Used these minutes projections to get projected minutes-weighted age for each team. This would make the Clippers the oldest team of all time by over a full year.

First pass at Predictive LEBRON for this upcoming season as well as team ratings based on predictive LEBRON. Uses @kpelton.bsky.social minute projections. Will probably update with a better model at some point so very much a first pass. docs.google.com/spreadsheets...

lot of whocare for me here, but one thing they could do to fix this GIVE US GROUP CHATS YOU MFERS

Check it out: www.sports-reference.com/blog/2025/08...

For those keeping track at home: - Pelicans trade their top-4 protected Pacers 2026 pick for #23 pick in 2025 before the end of the Finals when they could have simply waited - Pelicans trade that #23 pick and their unprotected 2026 pick for the 13th pick in the 2025 draft Masterclass in stupidity

Number of ball screens that SGA & Jalen Williams set for each other... Game 1: 1 Game 2: 2 Game 3: 0 Game 4: 9 (including 7 in the 4th quarter) The 9 is tied for the most screens they've set for each other in their 3 years together. via Second Spectrum

Has @thinkingbasketball.bsky.social ever been on @zachlowenba.bsky.social podcast? Or the reverse. If not, idk how that hasn't happened yet

🚨 New App Alert 🚨 Predicting playoff series outcomes using various publicly available advanced metrics like LEBRON, EPM, DARKO etc. Predictions are available for all remaining series. Developed with @knarsu3.bsky.social Check it out!! shiny.sradjoker.cc/NBA-Playoff-...

Of the 10 most improbable comebacks of the playoffs in the play by play era (since 1997), the 2025 Indiana Pacers have THREE of them. #4 (tonight), #5 (against the Cavs), and #7 (against the Bucks)

➡️ Teams getting into their first action quicker in the playoffs than regular season ⬅️ Teams getting into their first action slower in the playoffs than regular season ⬆️ Pressuring more on defense in the Playoffs ⬇️ Pressuring less on defense in the Playoffs

Indiana is really taking advantage of some low hanging fruit in the last 2 playoffs- pressure the opposing ball-handler to force them to take more time to get into their actions & get into your own actions sooner! (Borrowing @owenphillips.bsky.social F5 theme, data via second spectrum)

🚨NEW WORDS🚨 Steven Adams-Alperen Sengun lineups have outscored the Warriors by a total of 31 points in 54 minutes. In those minutes, the Warriors have scored only 0.85 points per possession. Musings on the Dubs' confusion vs. the double-big zone: www.goldenstateofmind.com/2025/4/30/24...

The Minnesota Timberwolves advance to the second round of the NBA playoffs.

The Luka trade was never about this year. Lakers are an incomplete and unbalanced roster, but if that’s the cost for getting a perennial MVP candidate in his prime, you take that hit. Their play after the trade probably got hopes too high because they were always going to have playoff weak spots.

New episode of The Feed To Embiid out this morning! The great @knarsu3.bsky.social of @bball-index.bsky.social on stats that stood out from the Sixers’ season, plus some playoff talk. Non-Apple users: on.soundcloud.com/YXM6s3ZYxL1n... Apple users: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/t...

Two games is a small sample size, especially against a single opponent, as in the playoffs. But here are some team notes: - OKC completely shutting down MEM on 3s and transition. Actually everything. - HOU still best rebounding team - MIL bad from 3 thus far. Their 3pt shot quality has been poor.

New Zach Lowe Show! Breaking down all 8 playoff series w/ @howardbeck.bsky.social and @stevejones20.bsky.social: Spotify: open.spotify.com/episode/4IX6... YouTube: www.youtube.com/watch?v=MVnm...

Fanduel has this at implied probability of 59.65% (vig removed) and Draftkings at 54.90% implied probability so the predict_series_ridge model is pretty spot on here lol.

🚨 New App Alert 🚨 Predicting playoff series outcomes using various publicly available advanced metrics like LEBRON, EPM, DARKO etc. Predictions available for all combinations of 16 playoff teams. Developed with @knarsu3.bsky.social Check it out!! 🔗 shiny.sradjoker.cc/NBA-Playoff-...

Playoff probabilities for Indiana vs Milwaukee which can be found in this app from @sradjoker.cc shiny.sradjoker.cc/NBA-Playoff-... The minutes projections assume 0 minutes for Dame. A description for all the models is included in the app.

Some interesting data on lineups with 0, 1, or 2 centers on the court this season. Graohic from the F5, see more on double bigs here: open.substack.com/pub/thef5/p/...

Some nutty games on the last day of the regular season: stats.inpredictable.com/nba/preCap.php

On the last You Know Ball pod, @trillbrodude.bsky.social was talking about the calculator rats loving Jokic more than SGA. So @sradjoker.cc put together a good meme to explain the MVP race (LEBRON and EPM have SGA ahead).

