Omg my favorite economist is on bluesky! Follow this man!

DerStandard berichtet vorab über unsere Studie: Budgetkonsolidierung dämpft Wachstum und erhöht Ungleichheit. Bremseffekte sind in Rezessionen stärker. Österreich konsolidiert in Erholung; Effekte sind bislang mild. Weitere Maßnahmen sollten negative Verteilungs- und Beschäftigungseffekte minimieren

Be very afraid El Nino and aerosol reduction may be partly to blame, but it looks as if dissipating cloud cover might be a serious driver If it is, and cloud cover continues to break up, then we are in even deeper, deep, deep sh*t

In what is arguably the World's Best News, it looks like India is going to spend much less time in the "fossil fuel detour" than the US or China. It is moving much more directly to clean electrification. ember-energy.org/latest-insig...

tag yourself

Mexico's president Claudia Sheinbaum is an energy systems expert. She is positioning Mexico to participate in the global green economy —from EVs & batteries to Renewables,Critical minerals,HVAC manufacturing. Her Plan Mexico is at a critical juncture. Our report: netzeropolicylab.com/mexico-green...

Katie Miller citing @carbonbrief.org was definitely not on my 2026 bingo card... 🫠

Ich staune ziemlich, wie viele intelligente Menschen hier gerade ernsthaft behaupten (oder implizieren), die Wirtschaftsministerin hätte absichtlich für Gasknappheit gesorgt, damit die Preise steigen und die Produzenten mehr verdienen. (1/6)

The Remaining Carbon Budget (RCB) varies with different temperature levels & probabilities, based on Forster et al 2025 (calculation via @robinlamboll.bsky.social). Though, the variation in the RCB due to non-CO2 emissions spans 1.5°C-1.7°C & many likelihoods. essd.copernicus.org/articles/17/...

Based on these NASA CERES and geodetic (=gravity) satellites based observations and comparison to CMIP6 models, I think @simonoxfphys.com falsely portrayed 3°C as an 'intentionally scaring, illegitimate 'doomer' scenario'. It's a substantial risk, which we have the (moral) obligation to communicate

Recent assessments have found the last glacial maximum implies a climate sensitivity of 2.4C (1.4C to 5.0C): www.science.org/doi/... And the Pliocene implies a sensitivity of 3.1C (2.3C to 4.7C): www.pnas.org/doi/10.... Paleoclimate evidence generally provides the strongest constraint on high ECS.

Great framing here, no notes

Federal law enforcement agents shot and killed a man in Minneapolis on Jan. 24 according to local police officials. DHS told Fox News that the man was “armed with a gun”. A video of the shooting appears to show that a gun was taken from the man before the first shot was fired. x.com/BillMelugin_...

A positive step for industrial decarbonisation: Rondo Energy and Covestro are building a 100 MWh heat battery in Germany, showing how surplus renewable electricity can be turned into clean industrial heat. interestingengineering.com/energy/rondo...

Contrails are forming a blanket around the globe – trapping in heat and adding additional warming to the planet. The good news? Targeting a small number of flights to avoid contrail in certain regions could be an easy climate win 🏆 Read our new report for more ➡️ bit.ly/4pQbKnM

what do you MEAN Al Gore heckled Lutnick at Davos

This timeline increasingly feels like a tv show. Not sure yet if it's a comedy

i feel like the viral bus thread resonates because at every step of the way you're like "ok surely this will be resolved shortly, any second now," which seems like what all the passengers are also thinking. then the fact that the situation doesn't resolve and the bus just keeps going is an Allegory

NEW RESEARCH: Large-scale heat pumps could supply up to 60% of Germany’s district heating by 2045. New EWI Cologne analysis shows capacity rising sixfold by 2030, a shift to water and wastewater, and real-world costs still above many estimates. www.ewi.uni-koeln.de/de/publikati...

Just a few things I'd like to say about this @hausfath.bsky.social piece. The first is that every 10th of a degree of heating over 2C raises risks for multiple irreversible catastrophes MORE than every 10th of a degree of heating under 2C. That's why the 2C target exists. It's not random. 🧵

Hausfather notes that some mitigation models have fossil gas rising for another 15 yrs before declining precipitously. The third thing I want to say, since he doesn't mention this, is that these models also model cheap carbon dioxide removal at global, many-gigaton scales later this century. 5/n

CO₂-Reduktion in der Industrie ist kein Technologieproblem, sondern eine Frage konsequenter, integrierter Transformation und verlässlicher Rahmenbedingungen. Das habe ich der @faznet.bsky.social gesagt. www.faz.net/aktuell/wirt...

Lower electricity prices are KEY to boosting heat pump deployment in the EU. A few ways to cut electricity prices to be more competitive with gas: ➡️ Shifting policy costs from electricity to general taxes or gas 📉 Reducing network costs ❌ Cutting VAT https://loom.ly/r0HRI1U

Die Wirtschaftswoche hat eine Umfrage zum Verhältnis von Wirtschaft und AfD in Auftrag gegeben. Befragt wurden 1000 Entscheidungsträger aus der Wirtschaft. Die Ergebnisse sind sehr spannend - auch für die Kräfteeverhältnisse in der Wirtschaft und ihre Entwicklung. Ein 🧵. [Keine Paywall]

New analysis: The last German gas-heated homes face €4,000+ in annual extra costs by 2045 from rising grid fees. Smart regulation can avoid this - our research on this thorny issue: www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti... www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

New Policy Brief! A joint publication of @bst-europe.bsky.social , @centreeuropeanref.bsky.social , and @delorsberlin.bsky.social. We analyze how recent shifts in US trade and industrial policy are changing the prospects for Europe’s clean tech industry, which is getting squeezed from two sides:

We launched our @bruegel.org EU Renewables Value Tracker based on great work by @mariejuge.bsky.social & @aroth.bsky.social: www.bruegel.org/dataset/eu-renewables-value-track Five insights 🧵: 1) The value of additional solar plants in south-east Europe and particularly Italy is still very high.

