NEW EPISODE Can Britain break out of migration madness? Former head of the Migration Advisory Committee Prof Alan Manning joins us to talk about the “infernal cycle” of migration policy … whether Labour really are just trying to outbid the Tories and Reform 👉 linktr.ee/ohgodwhatnow... #ukpolitics

Lots of articles in recent weeks - including the FT - abt the public conflating immigration as a whole with asylum-seekers. But then we have headlines like this... www.ft.com/content/b9da...

Yet another article about worker shortages that fails to tell us about offered pay and conditions. Please journalist - just ask. Or, failing that, look at online job ads. Its not hard. www.theguardian.com/environment/...

In a new blog @alanmanning4.bsky.social explains why change was needed to the "seriously flawed" social care visa route and how the government now needs to deliver on its promise to make care work a more attractive job. blogs.lse.ac.uk/poli...

Why the social care visa had to go. TLDR; in long-run it’s an expensive and ineffective way to hire care workers. blogs.lse.ac.uk/politicsandp...

Great to finally see data like this being published. Though more data means more opportunities for cherry-picking so look out for that. www.gov.uk/government/p...

‪Great to hear from @sarahoconnorft.ft.com ft.ft.com abt what happened to the UK truck driver shortage. Short-run: higher pay helped a lot. Medium-run: still structural issues making it hard to offer competitive pay and conditions. www.ft.com/content/f320...

1/ 🚨 New paper! 🚨 How do the economic trajectories of children of immigrants vary across 15 high-income countries? We study intergenerational mobility of immigrants, using individual-level linked parent-child data across Europe, North America, and beyond. 🧵👇 #EconSky

Latest paper on comparing intergenerational mobility of the kids of migrants with kids of locals in 15 countries. It has a very long author list so I feel like a real scientist at last. www.iza.org/publications...

Good to see this happening. Important to have right not rushed decision. And that the labour market in social care is part of remit as current model doesn’t work. Lab mkt wasn’t really in Dilnot report as not part of their commission www.theguardian.com/society/2025...

New discussion paper with @tessahall.bsky.social on immigration and productivity. TLDR; Evidence consistent with view nothing especially good (or bad) about migrants; they are only human cep.lse.ac.uk/_NEW/PUBLICA...

Good col from @sarahoconnorft.bsky.social. I think a lot of motivated reasoning on immig. Too many commentators start from view immig is good (or bad), then use any argument that comes to mind to make preferred case without bothering much about intellectual inconsistency www.ft.com/content/2bb6...

I think this might be the first sighting of the word monopsony in the Guardian. Though it’s in inverted commas so some way still to acceptance. amp.theguardian.com/sport/2024/o...

“There is legitimate concern that zero-hours contracts are used to shift risk from employers onto lower-paid workers” @alanmanning4.bsky.social in CentrePiece magazine: cep.lse.ac.uk/pubs/d...

Separate Scottish visa a bad idea unless v small pilot for remote areas. If scotland has demographic problem its long-term. Temporarily increasing population doesnt solve it. Migrants on a visa like this are likely to leave when they can. www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...

Perhaps this won't go quite as viral as an exploding cow but Rethink Immigration is on at 4pm today on Radio 4, where I'm joined by the dream team of @sundersays.bsky.social, Rob Colvile, Madeleine Sumption and @alanmanning4.bsky.social. www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/m...

I wrote quite a personal piece about racism now and racism then. Have a read…. www.tortoisemedia.com/2024/10/04/a...

Not sure I get the economics of HO Impact Assessment on cost to business of higher salary thresholds on work visas. Seems to be mostly transfers from profits to migrant workers (who are now residents) which gets scored as big cost. Perhaps I'm missing something; help! www.ft.com/content/e2df...

Robert Jenrick offers "concrete cap" on net migration. Can have caps on immigration (at least managed part) but absent controls on emigration cannot have cap, concrete or otherwise, on net migration www.ft.com/content/5d26...

No great secrets here. Similar episodes have always ended with agreements, often a bit dodgy, with countries of departure. Offshore processing has been tried a few times, never worked even in australia where its agreement with indonesia which did trick www.theguardian.com/world/2024/s...

Understand why you might think this a terrible decision. But wish article wld mention the uncomfortable trade-offs here. 59 year old with adult dependent may have big long- term fiscal cost tho details matter. All countries wrestling with this trade-off www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2024...

Update to earlier work with Madeleine Sumption and Tessa Hall on projecting UK net migration. Will fall this year but not as much as earlier estimates as work visas still high and more students staying on . The crystal ball picture is appropriate migrationobservatory.ox.ac.uk/resources/re...

This doesnt stand much scrutiny. Of 4 big liberalistations - HK,UKR,students, social care - only last cld be argued to be Brexit connected and numbers of migrants in social care far exceeded any loss of EU workers. Arguably more connected to austerity though. www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/poli...