Welcome to ... The Ringer, @zachlowenba.bsky.social! HE'S BACK, PEOPLE! #NBASky open.spotify.com/episode/1JAI...

🚀 Tool Upgrade Alert! Ever wonder how much value a $30M player returns? Now with age & position inputs, this tool compares a player’s salary and contract length to past deals by cap %, showcasing the estimated return on value for similarly paid players. nbavisuals.com/howmuch #NBASKY

Why is Jimmy Butler a high impact player despite not putting up gaudy stats? Has a high impact on turnovers- limiting turnovers on offense, creating on defense. Highest FT rate impact in the league. High offensive rebound impact.

Top 10 in LEBRON vs. Top 10 in EBRON. EBRON is LEBRON without the luck adjustment. You can find that here: www.bball-index.com/leaderboards...

Is this Dallas Mavericks season the worst season of all time from a front office POV? Obviously the Luka trade was a catastrophe, but now watching Grimes - who they literally just dumped - play at a level that could have helped to keep them afloat with all of their injuries... what a disaster

This #NBAviz illustrates how injuries have effected teams Metric: multiLEBRON WAR missed due to players missing games (injury, suspension, rest, personal) multiLEBRON is a new predictive metric created by @knarsu3.bsky.social

Which NBA team has spent the most time in play-in position (7 thru 10 seeds) over the past five seasons? Turns out Trae Young's Atlanta Hawks are the quintessential play-in team h/t @stephnoh.bsky.social & @knarsu3.bsky.social for the idea

Al Horford faced 23 isos last night, second-most in tracking history. He allowed just 0.39 points per direct play, per Second Spectrum, on those. His +5.2 defensive net points were best of the day.

This table illustrates how injuries have effected teams Teams on the top are the most affected by injuries and bottom are the least affected by injuries Metric: LEBRON WAR missed due to players missing games (injury, suspension, rest, personal) h/t @knarsu3.bsky.social @bball-index.bsky.social

This graph illustrates how injuries have effected teams Teams on the top are the most affected by injuries and bottom are the least affected by injuries Metric: LEBRON WAR missed due to players being inactive h/t: @knarsu3.bsky.social @bball-index.bsky.social

Here's the list of Fs: bsky.app/profile/kpel...

You know who is getting off Scott free in this whole Luca trade thing? The Adelsons. They signed off on this deal if not demanded that Harrison bring back the best player possible.

Brought back Aggression+ and Variance+ (created with @knarsu3.bsky.social) to show which teams are sending extra defenders at actions most often (the Nets), and which are changing strategies night to night (the Heat, duh). www.lastnightinbasketball.com/p/nba-defens...

Did this last season and repeating it for this season Here is how individual team salaries look as a percentage of the cap. This #NBAviz also shows how salaries are split up within a team

NBA Twitter is currently like that South Park episode where everyone got high asf on "Member Berries" & started misremembering the past. The mid 2000s really wasn't the Golden Age of basketball like some of yall think 😭😭😭

Who is driving more with better spacing? ➡️ Teammates provide more spacing i.e. they are better C&S 3pt shooters ⬅️ Teammates provide less spacing i.e. they are worse C&S 3pt shooters

Mavericks attempted 42 total shots in first half Thunder attempted 37 shots OUTSIDE THE PAINT OKC isn't even shooting that well. They're just shooting a whole lot more than the Mavericks are.

Introducing ensure, a new #rstats package for LLM-assisted unit testing in RStudio! Select some code, press a shortcut, and then the helper will stream testing code into the corresponding test file that incorporates context from your project. github.com/simonpcouch/...

maybe it’s just me but I think I’d be more comfortable sometimes riding in a subway car with a homeless man than I am knowing you can apparently be choked to death by a stranger and have the law say they were justified because you were making them anxious or something.

Denver's 48 points in the paint were the most by an NBA team in a half this season, per NBA Advanced Stats. In a related story, the Nuggets trail the Cavaliers by four at the break.

Tyrese Maxey last year: Catch & Shoot 3s - 44.4% (3.1 attempts) Pull-up 3s - 32.8% (4.9 attempts) Maxey this year: C&S 3s - 32.4% (2.6 attempts) Pull-up 3s - 29% (6.6 attempts) Nurse needs to more catch and shoot opportunities for Maxey.

Pass block grade (standard deviations) versus efficiency of team's quarterback

Time-Decayed RAPM (i.e. more recent games weighed more heavily) Influence of Players on Teammates Shot Quality: docs.google.com/spreadsheets...

updated Hawks resume wins: Cavs x2 Celtics Knicks losses: Wizards x2 Bulls x2 Pistons makes sense

The Hawks are 2-0 vs the Cavs who are 17-1 against the rest of the NBA. The Hawks are 1-2 vs the Wizards who are 0-14 against the rest of the NBA.