Extract from the introduction of "The Means of Prediction" published on Literary Hub: lithub.com/why-big-tech...

Just out in the New York Times: My op-ed on the limits of data-privacy and the need for democratic control in the age of AI. www.nytimes.com/2025/11/02/o... @nytimes.com @nytopinion.nytimes.com

Happy pub day to Stone Center Affiliated Scholar @maxkasy.bsky.social! In this interview, he discusses his new book, The Means of Prediction, which offers a convincing argument for democratic control over AI’s objectives. @uchicagopress.bsky.social stonecenter.gc.cuny.edu/whos-afraid-...

“We might hope that keeping our own data private could protect each of us from unwanted outcomes. But A.I. doesn’t need to know what you have been doing; it only needs to know what people like you have done before,” Maximilian Kasy writes.

Just out in the New York Times: My op-ed on the limits of data-privacy and the need for democratic control in the age of AI. www.nytimes.com/2025/11/02/o... @nytimes.com @nytopinion.nytimes.com

⏰ We are hiring on the junior market! ⏰ Multiple open positions at the Oxford Department of Economics: econjobmarket.org/positions?sh... 2 positions associate professor open field, 1 position development econ. cc @oxfordecondept.bsky.social

Some lovely first reviews of "The Means of Prediction" are out: www.enlightenmenteconomics.com/blog/index.p... (by @dianecoyle1859.bsky.social) 1/n

⏰ We are hiring on the junior market! ⏰ Multiple open positions at the Oxford Department of Economics: econjobmarket.org/positions?sh... 2 positions associate professor open field, 1 position development econ. cc @oxfordecondept.bsky.social

JD Vance claims that diversity weakens unions, as people end up distrusting each other and not organizing. Let me tell you two menswear stories related to this claim. 🧵

New incredible detail here: ICE says a match in its facial recognition app Mobile Fortify is a "definitive" determination of a person's status, and that this overrides birth certificates. This is an app ICE is using in the field to scan people www.404media.co/ice-and-cbp-...

🚨Public service announcement:🚨 Only 2 weeks until the official launch event for "The means of prediction" on Nov 3, incl discussion with Noam Yuchtman, music, and bar. Get your free tickets here: www.eventbrite.co.uk/o/reference-... & your copy of the book here: press.uchicago.edu/ucp/books/bo...

🚨Public service announcement:🚨 Only 2 weeks until the official launch event for "The means of prediction" on Nov 3, incl discussion with Noam Yuchtman, music, and bar. Get your free tickets here: www.eventbrite.co.uk/o/reference-... & your copy of the book here: press.uchicago.edu/ucp/books/bo...

Reading rec: 📖✊🏼The History of Ideas: Equality, Justice and Revolution ✊🏽📖 by David Runciman www.goodreads.com/book/show/20... Insightful yet very readable discussion of political thinkers from Rousseau and Bentham to Luxemburg and Beauvoir.

Reading rec: 📖🧳 A Travel Guide to the Middle Ages: The World Through Medieval Eyes 🧳📖 by Anthony Bale (@realmandeville.bsky.social) www.goodreads.com/book/show/15... Entertaining exploration of how medieval European travelers made sense of foreign lands and the world.

Reading rec: Britains made up migrant crisis by Daniel Finn (@DanFinn95) jacobin.com/2025/10/brit... Thoughtful discussion of the paradoxes of British attitudes, which became more racially inclusive and yet more xenophobic over time.

Reading rec: 📖✊🏼The History of Ideas: Equality, Justice and Revolution ✊🏽📖 by David Runciman www.goodreads.com/book/show/20... Insightful yet very readable discussion of political thinkers from Rousseau and Bentham to Luxemburg and Beauvoir.

Presenting today: overview and comparison of our findings in the #basicincome and #jobguarantee pilots maxkasy.github.io/home/files/s... Takeaway: We need both policies!

