Sara Estep (she/her)
@saraestep.bsky.social
đ¤ 558
đĽ 367
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Economist @ CAP; opinions my own
pinned post!
Just a reminder on what would have been the 52nd anniversary of
#Roe
that we have less rights than our mothers and grandmothers, and low income women will be forced to give birth as a result of long travel times.
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12 months ago
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
CAP Action
19 days ago
This is Trump's "golden age" in action...
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
CAP Action
20 days ago
This is the highest unemployment rate since the pandemic. Trump's tariffs have created an economic disaster for Americans.
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November's jobs report was concerning, even with wonky data making it more difficult to parse. The warning signs from Black workers are very much there, spelling out more weakness ahead.
www.americanprogress.org/article/nove...
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Novemberâs Jobs Report Hints at Labor Market Weakness Ahead
Novemberâs jobs report, released today, showed signs of weaknessâparticularly among groups that often foreshadow broader labor-market cooling, such as workers of color and older workers.
https://www.americanprogress.org/article/novembers-jobs-report-hints-at-labor-market-weakness-ahead/
20 days ago
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Thank you to the caucus for inviting me to discuss rising prices for families this season. I was moved by the storytelling from Chloe and Luna. Listen below:
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26 days ago
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
The Contrarian
28 days ago
What does a country without affordable healthcare look like?
@nzmurphy.bsky.social
paints a clearâand alarmingâpicture. Watch her full interview:
https://contrarian.substack.com/p/healthcare-isnt-a-luxury-natasha
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Healthcare Isn't a Luxury! Natasha Murphy on Looming ACA Deadline
"The reality is, people just wonât be able to afford coverage and will have to drop coverage altogether."
https://contrarian.substack.com/p/healthcare-isnt-a-luxury-natasha
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
Heidi Shierholz
28 days ago
The Affordability Serenity Prayer (idea stolen from
@jaredb-econ.bsky.social
) God, grant policymakers the serenity to accept the aspects of the affordability crisis they cannot change (e.g. most prices), the courage to address the aspects they can (e.g. pay), and the wisdom to know the difference.
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Sara Estep (she/her)
Aaron Sojourner
28 days ago
Advance insight to help you code around a new, stupid issue. How will BLS represent missing data values resulting from the govt shutdown in the
#JOLTS
data release tomorrow?
#NumbersDay
cc:
@bencasselman.bsky.social
@nickbunker.bsky.social
@jc-econ.bsky.social
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
Corey Husak
about 1 month ago
Its always good to see charity, but this donation to children will be much less impactful than it could be đ§ľ The problem lies in the faulty design of âTrump Accountsâ 1/6
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
Kennedy Andara
about 2 months ago
First Jobs Day since the shutdown, and
@saraestep.bsky.social
and I are here with the latest analysis of today's data and how job seekers are struggling in Trump's economy. âŹď¸
www.americanprogress.org/article/in-a...
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In a Stagnating Job Market, Job Seekers Are Struggling To Find Opportunities
Delayed September 2025 jobs data release reveals the hardships of finding a job in Trumpâs economy, especially for people of color.
https://www.americanprogress.org/article/in-a-stagnating-job-market-job-seekers-are-struggling-to-find-opportunities/
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
Economic Policy Institute
about 2 months ago
The federal statistical agencies (FSAs) that produce the gold standard economic data employers/investors/job seekers/workers/policymakers rely on to assess the health of the U.S. economy face unprecedented threats. We've pulled next-best data from non-FSA sources to help keep an eye on things. 1/
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Data accountability dashboard
Federal statistical agencies (FSAs) produce the gold standard economic data that employers, investors, job seekers, workers, and policymakers rely on to assess the health of the U.S. economy. Today, F...
https://www.epi.org/publication/data-accountability-dashboard/
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
Center for American Progress
about 2 months ago
Today is
#NativeWomensEqualPayDay
. For every $1 earned by a non-Hispanic white man, Native women earn just 58¢. This devastating wage gap fuels hardship & insecurity.
#IndigenousWomen
deserve
#EqualPay
&
#EconomicJustice
.
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
Erika McEntarfer
about 2 months ago
While everyone is still digesting how it feels to not see a Sept jobs report until late November, remember this feeling the next time folks complain about monthly revisions and suggest publishing data with a 2 or 3 month lag.
