious? Yup, that's the one. So what's up with this 'metascience novelty indicators challenge'? 🧵

Can we take a moment to salute that visualisation?

▶️ Social Science Data Lab: Spring 2026 Events Four input talks by great researchers (see below ⤵️)! 🗓️ Details & Zoom: socialsciencedatalab.mzes.uni-mannheim.de/page/events/ 👥 Organizers: @rubac.bsky.social, @denis-cohen.bsky.social and Alexander Wenz

Wer Polarisierung, Anti-establishment Orientierung und den Aufstieg der AfD verstehen will, sollte das Dschungelcamp 2026 schauen #ibes

??!?!? #ibes

Recognising and rewarding of open science in HR-policy www.openscience.nl/en/recognisi... This post discusses efforts Dutch institutions are making to strengthen the way they recognize and reward open science. I like the 'Room for every PhD Candidate' initiative at @utrechtuniversity.bsky.social.

🎉 New paper out in Political Behavior (with @gijsschumacher.bsky.social & @mrooduijn.bsky.social) Why do some people feel stronger emotions about politics than others? 💡Not political knowledge, but interest and confidence-in-knowledge drive emotional engagement. link.springer.com/article/10.1... 🧵

Update: Offenbar sehen das auch viele meiner ärztlichen Kollegen ähnlich wie ich und wollen keine rechtsextremen Portale mitfinanzieren. Gut so.

Politics Doesn’t Define How Most People See Themselves I’ve written a blog post just published by The Inquisitive Mind. Link: www.in-mind.org/blog/post/po... Very brief summary in the thread.

🚀 dashboardr is out! An #rstats package for building interactive dashboards with tidyverse-style syntax. Launched with a fun hackathon at @ascor.bsky.social (🍕 included). 📦: favstats.github.io/dashboardr/ Big thanks to the dashboardr team, Digicomlab, and @vivifabrien.bsky.social for the logo 🎨

agents can hire humans now www.rentahuman.ai

»Marco Bülow hätte sich sehr oft in seinem Leben entscheiden können, eine stille Karriere zu machen. Er entschied sich zuverlässig für den unbequemen Weg des Widerstands«, erinnert Ines Schwerdtner.

Welcome to #OpenScience Land expedition-open-science.org This is a lightweight, but very useful and accessible intro to key elements of Open Science (online and as a PDF). Seems particularly useful for introducing the topic to undergraduates @zbw-leibniz.bsky.social

Advances in Statistical Analysis has a call for papers on the role of multiverse analysis in statistical modelling and applications: link.springer.com/journal/1018... Deadline is May 1st, so still plenty of time to put something together!>

Thursday at 2 PM EST a webinar on anxiety and depression in this profession featuring experts who work in this space. Attendance is confidential and this will not be recorded, live viewing only. Register ahead of time here: politicalsciencenow.com/webinar-anxi...

I reviewed an earlier version of this paper. I think it's interesting, because you can tell by reading it that evolutionary psychology still lacks a loyal opposition and a healthy error culture. It's a defensive paper, targeted at people who believe evolution stops at the neck, YouTubers, _others_

🧵 New version of our paper (@bcegerod.bsky.social) is finally online: "How Many is Enough? Sample Size in Staggered Difference-in-Differences Designs" We show that even well-identified DiD studies are often underpowered; sample sizes needed are surprisingly large Paper: osf.io/preprints/os... 1/6

🚨Job alert 🚨 I have an opening for a postdoc in my team at @ipz.bsky.social in the area of digital democracy starting Sep 1, 2026. If you are working on the impact of the digital transformation on politics, please apply by 🗓️ Mar 1, 2026. 📤 Please share widely! www.ipz.uzh.ch/de/ueber-uns...

If you campaigned for the presidency on a promise to destroy these assholes, you would win a landslide the size of FDR in 1936, when he campaigned on a promise to destroy these assholes.

This has all been public for a couple of decades. It's Thiel’s client Vance’s job to bring this to completion if Trump doesn't suffice. (2/2)

Peter Thiel has been open about this for a long time. Trump is a way to break the republic, which can then be replaced by “free economic zones” with oligarchs as dictators and tech as a taskmaster for helpless humans without any rights. (1/2)

So much of classic political science research is woefully underpowered. I'm glad we're slowly coming to our senses.

🚨🚨Striking but welcome development in Portugese politics: To stop the explosive growth of the ultranationalist #Chega party, Portugal’s leading conservatives are doing the previously unthinkable: endorsing the center-left candidate for president. 🧵 www.politico.eu/article/port...

Big news: I started a new position as Professor for Computational Social Science (W1 tenure track) at the Center for Critical Computational Studies (C3S) at Goethe University in Frankfurt am Main! www.c3s-frankfurt.de/who-we-are#m...

