Day #280 #proudblue You cant convince me we aren't being governed by the GO☭. Clueless until @tleighb.bsky.social pointed this out. We sell NO soybeans to China & we buy soybeans from Russia? Blatant corruption! Russia increased soybean shipments to the U.S. in July share.google/9gLKbMqS2xXu...

The outline of the U.S.-Japan trade agreement is pretty thin. No real hard numbers. To borrow from Trump, it's "Concepts of a Plan." www.whitehouse.gov/briefings-st...

In Old Irving Park, the “new normal” for residents on Saturday included federal agents deploying tear gas as parents and costumed children were leaving their homes on their way to a neighborhood Halloween parade. www.rawstory.com/ice-chicago-...

After her father was detained, Monica said officials from the DHS told her he was deported to Cuba. She later learned from her local news station that he was actually sent to a maximum-security prison in the southern African kingdom of Eswatini... www.thedailybeast.com/cuban-man-ro...

Big if true.

Ok two things. First, the oath I took was to the Constitution, not to some washed up wannabe billionaire pedo pick me that looks like he stumbled into Snookie’s spray tan booth circa 2005, so no I won’t be doing that. Second, fuck you, pay me. 🤬🤬🤬

Measles was declared eliminated in the United States in 2000. RFK Jr. must resign.

Teaching Employment Division v. Smith tomorrow. one thing that sometimes gets lost: SCOTUS used the prosecution of Native religious use of peyote to declare that no one is entitled to religious exemptions from neutral, general laws. and Congress then specifically protected this use, everywhere.

How's the Constitution holding up? Not great. But it genuinely could be worse. Today in early access, join me and @evanbernick.bsky.social for a conversation about Trump, the Supreme Court, and how to think about constitutional law and the institutions that're (supposed to be) wisely enacting it.

Imagine being offended about specifically this and pretending that nobody really cares about indigenous dispossession because you personally do not

It’s a small thing, but it’s amazing to me that Josh Barro acknowledgments continue to be a thing

There is absolutely no way that any average voter has ever watched a DNC meeting. And if they did, they're already so tuned in that they can't possibly be shocked by a land acknowledgment. (also I think this gets back to a lot of people not understanding what "the DNC" actually is or does)

I feel like ”everybody, including me, sometimes spins in callous indifference to the facts” is kind of a remarkable thing to say

Nate is deeply insecure about being disliked by biologists, statisticians, and econometrics for being unable to program, unable to understand advanced modeling issues (eg, the Lucas Critique), and for his promotion of the incredibly stupid lab leak theory.

could argue that maybe the discipline *should* be more focused on accurately predicting election outcomes, I guess, rather than more interested in causally modeling things like eg: the specific impact of poverty on turnout, but impression of street smart wunderkinds disrupting things is bullshit

I am obviously not a neutral observer here, but I really don't think it's just disciplinary chauvinism that makes me think this is bullshit. there's not hundreds of political scientists trying to predict this shit to the nth degree, there's just a handful doing it as a side project.

anyway my broader actual take on the issue is that Jain, Grumbach, and Bonica are all basically good faith actors disagreeing on an extremely complex epistemological problem from slighlty differing perspectives (isolating causality vs. prediction) and the Nate Silver is an asshole.

fucking absurd gripe from Nate Silver. this is something *directly related* to their area of expertise, written for a broader audience! what is the entire point of having credentials if it's ivory tower elitism or some such shit to bring them up in an obviously relevant context!

financially entangling myself with isaac chotiner until it becomes unethical for him to interview me

Wow, it's the XKCD cartoon in the wild.

NEW: The Trump administration is racing to deport Kilmar Abrego Garcia as soon as Friday, conceding it does not intend to follow through on his criminal case despite earlier assurances. w/ @joshgerstein.bsky.social www.politico.com/news/2025/10...

Part of Trump's effort to "beautify" D.C. www.npr.org/2025/10/27/n...

"Congress sought to expand the programs’ reach, not contract it."

"A curricula that denies the existence of transgender and gender diverse people is not medically accurate and complete."

Fed. judge grants PI to stop Trump from blocking fedreal sex ed grants passed by Congress. OF NOTE: Congress required that sex ed programs be "medically accurate and complete," which means Trump can't delete gender identity from curricula by citing "tradition." s3.documentcloud.org/documents/26...

