It's 2025 and people are calling for a National Climate Service It's 2020 and people are calling for a National Climate Service It's 2011 and people are calling for a National Climate Service It's 1978 and people are calling for a National Climate Service papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....

time to unearth this excellent paper by legal scholar @madisoncondon.bsky.social (see below), which "argues that actionable and transparent information about our climate-changed future is a public good that the private sector cannot be depended upon to provide equitably or reliably."

The poison i help feed people's minds

Glad to see a more balanced take on the Zillow climate risk story than most commentary, which simply wants a return to black-box models for individual use. As @madisoncondon.bsky.social wrote, "There needs to be a broader institutional solution to this problem." www.linkedin.com/posts/madiso...

this is a great piece and I have always hated the "externality" and "market failure" framings from economics

External to what?

as a law professor, my job is to explain hydrology to economists

lol "stop defunding yourself" i say to the republican climate scientist

This helps explain why the oil-and-gas industry is needing to "run fast to stay still", spending $500bn a year just to maintain current output Production rates from each field are declining increasingly rapidly 3/6

Relatedly, a failure to remember lessons we already learned from similar moments of concentrated power. Hale wrote about law as a mechanism that distributes power back in 1923; but subsequent methods in social science and law like to forget!!

In a little-noticed announcement last week, SEC said it would consider ways for companies to limit risk of shareholder lawsuits. Days later, Trump called for SEC to drop rules that have been in place for decades that require most public US companies to disclose their financials quarterly

has trump been reading Lynn Stout

Second session of Law & Capitalism today: "What Is (Was) Neoliberalism?" reading LPE 👇 & www.newyorker.com/magazine/202... & some E. Popp Berman :)

BlackRock? The communist ESG firm?

the environmental law prof reply all-debate about what exactly we are supposed to be teaching continues

“With this move, they’re taking away the practical and material capacity of the federal government to do the basic elements of climate policymaking”

Carney wants to fast-track Shell's LNG expansion in British Columbia, maybe even offer incentives www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

We finally FINALLY finished the big insurance piece. There's a LOT that is not in there. But I think we've got a few of the important bits. TL;DR insurance is extremely interesting, but it's neither the climate problem nor the solution. www.phenomenalworld.org/analysis/ins...

New paper in JEEM on Risk Rating 2.0 authored by Ortega and Petkov: “While the reform may have improved the solvency of the NFIP, it has exacerbated the decade-long decline in enrollment.” www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

we're bringing a semi useful language model to a global energy fight

80% of all Chinese clean investment in global markets happened in the last 4 years Meanwhile, we’re busy decimating our industry at home and abroad Game. Set. Match

NEW | China’s clean energy boom and rapid electrification are creating the conditions for a FOSSIL DECLINE at home and abroad⚡ Fossil use in end-use sectors plateaued in 2015--while electricity use grew 65%, becoming central to 🇨🇳’s energy system. https://loom.ly/psjqvhE

when i first joined bluesky my timeline was 50% geologists arguing about their favorite minerals and now its 90% incredibly depressing news about the deterioration of our society and 10% geologists arguing about their favorite minerals

The New Yorker asked me “how bad” today’s Supreme Court ruling was. I boiled it down to one paragraph: link.newyorker.com/view/5bda429...

very weird to have developed a scholarly expertise in these century long battles between the left and right over economic policy and now to get in front of my students and be like... but that doesn't really matter anymore

2. the strange but often repeated cultish mantra that we need to "embrace the future" — this is so bizarre given, e.g. how destructive industry forces have proven to be in science, from petroleum to tobacco to pharmaceutical companies. (Section 3.2 here doi.org/10.5281/zeno...) 4/n

was wondering what happened to Nina Chen and if the OCC still somehow had a chief climate risk officer, but no... she's at LSE

p fun graphs

The West Coast went and made its own CDC! www.gov.ca.gov/2025/09/03/c...

New paper in ERL! We study the importance of resolution for the representation of climate extremes. We use a new generation of km-scale models to show that many important details about temperature and precipitation extremes are hidden at CMIP6-like resolutions. doi.org/10.1088/1748...

In addition to the corporations trying to destroy the NLRB and 90 years of labor law, don’t forget a university is also helping, just to fight their own faculty and students.

www.theguardian.com/environment/... public friendly article. Dangerous times. Often counter argument is that we don’t have observable data for collapse but we know this occurred in the past, even in warm periods with lower CO2 than today (something I’m working on!) eartharxiv.org/repository/v...

Just out: How China builds strategic dominance in high-innovation niches fracturing the economic status quo in the world: Government Guidance Funds turn fiscal money + SOE assets into venture capital with planning discipline. A different game than Europe or Korea. www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

ya get politics out of these big piles of money belonging to state employees managed by elected officials covering liabilities that are ultimately backed by the state

cool new paper: "hyperclustered events are largely uninsurable under standard price recovery models, the top four events independently overwhelming a risk-priced insurance system "

there's a "we're doomed. now what?" lesson here from working on climate change... admitting defeat doesn't really bring about any resolution cause we're stuck here and it can always get worse

i don't think i've ever been so disappointed by seeing the methods after reading the title of a paper

I am really looking forward to this new class. (Finally felt I had a class worth sharing with the @lpeblog.bsky.social syllabus bank) lpeproject.org/syllabi/law-...

Really, really need to decouple "spicy autocomplete" ("AI"/LLMs) from "fancy line fitting" (Machine Learning) in stuff like this. People are grumpy about this because of the use of the word "AI" here--and "AI" is inaccurate in any sense you could reasonably expect the public to understand it here.

"Stock market traders are neither legal experts, nor scientists. But for too long, 'market judgment' has been treated as, if not infallible, at least the best judgment given the evidence and information available." Nathan!!!

sixteen blue state treasurers send nice letter to BlackRock gently asking the asset manager to consider climate change when investing the blue states' own money

Solar panel imports will reduce OVERALL imports - because the value of diesel imports eclipses the value of solar panel impors. A solar panel in Nigeria now costs just $60, and can repay the cost of diesel for a generator within 6 months - and even less in other countries.

What if companies disclosed climate risk the same way insurers analyze it: with event-based probabilistic models that show what could happen, when, and with what likelihood? Check out our new paper in Environmental Research: Climate to learn more! iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1...

WSJ threatening us with a good time.

resilient to what exactly?

My lab's been attacked by an anti-wind group and their lawyers. They threatened the science funding of my whole university, to shut me and my undergraduate research assistants up. NYT just covered it. 1/n www.nytimes.com/2025/08/25/c...

Hydrology Paper of the Day @madisoncondon.bsky.social on how corporations conceptualize climate change scenarios: the veracity of scenario analysis in an age of uncertainty; political motives and narratives of risk; problems with stationarity and hydroclimatology; and storylines of oil companies.

And in May, another FT report of China delaying a BYD plant in Mexico due to fears of leaks to the US (this is admittedly in the Trump 2.0 context). www.ft.com/content/36ae...

I've been advocating for interdisciplinary teams to create narrative descriptions of what our climate changed future might look like as a way of synthesizing different fields of information to help us prepare and this group took a stab at it. The result is both cute and dark