New in @bjpols.bsky.social! Dave Hope, @lhaffert.bsky.social and I show that low taxes on the rich have a hidden cost: They undermine public support for broad-based taxation. 🖋️ cup.org/45lgPwN

#OpenAccess from @psrm.bsky.social - Monitoring coalition partners in the EU: strategic committee appointments in the European Parliament - https://cup.org/3NjynDg - @pitrieger.bsky.social#OpenAccess #FirstView

A transatlantic showdown over tech policy (as opposed to, say, net zero) could actually have a unifying & galvanising political effect within the EU. The union’s digital regulations are broadly popular and many voters actually want more, not fewer, controls on Big Tech. yougov.co.uk/technology/a...

The uncertainty created by these periodic nationalist backlashes (also in Denmark, for example) unfortunately puts brakes on the much-needed internationalization of European science and academia.

Volodymyr Zelenskyy ramps up the pressure on Europeans to agree on new funding. "I know that Russia is threatening different countries over this decision. But we shouldn't be scared of these threats – we should be scared that Europe will be weak," he writes on Telegram after #EUCO.

In line with the 'credibility revolution', we are thinking about research designs that allow us to get closer to causal effects. Those who use surveys have often turned to survey experiments. At the same time, survey response rates have dropped considerably. Below are the figures for the ESS.

I welcome the decision of the Council on our proposal to continue the immobilisation of Russian Sovereign Assets. We are sending a strong signal to Russia that as long as this brutal war of aggression continues, Russia’s costs will continue to rise.

Die Welt scheint ständig vor dem Kollaps zu stehen. Doch das EU-Verbot hormonaktiver Chemikalien in Spielzeug zeigt wieder: Fortschritt passiert. Belege gibt’s genug.

Thanks to @johnholbein1.bsky.social I learned about this paper on rent control in Berlin. Because I was marking, I immediately downloaded the replication materials. bsky.app/profile/john...

It is almost 10 years since Hanspeter Kriesi published his seminal article on the politicization of European Integration @jcms-eu.bsky.social. A short thread on how things stand as of 2024, with @chesdata.bsky.social, looking at salience, clarity, and unity of party positions towards the EU 🧵:

The European Union has triggered Article 122 to indefinitely immobilise the assets of the Russian Central Bank, worth a whopping €210 billion. I explain what just happened and why this is such a big deal for Europeans. 🧵 Long thread.

The EU 🇪🇺 now adopts fewer legal acts per year, but the regulatory load inside them keeps growing 📈 A new @jeppjournal.bsky.social article by Brandsma et al. measures regulation by counting actual regulatory statements (“Companies shall…”). I plotted their data: fewer acts, more obligations.

🌳 Thrilled to launch The PopulisTree — a new website covering decades of populism in Europe (both national and European elections) using a new taxonomy and dataset. 🔗 populistree.org 📄 More in my brand new article in European Union Politics: 🔗 journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

NEW - Company Towns: Single-Industry Dominance and Local Government Capacity - https://cup.org/48yJZcG - @elizabethelder.bsky.social #OpenAccess

When it comes to genetically modified plants, the left in the European Parliament also votes with the far right…

To me, a healthy qualifier to the whole ‚credibility revolution‘ discussion is the paper by Spirling & Steward. We are all trying to do inference to the best explanation (IBE), and different designs come with different pros & cons. www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/...

"[Political science] studies without an explicit identification strategy...constitute nearly 40% of empirical quantitative work."

🌍The latest cleavage: the universalist divide @mrsteenbergen.bsky.social , @dpzollinger.bsky.social , @siljahausermann.bsky.social, @simonbornschier.bsky.social, and @lhaffert.bsky.social provide evidence from the 2024 European Election Study 👇 🔗 www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

You lose your wallet. Where are you most likely to get it back? It depends on how much $$$ is in the wallet. But it's better to lose your wallet in: Switzerland 🇨🇭 Norway 🇳🇴 Netherlands 🇳🇱 Denmark 🇩🇰 You're far less likely to get your wallet back in: China 🇨🇳 Morrocco 🇲🇦 Peru 🇵🇪 Kazakhstan 🇰🇿

⏰ I’m happy to share that a major paper from my dissertation was published today (🔗 doi.org/10.1017/pan....) in Political Analysis. In the paper, Clemens Lechner and I conduct an extensive validation study on how to measure politicians’ public personality traits using computational text analysis!

How do people form beliefs about complex topics? Happy to report our Bayesian model of the psychology of Bayesian updating is out in @ispp-pops.bsky.social! (w/ Gabriel Li & Krosnick) If you gloss over the Greek, it's a new model for how to assess the impacts of information on summary judgments.

How is ethnic diversity linked to the cohesion of social networks? @glorenz.bsky.social & #C_Rjosk analyse >1,300 adolescent friendship networks to examine how connectivity varies with ethnic diversity, and its consolidation with gender and SES. 👉 doi.org/10.1093/esr/jcaf051

My two cents on the APSR replication debate is that the lesson to learn is that the PAP is to our work what the VAR is to football: we don't quite like it, but we recognize its value when we miss it.

💡 How does moving to opportunity reshape political behavior? 🗞️ In our new BJPolS paper, @thmskrr.bsky.social and I show that residential relocations that increase access to opportunity foster political integration and shift political preferences to the left. 👉 tinyurl.com/46utjj65

With the Progressive Politics Research Network, we have published 8 new research briefs on the politics of housing. What does a progressive agenda on housing look like? Which elements are important? What the hurdles are and how can they be overcome? politicscentre.nuffield.ox.ac.uk/progressive-...

journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/... Here is the direct link to this new article on bureaucratic discrimination. We show, based on a large sample of caseworkers, that media reports on social welfare fraud influence decisions on unemployment benefits.

