Sara Estep (she/her)
@saraestep.bsky.social
š¤ 545
š„ 361
š 52
Economist @ CAP; opinions my own
pinned post!
Just a reminder on what would have been the 52nd anniversary of
#Roe
that we have less rights than our mothers and grandmothers, and low income women will be forced to give birth as a result of long travel times.
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10 months ago
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
Corey Husak
17 days ago
New
@americanprogress.bsky.social
I find that 4.4 million small business owners and self-employed people face a $1,500 mean tax hike this year. When enhanced marketplace tax credits expire, businesspeople making <$150k, face a larger tax hike than eliminating the passthru deduction
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āLetitia James would be among the many Black women that support their families.ā Thanks
@nytimes.com
for covering
@kennedyandara.bsky.social
Bela Salas-Betsch & my research
@americanprogress.bsky.social
in this story about the experiences of Black breadwinning women.
www.nytimes.com/2025/10/25/n...
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In Letitia James Case, Some Black Women See Their Own Family Sacrifices
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/10/25/nyregion/letitia-james-black-women-tradition-family-support.html
18 days ago
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
Aaron Sojourner
29 days ago
Big new U.S. job quality survey just dropped. From Gallup, my
@upjohninstitute.bsky.social
colleagues Sue Houseman &
@truesdale.bsky.social
& others. Data will be public & longitudinal.
finance.yahoo.com/news/landmar...
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
Center for American Progress
about 1 month ago
Latinas often work in industries with positive employment growth, but their wages haven't kept up. Full-time, year round #Trabajadoras earn just 58 cents per dollar of white, non-Hispanic men resulting in >$33k/year lost to the #WageGap. #LatinaEqualPay
https://ow.ly/Iht150X8Bv2
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The gender wage gap for full-time, year-round workers expanded significantly in 2024 and is wider for women of color
https://ow.ly/Iht150X8Bv2
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Aaron is spot on, our paper shows that Trump proposed a 17% reduction in FTEs and currently 34% of senior career staff positions sit empty. Without adequate budget and without protecting these career positions we risk losing this independent analysis.
www.americanprogress.org/shareable/mo...
add a skeleton here at some point
about 1 month ago
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
Aaron Sojourner
about 1 month ago
Independence and funding are complements, not substitutes. We cannot fix attacks on independence just with funding. Exempt BLS & other statistical agencies from Schedule Policy/Career reform. Re-establish meaningful cause protection for Commissioner.
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
Aaron Sojourner
about 1 month ago
The real value of the Bureau of Labor Statistics's budget has fallen for over a decade. The president is proposing deep cuts alongside other attacks on the agency. Progress requires Congress to re-establish BLS independence & support innovation & funding.
www.americanprogress.org/article/the-...
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New from Kyle Ross and me, breaking down the budget and staffing issues in FY26 dollars. The BLS needs experienced nonpartisan leadership, and adequate funding to restore trust and ensure accuracy.
www.americanprogress.org/shareable/re...
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Real funding for the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) has been declining for years
https://www.americanprogress.org/shareable/real-funding-for-the-u-s-bureau-of-labor-statistics-bls-has-been-declining-for-years/?r=143224&l=6
about 1 month ago
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
Kennedy Andara
about 1 month ago
We wrote this before the shutdown but the analysis is still just as important. Healthcare workers, who are mostly women, are the backbone of our economy, but Trump's attacks on health care and repubs refusal to extend the ACA tax credits threaten the industry
www.americanprogress.org/article/what...
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What To Know Before Septemberās Jobs Day Report: Falling Wages and Stalling Employment Growth
In August, women held up the economy while their wages faltered in industries such as health care. Will the September Employment Situation report show more of the same?
https://www.americanprogress.org/article/what-to-know-before-septembers-jobs-day-report-falling-wages-and-stalling-employment-growth/
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New bubble plot would be cool if it wasnāt so ominous. How much longer can we expect women to pick up the labor market slack?
www.americanprogress.org/shareable/fe...
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Female-dominated industries are keeping job growth positive, but wages are falling
https://www.americanprogress.org/shareable/female-dominated-industries-are-keeping-job-growth-positive-but-wages-are-falling/?r=142694&l=4
about 1 month ago
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My latest op-ed in
@msnbc.com
grapples with some of the reasons Gen Z men are out of the labor force and how we could help them come off the sidelines. Read more:
www.msnbc.com/msnbc/amp/rc...
