The American Academy of Actuaries warns that dismantling NCAR would degrade the catastrophe models insurers depend on to price climate risk—driving up premiums and threatening coverage availability nationwide. "Uncertainty carries a positive cost." www.riskmarketnews.com/trumps-clima...

Oregon Trail was a great game even though the graphics were a little buggy

South Fork Wind had a capacity factor of 52% last month - on par w/ NY state's most efficient gas plants And Vineyard Wind had a 75% capacity factor during Winter Storm Fern The data doesn't lie. #OffshoreWind works - especially during cold winter months www.canarymedia.com/articles/off...

The world also acts like keeping them on doesn’t *increase* the odds of failure for their institutions. Do people really think other countries aren’t more likely to boycott the Olympics if a predator is leading them in a country led by a predator? Who is this all in service of?

Joe Rogan knows he is bad and continues to do it anyway

I was writing more on this, but it was getting too long and the upshot is even though the "RCP 8.5 is implausible" take is probably correct it only influences the least important of the several purposes of the RCPs. For everything else (benchmarking, impacts, etc.), it's a critical scenario.

docs.google.com/document/d/1... Hey folks, tried putting together a letter in direct response to the NSF unprompted decision. Feel free to offer suggestion or to add your name as a signatory, and thanks to those that did it alredy! Current text follows (errors all mine!)...

i have to wonder what kind of future AI hypebeasts are imagining when they say stupid shit like, "most or all of white collar tasks will be automated within 18 months". like, okay, microsoft, then who are your customers? who is purchasing O365 subscriptions when robots are doing all the work?

INBOX: Rep. Thomas Massie, who has enraged Trump for his insistence on blocking tariffs and releasing the Epstein files according to the law, just issued what is widely known among Chinese dissidents as "a declaration of no suicidal intent" (不自殺聲明), a sign of extreme distress.

AOC: "Extreme level of wealth inequality leads to social instability and drives authoritarianism, right-wing populism, and really dangerous domestic internal politics. That is a direct outcome of the failure of democracies over decades to deliver."

James Talarico: No one's ever asked me about the cost of housing. The only thing the media wants to ask me about are trans athletes. The only minority destroying this country is the billionaires. Trans people are 1% of the population. We are all focused on the wrong 1%.

Last December, weather and climate scientists sat down with us to tell us why they loved the National Center for Atmospheric Research, and why it benefits us all. Last night, the NSF began dismantling it. Listen to what they have to say, and why it's urgent that we #SaveNCAR wclivestream.com/act

There is no reforming this. There is only abolition, and then trials.

AOC💪at the Munich Security Conference: “In a rules-based order, hypocrisy is vulnerability...kidnapping heads of state, threatening allies, colonizing Greenland, or looking the other way on a genocide”

Anyone currently involved in federal immigration enforcement, every officer, every bureaucrat, every lawyer, every judge, is a member of the most evil group of people this country has seen since Reconstruction. Darkness personified, every one. Doing this to children is beyond depraved.

I am hiring a postdoc @ Univ of Iowa. Potential project focuses include flood-risk infrastructure planning, disaster recovery processes and outcomes, insurance program externalities, or uncertainty in climate damage attribution. Please consider applying/sharing! jobs.uiowa.edu/postdoc/view...

The repeal is not good, but their removal of the science from the legal document is nothing less than a win for science. Don't let them convince you otherwise - the reality is that they took their best shot at undermining the science and were forced to admit they couldn't do it.

Great piece out today in Physics Today on historical origins, contemporary relevance, & fundamental irreplaceability of the National Center for Atmospheric Research, which remains at imminent risk of dismantling for partisan political reasons.

the clean air act literally has climate as one of the things that pollutants can be regulated for, this whole the CAA was imperfectly grafted on to climate change concedes too much to the conservatives. they simply dont like climate change regulation and at least two straight up dont believe in it

Updated climate indicators graphics, now including 2025 ed-hawkins.github.io/climate-visu...

The EPA's repeal of the Endangerment Finding has no claimed basis in the science of climate change or its impact on health. DOE tried to create this basis and failed spectacularly. Climate change has negative impacts on human health, and reducing emissions improves health outcomes.

I am so tired

Happy birthday to one of my favourite haters, Charles Darwin

Okay I'm suddenly pro-CCS

Start at the beginning. From @marcusmarcusrc.bsky.social thesaraphreport.substack.com/p/an-endange...

