Winning at all levels, growth rate, foreign policy, immigration policy, energy policy, list is long

A guide for economists writing a literature review who want to summarize evidence, incorporate covariates, and adjust for selectivity, from Peter Ganong, Avik Garg, and Maximilian Kasy www.nber.org/papers/w35403

New paper with @p_ganong & Avik Garg: From literature review to effect prediction for a new context - allowing for effect heterogeneity & publication bias. maxkasy.github.io/home/files/p...

Reading rec: "Political Aspects of Full Employment" Intriguing 1943 essay by Michał Kalecki mronline.org/2010/05/22/p... Reasons of business opposition to full employment: It would 1/2

New paper with @p_ganong & Avik Garg: From literature review to effect prediction for a new context - allowing for effect heterogeneity & publication bias. maxkasy.github.io/home/files/p...

In „The Means of Prediction” wirft @maxkasy.bsky.social einen kritischen Blick auf Machtfragen rund um KI. @sberg.bsky.social und @annkoster.bsky.social haben das Buch gelesen und setzen es in ihrem Literaturessay zu anderen Debattenbeiträgen ins Verhältnis. www.soziopolis.de/its-the-obje...

Chapters 1–4 out now! Understanding our Economy, CORE's textbook for beginners and students at two-year and four-year colleges and universities in North America, is online. Covers the environment, climate, inequality, cost of living & more. Read it free: books.core-econ.org/understandin...

Why does Elon Musk stoke racist violence and pogroms, and what are the parallels to 19th century Russia? Thoughtful essay worth reading: giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/... Big Tech is stoking unrest in the UK. Why?

Why does Elon Musk stoke racist violence and pogroms, and what are the parallels to 19th century Russia? Thoughtful essay worth reading: giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/... Big Tech is stoking unrest in the UK. Why?

So, naive question about these campuses that pay OpenAI $13mil/yr. Why don’t they pour that money into a cluster running the strongest available open-weight model, with API and interactive options. And if the answer is “overhead,” why aren’t we collaborating?

Last day of frontier talks!

1/n Verena Halsmayer giving the Blanqui lecture on the history of the Solow model, based on her wonderful book www.cambridge.org/core/books/m... #eshethes2026 Key insights:

Starting on Monday!

"Meetings are held, emails are sent, phone calls are made, and something like 520,000 children die of malnutrition, diarrhea, tuberculosis, malaria, and HIV." prospect.org/2026/05/22/w...

Das lange Warten hat ein Ende: 30 Jahre nach der letzten Auflage ist das neue„Handbuch Rechtsextremismus in Österreich“ seit heute erhältlich. Den Band gibt es in der Buchhandlung Ihres Vertrauens oder direkt beim Verlag des @falter.at: shop.falter.at/handbuch-rec...

📆 Only 2 weeks to go until our workshop!!! 📆 "AI and the political economy of information filtering" maxkasy.github.io/home/informa... Open to all; register for partcipation (online/in-person) here: docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...

What can flight data tell us about deportation flights, and where are the limits of public information? On Thursday @gillianbrockell.com guides us through the aviation data, public records, and open-source techniques used to follow immigration operations in the skies. discord.gg/bellingcat?e...

Ce soir, présentation de @maxkasy.bsky.social à @crestumr.bsky.social pour son livre - The means of prediction - ça parle du contrôle démocratique de l’ia (entre autre). Discuté par @eollion.bsky.social qui pose la question : doit on réguler l’IA ou le capitalisme ?

Insightful interview on Iran on the eve of the recent invasion: newleftreview.org/issues/ii157...

🚨 New paper (with @elizabethlinos.bsky.social and @ProfSanaz) 🚨 "Causal Inference for Social Network Formation" Leveraging random initial ties + panel observation to recover causal effects of indirect ties, degree, and density on who connects. maxkasy.github.io/home/files/p...

Insightful interview on Iran on the eve of the recent invasion: newleftreview.org/issues/ii157...

🚨 New paper (with @elizabethlinos.bsky.social and @ProfSanaz) 🚨 "Causal Inference for Social Network Formation" Leveraging random initial ties + panel observation to recover causal effects of indirect ties, degree, and density on who connects. maxkasy.github.io/home/files/p...

Barry Eichengreen kindly reviewed "The Means of Prediction" in @foreignaffairs.com (May/June 2026) — "a clear and concise explanation of how AI works": 🔗 foreignaffairs.com/reviews/means-prediction-how-ai-really-works-and-who-benefits

I coded up an open-source, not-for-profit AI paper reviewer that rivals the performance of @reviewer3com.bsky.social, Refine.ink, and Stanford Agentic Reviewer (according to Gemini 3.1). Costs <$2! Live @ coarse.ink. Plug in paper, @openrouter.bsky.social key, and email. #econsky

🌍 INEQ Research Seminar Who benefits from AI? On April 14, @maxkasy.bsky.social joins our seminar to present his book “The Means of Prediction” – on power, control and inequality in the age of AI. 🗓 April 14, 4:00 pm 🔗 Info & registration: short.wu.ac.at/ineq_va_kasy #INEQ #INEQ_RS

The economist Arindrajit Dube believes that the answer to fixing America’s wage problem is to empower workers and set mandatory wage standards across industries. www.newyorker.com/news/the-fin...

