Just for the record: IMO sulfur regulations did not cause a termination shock as it had been only some 8Mts Some warming yes but the recent acceleration since 2014 is driven by feedbacks between the upper oceans and the atmosphere accelerating ocean heat uptake which contributes now to the warming

Tropical phytoplankton can adapt to 1.5°C of warming - from then on it could decline - will be interesting how far the single species can adapt... Synechococcus and the more vulnerable Prochlorococcus decisive #oceans

It's just starting to lift off... "Some areas receive more rainfall in a week than in all of last year, having only a few weeks ago sweltered through temperatures up to 50C" #climate

Next confirmation: AMOC stable A Ponderable Future The research by Årthun et al. (2025) suggests that the northern limb of the global ocean circulation is far more robust than we feared. We are seeing a system in transition, shifting its operations poleward to maintain its vital function #climate

Collect synchronizations - and this would be another one. In a way synchronization events are strengthening - 2014-2016 it started to emerge and suddenly massively strengthened in 2023/24 e.g. two ocean basins went hot Next one in the preparation Wonder how extreme it will become

A new observational estimate of sulfur cooling They estimate it to be during 2006–2009 to be around ~1 W/m2 - a bit lower than previous estimates. During that period we had some 120Mt of annually SOx emissions. Would be a cooling effect of 120Mt of sulfur by 0.5°C #climate

Upper ocean stratification and wind forcing control ENSO variability From 2040 models see an intensification of ENSO variability due to upper ocean stratification. Likely, its already happening... #climate

IPCC way too slow which is additionally restrained by the consensus principle. Models are wrong now in so many regards that it will have an impact on the warming rate. Just ocean heat uptake and stratification is a huge issue in terms marine heatwaves and additional warming... #climate

A graph showing the climate atrocity of sea surface temperatures peaking so shortly after the last El Niño. The grey line are the 2016 values of the El Niño that lasted well into the first half of 2016. It took 7 years to reach these values again. This time 2 years but with no El Niño in place

Fun fact: the future is flying transportation as biblical flooding will reach such magnitudes that the street network of whole countries will be destroyed by a single event Remember, it's a water planet that will pump vast amounts of moisture into regions for prolonged times It starts now...

It's for the best that with the current social order we will never leave Earth but become stuck on a deadly planet... "The James Webb Space Telescope detected abundant small organic molecules in a heavily obscured galaxy nucleus, far exceeding theoretical expectations."

Jennifer Francis mentions that the massive marine heatwave in the North Pacific had been one reason for 2022 being so warm despite a La Nina. Further, she mentions that these massive marine heatwaves overcome now the La Nina effect on global temperatures. At the correct time when she mentions it:

Continuing drop in SSTs and eastern equatorial upwelling is further weakening The subsurface movement of warm water to the east across the equatorial Pacific has been updated - only a marginal change change from 17 of Feb to 22 of Feb. Will be interesting how it will further develop. #climate

One big fuck up humanity becomes! Hundreds of thousands of people from more than 50 countries are estimated to be trapped inside vast compounds in Cambodia, Myanmar, Laos, the Philippines and Malaysia. forced by criminal gangs into catfishing unsuspecting victims out of money

It reached long time ago the level of intentional poisoning of everything... Sure some regulations exist but they do not stop the tide...

The fascist billionaires want de facto destroy the living conditions on Earth...

Persistence will fuck us most... A slow-moving tropical low-pressure system has been sitting over the south-east of the Northern Territory for several days, drenching outback areas over multiple states. #climate

The Cartel CNGT which is fighting in Mexico has 20.000-30.000 foot soldiers Did not know that they have that many... Do not know if these numbers are correct, on the other side they "control" a really large territory... www.youtube.com/watch?v=bPaF...

Now we have a drop in SSTs Important: that we could reach such staggering levels is the worrying aspect here, as it shows the surface oceans are not cooling down substantially as they should after an El Nino...

The upwelling of warm water in the eastern equatorial Pacific seems to have stopped as the Kelvin wave moving warm subsurface waters to the east lost its punch Wrote an article on the subject a week ago. It seems to be happening Another Kelvin wave is on its way, a stronger one then the last

If correct Israel on track to self destroy... Nationalists and fascists overestimate themselves... The playbook: The west destroys itself while for China taking over the hegemonic position the western stronghold Israel is a problem, if the middle east is to be controlled by Chinese interest's...

Next large drop will happen eventually - likely the next year's as extremes over the central Arctic will further likely via especially anomalous years characterized by a series of extremes strating late winter/spring... #climate

Just starting...