Take my money

🪅📕 The first paper copy has arrived! 📕🪅 #themeansofprediction

Reading rec: "Challenges in Statistics: A Dozen Challenges in Causality and Causal Inference" arxiv.org/abs/2508.17099 Great overview of both the state of the art and open question in causal inference!

Looking forward to this week’s booktalks and discussions! Sep 23: MIT Knight Science Journalism program ksj.mit.edu/events/ Sep 24: Harvard Kennedy School (including discussion with Dani Rodrik) www.hks.harvard.edu/events/book-... Sep 25: Yale Law School law.yale.edu/centers-work...

Looking forward to this week’s booktalks and discussions! Sep 23: MIT Knight Science Journalism program ksj.mit.edu/events/ Sep 24: Harvard Kennedy School (including discussion with Dani Rodrik) www.hks.harvard.edu/events/book-... Sep 25: Yale Law School law.yale.edu/centers-work...

🎪 Official book launch party on Nov 3! 🎪 Presentation, discussion, music, and drinks at Reference.point in London. Get your free tickets here, to reserve a slot: www.eventbrite.com/e/book-launc... cc @UChicagoPress.bsky.social @OxfordEconDept.bsky.social @INETOxford.bsky.social

🎪 Official book launch party on Nov 3! 🎪 Presentation, discussion, music, and drinks at Reference.point in London. Get your free tickets here, to reserve a slot: www.eventbrite.com/e/book-launc... cc @UChicagoPress.bsky.social @OxfordEconDept.bsky.social @INETOxford.bsky.social

📆 Mark your calendars! 📆 With the publication of "Means of prediction" approaching fast, I'm looking forward to an interesting set of panel discussions and book-talks this fall - I hope to see many of you there! Preliminary schedule of book talks: maxkasy.github.io/home/present...

📆 Mark your calendars! 📆 With the publication of "Means of prediction" approaching fast, I'm looking forward to an interesting set of panel discussions and book-talks this fall - I hope to see many of you there! Preliminary schedule of book talks: maxkasy.github.io/home/present...

Are you on the economics job market this year? Consider applying for the Nuffield postdoc at Oxford: econjobmarket.org/positions/11... It's an excellent opportunity for some extra research time in a great environment! (Econometrics and econ/ML applications particularly encouraged!)

Who controls the means of prediction? The struggle continues:

📢New Working Paper! "Cash Transfers, Mental Health and Agency: Evidence from an RCT in Germany" ✍️ Sandra Bohmann, Susann Fiedler @maxkasy.bsky.social @jpschupp.bsky.social Frederik Schwerte For further information, read the full paper: www.ifo.de/en/cesifo/pu...

thoughtful assessment of the era of discourse about wokeness:

Are you on the economics job market this year? Consider applying for the Nuffield postdoc at Oxford: econjobmarket.org/positions/11... It's an excellent opportunity for some extra research time in a great environment! (Econometrics and econ/ML applications particularly encouraged!)

Check out new empirical paper on impact of basic income on employment outcomes: "Basic Income and Labor Supply: Evidence from an RCT in Germany". By Sarah Bernhard, Sandra Bohmann, Susann Fiedler, Maximilian Kasy, Jürgen Schupp, Frederik Schwerter. @maxkasy.bsky.social @stone-lis.bsky.social 👇👇👇

@oxfordecondept.bsky.social's Prof Maximilian Kasy explains why the political focus should be on creating a truly comprehensive safety net for all, rather than undermining the existing system in the name of austerity. Read more ⬇️

🧨 New draft dropped:🧨 "Cash Transfers, Mental Health and Agency: Evidence from an RCT in Germany" maxkasy.github.io/home/files/p... Companion paper to our paper on basic income and labor supply. Corresponding author Freddie Schwerter (@freddieschwerter.bsky.social). #basicincome #UBI

The exponential growth of solar power - some good news for a change: The Sun Has Its Moment www.newyorker.com/news/annals-...

