The means of prediction and the production function of AI maxkasy.github.io/home/files/p... Thoughts and comments welcome! 2/2

Now with correct links - forthcoming policy-papers and essays: Individual property rights or collective democratic governance? Privacy in the age of AI maxkasy.github.io/home/files/p... Welfare for the 21st century: Basic income and job guarantee policies maxkasy.github.io/home/files/p... 1/2

The means of prediction and the production function of AI maxkasy.github.io/home/files/p... Thoughts and comments welcome! 2/2

Now with correct links - forthcoming policy-papers and essays: Individual property rights or collective democratic governance? Privacy in the age of AI maxkasy.github.io/home/files/p... Welfare for the 21st century: Basic income and job guarantee policies maxkasy.github.io/home/files/p... 1/2

What is “mechanistic interpretability” (MI) of neural networks? This paper gives a great introduction: arxiv.org/abs/2404.14082 MI empirically explores “how neural networks work,” in a spirit similar to neuroscience - without the ethical constraints on manipulating living brains.

📕 🔊 "The means of prediction" is now available as audiobook! 🔊 📕 www.audible.co.uk/pd/B0GL99H5J...

Large scale conversion of warehouses into camps to concentrate migrants is taking place:

Large scale conversion of warehouses into camps to concentrate migrants is taking place:

What is the backdrop for recent protests in Iran? Between concentration of economic power in semi-private foundations, intra-elite fractures, rising precarity, poverty, food and fuel prices, and state repression, this article provides excellent analysis:

Looking forward to the workshop on “Causal Machine Learning for the Social Sciences” at the Newton Institute/Cambridge: www.newton.ac.uk/event/cifw05/ I will discuss the big picture of possible research agendas at the intersection of ML, causality, and econ: maxkasy.github.io/home/files/s...

Science personnel and funding gutted at astonishing scale in the US: www.nature.com/immersive/d4...

Do you like charts? Oh yes you do. I've just published hundreds of them, as I do every year. www.nathanielbullard.com/presentations

Dani Rodrik and Suresh Naidu say economists need to adopt a broader view of prosperity, one that includes metrics of wellbeing like access to health, democratic participation, and a livable planet. Listen to the new Economics for Inclusive Prosperity podcast. #EfiP podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/e...

amazing how the entire machine can pivot within 24 hours. no need to slowly upsell the argument; just issue new marching orders

What is the intersection of machine learning, causal inference, and economics? What are promising avenues for research at this intersection? I just drafted a new talk exploring these questions: maxkasy.github.io/home/files/s... Thoughts and comments welcome!

What is the intersection of machine learning, causal inference, and economics? What are promising avenues for research at this intersection? I just drafted a new talk exploring these questions: maxkasy.github.io/home/files/s... Thoughts and comments welcome!

In a new blog post, I contrast two flavors of empiricism: the one practiced in the social sciences and the one practiced in ML/CS. I argue that we need both, given that CS is increasingly about "claims," and not just constructing artifacts. doomscrollingbabel.manoel.xyz/p/the-empiri...

Closing out my year with a journal editor shocker 🧵 Checking new manuscripts today I reviewed a paper attributing 2 papers to me I did not write. A daft thing for an author to do of course. But intrigued I web searched up one of the titles and that's when it got real weird...

🎄 📕 Looking for a last-minute gift for the AI-curious or AI-worried person in your life? 📕🎄 Consider "The means of prediction"! press.uchicago.edu/ucp/books/bo...

Eye scans, licence plate readers, spyware: technology used to catch criminals and terrorists is being repurposed to fulfil Trump's pledge to deport 1mn undocumented migrants this year. Critics fear it’s the thin end of the authoritarian wedge. An #FTEdit thread on America’s new surveillance state 👇

One more round of booktalks on “The means of prediction:” Dec 2 UC Berkeley (Matrix): matrix.berkeley.edu/events/maxim... Dec 3 Stanford (Silicon Valley archive): events.stanford.edu/event/max-ka... Dec 5 UC Davis (econ). Come by if you are in the Bay Area!

One more round of booktalks on “The means of prediction:” Dec 2 UC Berkeley (Matrix): matrix.berkeley.edu/events/maxim... Dec 3 Stanford (Silicon Valley archive): events.stanford.edu/event/max-ka... Dec 5 UC Davis (econ). Come by if you are in the Bay Area!

My colleagues are organizing a workshop on *AI for economic research* next March. Paper submission is open now! icms.ac.uk/activities/w...

