Americans are not supposed to see this, and @cbsnews.com is now an embarrassment.

It’s the run up to the holidays so there can only be one #MethodologyMonday topic - the scientific way to cut your Christmas cake. Published c1906 in Nature by the statistician Francis Galton 🎂🎄🔪😊 Enjoy! galton.org/essays/1900-...

In case people need a refresher: The Trump administration is fighting contempt proceedings y in federal court over what happened “inside CECOT” to human beings unlawfully renditioned there. Bari Weiss’s CBS News is now part of the coverup.

#Statistics thought of the day: For longitudinal studies, don't treat the baseline measurement as the first follow-up measurement. Baseline cannot be considered a response to treatment. You'd be surprised how often this in done in #pharma. hbiostat.org/rmsc/long#mo... #StatsSky

I did a whole post about stat software warranties a few years back notstatschat.rbind.io/2019/02/18/a...

Doug Altman - an eternal inspiration for all medical statisticians and non-statistician medical researchers. #StatsSky #Statistics

This is actually the trippiest thing I've ever seen that was not deliberately created by M C Fucking Escher. It straight up took me over a minute to make sense of and now I can't go back. This is the white-and-gold dress on a gram a week of trenbolone.

Sounds about right.

I knew his response to this was going to be one of the worst things he ever posted and somehow, it was even worse than I imagined it could be.

Use of {tinyplot} is very nice. But, I'd love to see examples that don't use variables like c("e16sex", "c172code", "e42dep")

Weekend reads: Springer Nature retracts papers using ‘bonkers’ dataset; preprint server welcomes AI authors; ethics editors’ COI disclosures ‘insufficient’

This post is truly ghastly. ICE break the law with impunity. The black shirts rule the USA.

#GVerse #FuckICE detain U.S. citizen for "looking" Somali—use illegal chokehold to tackle him to ground. Man repeatedly begs agents to look at his digital passport ID—they refuse. The incident occurred at the Cedar-Riverside neighborhood in Minneapolis. #DemsUnited

An astounding resource for learning and thinking

E.P.A. Erases Mention of Humans Causing Climate Change From Some Web Pages. Gift link: nyti.ms/3Mo6REt

Excellent article on data visualization

New projpred (projection predictive variable selection for brms and rstanarm) release 2.10.0. Frank Weber added support for censored observations when using the latent projection (see a vignette mc-stan.org/projpred/art...). @aloctavodia.bsky.social fixed bugs and made the release.

Heartbreaking. The University of Nebraska will terminate its entire Earth science department. One of the country's most successful and respected geology & climate programs: gone. When ideologues & politicians are threatened by the very act of studying climate change, I wonder: who of us is next?

ICE has arrested nearly 75,000 people with no criminal records, data shows www.nbcnews.com/politics/imm...

Spotify has laid off thousands in recent years, while reportedly paying artists $0.003 per stream. Spotify profits rose 28% in Q3. Its CEO is worth $9.8 billion. It's making money off ICE recruitment ads. Don't you think it's time put a wrap on corporate greed and exploitation?

Reminder about Jan 6: it really happened It was a horror 140+ police were injured A range of violent weapons were used by attackers Chants to hang Mike Pence were heard There was a gallows and guns Pipe bombs diverted police as mob approached

Universities always have $ for athletics, not so much for full-time and part-time faculty.

Excellent note @avehtari.bsky.social - with insights I had missed about how the effective posterior draw sample size depends on which part of the posterior distribution you are estimating for a parameter. #Statistics #StatsSky

Oversampling: A sure way to expose fundamental statistical misunderstandings. #Statistics #StatsSky

We lost a great person, statistician, teacher, thought leader, writer, and open source software contributor in John Fox. I will always miss him.

The stuff you find when you actually read the RCTs in a systematic review... This paper is one of the foundational studies on vitamin D to prevent respiratory infections in kids. Cited 1,400 times as per Google Scholar.

Isn't Deloitte advising the HSE on "AI strategy"?

We face uncertainty every day—weather forecasts, health predictions, and probabilities meant to guide our choices. On “Stats + Stories,” Sir David Spiegelhalter joins to talk about communicating risk and how to navigate chance, ignorance, risk, & luck. statsandstories.net/society1/the... #STATSSKY

Beautifully worded by Miettinen. I’ve seen many clinical studies where a real futility analysis would have stopped the study before the first patient was enrolled.

Meta halted internal research that purportedly showed (young) people who stopped using Facebook became less depressed and anxious, according to an unredacted legal filing released on Friday. www.cnbc.com/2025/11/23/m...

“If you’re quiet now, you would’ve been quiet in 1940.”

Weekend reads: Our cofounder credited in fake citation; ‘Substantial’ undisclosed COIs in psychiatry research; an AI threat to online surveys

#TodayinHistory #dataviz #OTD 📊 📅Nov 20, 1869 Charles Joseph Minard published his iconic flow map graphic of Napoleon's March on Moscow. Some called it best graphic ever produced, but EJ Marey put it best: "Defies the pen of the historian in its brutal eloquence" No known portrait of CJ, only .sig

No matter how some undermine and pervert and obscure the truth, it *remains*. The tragedy to mourn isn't *just* the loss of our anchor to reality, it's the entirely preventable suffering that will now be *promoted* because of it. www.nytimes.com/.../vaccine-....

Can’t believe the whole country has to suffer through the return of Dickensian childhood diseases because the worst, most ignorant attention-demanders decided other people’s expertise makes them feel bad

I thought this was going to turn into a story needing its own True Crime Netflix series, but no. This is quite something. metro.co.uk/2025/11/18/w...

A lot of crap research is being done with the microbiome. At the heart of much of the research is fundamentally unreliable data.

Weekend reads: Debunking ‘When Prophecy Fails’; ‘Godfather of AI’ first to reach 1 million citations; ‘Cake causes herpes?’

Nice to see all these confidence intervals. I use Wilson as a default but should be using Bayes. Challenge: figure out why “exact” confidence intervals are not recommended.

I wrote something about publication bias at statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/11/14/t...

We did a thing. 😬

What is the most profitable industry in the world, this side of the law? Not oil, not IT, not pharma. It's *scientific publishing*. We call this the Drain of Scientific Publishing. Paper: arxiv.org/abs/2511.04820 Background: doi.org/10.1162/qss_... Thread @markhanson.fediscience.org.ap.brid.gy 👇

Nice one, from @drg.bsky.social and @jamesheathers.bsky.social link.springer.com/article/10.1...

I had the opportunity to review the work experience and skills of numerous people who were laid off or fired from public health jobs by Donald Trump. I want every taxpayer to know that the US has lost an immeasurable number of the smartest, most experienced, and hardworking people on the planet.

A new release of the mgcv #RStats 📦 is out on CRAN and Simon Wood (U Edinburgh) has added some significant new features despite the small bump in version number: 🌟 scasm() for estimating GAMs with shape constrained smooths. Can be used with any family & smoothness selection is via the EFS method

Here’s a gift link (no paywall) to the article, “Catholic bishops condemn ‘indiscriminate mass deportation’ in rare statement”: wapo.st/448fDw6

Some of the best data detective work I’ve seen, and embarrassing for @bmj.com

In the century leading up to 1975, nearly 6000 freighters went down in the Great Lakes. The Edmund Fitzgerald was the last. The last. In 50 years, not a single commercial freighter has been lost in the Great Lakes. Why? It's NOAA. Of course it's NOAA.