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Gen Z men are facing a surprise workforce crisis
Thereās not a one-size-fits-all explanation, but two main factors stand out.
https://www.msnbc.com/msnbc/amp/rcna232537
about 2 months ago
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
Kennedy Andara
2 months ago
Trump's tariffs are devastating America's manufacturers, with 42,000 manufacturing jobs lost since "liberation day." Check out
@cbsnews.com
coverage of
@saraestep.bsky.social
and my latest piece here
www.cbsnews.com/news/jobs-ma...
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The U.S. is losing thousands of manufacturing jobs, analysis finds
Uncertainty over U.S. tariffs and other Trump administration economic policies are deterring manufacturers from hiring, according to the Center for American Progress.
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/jobs-manufacturing-trump-tariffs-economy/
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
David Darmofal
2 months ago
An epic and predictable economic disaster. In South Carolina, Lindsey Graham has been an active participant in and promoter of this disaster in tossing aside his previous support for free trade in service to Trump. South Carolina needs
@drannieandrews.com
.
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Numbers don't lie:
www.americanprogress.org/shareable/th...
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2 months ago
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
MSNBC
2 months ago
OPINION by
@zeeshanaleem.bsky.social
: āIf American factories aren't experiencing a boom, how can Trump defend his protectionist extremism?ā READ MORE:
www.msnbc.com/opinion/msnb...
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Opinion | Trump's tariffs were supposed to revive U.S. manufacturing. They're wrecking it.
Why Trump is failing to fulfill his most prized economic vision.
https://www.msnbc.com/opinion/msnbc-opinion/trump-tariffs-economy-manufacturing-ism-rcna228790
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
John Schmitt
2 months ago
"Since...Trumpās tariff announcement in April...manufacturing employment has declined by 42,000, while job openings and hires have fallen by 76,000 and 18,000, respectively."
www.americanprogress.org/article/trum...
@kennedyandara.bsky.social
@saraestep.bsky.social
@americanprogress.bsky.social
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
Kennedy Andara
2 months ago
Trump promised a manufacturing renaissance- more like a manufacturing dark age. Check out our latest jobs day analysis from
@saraestep.bsky.social
and me on how Trump's tariff policies are harming the manufacturing industry.
#econsky
www.americanprogress.org/article/trum...
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Trumpās Trade War Squeezes Middle-Class Manufacturing Employment
American manufacturing employment is shrinking in response to Trumpās tariffs.
https://www.americanprogress.org/article/trumps-trade-war-squeezes-middle-class-manufacturing-employment/
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
Erika McEntarfer
2 months ago
The larger-than-usual downward revision last month was in large part driven by a negative skew in the job growth distribution among late reporting firms. Thatās unusual, but itās happened before when the pace of job growth slows rapidly. This print is more evidence that was the case
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
Will Ragland
2 months ago
This chart tells the story.
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Surprising no one, blue collar employment does NOT improve with tariff chaos, killing green manufacturing jobs, and disappearing human beings. We zoomed in on manufacturing in our latest:
www.americanprogress.org/article/trum...
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2 months ago
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
Catherine Rampell
2 months ago
Itās almost like global trade wars are not good for US manufacturing
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Trump's tariffs and attacks on stable green energy jobs are all likely contributing to the rapid decline in manufacturing employment since April. Check
@kennedyandara.bsky.social
and my latest column with today's jobs numbers.
#NumbersDay
#EconSky
www.americanprogress.org/article/trum...
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Trumpās Trade War Squeezes Middle-Class Manufacturing Employment
American manufacturing employment is shrinking in response to Trumpās tariffs.
https://www.americanprogress.org/article/trumps-trade-war-squeezes-middle-class-manufacturing-employment/
2 months ago
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
Aaron Sojourner
2 months ago
Ahead of
#JobsDay
tomorrow, Friends of BLS published a FAQ answering pressing questions like: Can the public trust BLS products? What's up with the firing of Dr. McEntarfer & nomination of Dr. Antoni? Why and how does the BLS revise jobs estimates?
