@climateofgavin.bsky.social Hi Gavin could you update this graphs on the EEI of yours? Would be interesting in how far the EEI recovered... Cheers :D

Next study that we trigger a massive runway warming just now as we will reach 2°C of mean warming around 2030... But its not visible in models but in all these mechanistic studies on how systems will behave if studied more closely... "<2 °C warming leads to C loss exceeding C uptake by 1–16 fold"

Will dust storms - dust transport - increase or decrease? Current trends are downward. So interesting that Eumesat called 2025 a year of dust storms. #climate #Earth

My new video… Global Warming Acceleration Can Increase Global Temperature to 2C or even 2.5C by 2035: New Research youtu.be/SPSsKhNQ_8c?... #climate #climatechange #weather #oceans #globalwarming #temperatures #agriculture #Canada #Europe #USA

Large sea-ice concentration departures continued in the Bellingshausen Sea region in May 2026, but overall there is quite a bit of variability in the spatial pattern of ice anomalies this freeze season in the #Antarctic. More visuals of sea ice: zacklabe.com/antarctic-se...

Love that move - we are in the process to trigger an extinction level event that will include humanity At the forefront a vicious cycle between the upper oceans and atmosphere driving ocean heat uptake shifting to shallower depths and the non-linear intensification of marine heatwaves... #climate

With all these extremes spreading, it's just the beginning... "However, significantly heavier rainfall of 150-200mm is possible over the eastern Garden Route District, resulting in the Orange Level 8 warning." #climate #earth

Next worst case: "Our results show that lake sediment heatwaves are generally more persistent and frequent than lake surface heatwaves, with sediment heatwaves in pelagic regions experiencing a notable lag relative to surface conditions" Models do not even simulate this methane feedback driver...

Next worst case get's increasingly being proven: “But with Pfas it’s like a pump that keeps pushing chemicals to the surface.” The oceans accumulate toxins near the surface where they become part of the food chain - bio-accumulation. This then leads e.g. to sea foam becoming highly toxic #Earth

The recent uptick in high tide warnings is a nice proxy for storms that recently intensify around Antarctica... E.g. the Southern Annular Mode that blows around Antarctica is intensifying and contracting while surface oceans warm now also around Antarctica fast... #climate #earth

Then let's promote the book! Should be interesting to hear an inside perspective of #META 's culture... Such moves have to be taken volley #books #politics

The first preprint that global warming will reach 2°C around 2030 and from then onward it will escalate... They find a warming acceleration by 0.48 ± 0.12°C decade⁻¹ after 2015 which could further accelerate to 0.5-1.0°C per decade during the next ten years. #climate #Earth

Seems increasingly that the "super" El Nino goes sideways - oops! Now we have the update till 28 of March 2026. More in the alt text - also the link to the animation showing the movement of the subsurface warm water dissipating in the east to the south #climate #earth #Nino

The warm subsurface water is "squeezed" sideways in the eastern Pacific to the south the last weeks while it is not upwelling for real in the eastern Pacific... #climate #Earth

They exploit us, they poisen us, they disinform us, only to silence us when we lay open their actions... These fascist murderous billionaires are so sickening... Just the USAID cuts of doge killed 800.00 directly and some 14 million people in the long run... #earth #climate

New online! Wildfires in 2025

The greatest danger of a fast warming climate are not thresholds inside the system that we cross that we do know but the ones we didn't know that existed... The whole Antarctic ocean-atmosphere-ice system seems to be one of them... Fun fact: it controls global climate dynamics... #climate #earth

With all these ENSO forecasts Its an art which the experts try to improve since decades New correction methods had been invented the last decade and NOAA uses them in their prediction reports This is the reason these model spread values are way lower then all these non-corrected model predictions

The last two EL Nino predictions by NOAA - just interesting how the model spread changed... #climate #earth

I do not like all this clickbaiting The main message is not fearmongering from a super El Nino, but that global warming is accelerating driven by temperature jumps Here a plot I saw recently to emerge and the original data corrected plot from NOAA in their latest forecast What a difference

#Saharandust and high ground-level concentrations of PM10 reaching the Caribbean in recent days expected to continue for the first few days of June in #CopernicusAtmosphere 5-day forecasts from 31 May 00 UTC atmosphere.copernicus.eu/charts/packa... @copernicusecmwf.bsky.social @ecmwf.int