Important column in @economist.com by @palfrey.org, head of MacArthur Foundation, on how foundations, NGOs, nonprofits, etc are standing up against MAGA attacks. www.economist.com/by-invitatio... Paywalled, but here's a sample:

If you've followed the Covid-origin debates, you'll find this interesting. www.brookings.edu/events/the-r... I find myself siding strongly w MSM representatives: Michael Gordon and Josh Rogin. Rather than Daily Caller rep, and author of this VF piece: www.vanityfair.com/news/2022/10...

John Dickerson is a wonderful person, a gifted writer, and an excellent journalist and analyst. CBS's loss. I fear the first of many.

"Costumes optional" means that costumes are permitted. Counsel has a chance to do something legendary is what I am saying.

[I don't know which plaintiffs lawyer this is] The atty is also not satisfied with respect to guarantees against refoulement (back to El Salvador) and also why govt didn't consider Costa Rica first. Xinis: seems there's additional facts i'll need. fluid situation. ... /9

... DOJ atty Ensign: i can convey the court's instructions to them. ... shouldn't be a problem to put the interview off till tomorrow. DOJ atty Guynn: says its now confirmed that credible fear interview will not occur during this hearing. Xinis: is that satisfactory? Petitioner's counsel: yes /7

Judge Xinis is now on the virtual bench. Attys giving appearances. Xinis: i just got word Abrego is having 'credible fear' inteview right now, right? Ensign or Guynn: we can push it off Xinis is angry. ... 'That's not fair play. not gonna happen in my court.' /6

Abrego's attys argue also that govt must 1st try to remove him to Costa Rica, where he has said he would agree to go and where govt once offered to send him—but only if he would plead guilty. Abrego's attys rely on 8 USC 1231(b)(2) below. /4

Abrego's attys protest that the new designation comes 2 weeks after a 10/10 hearing on whether to release Abrego due to govt's sluggish/chimerical efforts to remove him to Uganda, Eswatini & Ghana. Abrego's motion is here: /2 storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.us...

At 2pm Judge Xinis is holding a 'virtual' hearing on govt's new stated plan of sending Abrego Garcia to Liberia by 10/31. Abrego says it's too late to switch again & govt must 1st try Costa Rica (already offered, but only if he'd plead guilty). I'll try to live blog here for @lawfaremedia.org . /1

A Baltimore student was handcuffed and searched by cops at his high school because an AI security system mistook his bag of Doritos for a gun. www.cnn.com/2025/10/25/u...

NEW: DOJ went to SCOTUS today in support of Trump's effort to fire the head of the Copyright Office, Shira Perlmutter. A response is ordered by 4p Nov. 10. (This follows the DC Circuit's Sept. 10 panel 2-1 injunction keeping Perlmutter in the role, & Oct. 1 denial of DOJ's en banc review request.)

DOJ has been moving very slowly on this. This will be Docket No. 25A478 at SCOTUS. Background threads and embeds here —>

This is complete bullshit, which was built upon by the panel majority, as Graber meticulously laid out in her dissent on October 20. For DOJ, now, to be like, "Oops, all our math was intentionally vague and/or deceptively wrong and all happened to favor us," is not credible.

It's honestly possible DOJ is hoping to get the panel order withdrawn at this point. En banc review was never going to go well for DOJ if it happened, but, given all of this, it could be approaching DOJ's worst-case scenario there.

WOW: An UNREAL response from DOJ now to the below embedded letter about the number of Federal Protective Service officers sent to Portland. DOJ today: The error that the plaintiffs noted wasn't dispositive to the Ninth Circuit's stay, but here are two OTHER major errors we noticed in our claims.

America, less than 10 months into the second Trump administration. Columbus, Ohio: www.dispatch.com/story/news/l...

The USDA has funding set aside to keep food assistance programs running during emergencies. Trump just won’t release it. 440,000 Minnesotans - and millions more Americans - will pay the price.

I don't understand why nobody ask : Would you like to run against Obama?

So while even Josh Hawley is willing to bring a bill to the floor to make sure the most vulnerable don’t starve, Thune wants to use hunger as leverage to force a Dem surrender.

So that Mellon guy who gives away cash from his inheritance doesn’t have any left for SNAP?

Let the Trump admin argue in court the legal technicalities on why people should starve. Great optics for them.

When hungry people who lost their SNAP benefits show up at Republicans’ district offices angry since they are running the country, their staff can attempt to explain to them that it’s not their fault because of the intricacies of the senate filibuster rule. While they hide.