Kind of amazing how the right was able to successfully sell so many centrists on a left wing “war on science” because we said phrenology is fake and trans people are real while they continue to deny evolution and climate change

You can repeal an endangerment finding. You can’t repeal the endangerment.

This action "is a ringing alarm bell warning all of us of the extent to which this administration has succeeded in degrading our governing institutions in such a short period of time." My statement progressivereform.org/cpr-blog/epa...

Ok, but can we funnel some of the SSP 8.5 skepticism towards the “overshoot” scenarios which introduce a magic CO2 removing button? Like, what are we doing here? There is no remotely plausible technology that does this and the entire scenario is predicated on “and then something magical happens”.

Need to stop men wasting their money on gambling and start them wasting their money on watches

that RCP8.5 can be implausible as an emissions trajectory but crucial for modeling impacts is legitimately confusing and people are right to be confused but if your job is climate change knower you should know this!

Market-oriented climate people, especially associated with The Breakthrough Institute (in collaboration w Pielke) all converged on an arcane (and to my mind irrelevant) feature of the stories underlying various model postulates to say that we were, actually, NOT on track for catastrophic warming. 4

Has China peaked emissions? We may not know for years to come, but new analysis from @laurimyllyvirta.bsky.social shows CO2 emissions fell by 0.3% last year — the first time China has recorded a decline while energy demand growth remained strong. Free link here: www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

NEW: There's been another round of layoffs at the lab formerly known as NREL. Weeks after scrubbing “renewable energy” from its name, the National Laboratory of the Rockies in Golden has cut 134 staffers. www.cpr.org/2026/02/09/n...

One thing I’d note is the history of 20th century science shows we don’t need to understand how or why something works — or even agree on what’s actually happening — for it to be (1) weaponized successfully and (2) transform the structure of domestic and international relations.

Not at all surprised to learn that Bad Bunny has a historical adviser. His halftime show was a reminder that our history and culture are deeply intertwined with the rest of the western hemisphere. We should think of his performance as part of #America250. #SuperBowl news.wisc.edu/pop-star-bad...

Why climate change isn't about averages, it's about deviation from centuries-long past trends -- Winter Olympics edition

Their refusal to share data and code notwithstanding, we roughly reproduce Voortman & de Vos. They underpower their analysis and misread a statistical procedure. Correcting that, we find that sea level rise DID accelerate. essopenarchive.org/doi/full/10....

Graduate Students’ NSF Fellowship Applications Are Being “Returned Without Review” 🧪 eos.org/research-and...

Climate Superfund bills are appearing in more and more states: insideclimatenews.org/news/2801202...

I learned, in the same semester, how methodological rigor is the bedrock of all progress in psychological science, and that a moderated mediation model based on questionnaires from 86 undergrad students is rock-solid proof for a theory in social psychology.

I'm told that the endangerment finding repeal package lands next week. I look at what that could mean for other climate rules, state action, and the future of U.S. climate policy. And on Signal at jchemnick.01, for any tips on when, where, etc.! www.eenews.net/articles/Her....

1. It was not an accident. 2. It was not a staffer. 3. While the president may have dementia his racism is not due to dementia. 4. He isn’t sorry. He means every racist thought he shares. 5. His base agrees with him. 6. He will do it again. 7. No one in power will hold him accountable.

I don't say this often but: I'm so proud to be a climate and environment reporter. We cover an issue that is vitally important to humanity and the natural world. 14 of my climate colleagues at the Post were laid off today and I'm devastated. www.climatecoloredgoggles.com/p/washington...

just to state something obvious but under-appreciated... corporations are not naturally occurring entities, they are outgrowths of state sanctioning and we could simply collectively decide that media companies and other companies have purposes beyond maximizing profits ty

I can't believe we're gonna get to buy our Halloween costumes at the damn Kennedy Center.

Professional athletes are being advised not to leave the hotel or go anywhere without their passports while visiting Minnesota. This is not a country that can safely host international events like the World Cup. Boycotting is not even a political question anymore. It is a basic issue of safety.

That motherfucker

*ax grinding sounds continue* Reproducibility is a bare minimum criterion. Reproducible studies can still be wrong. And correct studies can lack enough justification of method to justify our belief or deserve our attention

Wow this scoring chaos seems to be an extreme case of what I say about many ad hoc analyses: no derivation of method from a clear scientific theory, no assessment of statistical properties, and decades pass before someone notices. This happens in biology too, so let’s not pick on psychology only