Drive-in belief tune-ups

I feel the downstream effects of papers being written for peer review. Arguments are defensive, good faith is lost, and it all becomes rhetoric. Joy of exploration, honest appraisal & appreciation of uncertainty disappear from scientific discourse, leaving an illusion of certainty & inevitability.

A must watch. A powerful video from Norway displays gender based inequality. The look of dismay & confusion on the girls' faces upon receiving less for the same task was a little painful. They agreed it was unfair. "Girls are not less than boys." Credit: Finansforbundet, Boss Women Magic #Pinks

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I've been exposed to enough peer review that I think we can look at two classes of reviewers: 1. Constructive peer review 2. Adversarial peer review I'm looking at this mostly from a psychology/methodology perspective (but wonder what other fields experience) 🧵 1/

‘Clinical psychologist, Liz McHodge said: “To be honest, I diagnosed them the moment they hand-delivered a leather-bound volume that weighed more than my toddler.”’

Positivism creep. Great term.

“Positivism Creep” “The subtle, often unacknowledged infiltration of positivist or post-positivist assumptions into methodologies where they do not naturally, philosophically, practically, or epistemologically belong.” By @thomasgraves.bsky.social @maddipow.bsky.social @annayahprosser.bsky.social

I'm not saying you can't possibly generate a worthwhile hypothesis from your data. I'm just saying that generating a hypothesis from the entirety of human knowledge that preceded your data is a much safer bet.

Russia signing a friendship treaty with you is the traditional advance notice of an invasion.

Maybe instead of committing atrocities, we could just make the rich pay their fair share and have universal healthcare and affordable housing instead. Idk, just spitballing here.

"You’re assuming any complicated social problem can be solved by technology, when often, on the contrary, technology will make it worse." citizenlab.ca/2025/11/the-...

There is a direct correlation between how fake your job is and how much value you see in AI

Why does every target trial emulation study have to include a bit that says "this shows how great target trial emulation is. RCTs are non-generalisable and expensive"? Imagine if every RCT said "this shows how great RCTs are. We did not have to rely on strong, untestable assumptions".

I don’t know if anyone else notices or cares, but when I see a presentation in which the speaker uses obviously generated-AI images to illustrate their slides, it makes me immediately less confident in whatever other content they’re presenting.

"Ytre høyre ønsker seg et etnisk rent land. Det er en av de farligste idéene i menneskehetens historie, som har ført til ufattelige grusomheter, og den må avvises kontant av en samlet norsk offentlighet" write.as/eivindtraeda...

Ja, for hvorfor ta seg tid til å aggregere og anonymisere forskningsdataene, når du likevel har forsket ulovlig?

#AcademicSky #PsycSciSky #Metascience How psychologists handle sampling, measurement, & statistical test assumptions

3/ Har forskerne som inkluderer dette spørsmålet som et mulig tilfelle av psykosenære symptomer, noensinne gått på en ungdomsskole eller videregående skole? www.fhi.no/globalassets...

So the USA plans to fabricate their science going forward? If they do, they'll really be able to behave as if they fully don't need scientific evidence anymore. They can just pump out pseudoscience, like antivaxx articles "made by LLMs". See doi.org/10.31234/osf... for the case in psychology. 1/n

Most scientists don't understand how effect sizes work and are therefore far too quick to dismiss "small" effects. A correlation of .03 between taking aspirin & prevention of future heart attacks implied the prevention of 85 attacks in a sample of 10,845 people journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...

I'm constantly reminded of this: www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024...

Bra at Danby Choi får prate på riksdekkende tv to-tre ganger i uka om hvordan han ikke kommer til orde.

Former Finnish PM Sanna Marin put it bluntly: “To end the conflict, Russia must leave Ukrainian territory.” Just one point. Nothing more to discuss.