New Op-ed: "Welfare for the 21st century" www.ox.ac.uk/news/2025-07... I discuss British welfare reform, what we have learned from #basicincome and #jobguarantee experiments, and argue that we should create a truly comprehensive safety net for all. cc @oxfordecondept.bsky.social @INETOxford

New Op-ed: "Welfare for the 21st century" www.ox.ac.uk/news/2025-07... I discuss British welfare reform, what we have learned from #basicincome and #jobguarantee experiments, and argue that we should create a truly comprehensive safety net for all. cc @oxfordecondept.bsky.social @INETOxford

📚Reading rec:Learning Theory from First Principles📚 by @bachfrancis.bsky.social: www.di.ens.fr/~fbach/ltfp_... A rigorous review of state-of-the-art machine learning theory, covering both foundations and recent developments. Self-contained - though at times mathematically daunting.

Reading rec: 📖Empire of AI 📖 by Karen Hao (@karenhao.bsky.social) www.penguinrandomhouse.com/books/743569... Great reportage on the AI industry, from relentless pursuit of scaling, shutting down alternative paths, to the brutality of click-work, to the confluence of cult-like beliefs & big money.

What can we learn from the #Marienthal #JobGuarantee pilot for designing effective labor market and social policy? @maxkasy.bsky.social and I have a new @inetoxford.bsky.social policy brief that summarises the results of the #Marienthal #JobGuarantee. oms-inet.files.svdcdn.com/production/f...

Would a basic income reduce tax revenue by decreasing labor supply - or put pressure on wages by increasing labor supply? A field experiment by Stone Center Affiliated Scholar @maxkasy.bsky.social‬ & his coauthors concludes: Neither. stonecenter.gc.cuny.edu/research/bas...

New paper out today, accepted at #FAccT2025, led by Jake Stein and me: "Not Even Nice Work If You Can Get It; A Longitudinal Study of Uber's Algorithmic Pay and Pricing" arxiv.org/abs/2506.15278 Over the last 3 years, we've been working with @workerinfox.bsky.social to audit Uber's algorithms. 1/

🔥New #basicincome paper just posted:🔥 "Basic income and labor supply: Evidence from an RCT in Germany" (maybe not the wittiest title, but descriptive...) maxkasy.github.io/home/files/p... Feedback welcome, this is still subject to revisions!

Reading rec: “How Life Works” press.uchicago.edu/ucp/books/bo... Fascinating (if dense) survey of modern biology by a former editor of Nature. And a convincing polemic against the genetic reductionism of the “modern synthesis” of Darwinian evolution and Mendelian inheritance, 1/n

🔥New #basicincome paper just posted:🔥 "Basic income and labor supply: Evidence from an RCT in Germany" (maybe not the wittiest title, but descriptive...) maxkasy.github.io/home/files/p... Feedback welcome, this is still subject to revisions!

Reading rec: “How Life Works” press.uchicago.edu/ucp/books/bo... Fascinating (if dense) survey of modern biology by a former editor of Nature. And a convincing polemic against the genetic reductionism of the “modern synthesis” of Darwinian evolution and Mendelian inheritance, 1/n

In case somebody missed this yesterday, while watching a political car-crash unfold: "The Means of Prediction - How AI Really Works (and Who Benefits)" is now in the UChicago Press catalog, and available for pre-order online! press.uchicago.edu/ucp/books/bo...

In case somebody missed this yesterday, while watching a political car-crash unfold: "The Means of Prediction - How AI Really Works (and Who Benefits)" is now in the UChicago Press catalog, and available for pre-order online! press.uchicago.edu/ucp/books/bo...

💥 📚 Next step on the book journey:📚💥 "The Means of Prediction - How AI Really Works (and Who Benefits)" is now in the UChicago Press catalog, and available for pre-order online!!! press.uchicago.edu/ucp/books/bo...

Updated my "computational resources" page: maxkasy.github.io/home/computa... Added resources for Python: - Polars for data wrangling & large data sets - Vega-Altair for data visualization - GreatTables for table formatting and exporting - Scikit-Learn for supervised learning