#EconSky
www.friendsofbls.org/updates/2025...
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Background Information for Jobs Day ā Sept 5 ā The Friends of the Bureau of Labor Statistics
Click Background Information for Jobs Day ā Sept 5 to read the entire PDF document.
https://www.friendsofbls.org/updates/2025/9/4/background-information-for-jobs-day-sept-5
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
Aaron Sojourner
2 months ago
1.77 American employees quit their job for each employee fired by their boss in July per today's new
#JOLTS
data. This proxy for worker bargaining power in jobs is steady versus June but declining over recent, post-pandemic years.
www.upjohn.org/labor-levera...
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
Center for American Progress
3 months ago
Today is
#NHPIWomensEqualPayDay
. For every dollar earned by white, non-Hispanic men working full-time, year-round in 2023, Native Hawaiian, Pacific Islander women were only paid 65 cents. Check out our analysis with
@napawf.org
on the labor market experiences of AANHPI women:
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5 Facts About the Labor Market Experiences of Asian American, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander Women
Analysis from the Center for American Progress and the National Asian Pacific American Womenās Forum finds that AANHPI women, who are often immigrants, have a broad range of intersecting identitiesā¦
https://www.americanprogress.org/article/5-facts-about-the-labor-market-experiences-of-asian-american-native-hawaiian-and-pacific-islander-women/
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
Aaron Sojourner
3 months ago
New unemployment insurance claims steady (-2%) into week ending 8/23. Continuing claims steady too.
#NumbersDay
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
Steve Rattner
3 months ago
When the labor market is hot, workers who switch jobs can usually expect a pay bump. Right now, job switchers are experiencing the same wage growth as stayers, a sign that employers have the upper hand.
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
Christian Weller
3 months ago
It was a pleasure/honor to work with the immensely talented and smart
@saraestep.bsky.social
on this. Young men's unemployment is rising, but many are out of the labor force. Added attention to disability accommodations and care support could increase labor force participation for all, not just men
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
Center for American Progress
3 months ago
CAP's
@saraestep.bsky.social
and
@profcew.bsky.social
break down 10 key facts about young men's employment trends:
www.americanprogress.org/article/gen-...
add a skeleton here at some point
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
Business Insider
3 months ago
The economy has a boy problem. Helping workers with disabilities or enrolling in technical school might help.
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The job market's boy problem is getting worse — but data suggests some ways to fix it
The economy has a boy problem. Helping workers with disabilities or enrolling in technical school might help.
https://www.businessinsider.com/why-young-men-are-leaving-labor-force-how-to-fix-2025-8?utm_source=bluesky&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=business-automated
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
Thomas Lecaque
3 months ago
"How bad slavery was" is worse. Much worse. Much worse than you think, much worse than you're taught, much worse than museums depict. Worse.
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
John Cassidy
3 months ago
Every business day, big capitalist institutions depend on having access to unbiased economic statistics. It's time for them to step up and help protect the B.L.S. and other statistical agencies from Trump's encroachments. My latest column:
www.newyorker.com/news/the-fin...
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Big Business and Wall Street Need to Stand Up for Honest Data
In nominating an inexperienced MAGA partisan for commissioner of the Bureau of Labor Statistics, Donald Trump is chipping away at an essential foundation of the American economy.
https://www.newyorker.com/news/the-financial-page/big-business-and-wall-street-need-to-stand-up-for-honest-data?utm_medium=social&utm_social-type=owned&utm_source=bluesky&mbid=social_bluesky&utm_brand=tny
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
Erika McEntarfer
3 months ago
A key challenge for BLS is adequate funding for data collection and modernization. During my tenure I tried to identify the causes. One person told me, āyour problem is that while BLS has no enemies you also have no friendsā meaning no powerful interest groups advocating for economic data.
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
Steve Rattner
3 months ago
Homebuilder sentiment is at its lowest level since 2022.