Somehow it feels even worse to have NO headline, at all, about the fact that the President is in FBI files as having punched one child for not giving him a blow job and having outright raped another child. The silence in elite media fills me with disgust and despair. (Looking at you, @nytimes.com )

Important here: this shit is just starting... #climate

Why music is important for the brain: "the Chinese Academy of Sciences have shown for the first time in non-human primates that sound stimulation at 40-Hz can significantly increase β-amyloid levels in the cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) of aged rhesus monkeys" Fun fact: I addicted my brain to jonglage

Another important signal: variability in all it's forms increases in ever more systems Trends are increasingly being driven peaks... The below falls under declining resilience of ecosystems coming increasingly under pressure driven by massive events with a non-linear impact... #climate

Next big surprise at the horizon - rogue waves are an incarnation of non-linearity... "Satellites detect megawaves up to 35 meters high in the Pacific, and the data is concerning because they appear even without “super hurricanes” involved" #shipping #oceans #climate

Highly important: The circulation is reorganizing into a new regime A striking signal indicating a strengthening the meridional component - north south air mass movements: Sudden stratospheric warnings now becoming a common occurrence at both poles These events can impact the whole circulation

"The Chinese law enforcement official used ChatGPT like a diary to document the alleged covert campaign of suppression, OpenAI said" Stupidity is another non-linear development...

There exists a dissens if forest cool or warm the planet If skin Temperature is taken they warm the planet - they lower the albedo But if surface temperatures are taken they cool the planet via evaporation. The first Position is nonsense as surface temps. rule the feedback if warming soils...

"Teams at IIT Gandhinagar (IITGN) analyzed climate data from 1901 to 2020 and found that synchronized droughts typically affected only about 1.8 to 6.5 percent of global land at any given time." Wonder how the 2023-2025 signal had been... Always sceptical if latest data is omitted...

We’ve got an elemental tug of war, then: As the far north rapidly and radically changes, how much carbon will these expanding peatlands sequester in the Earth, but how quickly will that carbon return to the atmosphere if these new peatlands dry out and catch fire? Expect a non-linear regime shift

Why not create a world where pathogenic microbes increase fast in our environment while we do everything that they become multi-drug resistant... Next case: Typhoid fever #Earth #health

Southern Hemisphere marine heatwave update Remains exceptional... Added also the situation in 2025...

A striking proxy that the meridional component (north/south) of the general circulation is intensifying in a warmer world while the zonal component (east/west) weakens Here we have a Sahara dust in England coloring the water red... #climate

Fire weather is increasingly synchronizing the last years Adds up with all the other synchronizations we observe like flooding events, drought, and heat events, currents, marine heatwave expansion, or of important circulation modes driving this signal interacting with surface forcings #climate

Which SST anomaly patterns support El Ninos - next mechanistic detail from the Southern Ocean Important: SST pattern that supported more La Ninas could be vanishing now as the Southern Ocean could now also warm fast As circulation patterns in the oceans are important we will see #Climate #Earth

Its a system of gradients now being amplified on an event basis or accelerating trends This you get if the North Atlantic warms while ocean fronts intensify causing larger temperature gradients between neighboring ocean areas giving birth to more low pressure systems which then draw more energy...

The latest - LOL*** 2°C around 2030 as we trigger here a mighty feedback... #climate

We have now each day several massive flooding events... The other side of the equation are heat events as both are interrelated Here from Peru www.youtube.com/watch?v=o5La...

No shit: "Generative AI deserves scientific attention. But the rush to study it is producing a feedback loop of topical and methodological convergence, flattening scientific imagination and crowding out the pluralism needed to keep research adaptive, resilient, and intellectually generative"

Ocean heat uptake shifting to shallower depths while warmer oceans reduce cloud cover also supported by circulation changes Its a massive feedback which we trigger here and its starting to gain momentum as 2025 ocean heat uptake values showed, a new record with 23Zj - a 8 fold increase (1958-85)

Important: circulation changes drive regime shifts "The two most recent droughts in southern Australia were the Tinderbox drought, from 2017 to 2019, and the present drought [...] began in 2023 and is continuing into February 2026" Here southward shift of the jet... #climate #australia

Next one coming in... Importance: we trigger now a mutually amplifying reaction of the coupled ocean-atmosphere-cryosphere system producing an increasing number of non-linear peaks in a plethora of subsystems... It's a world of fluids run by gradients, now intensifying via extreme events #climate

Another detail on the cascading collapse that is now underway You see it especially in the "small" changes which go now in ever more cases off charts. Cascading tipping of such a vast and complex system starts there, working its way up to the large planetary systems.

Makes heatwaves even worse Could not read the study, so I wonder if they only meant fewer clouds If dry heatwaves dry out the atmospheric column the longwave cooling to space becomes so strong that it overcomes the shortwave heating (less clouds more shortwave coming in) cooling the air column

Here a first one - this will become the norm as our electricity grids are in now way up to the tasks to withstand intensifying extremes and massive heatwaves of a new scale... Nearly 80% of Paraguay without electricity amid heat wave www.upi.com/Top_News/Wor...

Tropical SSTs impact extratropical sea surface temperatures via an atmospheric memory effect for 2 to 5 months Models only for about 1 month as they see it as white noise - another significant model error One reason the extratropical oceans went hot in 2024 - but not for the NP in 2025 #climate

Another indication that we have an El Niño in the making The areas with extreme SSTs in the western Pacific east of Australia cover a much larger area than in 2023 when the last El Niño formed Its the area where tropical depressions trigger oceanic Kelvin waves which can cause El Niños to form