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
Aaron Sojourner
about 2 months ago
Thanks, BLS Staff!
#EconSky
#NumbersDay
www.friendsofbls.org/updates/2025...
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
Heidi Shierholz
about 2 months ago
THIS is the way to welcome federal workers back after a shutdown â with appreciation, clarity, and respect for the essential work they do. Read the full message from the Friends of BLS to BLS staff here:
www.friendsofbls.org/updates/2025...
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To the BLS Staff from the Leadership of the Friends of BLS â The Friends of the Bureau of Labor Statistics
Welcome back. On behalf of the Friends of BLS, we extend our deepest appreciation to each of you for your work this year. As you return from the recent government shutdown, we want to express this gra...
https://www.friendsofbls.org/updates/2025/11/16/to-the-bls-staff-from-the-leadership-of-the-friends-of-bls
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
Corey Husak
2 months ago
New
@americanprogress.bsky.social
I find that 4.4 million small business owners and self-employed people face a $1,500 mean tax hike this year. When enhanced marketplace tax credits expire, businesspeople making <$150k, face a larger tax hike than eliminating the passthru deduction
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âLetitia James would be among the many Black women that support their families.â Thanks
@nytimes.com
for covering
@kennedyandara.bsky.social
Bela Salas-Betsch & my research
@americanprogress.bsky.social
in this story about the experiences of Black breadwinning women.
www.nytimes.com/2025/10/25/n...
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In Letitia James Case, Some Black Women See Their Own Family Sacrifices
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/10/25/nyregion/letitia-james-black-women-tradition-family-support.html
2 months ago
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
Aaron Sojourner
3 months ago
Big new U.S. job quality survey just dropped. From Gallup, my
@upjohninstitute.bsky.social
colleagues Sue Houseman &
@truesdale.bsky.social
& others. Data will be public & longitudinal.
finance.yahoo.com/news/landmar...
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
Center for American Progress
3 months ago
Latinas often work in industries with positive employment growth, but their wages haven't kept up. Full-time, year round #Trabajadoras earn just 58 cents per dollar of white, non-Hispanic men resulting in >$33k/year lost to the #WageGap. #LatinaEqualPay
https://ow.ly/Iht150X8Bv2
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The gender wage gap for full-time, year-round workers expanded significantly in 2024 and is wider for women of color
https://ow.ly/Iht150X8Bv2
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Aaron is spot on, our paper shows that Trump proposed a 17% reduction in FTEs and currently 34% of senior career staff positions sit empty. Without adequate budget and without protecting these career positions we risk losing this independent analysis.
www.americanprogress.org/shareable/mo...
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3 months ago
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
Aaron Sojourner
3 months ago
Independence and funding are complements, not substitutes. We cannot fix attacks on independence just with funding. Exempt BLS & other statistical agencies from Schedule Policy/Career reform. Re-establish meaningful cause protection for Commissioner.
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
Aaron Sojourner
3 months ago
The real value of the Bureau of Labor Statistics's budget has fallen for over a decade. The president is proposing deep cuts alongside other attacks on the agency. Progress requires Congress to re-establish BLS independence & support innovation & funding.
www.americanprogress.org/article/the-...
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New from Kyle Ross and me, breaking down the budget and staffing issues in FY26 dollars. The BLS needs experienced nonpartisan leadership, and adequate funding to restore trust and ensure accuracy.
www.americanprogress.org/shareable/re...
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Real funding for the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) has been declining for years
https://www.americanprogress.org/shareable/real-funding-for-the-u-s-bureau-of-labor-statistics-bls-has-been-declining-for-years/?r=143224&l=6
3 months ago
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
Kennedy Andara
3 months ago
We wrote this before the shutdown but the analysis is still just as important. Healthcare workers, who are mostly women, are the backbone of our economy, but Trump's attacks on health care and repubs refusal to extend the ACA tax credits threaten the industry
www.americanprogress.org/article/what...
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What To Know Before Septemberâs Jobs Day Report: Falling Wages and Stalling Employment Growth
In August, women held up the economy while their wages faltered in industries such as health care. Will the September Employment Situation report show more of the same?
https://www.americanprogress.org/article/what-to-know-before-septembers-jobs-day-report-falling-wages-and-stalling-employment-growth/
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New bubble plot would be cool if it wasnât so ominous. How much longer can we expect women to pick up the labor market slack?
www.americanprogress.org/shareable/fe...