What is funding the rapid growth of AI companies? At our recent conference on AI and news, @maxkasy.bsky.social of @oxfordecondept.bsky.social cited the involvement of companies involved in mass surveillance and autonomous weapons systems. buff.ly/r6gCk3h

Someone sent me this.

"Cancel-culture" in action: This paper argues that the US governments' blacklisting of research on topics including gender, race, and the environment (for funding) has led to pre-emptive self-censorship in economics working papers. shs.hal.science/halshs-05519...

🔥 🌐 Workshop announcement: 🌐🔥 AI and the political economy of information filtering May 25-27, 2026 Workshop website: maxkasy.github.io/home/informa... Registration: docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...

💲💲💲 New version available: 💲💲💲 Basic income and labor supply: Theory and evidence from an RCT in Germany maxkasy.github.io/home/files/p... #basicincome #ubi

Stell dir Hilfe vor, die für Jahrzehnte wirkt. Der Verein Energiekollektiv stellt einkommensschwachen Haushalten kostenlos Balkonkraftwerke zur Verfügung --> weniger Stromkosten, mehr Klimaschutz, keine Abhängigkeit von Fossildikaturen. Jetzt spenden: energiekollektiv.at#spenden

🔥 🌐 Workshop announcement: 🌐🔥 AI and the political economy of information filtering May 25-27, 2026 Workshop website: maxkasy.github.io/home/informa... Registration: docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...

giftarticle.ft.com/giftarticle/... Ministers explore triggering break clause in Palantir’s NHS contract

🔥➗️ New workingpaper: ➗️🔥 "From Cross-Validation to SURE: Asymptotic Risk of Tuned Regularized Estimators" maxkasy.github.io/home/files/p... This was inspired by conversations with Gary Chamberlain 10 years ago, and ended up a heavier lift than anticipated. Any feedback & comments are appreciated!

Must-read piece on the role of tech and policy in the killing of 180 Iranian school girls by US bombs:

📣 New job at Oxford's Centre for Advanced Social Science Methods (CASSM)! 📣 The Departments of Politics & IR (DPIR) and Social Policy and Intervention (DSPI) are hiring an Associate Professor of Causal and Experimental Methods. Come work with me and amazing Oxford peeps! Deadline NOON April 27th.

🔥➗️ New workingpaper: ➗️🔥 "From Cross-Validation to SURE: Asymptotic Risk of Tuned Regularized Estimators" maxkasy.github.io/home/files/p... This was inspired by conversations with Gary Chamberlain 10 years ago, and ended up a heavier lift than anticipated. Any feedback & comments are appreciated!

I might be 20 years late here, but “Monopsony in Motion: Imperfect Competition in Labor Markets” by Allan Manning (@alanmanning4.bsky.social) is a joy to read, both for its prose and for its force of argument:

hoy en El Pais: elpais.com/tecnologia/2... PDF version: maxkasy.github.io/home/files/o...

hoy en El Pais: elpais.com/tecnologia/2... PDF version: maxkasy.github.io/home/files/o...

David Autor (@davidautor.bsky.social) just wrote a very kind and thoughtful review of "The Means of Prediction" for the Journal of Economic Literature (@aeajournals.bsky.social): www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=...

A complete GPT — dataset, tokenizer, autograd engine, transformer architecture, Adam optimizer, training loop, inference — in 200 lines of pure Python, zero dependencies: 🔗 karpathy.github.io/2026/02/12/m... A work of art by Andrej Karpathy (@karpathy.bsky.social) | h/t F.Geiecke

He has co-written a new policy brief about Universal Basic Income and Job Guarantees. The brief discusses the key theoretical issues as well as the latest results of his empirical work on these topics in Austria and Germany. Read the brief on the EfIP website: econfip.org/policy-brief...

New on the Economics for Inclusive Prosperity website: A fascinating research brief by University of Oxford Professor Maximilian Kasy on why the true battle for future of AI is between different groups of people with different priorities—not humans vs machines. #econfip econfip.org/policy-brief...

New episode! University of Oxford economist Max Kasy demystifies AI and explores ways to ensure that it's not exclusively controlled by tech titans. podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/e...

Next was an excellent talk by @maxkasy.bsky.social on how the very human forces shaping the development of generative AI and who benefits from its current trajectory at @oxmartinschool.bsky.social www.youtube.com/watch?v=Lm9w... (5/8)

Tomorrow 5pm at the Oxford Martin School! www.oxfordmartin.ox.ac.uk/events/the-m...

Can A.I. Be Pro-Worker? www.newyorker.com/news/the-fin...