Weekend reads: Largest leucovorin-autism trial retracted; a paper mill detector for cancer research articles; infant opioid poisoning report flagged

#statstab #479 Different ways of calculating OLS regression coefficients (in R) Thoughts: The are many ways to skin a variable... #rstats #regression #modelling #tutorial #r #glm #ols #coding thomvolker.github.io/blog/2506_re...

Excellent article related to overselling of conformal prediction.

Liam Ramos gets to meet the pilot and visit the cockpit on his flight home from the Texas ICE camp This little boy has become an inadvertent symbol of resistance A reminder of why we fight What ICE did to this child was wrong. May the kindness he receives today help heal the damage.

Weekend reads: Did a researcher ‘Obscure a Baby’s Poisoning?’; ‘Critical social media posts linked to retractions’; arXiv ‘clamps down on AI slop’

State-sponsored white supremacist terror.

A Minnesota woman observing ICE agents in her car was cornered on one-way streets. An agent approached, called her by name—citing facial recognition. Days later, her Global Entry and TSA privileges were revoked, with no explanation.

So much of my work on overseas deployments can be boiled down to “people like you when you do nice things and aren’t a jerk.”

Judging by the poor quality of biomarker research I see reported in biomedical journals, my article "How to Do Bad Biomarker Research" must have been hugely influential: www.fharrell.com/post/badb/in... #Statistics #StatsSky #EpiSky

Dr. Gladys West, the pioneering mathematician whose work laid the foundation for modern GPS technology, has died. She was 95.

#Statistics thought of the day: Multiplicities have caused massive confusion. Rather than making arbitrary multiplicity adjustments, it is far more productive and interpretable to set the bar higher regarding actual assertions being made. hbiostat.org/bayes/bet/mu... #StatsSky #clinicaltrials #rct

DHS’ annual reports have also shown this for years. Minnesota isn’t even in the top 10. Not by a long shot. ohss.dhs.gov/sites/defaul...

Now more than ever, we're a two timing, back stabbing, and disloyal nation without integrity.

The FDA Commissioner advocating for Bayesian design and analysis is a thrill to see. www.fda.gov/news-events/... #StatsSky #Statistics #bayes #clinicaltrial #pharma #rct @fda.gov

FDA drugs and biologics guidance for Bayesian clinical trials is something I've been dreaming of for decades. I am thrilled that this draft has been released!! #Statistics #StatsSky #fda #clinicaltrial #bayes

I can hear Noem saying "These look like domestic terrorists."

Qualifications: must be OK with censorship. No Plato scholars need apply. #EduSky

Cartoon by @badiucao.bsky.social.

A stunning, and damning, video analysis by @nytimes.com

WTF?

Highly, highly recommended for persons interested in Bayesian methods and for persons not interested in Bayesian methods who should be.

The website of the foundation Jalil founded, which publishes several journals, hosts conferences and offers editorial services, also referred to him as Al-Attabi until recently. But after we contacted him, the name of the foundation’s CEO and owner changed to “Mustafa Tareq Shanshool" on the site.

Timezones are so weird. Australia is in 2026, Canada is in 2025, and the United States is in 1939.

Computing tool of the day: I use Visual Studio Code Editor as my general purpose editor. But it's an overkill for almost everything I do. Enter CotEditor for Mac which so far is my dream editor (except for printing syntax-highlighted code). coteditor.com

This makes pharma giant GSK look silly for paying $720M for a previous hoax anti-aging compound from the same @harvard.edu prof.

I’m receiving an increasing number of messages from some of you who are concerned about me. Please don’t be. I’m not going to stop speaking out. Some thoughts... https://robertreich.substack.com/p/please-dont-worry-about-me

How much biomedical research and how much money billed to patients are based on measurements that were never fully validated? Too many.

Americans are not supposed to see this, and @cbsnews.com is now an embarrassment.

It’s the run up to the holidays so there can only be one #MethodologyMonday topic - the scientific way to cut your Christmas cake. Published c1906 in Nature by the statistician Francis Galton 🎂🎄🔪😊 Enjoy! galton.org/essays/1900-...

In case people need a refresher: The Trump administration is fighting contempt proceedings y in federal court over what happened “inside CECOT” to human beings unlawfully renditioned there. Bari Weiss’s CBS News is now part of the coverup.

#Statistics thought of the day: For longitudinal studies, don't treat the baseline measurement as the first follow-up measurement. Baseline cannot be considered a response to treatment. You'd be surprised how often this in done in #pharma. hbiostat.org/rmsc/long#mo... #StatsSky

I did a whole post about stat software warranties a few years back notstatschat.rbind.io/2019/02/18/a...

Doug Altman - an eternal inspiration for all medical statisticians and non-statistician medical researchers. #StatsSky #Statistics

This is actually the trippiest thing I've ever seen that was not deliberately created by M C Fucking Escher. It straight up took me over a minute to make sense of and now I can't go back. This is the white-and-gold dress on a gram a week of trenbolone.

Sounds about right.

I knew his response to this was going to be one of the worst things he ever posted and somehow, it was even worse than I imagined it could be.

Use of {tinyplot} is very nice. But, I'd love to see examples that don't use variables like c("e16sex", "c172code", "e42dep")

Weekend reads: Springer Nature retracts papers using ‘bonkers’ dataset; preprint server welcomes AI authors; ethics editors’ COI disclosures ‘insufficient’

This post is truly ghastly. ICE break the law with impunity. The black shirts rule the USA.

#GVerse #FuckICE detain U.S. citizen for "looking" Somali—use illegal chokehold to tackle him to ground. Man repeatedly begs agents to look at his digital passport ID—they refuse. The incident occurred at the Cedar-Riverside neighborhood in Minneapolis. #DemsUnited

An astounding resource for learning and thinking

E.P.A. Erases Mention of Humans Causing Climate Change From Some Web Pages. Gift link: nyti.ms/3Mo6REt

Excellent article on data visualization

New projpred (projection predictive variable selection for brms and rstanarm) release 2.10.0. Frank Weber added support for censored observations when using the latent projection (see a vignette mc-stan.org/projpred/art...). @aloctavodia.bsky.social fixed bugs and made the release.

Heartbreaking. The University of Nebraska will terminate its entire Earth science department. One of the country's most successful and respected geology & climate programs: gone. When ideologues & politicians are threatened by the very act of studying climate change, I wonder: who of us is next?

ICE has arrested nearly 75,000 people with no criminal records, data shows www.nbcnews.com/politics/imm...

Spotify has laid off thousands in recent years, while reportedly paying artists $0.003 per stream. Spotify profits rose 28% in Q3. Its CEO is worth $9.8 billion. It's making money off ICE recruitment ads. Don't you think it's time put a wrap on corporate greed and exploitation?

Reminder about Jan 6: it really happened It was a horror 140+ police were injured A range of violent weapons were used by attackers Chants to hang Mike Pence were heard There was a gallows and guns Pipe bombs diverted police as mob approached