Charles Cavendish
@ccavendish.eurosky.social
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Gradually, then suddenly
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Charles Cavendish
ريّان نور
3 days ago
Les filles font parler la poudre.
#AccidentalRenaissance
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Charles Cavendish
ريّان نور
8 days ago
After a few recent conversations on
#Bsky
, I have come to realise that, bar a few specialists like
@michaelshurkin.bsky.social
and
@taubhistory.bsky.social
, very few Americans know and understand 20th c. French military history. I might write a couple of threads to bust a few myths.
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Charles Cavendish
Martin Lewis
9 days ago
For non-Americans, the bewildering thing is the apparent powerlessness of the political opposition, and the lack of mainstream media pushback (on this latter point, all is not well in the UK either).
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Charles Cavendish
Petrus Crinitus
9 days ago
Teaming up with Isreal in an attempt to secure the free passage of shipping in a navigational choke point in the Near East, only to find that your ally on the other side of the Atlantic denies you support.
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Charles Cavendish
Fabian Hoffmann
10 days ago
🚀 I published a new Missile Matters post reviewing the state of European long-range strike procurement, and diagnosing what I call a European Sonderweg: a divergence from the rest of the world in this capability area. Link:
missilematters.substack.com/p/a-european...
Summary below. 1/4
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A European Sonderweg in Long-Range Strike
How European states are diverging from global procurement trends in long-range drones, cruise missiles, and ballistic missiles
https://missilematters.substack.com/p/a-european-sonderweg-in-long-range
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Charles Cavendish
Armée française - Opérations militaires
13 days ago
📍Liban | Coopération et partenariat militaire entre la 🇫🇷 et le 🇱🇧 : ⚔️ Actions de formation sur le combat d’infanterie et ses déclinaisons 🚁 Module d’appropriation de drones légers et leur usage en opération 🎯 Les armées 🇫🇷 aux côtés des armées 🇱🇧 pour œuvrer au maintien de la stabilité.
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Charles Cavendish
Elke Schwarz
24 days ago
Last year, I had the pleasure to speak at the Vienna Digital Cultures Festival on the theme of 'Model Collapse'. I talked about military AI, techno-fetishism & what I call ‘artificial idiocy’, not meant as a slur but as a marker of the erosion of public-mindedness.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=8k08...
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New Militarism, Tech-Fetishism, and Artificial Idiocy – Talk by Elke Schwarz
YouTube video by Autotelic Foundation
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8k084TxCOEw
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"Echoing" - AI identity drift by context window contamination. (NB also works for indirect back channels such as social media, public statements etc)
add a skeleton here at some point
27 days ago
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Charles Cavendish
Olga Nesterova
30 days ago
Statement by the leaders of Canada, France, Germany, Italy and the United Kingdom on the escalating conflict between Israel and Hezbollah
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Charles Cavendish
Sinem Adar
about 1 month ago
Looking at Washington's seeming inability to mobilize its allies in its war with Iran, I cannot stop but thinking of the associative nature of power. One necassary and sufficient condition enabling it is that actors around the one claiming to be powerful should play along.
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Charles Cavendish
Sophie in't Veld
about 1 month ago
European media report infinitely more and in more detail about US politics and political protagonists, than about EU politics. That is a serious problem.
@eppgroup.bsky.social
MAGA drift, breaking the ban and working explicitly with the far right should be headline news everywhere.
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Charles Cavendish
Chris Murphy
about 1 month ago
4/ Ok, so what ARE the goals? It seems, primarily, destroying lots of missiles and boats and drone factories. But the question that stumped them: what happens when you stop bombing and they restart production? They hinted at more bombing. Which is, of course, endless war.
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Charles Cavendish
NY Times Pitchbot
about 1 month ago
We have successfully bombed a school, gotten 7 soldiers killed, disrupted the world economy, and replaced an 86 year-old supreme leader with his much younger, more hardline son who is more committed to building nuclear weapons. Operation Middle East Wing is all but complete. by Donald J. Trump
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The Smart Bomb Trap
escalationtrap.substack.com/p/from-kosov...
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From Kosovo to Iran: The Smart Bomb Trap and the Risk of Catastrophic Escalation
The Controlled War Illusion
https://escalationtrap.substack.com/p/from-kosovo-to-iran-the-smart-bomb
about 1 month ago
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Charles Cavendish
Anthony Painter
about 1 month ago
It is clear that the US and Israel plan to do to Iran what Israel has done to Gaza. There is something evil that is emerging. Europe can't just stand by while 90 million people are carpet bombed. Sanchez is right.
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Charles Cavendish
James
about 1 month ago
We bombed them. To do what? So we can bomb them. To do what? To facilitate strikes. To do what? To enable kinetic operations. To do what? To shape the battlefield. To do what? So we can bomb them.
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Charles Cavendish
alina
about 1 month ago
www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2...