This week's new books! Find them all on the new books display in the First Floor Lobby #NewBooks

Tomorrow at LSE Economics: sticerd.lse.ac.uk/_new/events/... @sticerd_lse

🕸️ 🔢 Presenting tomorrow at UCL: 🔢 🕸️ "Causal inference on endogenous social network formation" maxkasy.github.io/home/files/s... @ucleconomics.bsky.social

Wird Künstliche Intelligenz die Weltherrschaft übernehmen? Darüber müssen wir uns keine Sorgen machen, schreibt der Wirtschaftswissenschaftler und Oxford-Professor Maximilian Kasy in seinem Buch “The Means of Prediction”. Wohl aber darüber, wer Künstliche Intelligenz für seine Zwecke einsetzen kann:

Künstliche Intelligenz: Wie kann KI den Vielen nutzen? www.moment.at/story/kuenst... (mein Interview im heutigen @moment.at)

🏛️ And now in Greek! 🏛️ jacobin.gr/i-anthropoti...

please don't @ me like "actually cerium is unique among the lanthanides for its +4 oxidation state" ⚗️🧪 #chemsky

Extract from the introduction of "The Means of Prediction" published on Literary Hub: lithub.com/why-big-tech...

Just out in the New York Times: My op-ed on the limits of data-privacy and the need for democratic control in the age of AI. www.nytimes.com/2025/11/02/o... @nytimes.com @nytopinion.nytimes.com

Happy pub day to Stone Center Affiliated Scholar @maxkasy.bsky.social! In this interview, he discusses his new book, The Means of Prediction, which offers a convincing argument for democratic control over AI’s objectives. @uchicagopress.bsky.social stonecenter.gc.cuny.edu/whos-afraid-...

“We might hope that keeping our own data private could protect each of us from unwanted outcomes. But A.I. doesn’t need to know what you have been doing; it only needs to know what people like you have done before,” Maximilian Kasy writes.

Just out in the New York Times: My op-ed on the limits of data-privacy and the need for democratic control in the age of AI. www.nytimes.com/2025/11/02/o... @nytimes.com @nytopinion.nytimes.com

⏰ We are hiring on the junior market! ⏰ Multiple open positions at the Oxford Department of Economics: econjobmarket.org/positions?sh... 2 positions associate professor open field, 1 position development econ. cc @oxfordecondept.bsky.social

Some lovely first reviews of "The Means of Prediction" are out: www.enlightenmenteconomics.com/blog/index.p... (by @dianecoyle1859.bsky.social) 1/n

⏰ We are hiring on the junior market! ⏰ Multiple open positions at the Oxford Department of Economics: econjobmarket.org/positions?sh... 2 positions associate professor open field, 1 position development econ. cc @oxfordecondept.bsky.social

JD Vance claims that diversity weakens unions, as people end up distrusting each other and not organizing. Let me tell you two menswear stories related to this claim. 🧵

New incredible detail here: ICE says a match in its facial recognition app Mobile Fortify is a "definitive" determination of a person's status, and that this overrides birth certificates. This is an app ICE is using in the field to scan people www.404media.co/ice-and-cbp-...

🚨Public service announcement:🚨 Only 2 weeks until the official launch event for "The means of prediction" on Nov 3, incl discussion with Noam Yuchtman, music, and bar. Get your free tickets here: www.eventbrite.co.uk/o/reference-... & your copy of the book here: press.uchicago.edu/ucp/books/bo...

🚨Public service announcement:🚨 Only 2 weeks until the official launch event for "The means of prediction" on Nov 3, incl discussion with Noam Yuchtman, music, and bar. Get your free tickets here: www.eventbrite.co.uk/o/reference-... & your copy of the book here: press.uchicago.edu/ucp/books/bo...

Reading rec: 📖✊🏼The History of Ideas: Equality, Justice and Revolution ✊🏽📖 by David Runciman www.goodreads.com/book/show/20... Insightful yet very readable discussion of political thinkers from Rousseau and Bentham to Luxemburg and Beauvoir.

Reading rec: 📖🧳 A Travel Guide to the Middle Ages: The World Through Medieval Eyes 🧳📖 by Anthony Bale (@realmandeville.bsky.social) www.goodreads.com/book/show/15... Entertaining exploration of how medieval European travelers made sense of foreign lands and the world.

Reading rec: Britains made up migrant crisis by Daniel Finn (@DanFinn95) jacobin.com/2025/10/brit... Thoughtful discussion of the paradoxes of British attitudes, which became more racially inclusive and yet more xenophobic over time.

Reading rec: 📖✊🏼The History of Ideas: Equality, Justice and Revolution ✊🏽📖 by David Runciman www.goodreads.com/book/show/20... Insightful yet very readable discussion of political thinkers from Rousseau and Bentham to Luxemburg and Beauvoir.

Presenting today: overview and comparison of our findings in the #basicincome and #jobguarantee pilots maxkasy.github.io/home/files/s... Takeaway: We need both policies!

Take my money

🪅📕 The first paper copy has arrived! 📕🪅 #themeansofprediction