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I keep getting questions that are like āwhat if they sneakily cook the books and nobody knows because they have done something with the seasonal adjustment or the imputed data.ā Like yāall BFFR.
add a skeleton here at some point
3 months ago
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
Center for American Progress
3 months ago
Last week's jobs day report revealed that the Trump administration's economic policies are seriously harming the economy. So, what did President Trump do? He fired the messenger. CAP's
@kennedyandara.bsky.social
explains the full story:
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
Kennedy Andara
4 months ago
Are you left wondering "what's next?" following the passage of Trump's mega bill? Check out a detailed timeline of the enactment dates of several major provisions from OBBBA to know when cuts and changes will go into effect ā¬ļø
www.americanprogress.org/article/the-...
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The Implementation Timeline of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act
An overview of when the cuts to basic needs programs such as Medicaid, Medicare, SNAP, and student loans and other provisions in the Republicansā OBBBA go into effect.
https://www.americanprogress.org/article/the-implementation-timeline-of-the-one-big-beautiful-bill-act/
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
Center for American Progress
4 months ago
As the Trump administration continues to censor LGBTQI+ data and slash critical research funding, it's more important than ever to understand the needs of LGBTQI+ communities. Don't miss this important conversation with CAP thought leaders on Monday, July 28:
www.americanprogress.org/events/in-co...
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
Center for American Progress
4 months ago
Join us on July 28 for a discussion on CAP's 2024 CAP LGBTQI+ Community Survey with
@calebllsmith.bsky.social
,
@seemiaroll.bsky.social
,
@mollyww.bsky.social
,
@hvnorrisphd.bsky.social
,
@saraestep.bsky.social
, and
@caseydoherty.bsky.social
.
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In Conversation: The 2024 LGBTQI+ Community Survey
Join CAP for a panel and discussion about new insights into LGBTQI+ experiences.
https://www.americanprogress.org/events/in-conversation-the-2024-lgbtqi-community-survey/
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
Khoa
4 months ago
My optimal setup as an applied microeconomist.
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
Center for American Progress
4 months ago
Did you know Black women are paid 64 cents for every dollar white, non-Hispanic men make? We need policy solutions that will improve working conditions and pay equity for all Black women workers. Learn more:
www.americanprogress.org/article/what...
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What You Should Know About the 2023 Gender Wage Gap
For the first time in two decades, the gender wage gap widened significantly in 2023āand between 2022 and 2023, the wage gap increased by 1 cent for women working full time, year round, to an average of 83 cents for every dollar men made.
https://www.americanprogress.org/article/what-you-should-know-about-the-2023-gender-wage-gap/
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
Kierra
4 months ago
Itās ugly and itās deadly. But hey, as long as the rich get richer, right?
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Congress Traded Your Pap Smear for a Billionaireās Tax Break
Trump's "Big Beautiful Bill," argues Kierra Jones, is part of "conservativesā political crusade to ban abortion and gender-affirming care, and to deprive Americans of their reproductive and bodily aut...
https://www.teenvogue.com/story/trumps-big-beautiful-bill-congress-traded-pap-smear-billionaires-tax-break
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
Lauren Bauer
4 months ago
For
#jobsday
,
@avivaaron-dine.bsky.social
, Eileen Powell, and I take stock of the labor market as of May. Women are remarkable.
www.hamiltonproject.org/publication/...
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
Edwin Park
5 months ago
New
@urbaninstitute.bsky.social
analysis finds that rural hospitals will be hit by $119B/10 years with
#Medicaid
cuts and expiration of the enhanced ACA tax credits: $87B in reduced revenues + $23B in higher uncompensated care costs:
www.urban.org/urban-wire/r...
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
Sharita Gruberg
5 months ago
Fighting authoritarianism requires refusing to accept their claim there are disposable people
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
Gideon Lukens
5 months ago
The White House is touting tax benefits for tipped workers in the reconciliation bill, but 2 million tipped workers could be among those at risk of losing health coverage because of the
#Medicaid
and
#ACA
marketplace cuts in the bill. (1/3)
www.nbcwashington.com/news/busines...
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
Kate Gallagher Robbins
5 months ago
Fresh off the presses with
@jessicamason.bsky.social
: Americansā unpaid caregiving is worth more than $1.1 trillion annually ā and women are doing almost two-thirds of the work.
#CareCantWait
nationalpartnership.org/if-americans...
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reposted by
Sara Estep (she/her)
Bobby Kogan
5 months ago
STRAIGHT NONSENSE (i did not pick the headline, but it has grown on me)
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