#APPAM2025 is a great experience. So many smart, insightful researchers in a very supportive environment. I was at the PhD/Career Fair. Amazing how much time senior folks took to talk with prospective students and graduates. Check out cool research like this.

Is Trump still playing 11 dimensional chess?

WAIT... the administration told us traiffs did NOT raise prices. Right? Then why do they have to lower them???? **** Trump Administration Lifts Some Food Tariffs in Effort to Ease Prices www.nytimes.com/2025/11/14/b...

Please share widely. I was at the PhD fair and talked with many interesting, promising young scholars, who are desperate for jobs. It's a really tough market.

If I log off social media for 2 minutes and then log back on, will that be like a computer reset and all the horrid suff from.this afternoon will just be gone?

This is do much worse than Aaron's summary (not a ding against Aaron's Rupar). The main questions to Trump: 1) why does insurance exist and 2) why is private/individual insurance, where ppl "negotiate prices" more expensive than anything else? Gaaaaaaaaaa

And " tariffs will not lead to price increases"

So much for the power of the president's posts.

The death of competence. Migrants are key part of the supply chain. Deportations will likely put more inflationary pressure on the economy than tariffs (I think the Yale Budget Lab has the relevant estimates).

'Matt Gaetz Raped A Homeless Teenager' is what you mean. A teenager with a homeless parent? What? The fuck? Did she have a home and not allow her parent to live in it? Ended up having sex with? What? Yeah clearly you guys been caping for pedos long enough and you understand the assignment here

YELLEN: “.. businesses feel paralyzed by the uncertainty about policies that represent the strong but really personal whims of a single individual.” @bloomberg.com www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

NEW: The first two years of Massachusetts' millionaire tax has raised $3 billion more than expected. And rather than driving the rich away, IPS researchers found that the number of millionaires has *increased.* Tax the rich. Greg Ryan in @bloomberg.com:

2-yr postdoc opportunity in @ndsociology.bsky.social at the Center for Research on Educational Opportunity (CREO). iei.nd.edu/initiatives/...

Lots of reasons why housing is expensive, but migration is not one of them.

But, young men are be coming disengaged? Not saying they are not, but we cannot ignoere what is going on with women.

We really need to start asking who paid off his debts again

Don't cross the picket line for mediocre coffee, folks. Union strong. 💪

It really would be nice to have some serious discussion of this or other mechanisms to support independent (non-rich) media. It is nuts that people apparently think campaign ads can influence elections, but what people see between the ads doesn't.

Hey so “underage girls” are…children. The word you’re looking for is children. They’re not like, women-in-waiting or women-lite or whatever. They’re children. I think some of you are very uncomfortable with what that means for you but it is still true.

You can also give to the Merrimack Valley Food Bank here :

I did not have "Not Like Us" on daily rotation for an entire year for the American media to start carrying water for middle-aged dudes creeping on high school sophomores.

If this is all jobs, it would be less than expected. ADP had October up by about 40k and fed employment was expected to fall 100k (b/c end of severance/furloughs).

This was fully predictable, although it does not make it any less disgusting.

It at least made the front page of the WaPo and the NYT. Patience on the cover up may be running low.

Just what I wanted to hear before getting on a plane. This is the "no accountability/no responsibility" administration.

I know I keep teasing this (still plan a full post tomorrow), but if you're on an ACA plan & live in any of the following states you *may* be in luck: WA, IL, VT, PA, AR, WV, AK, TX, CO, MO, WY, NM, MD, VA tl; dr version: If you're on a Silver plan this year, take a close look at GOLD plans.

And Elon Musk

Team Trump just prays you don’t notice last year was better than this year for everyone but Ghislaine Maxwell

Trying to imagine the reaction if a Democrat said that the American workforce is talentless.

DeLauro: The president went to the supreme court to deprive kids of food. Unbelievable. And now wants to deny their parents healthcare.

What an all star team!

We used to have the Bureau of Labor Statistics collect inflation data but under Trump we’ve outsourced it to DoorDash

Paid a Colombian tea grower $1,500 for a shipment. Got billed $150 by the Trump administration at the border. *I* got billed. Not the tea growers. Not the Colombian government. Me. The American business owner. I paid the Trump tax.

If you’re on the ACA, you *must* read this amazing work by @charlesgaba.com. With subsidies under threat, it’s vital that folks find as much value as possible in the available plans. Comparing them all is complex and brutal. Charles points the way to potential savings.

Its a very real pattern. Trump pardoned about 1500 supporters and a number of non-trivial number of them have ended up breaking the law again within months. www.msnbc.com/rachel-maddo...

All in my home state, including my home town and my alma mater (Konstanz). All are doing great work and are in amazing cities.

Its not even new data, they just threw together a hodge podge of outdated US Census and BLS data mixed with internal data stats they don't explain how or what theyre collected from, wrapped up in DoorDash PR

It's like he knows nothing about economics. There is so much wrong with that statement that would fail an intermediate micro exam.

Trump is really stepping up the populist brand today, fighting for working families.

Paperwork burden, stigma and stress are common for SNAP and increase food insecurity. Many (most) recipients are children, disabled or older, while many already work, if they can. Not letting people go hungry should be a fundamental function of government.

Nooooooooooooo

This work is so important, especially in the context of how modestly (if at all) outreach efforts improve retention. Also important: the work requirements that need to be implemented by the end of next year may prove much harder to automate than standard eligibility redeterminations

Today "After the ACA’s major provisions were implemented in 2014... displaced workers were more likely to have public coverage before job loss and less likely to lose coverage afterward."

This one hit home after a long trip. How to kill time during flight delays www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...

I love this. These structures are awesome and I can imagine the fun had by everyone.

Any pundit who became a health care expert in the past five weeks should listen (since they tend to argue that this is expensive). Our entire HC system is too expensive but that discussion should not start with ACA subsidies (or cuts to Medicaid).

Seems like a valid question. Why is ICE considered essential while ATCs are not?

It's time for #Caturday and a timeline cleanse! A terracotta figurine of a #cat playing the harp. From #Egypt, #Roman period, late 1st century AD. On display at Museum August Kestner, Hannover. Have a lovely #weekend! 📷 me 🏺

The White House keeps unilaterally taking entirely voluntary actions which it openly says are intended to inflict more pain and then they're I guess surprised - along with most of the DC media - about why they seem to be taking the blame for the shutdown.