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Anthropic’s AI tool Claude central to U.S. campaign in Iran, amid a bitter feud
Anthropic’s AI tool Claude is playing a key role in the U.S. military’s campaign in Iran, amid a bitter fight with the Pentagon over the terms of its use in war.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2026/03/04/anthropic-ai-iran-campaign/
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Charles Cavendish
Mira of Kyiv 🇺🇦
about 1 month ago
HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHAHHAAHHAHAAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAGAHAHAHAHAHA
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Charles Cavendish
Frank Kuhn
about 1 month ago
To be sure, allies may think about French nuclear deployments as something alike US deployments, but I the motivation from the French perspective could be more about survivability and flexibility than anything else. The better framework of reference might be conventional concepts of operations.
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about 1 month ago
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Charles Cavendish
Fared Al Mahlool | فريد المحلول
about 1 month ago
French President Macron: Germany, the UK, and France will work together on long-range missiles.
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Charles Cavendish
Nate Schenkkan
about 1 month ago
I see some folks reading into Trump's statement about all the second and third choices to lead Iran already being killed the notion that Israel got ahead of the US's plans, but I think it's more likely the US doesn't have a plan and Israel does
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Charles Cavendish
Ben Ansell
about 1 month ago
“Our attack was so successful we inadvertently created a power vacuum” is a new one to me tbh
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Charles Cavendish
Alexander Clarkson
about 1 month ago
It's pretty plausible as a scenario that after having inflicted chaos the Trump administration seizes the first opportunity to declare victory and walk, leaving EU/UK, Turkey and Gulf states holding the bag
add a skeleton here at some point
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Charles Cavendish
Alberto Alemanno
about 1 month ago
IRAN is America’s war, Europe’s consequences: ⛽ Energy shocks 🚢 Refugee waves 📈 Far-right surge on arrival ⚖️ Rules-based order Washington gets the geopolitical prize, if it works. Europe foots the bill, either way.
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Charles Cavendish
Spencer Ackerman
about 2 months ago
The Pentagon’s ultimatum to Anthropic might signal an Iran war, enabled by AI for generating targets at scale, that looks more like Gaza than it does last June’s Twelve Days.
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The Scent of Iranian Lavender
The U.S. and Israel are gearing up for war with Iran while the Pentagon demands an AI company drop its "safeguards." Hmm. But yes: abuse the Defense Production Act!
https://www.forever-wars.com/the-scent-of-iranian-lavender/
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Charles Cavendish
Zack Cooper
about 2 months ago
This is my (admittedly pessimistic) take on US policy in Asia. We are distracted, divided, and resource constrained. The question now is not whether the US will pivot to Asia, but how far we might pull back. I fear that simply trying to defend the first island chain is not a feasible strategy.
add a skeleton here at some point
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Charles Cavendish
Géopolitique
about 2 months ago
Sécurité / L'Europe discute de la création de son propre bouclier nucléaire inspiré de l'arsenal français.
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Nuke-talk is heating up among Europeans in Munich
‘Nuclear deterrence can give us new opportunities. Why not?’ Latvian PM tells POLITICO.
https://www.politico.eu/article/european-nuclear-deterrence-gathers-steam-munich-security-conference/
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Charles Cavendish
Jorge Liboreiro
2 months ago
Emmanuel Macron calls for the issuance of "future-oriented Eurobonds" to finance strategic projects and challenge the hegemony of the US dollar. "The global market, in fact, is increasingly afraid of the American dollar. It's looking for alternatives. Let's offer it European debt."
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Emmanuel Macron : « C’est le moment pour l’UE de lancer une capacité commune d’endettement, à travers des eurobonds »
A deux jours d’une rencontre des chefs d’Etat et de gouvernement de l’UE à Bruxelles, le président de la République appelle les Vingt-Sept, dans un entretien au « Monde » et à plusieurs journaux europ...
https://www.lemonde.fr/economie/article/2026/02/10/emmanuel-macron-c-est-le-moment-pour-l-union-europeenne-de-lancer-une-capacite-commune-d-endettement-via-des-eurobonds_6666101_3234.html
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Charles Cavendish
Noah Barkin
2 months ago
Europe is dealing with a Trump administration that is “openly anti-European”, “shows contempt” for the EU and “wishes its dismemberment”, French President Emmanuel Macron tells the FT
www.ft.com/content/b5b2...
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EU-US tensions over Greenland and tech are far from over, says Macron
French president calls on bloc to take the necessary steps to become a true global economic power
https://www.ft.com/content/b5b248a4-c83b-45d9-b676-2dd2ee12597c?shareType=nongift
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Charles Cavendish
Ifri - Institut français des relations internationales
2 months ago
🇺🇸🇨🇳 Dans cet article publié par Le Grand Continent,
@mathildevelliet.bsky.social
, décrypte la guerre des factions qui déchire Washington sur la politique chinoise. ⤵️
legrandcontinent.eu/fr/2026/02/0...