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Female-dominated industries are keeping job growth positive, but wages are falling
https://www.americanprogress.org/shareable/female-dominated-industries-are-keeping-job-growth-positive-but-wages-are-falling/?r=142694&l=4
3 months ago
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My latest op-ed in
@msnbc.com
grapples with some of the reasons Gen Z men are out of the labor force and how we could help them come off the sidelines. Read more:
www.msnbc.com/msnbc/amp/rc...
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Gen Z men are facing a surprise workforce crisis
Thereâs not a one-size-fits-all explanation, but two main factors stand out.
https://www.msnbc.com/msnbc/amp/rcna232537
4 months ago
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
Kennedy Andara
4 months ago
Trump's tariffs are devastating America's manufacturers, with 42,000 manufacturing jobs lost since "liberation day." Check out
@cbsnews.com
coverage of
@saraestep.bsky.social
and my latest piece here
www.cbsnews.com/news/jobs-ma...
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The U.S. is losing thousands of manufacturing jobs, analysis finds
Uncertainty over U.S. tariffs and other Trump administration economic policies are deterring manufacturers from hiring, according to the Center for American Progress.
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/jobs-manufacturing-trump-tariffs-economy/
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
David Darmofal
4 months ago
An epic and predictable economic disaster. In South Carolina, Lindsey Graham has been an active participant in and promoter of this disaster in tossing aside his previous support for free trade in service to Trump. South Carolina needs
@drannieandrews.com
.
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Numbers don't lie:
www.americanprogress.org/shareable/th...
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4 months ago
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
MS NOW
4 months ago
OPINION by
@zeeshanaleem.bsky.social
: âIf American factories aren't experiencing a boom, how can Trump defend his protectionist extremism?â READ MORE:
www.msnbc.com/opinion/msnb...
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Opinion | Trump's tariffs were supposed to revive U.S. manufacturing. They're wrecking it.
Why Trump is failing to fulfill his most prized economic vision.
https://www.msnbc.com/opinion/msnbc-opinion/trump-tariffs-economy-manufacturing-ism-rcna228790
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Sara Estep (she/her)
John Schmitt
4 months ago
"Since...Trumpâs tariff announcement in April...manufacturing employment has declined by 42,000, while job openings and hires have fallen by 76,000 and 18,000, respectively."
www.americanprogress.org/article/trum...
@kennedyandara.bsky.social
@saraestep.bsky.social
@americanprogress.bsky.social
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
Kennedy Andara
4 months ago
Trump promised a manufacturing renaissance- more like a manufacturing dark age. Check out our latest jobs day analysis from
@saraestep.bsky.social
and me on how Trump's tariff policies are harming the manufacturing industry.
#econsky
www.americanprogress.org/article/trum...
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Trumpâs Trade War Squeezes Middle-Class Manufacturing Employment
American manufacturing employment is shrinking in response to Trumpâs tariffs.
https://www.americanprogress.org/article/trumps-trade-war-squeezes-middle-class-manufacturing-employment/
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
Erika McEntarfer
4 months ago
The larger-than-usual downward revision last month was in large part driven by a negative skew in the job growth distribution among late reporting firms. Thatâs unusual, but itâs happened before when the pace of job growth slows rapidly. This print is more evidence that was the case
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Sara Estep (she/her)
Will Ragland
4 months ago
This chart tells the story.
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Surprising no one, blue collar employment does NOT improve with tariff chaos, killing green manufacturing jobs, and disappearing human beings. We zoomed in on manufacturing in our latest:
www.americanprogress.org/article/trum...
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4 months ago
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Sara Estep (she/her)
Catherine Rampell
4 months ago
Itâs almost like global trade wars are not good for US manufacturing
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Trump's tariffs and attacks on stable green energy jobs are all likely contributing to the rapid decline in manufacturing employment since April. Check
@kennedyandara.bsky.social
and my latest column with today's jobs numbers.
#NumbersDay
#EconSky
www.americanprogress.org/article/trum...