Ever more tree species are now outside their climate range... Warnings to humanity are out that we risk the forests of Earth.. #climate #earth

Nope, it's retarded western Elites that created a deeply corrupted system only serving short sighted particular interests... It's so much mord than just "industrial" policy! Western societies are stupidified where it all starts.... #politics

No shit, no kidding... #climate #earth

These early and extreme heatwave events that are now emerging will be often the new normal Its a forced reaction Hot and dry/moist compound events go up non-linear driven in ever more cases by ocean heat and emerging SST patterns that develop a persistent impact on circulations #climate #earth

Explosive summer ahead for western Europe with downstream effects all the way to Southeast Asia! What a concert of SST anomalies... #climate #Earth

Another oops! We are just now understanding how Antarctica warms and it's the opposite pattern then the one we thought would realize... Not colder regions warming faster than warmer regions, but it's warmer regions warming way faster than the colder regions... #climate #models #uöäü1Antarctica

It's all going non-linear... Will be popcorn to see how climate science will react to the fact that models are fundamentally wrong as they can not simulate the small scales via which the system operates and amplifies... #climate #Earth

No shit no kidding, brown carbon also warms the climate - oops! #climate #Earth

SSTs continue their large drop Seems really that ocean surface temperature variability is intensifying in a warmer ocean riddled by marine heatwaves. Could indicate stronger high frequency oscillations of the system...

Central to understand: extreme events far outside model projections are now becoming the driving force behind the recent acceleration of trends all over the Earth system... When weather becomes climate things can change fast... #climate #earth

Another detail of why the Arctic peat lands will burn on a massive scale driven by heat and drought compound events When summer sea ice loss will happen which is likely only years away wildfires will make another jump across the Arctic. New models project further non-linear increases #climate

Highly important: changes at both polar system are increasingly being driven by extreme events that can trigger extreme seasons - here Antarctica in 2025

Please if you have the data include the latest as we have to understand in how far we see an acceleration of trends since 2020... #climate #IPCC #Earth

That's interesting: "Norovirus outbreaks strike hikers" "The Pacific Crest Trail Association said norovirus outbreaks have occurred on trails around the world." Greetings from an emerging hostile microbiome of Earth! #earth #climate

Eat that shit! The higher the rates of poverty the better capitalism functions as it's aim is concentration of power via the concentration of capital as capital without control is nothing...

Nonsense! "Temporarily crossing the 1.5C threshold does not mean ​the Paris Agreement has failed, as it refers to a long-term average over 20 years rather than a single year's exceedance, Seabrook said" This system makes no large downward swings anymore as too many feedbacks become now active...

A core principle behind the mutual amplification of extremes Continental heatwaves and flooding events support the formation of coastal marine heatwaves which can feedback on both continental extremes depending on the overall constellation of the atmosphere...

Extreme heat and drought can be translated as a kind of overkill for complex life once thresholds are breached... Our biosphere is not just collapsing, it's literally cooked and evaporated... #earth #climate

Instead of this study result extreme rainfall increases are out of model range as other studies show Will be interesting when climate science will admit that models are wrong and underestimate the changes caused by warming and eventually the rate of warming It's a model industry! #climate #earth

Important: max temperature records jump upwards in a warmer climate. The dynamical components driving these events show non-linear behavior... "In the UK, temperatures passed 35C on Tuesday – more than 2C above the record for May before this year" #climate #earth

One after another... The US is now under constant extreme weather... #climate #Earth

Love the irony of it... While billionaires achieve much longer life spans their actions turn Earth into a living hell. Our biophysical Earth system is now in free fall... #politics

It's not a dust bowl from the 30s but a different kind, a deadly kind... Fun fact: fungicides make the new fungi that adapt to our body temperature resistant to our treatments which are anyway not very effective with fungi eating us up alive from the inside... #earth #climate

Nope! The next ten years One more jump to go... #climate #earth

No it starts to enter mainstream... A hostile microbiomme of Earth we are heading to... #climate #earth

No shit, no kidding...

The dynamic component of heatwaves is intensifying non-linear as the system generates heat only to channel it into a region Western Europe will be a hot spot region where the diabatic component of heatwaves could increase the most... #climate #Earth

You perverted cowards!

China is already toast, like all countries China faces two ocean basins that form a self sustaining circulation operating over two Hemispheres that funnel moisture into China From time to time it will peak massively for months shuffling staggering amounts of moisture into China's mainland drowning