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Les trumpistes veulent-ils vraiment faire la guerre à la Chine ?
Malgré un discours « faucon », la politique chinoise de Donald Trump et de son administration est embourbée dans ses contradictions. Au-delà de la rhétorique, la Chine est l'objet d'une guerre intern...
https://legrandcontinent.eu/fr/2026/02/03/trumpistes-guerre-chine/
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Charles Cavendish
Gesine Weber
2 months ago
This is your regular reminder to disconnect on the weekend and do things that are good for you.
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Charles Cavendish
FT Alphaville
2 months ago
Much to consider.
www.ft.com/content/3382...
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Charles Cavendish
Alexander Clarkson
2 months ago
Of course China is a huge strategic challenge for the EU, India and everyone else. But turning as complex a society as China with its own mix of strengths and weaknesses into a projection space for American neuroses of decline is not going to help anyone handle China's impact on the wider world
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Charles Cavendish
Stephen Collins
2 months ago
This took me fucking ages
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Charles Cavendish
François Heisbourg
3 months ago
If even Fico thinks Trump is not entirely compos mentis...
add a skeleton here at some point
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Charles Cavendish
James Cameron
3 months ago
The National Defense Strategy implies, but doesn't explicitly state, that the US will continue to provide nuclear deterrence to Europe, even as it reduces its conventional forces. How credible is extended deterrence without major conventional skin in the game?
media.defense.gov/2026/Jan/23/...
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Charles Cavendish
Anton Shekhovtsov
3 months ago
Use the Greenland dispute to present the EU as weak, indecisive and dependent on Washington. Highlight European confusion and symbolic protests to show that Europe cannot defend itself or articulate a clear position without US consent. 4/7
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Charles Cavendish
Alexandra Petri
3 months ago
www.theatlantic.com/newsletters/...
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Charles Cavendish
Carl Quintanilla
3 months ago
“.. The United States is being ushered off the international stage. History will remember that as Trump’s most significant contribution.”
@timothynoah.bsky.social
@newrepublic.com
newrepublic.com/article/2055...
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Charles Cavendish
Chatham House
3 months ago
"The US has never had a rival like China: its equal or more in technology, trade and military power." Bronwen Maddox on the challenge posed to the US by China's rise to power. Watch in full➡️
bit.ly/4pHKSpH
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Charles Cavendish
Dan Snow
3 months ago
This image was carved on the orders of an ageing autocrat to show an imaginary version of himself smiting his foes during a wildly exaggerated victory decades earlier. It’s the kind of thing that unrestrained royal narcissists did thousands of years ago.
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Charles Cavendish
Max Bergmann
3 months ago
European foreign policy is a mess because national capitals claim its their "national sovereign" responsibility to do foreign policy. Meanwhile, Euro states tend to appoint weak FM (its rarely the 1st, 2nd, or 3rd job ministers want) and b/c of the weakness of their states. Its a commercial... 1/
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Charles Cavendish
Chatham House
3 months ago
"We can begin to talk about an era of US hemispheric imperialism, where it intends to dominate its hemisphere on terms that it sets." General Sir Richard Barrons on the worldview guiding Donald Trump's foreign policy. Watch in full➡️
bit.ly/4pKbff0
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Charles Cavendish
Mats Engström
3 months ago
Another excellent piece by
@sbeverts.bsky.social
, arguing inter alia for stresstesting EU financial dependencies.
www.nrc.nl/nieuws/2026/...
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Opinie | Europa heeft een onderschatte zwakke plek
Geopolitiek: Europese landen zijn financieel enorm verweven met de Verenigde Staten, ziet Steven Everts, maar kunnen in Washington niet meer rekenen op politieke terughoudendheid en rechtszekerheid. O...
https://www.nrc.nl/nieuws/2026/01/16/europa-heeft-een-onderschatte-zwakke-plek-a4917895
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Charles Cavendish
Seva
3 months ago
modern american politics consists of experts patiently explaining why something insane that people are talking about could never happen, followed by that exact thing happening
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Charles Cavendish
Euractiv
3 months ago
The Brief – Merde! The French were right all along
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The Brief – Merde! The French were right all along
In an era where might makes right, Macron's foresight doesn't win us any points. But we'd be fools to keep ignoring his rallying cry
http://dlvr.it/TQRW1B
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Charles Cavendish
Gesine Weber
3 months ago
45% in Europe (EU10) see China as "a necessary partner", 51% say the same about the US. Impressive numbers.
www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026...
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Trump is making China – not America – great again, global survey suggests
Exclusive: US is less feared by its traditional adversaries, while its allies feel ever more distant, results show
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026/jan/14/global-survey-suggests-trump-is-making-china-not-america-great-again
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Charles Cavendish
Etienne Höra
3 months ago
While figuring out a targeted response, the EU should not forget that the US has much more sophisticated tools, esp. in finance & digital infrastucture. Hardening against these and de-risking are urgent task.
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