On the downside, these low volumes of taxonomy eligible lending reflect the many practical difficulties by banks in complying with all EU Taxonomy criteria. On the upside, this implies the ECB could easily introduce green refinancing operation already, without risking compromising price stability.

💡🏦🪴 The ECB can fight inflation and accelerate the energy transition My new report with @wwf.eu shows how targeted ECB green refinancing operations could be designed to lower interest rates for banks lending towards renewables, grids, storage and energy efficiency renovations #ECB #GreenTLTROs

“Maybe we’re onto something.” “How can we tell? We’ve only done this 187,623 times with the same success every single time. Could be a fluke.”

🚀 To accompany our recent study on the transformation of the Eurozone architecture, we are also launching an interactive online tool. Check out monetary-architecture.com

Textbook war crime/extrajudicial killing "Two survivors were clinging to the smoldering wreck. The Special Operations commander overseeing the Sept. 2 attack ... ordered a second strike to comply with Hegseth’s instructions." Report by @alexhorton.bsky.social @ellenwapo.bsky.social o.bsky.social

Ich habe das neue Buch des einflussreichen Meinungsmachers Gabor Steingart gelesen, damit ihr es nicht müsst. Es ist symptomatisch für einen großen Teil des politischen Berlins, das die Folgen der eigenen Politik nicht versteht und nur ein zunehmend gefährliches »Weiter-So« anzubieten hat.

In case you missed this it, we published our in-depth summary of COP30 yesterday

🟢 Climate change hits the poorest the hardest shows *Chapter 2.1 of the 2025 #ClimateInequality Report* ⚠️The bottom 50% wil bear ¾ of all income losses from climate change by 2050. Read more in the report 🔗 wid.world/news-article...

Psychisch Kranke müssen sich rechtfertigen, keine Vermögensschonung, Mieter müssen Vermieter rügen, Vermittlungsvorrang, Sanktionen ohne Schlichtung, Eltern sollen wieder arbeiten, sobald das Kind 12 Monate alt ist. Willkommen im neuen Arbeitshaus Deutschland, made by SPD.

The @IEA is repeating its abject failure to account for the solar boom, now with EVs, to create an alternative reality for Trump where oil-burning vehicles will dominate transportation and oil demand will keep growing.

Incredibly on point - market liberalism for the sake of it is rampant in political discourse, regardless of outcome. I want a small state, therefore I pick the economic theory to align with that perspective. Austerity is a vibe

The problem from their point of view is that rapid decarbonization requires public, collective decisions about the organization of production, in a way that threaten capital-owners' authority over both the production process and the political system.

"In 2020, despite past pledges, the international support for the Paris Agreement starts to wane." So beginnt die Storyline 3 im SpecialReport 1.5, die 'eine der schlimmst-möglichen Szenarien' in Worte fasst iacweb.ethz.ch/staff//sonia... Dann wird erzählt, welche Klimadesaster daraufhin passieren🍿

Oil is the most Lovecraftian thing that actually exists. You're telling me that there's a black ichor under the earth made from the ancient dead, whose burning can realize all the dreams of man, but only at the price of slowly returning the earth to its primordial state?

By this logic, China should have problems in renewable uptake...oh wait...

In the past 20 yrs, China extended >$800 billion in loans to emerging market and developing country economies to finance infrastructure, energy etc. China’s loan portfolio surpassed those of the World Bank, the IMF, and all 22 Paris Club creditor governments combined.

The State of the Cryosphere Report says that a pathway to 2C warming by 2100 unleashes up to 1200 Gt CO2 over a few centuries from permafrost thaw. So..Either, this gets artificially removed and stored in safe storage space or it translates to another 0.7C. This leaves 0 space for "overshoot"-CO2.

#Wohnen: eins der vielen Themen, an denen sich zeigt, dass der Dualismus Ökonomie/Soziales in die Irre führt. #economyiscare makronom.de/warum-deutsc...

That plot on real exports is brutal. Like a live view of the ECB going through the five stages of grief over the death of export-led growth. Seems we're one projection away from acceptance.

Nirgends ist die ökonomische Berichterstattung so schlecht wie bei Argentinien. Nun wurde der Wahlsieg Mileis zu einem Erfolg seiner Politik umgedeutet. Heiner Flassbeck & ich haben uns (mal wieder) die Zahlen angeschaut und finden: nichts davon stimmt 👇 www.relevante-oekonomik.com/2025/10/30/a...

Hilft die Kürzung von Unterstützungsleistungen, um Arbeitslosigkeit zu reduzieren? Kurzfristig wirkungslos, langfristig schädlich. Passend zur aktuellen Debatte wurde mein (theoretischer) Beitrag im Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination veröffentlicht. 1/ link.springer.com/article/10.1...

Und so setzte sich das Einkommen der oberen 9 und des oberen 1 Prozent in Deutschland zusammen. Danke für die detaillierte Aufschlüsselung!