Thrilled to share my new article in Political Psychology: “The psychology of political attitudinal volatility.” In it, I attempt to answer why do some people change their political views more than others? Open access at: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.... @ispp-pops.bsky.social

Although there are certainly some Mercosur specificities to this story, another example of how unpredictable - and to some extend less controllable - the European Parliament is in this legislative period:

New Publication with @lhaffert.bsky.social in @ejprjournal.bsky.social! We study the role of generations in the urban-rural divide, which is increasingly shaping the politics of many democracies. Studying Switzerland, we show: The urban-rural divide is stronger among younger generations. (1/10) 🧵👇

🚨New VAA Dataset🚨 @wurthmann.bsky.social, @pluggedchris.bsky.social & I have published a new piece in European Union Politics that introduces our GEPARTEE Expert Survey and Europartycheck VAA data for the 2024 German EP elections: www.researchgate.net/publication/... Some insights 🧵1/n

BREAKING: This is huge news, the EU's equivalent of the 🇺🇸Supreme Court's 2015 Obergefell v. Hodges ruling. 🇪🇺Court of Justice just ruled all 🇪🇺countries must recognise same-sex marriages granted in other member states. This effectively legalises gay marriage across 🇪🇺

New article out in @cpsjournal.bsky.social with Tabea Palmtag and @dpzollinger.bsky.social 📝 We use open-ended survey questions (in Germany) to assess how and among whom social status shifts are perceived. This tests cultural backlash narratives in voters' perceptions. 🔗 doi.org/10.1177/0010...

Housing is a huge problem in Germany. My old chum Alexander Reisenbichler, who studies such things for a living, has some ideas what could be done

Hungary’s Orban seemed undefeatable a year ago. Then Peter Magyar broke through with a powerful anti-corruption platform, rapidly consolidated the fractured opposition, and now leads Fidesz comfortably. Anti-corruption defeats authoritarianism worldwide. It will work here, too.​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​

Academic publishing is a lucrative business for a very small number of private academic publishers. For 🇦🇹, this paper estimates: public spending benefits publishing companies with a large amount - 25% of the annual basic funding universities receive from the Ministry of education

🆕 Side income impacts trust in politicians? 💰 @ohuwyler.bsky.social @stefaniebailer.bsky.social & @nathaliegiger.bsky.social study voters across 7 🇪🇺 countries to see how transparency about parliamentarians’ extra income shapes #VoterPerceptions, #Trust, and electability

Residential moves temporarily reduce people's participation in local politics and local civic initiatives. It disrupts local attachments, relevant local knowledge, and local social networks. Yet, it leaves national engagement unchanged journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10....

🚨Elites often warn: taxing the rich hurts everyone. 🤔But do citizens buy that story? With @bcastanho.bsky.social & Hanna Lierse, we find: They don’t! Most people believe progressive taxes can deliver both — more equality and more growth. @jpublicpolicy.bsky.social #openaccess cup.org/3JVuvHm

#OpenAccess from @ejprjournal.bsky.social#OpenAccess- Political corruption and voting in Romanian municipal elections: Why perceptions of collective action matter - https://cup.org/4oUhWuS - Nicholas Charron & Andreas Bågenholm #FirstView

🚨 Job Alert! Postdoc in POLITICAL TEXT ANALYSIS in the MULTIREP project You do quant text analysis? You are interested in political representation? Enjoy working in teams? Would like to live in a great city? Consider joining us in Vienna! ⏱️ Apply by 15/12/2025 wratil.eu/files/MULTIR... 1/4 🧵

Do architecture and urban planning affect political behavior? Happy to share a paper that @tesaliarizzo.bsky.social and I have coming out at the APSR which uses computer vision to investigate how the built environment shapes inequalities in civic participation in Mexico: osf.io/preprints/so.... 🧵1/5

📄 New WP version out - full overhaul! The Politics of Evidence Selection (w/ @jesperasring.bsky.social ) Comments welcome! 🔗 osf.io/preprints/so...

Excited to have this paper on social networks as a mechanism for cleavage stabilization with @dpzollinger.bsky.social out! If we have you intrigued, also pairs with (and empirically engages) our theoretical piece on puzzles of contemporary cleavage research: www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

New publication just out at @cpsjournal.bsky.social: using household panel data from Germany, I show that residential moves are associated with declines in local-level engagement but have no effect on national-level engagement. journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

📘 The intro to the special issue "Victims of their own success? How successful liberal orders can become self-undermining" highlights how liberalism destabilises itself through excess, exploitation and exhaustion 👇 🔗 www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

Engagement-based #algorithms amplify intergroup hostility + moral-emotional content, leading it to be overrepresented in your feed This leads us to falsely perceive that people want to see this kind of content and share more of it. This technology fuels false polarization: osf.io/preprints/os...

Are you already religiously following polls in Bulgaria, Cyprus, France, Germany, Malta, Monaco, Poland or Türkiye? Come join our team and support them with data entry! Sign up here: docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...

Good vibes image of the day. I'd also be happy to get such a pyramid :)

Krisen, Frust oder Angst vor dem sozialen Abstieg, das sind einige Ansätze, um das zu erklären: Warum so schnell viel mehr Menschen radikal rechte Parteien unterstützen, nicht nur in D. Seltener wird geschaut, inwiefern die Einstellungen schon da waren. share.deutschlandradio.de/dlf-audiothe... 1/

It’s not easy to break free from deep dependencies. But it can be done. ICC to drop MS for German alternative ⬇️ www.euractiv.com/news/interna...