In my updated paper, I introduce an R package, ididvar, that provides tools to easily identify the identifying variation in a regression: vincentbagilet.github.io/ididvar/

 More information can be found on the package and project websites: vincentbagilet.github.io/causal_exaggeration/ididvar.html

Der langjährige AfD-Parteisprecher Christian Lüth sprach über die Möglichkeit des Erschießens oder Vergasens von Migranten - und wurde fristlos entlassen. Mittlerweile arbeitet er wieder für mehrere AfD-Abgeordnete. Wie kann das sein? www.tagesschau.de/inland/innen...

"Offensichtlich wollte Brüning die NSDAP nicht mit juristischen Repressionen stellen, sondern auf dem Feld der Politik schlagen."

Die Ächtung der AfD wirkt noch immer. Trotz der hohen Umfragewerte bekennen sich kaum Prominente zu ihr. Sie hat nur wenige kompetente oder charismatische und keine kompetenten und charismatischen Leute in ihren Reihen. Kaum ein*e Politiker*in wechselt zu ihr. Das ist viel wert. Also: Keep it up!

Great review from @emilykubin.bsky.social and @vaparker.bsky.social on the challenges of researching what effectively reduces polarization - including knowing if and when reducing polarization should be something we want to do. www.researchgate.net/profile/Emil...

Academics vying for a spot in Epstein‘s world. There are so many. I feel the need to make a thread, so I don’t keep confusing them. 1/

Democracies are so strong that they allow people to criticize democracy. In fact, the ability to do so is an essential quality of democracy. Authoritarians are so weak they don't allow people to criticize authoritarians. Silencing dissent is an essential quality of authoritarian regimes.

die News von #MarcoBülow s Tod trifft mich sehr. Er war einer der aufrechtesten Politiker, die ich kannte. Uns verband die Vision einer Demokratie ohne gläserne Bürger, aber mit gläsernem Staat. 2015 war ich Gründungsmitglied seiner Initiative "Demokratie plus", die dafür kämpfte. R.I.P., Marco!

Looking for speeches from all German state parliaments? @cgnguyen.bsky.social , Eric Beltermann, Sabine Kropp & Antonios Souris have you covered. Introducing the StateParl Corpus. Now open access with PVS: doi.org/10.1007/s11615-025-00643-5

The distinction between higher and lower tier Academic journals play a key role in the allocation of reputation and presumed value of a study. Yet, we know little about which journals actually publish more credible research than others. Thanks for highlighting and researching this, Ryan.

Can large language models stand in for human participants? Many social scientists seem to think so, and are already using "silicon samples" in research. One problem: depending on the analytic decisions made, you can basically get these samples to show any effect you want. THREAD 🧵

PhD Student:in (m/w/x) (75%, Beginn zwischen März und Mai 2026, 3 Jahre) in München (LMU) im Projekt „DemocraGPT – Entwicklung eines KI-gestützten Gesprächstrainings zur Förderung demokratischen Austausches“ Deadline 31. Januar job-portal.lmu.de/jobposting/7...

🎺 Call for proposals 🎺 1️⃣ replicate an existing experiment 2️⃣ run a novel experiment on repdata.com 3️⃣ coauthor with Mary McGrath and me to meta-analyze the replications and existing studies 4️⃣ publish your study details: alexandercoppock.com/replication_... applications open Feb 1 please repost!

Jetzt verfügbar: Partielle #Kumulation des ZDF-Politbarometers Die #Politbarometer werden seit 1977 etwa monatlich von der #Forschungsgruppe #Wahlen für das Zweite Deutsche Fernsehen (#ZDF) durchgeführt. doi.org/10.4232/1.14611

Want to help make replications easier to find, share, and credit? Join us in Germany for a hackathon to do just that. Applications now open ⬇️

Amazed how after all these years, people still surprise me by coming up with new ways to express “association between X and Y, except slightly more causal, but not in the causal-effect-of-X-on-Y way.”

The Iowa Gambling Task is an extreme example of Jingle Fallacy and schmeasurement. In 100 articles we found 244 different ways of scoring it, 177 were never reused. Correlations between them range -.99 to .99. At the same time, we show meta-analyses combine these results as if they’re equivalent.

Also read this banger recently: "Statistical Control Requires Causal Justification". The title probably says it all really. Impressed with the ground covered without feeling overwhelming, as well as the clarity of the arguments. Highly recommend!

Comparing registrations to published papers is essential to research integrity - and almost no one does it routinely because it's slow, messy, and time-demanding. RegCheck was built to help make this process easier. Today, we launch RegCheck V2. 🧵 regcheck.app

Am 23. Januar 1930 wird in #Thüringen erstmalig eine Landesregierung unter Beteiligung der NSDAP gebildet. Innenminister wird der später in Nürnberg verurteilte Kriegsverbrecher Wilhelm Frick. Hat ja super geklappt damals mit der "Entzauberung"!