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Trumpâs Trade War Squeezes Middle-Class Manufacturing Employment
American manufacturing employment is shrinking in response to Trumpâs tariffs.
https://www.americanprogress.org/article/trumps-trade-war-squeezes-middle-class-manufacturing-employment/
4 months ago
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
Aaron Sojourner
4 months ago
Ahead of
#JobsDay
tomorrow, Friends of BLS published a FAQ answering pressing questions like: Can the public trust BLS products? What's up with the firing of Dr. McEntarfer & nomination of Dr. Antoni? Why and how does the BLS revise jobs estimates?
#EconSky
www.friendsofbls.org/updates/2025...
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Background Information for Jobs Day â Sept 5 â The Friends of the Bureau of Labor Statistics
Click Background Information for Jobs Day â Sept 5 to read the entire PDF document.
https://www.friendsofbls.org/updates/2025/9/4/background-information-for-jobs-day-sept-5
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
Aaron Sojourner
4 months ago
1.77 American employees quit their job for each employee fired by their boss in July per today's new
#JOLTS
data. This proxy for worker bargaining power in jobs is steady versus June but declining over recent, post-pandemic years.
www.upjohn.org/labor-levera...
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
Center for American Progress
4 months ago
Today is
#NHPIWomensEqualPayDay
. For every dollar earned by white, non-Hispanic men working full-time, year-round in 2023, Native Hawaiian, Pacific Islander women were only paid 65 cents. Check out our analysis with
@napawf.org
on the labor market experiences of AANHPI women:
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5 Facts About the Labor Market Experiences of Asian American, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander Women
Analysis from the Center for American Progress and the National Asian Pacific American Womenâs Forum finds that AANHPI women, who are often immigrants, have a broad range of intersecting identitiesâŚ
https://www.americanprogress.org/article/5-facts-about-the-labor-market-experiences-of-asian-american-native-hawaiian-and-pacific-islander-women/
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
Aaron Sojourner
4 months ago
New unemployment insurance claims steady (-2%) into week ending 8/23. Continuing claims steady too.
#NumbersDay
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
Steve Rattner
4 months ago
When the labor market is hot, workers who switch jobs can usually expect a pay bump. Right now, job switchers are experiencing the same wage growth as stayers, a sign that employers have the upper hand.
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
Christian Weller
4 months ago
It was a pleasure/honor to work with the immensely talented and smart
@saraestep.bsky.social
on this. Young men's unemployment is rising, but many are out of the labor force. Added attention to disability accommodations and care support could increase labor force participation for all, not just men
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
Center for American Progress
4 months ago
CAP's
@saraestep.bsky.social
and
@profcew.bsky.social
break down 10 key facts about young men's employment trends:
www.americanprogress.org/article/gen-...
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
Business Insider
4 months ago
The economy has a boy problem. Helping workers with disabilities or enrolling in technical school might help.
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The job market's boy problem is getting worse — but data suggests some ways to fix it
The economy has a boy problem. Helping workers with disabilities or enrolling in technical school might help.
https://www.businessinsider.com/why-young-men-are-leaving-labor-force-how-to-fix-2025-8?utm_source=bluesky&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=business-automated
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
Thomas Lecaque
5 months ago
"How bad slavery was" is worse. Much worse. Much worse than you think, much worse than you're taught, much worse than museums depict. Worse.
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
John Cassidy
5 months ago
Every business day, big capitalist institutions depend on having access to unbiased economic statistics. It's time for them to step up and help protect the B.L.S. and other statistical agencies from Trump's encroachments. My latest column:
www.newyorker.com/news/the-fin...
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Big Business and Wall Street Need to Stand Up for Honest Data
In nominating an inexperienced MAGA partisan for commissioner of the Bureau of Labor Statistics, Donald Trump is chipping away at an essential foundation of the American economy.
https://www.newyorker.com/news/the-financial-page/big-business-and-wall-street-need-to-stand-up-for-honest-data?utm_medium=social&utm_social-type=owned&utm_source=bluesky&mbid=social_bluesky&utm_brand=tny
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
Erika McEntarfer
5 months ago
A key challenge for BLS is adequate funding for data collection and modernization. During my tenure I tried to identify the causes. One person told me, âyour problem is that while BLS has no enemies you also have no friendsâ meaning no powerful interest groups advocating for economic data.
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
Steve Rattner
5 months ago
Homebuilder sentiment is at its lowest level since 2022.
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I keep getting questions that are like âwhat if they sneakily cook the books and nobody knows because they have done something with the seasonal adjustment or the imputed data.â Like yâall BFFR.
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5 months ago
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