I vår ble jeg den aller første til å anmelde konverteringsterapi etter forbudet som ble vedtatt av Stortinget for to år siden. I dag ble saken henlagt av Statsadvokaten. De mener at konverteringsterapi utført av helsepersonell mot transpersoner er *straffritt* etter det nye forbudet. 🧵⬇️

Our paper, that we worked hard to produce before the second wave, estimated that 21,000 excess deaths were caused by the 1 week delay in lockdown. The paper was held up & eventually rejected by the Lancet. By the time it came out it could only offer a post mortem. journals.plos.org/plosone/arti...

VG skriver at Trump hinter om dødsstraff for å gjengi hva konstitusjonen sier. Dette er vel litt mer enn å hinte. (Skjermbilde fra The Guardian). www.vg.no/nyheter/i/zO...

Affective science has lost an extraordinary member of our community: Dr. Paul Ekman, who passed peacefully at home at the age of 91 on Monday. Dr. Ekman's pioneering cross-cultural research on the interpretation of facial expressions in emotional terms...(1)

Editors have a really hard job, and the good ones can make something unreadable readable, and the great ones can make something unreadable into something good. But they're basically invisible, until someone tries to write without one.

circular thinking about science never ceases to surprise me. we keep devising some description of how ideal science should behave that's conditioned on some science that we have already convinced ourselves to be ideal, and then use that description to show why other sciences are less than.

Language models are models of a corpus, not cognition

Her kan vi også bidra. Vi kan eksportere Helseplattformen til Russland, for eksempel?

You are a Post-Padawan now!

The secret to not worrying about the ever increasing volume of research papers is the ability to evaluate a methods section for obvious horseshit. Turns out, not reading those papers frees up a lot of time that you can spend worrying about the appalling research waste.

We wrote the Strain on scientific publishing to highlight the problems of time & trust. With a fantastic group of co-authors, we present The Drain of Scientific Publishing: a 🧵 1/n Drain: arxiv.org/abs/2511.04820 Strain: direct.mit.edu/qss/article/... Oligopoly: direct.mit.edu/qss/article/...

yes please and thank you

"preliminary evidence" that "ABA therapy may be associated with increased odds of mental health hospitalizations and more frequent hospital stays among autistic youth" journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/... "future inquiry into the safety of ABA and who may or may not be harmed by it is essential..."

g-computation? g-estimation? g-formula? g-arbage names!

Wondering why no one likes your posts anymore, even among your friends? It's because @jay.bsky.team and team have decided to hide a huge amount of content from all of our feeds by default. Here's how to turn it off. First go to the hamburger menu in the upper left corner

Pre-post effect sizes neatly rise with baseline severity in this evaluation of inpatient/day treatment outcomes… www.frontiersin.org/journals/psy...

Trump simultaneously fantasizing about a Nobel War Prize.

Eye-opening work on heterogeneity among depression scales. Also, I’m a pluralist and everything, but … do we need 27 youth depression scales? Why have researchers not updated and further developed them? What does this say about the state of our field?

One thing that I find very confusing about modern AI research is the lack of a clear conceptual separation between contingent empirical findings and necessary consequences of the model architecture or analytic framework.

If only this were a cardigan, he could be “Therapist Batman”

“The reality is a lot of parts of a research project are determined in the *design,* not in the analysis.” Yes.

Have you heard about PCI Psychology (or another PCI, like PCI Registered Reports) but are not really sure how it works? This video is a good introduction www.youtube.com/watch?v=4PZh... but we'd love to hear your questions! Please reply to this thread and repost for reach!

Honestly, if you value content you've created always make sure it has a home outside of a single company. Always.

But, like, what if that's just everything? What if government and journalism and medicine and law all work that way? I don't know, I just assumed they did not; but now I think about it do I know that? I don't think I do. What if there is never any reasonable system in place?

Det er nye saker som dette HVER DAG nå. Vi er langt forbi at dette bare er pinlig for de involverte. Dette er ikke en bug ved KI-hypen, men en feature. Det er helt vilt at hverken medier eller politikere er på ballen her på et mer overordnet, strukturelt nivå.

"What are the policy implications"